#Bitcoin is closing the year under pressure 📉
A weak Q4 has split the market — and volatility isn’t going anywhere.
🔹 Short term:
A relief bounce is absolutely possible.
Thin liquidity below could push $BTC into the $98K–$104K zone 💥
🔹 But let’s be clear:
I don’t see this as the start of a new bull run.
This looks more like a classic bull trap — a bounce for distribution, not continuation.
👀 Zooming out:
2026 is wide open, but not confident.
The market is stretched between two extremes:
👉 $50K on one side
👉 $250K on the other
That’s not conviction — that’s confusion.
📊 What really matters next:
• Macro conditions
• Capital flows
• Politics & policy
Short-term technicals will matter far less than people expect.
🚀 Long term view:
I still believe the $250K thesis is alive — but only if:
• Institutional adoption keeps deepening
• Bitcoin continues to behave like a macro asset, not a meme trade
If that happens, the next expansion phase will be:
✔ Slower
✔ More structured
✔ Much harder to trade
Not the chaotic pumps of past cycles.
🧠 My honest take:
This is a mentally exhausting phase.
Fake pumps. Fake breakdowns. One wrong move hurts.
But the long-term game isn’t broken — it’s maturing.
Those who survive the noise now are the ones most likely to capture the next real cycle.
