#bitcoin is ending the year under pressure 📉

A soft Q4 has split sentiment across the market, and volatility isn’t going away anytime soon. In the short term, a relief bounce is very possible — thin liquidity could lift $BTC toward the $98K–$104K zone 💥.

That said, this doesn’t look like the start of a fresh bull run. It feels more like a classic bull trap — a bounce for distribution, not continuation.

Zooming out 👀

2026 remains highly uncertain, with the market pulled between two extremes:

👉 $50K on the downside

👉 $250K on the upside

That range reflects confusion, not conviction. Macro conditions, capital flows, and politics will matter far more than short-term charts.

Long term?

The $250K thesis is still alive 🚀 — but only if:

• Institutional adoption keeps expanding

• Bitcoin continues to trade as a macro asset, not a meme

If that plays out, the next expansion is likely to be slower, more structured, and tougher to trade — not the wild pumps of past cycles.

My honest take:

This phase is mentally draining. Fake breakouts, fake breakdowns — mistakes are costly. But the long-term story isn’t broken. If anything, it’s just beginning.

Those who survive the noise now are the ones most likely to benefit from the next real cycle.