It can also show up late — after a heavy correction has already done most of the damage. That’s why #Bitcoin can’t keep printing lower lows around the $75k area if bulls want this cycle intact.

For the 4-year cycle to actually reset, $BTC needs to reclaim the 50W MA and close above it. That level sits near $100,400 right now. Not a wick. Not a spike. A clean weekly close.

That’s the line where momentum flips back to the bulls.

Just as important: price must continue to hold above the April 2025 low and start putting in weekly closes that show real demand stepping back in. Not hope. Not chop. Actual acceptance.

SCENARIO 2

If Bitcoin loses the April 2025 low, the story simplifies fast.

Break that level and structure changes:

The higher-low framework fails.

Downside targets open.

What looked like consolidation turns into continuation.

From there, it’s no longer about patience — it’s about defense.

Trade $BTC here 👇