Az1lan
High-Frequency Trader
5.2 Years
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25 လိုက်ခ်လုပ်ထားသည်
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$BTC
What to Watch for in the Final Hour
If the 4-hour candle closes significantly below the $76,000 mark, it may confirm a short-term "Double Top" or a lower high on smaller timeframes, leading to a deeper retest of the $74,500 - $74,700 support zone.
What to Watch for in the Final Hour
If the 4-hour candle closes significantly below the $76,000 mark, it may confirm a short-term "Double Top" or a lower high on smaller timeframes, leading to a deeper retest of the $74,500 - $74,700 support zone.
$ETH
Following the previous posts !
$BTC & #ETH did exactly what was shared!
Keeping eye on $ETH for now
Moving Averages (MA):
• The price has dropped below the MA(7) at $2,402.63, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
• It is currently testing the MA(25) at $2,359.39 as immediate support.
• If it fails here, the next major "safety net" is the MA(99) at $2,208.90.
Following the previous posts !
$BTC & #ETH did exactly what was shared!
Keeping eye on $ETH for now
Moving Averages (MA):
• The price has dropped below the MA(7) at $2,402.63, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
• It is currently testing the MA(25) at $2,359.39 as immediate support.
• If it fails here, the next major "safety net" is the MA(99) at $2,208.90.
$BTC
With the high percentage of shorts (61%), the market is susceptible to a "short squeeze" if a sudden burst of buying volume occurs, as those short positions would be forced to cover (buy back). However, the chart currently lacks a clear "Buy" trigger until it stabilizes at support. #DYOR
With the high percentage of shorts (61%), the market is susceptible to a "short squeeze" if a sudden burst of buying volume occurs, as those short positions would be forced to cover (buy back). However, the chart currently lacks a clear "Buy" trigger until it stabilizes at support. #DYOR
$ETH
If you are already in, hold with a stop loss at $2,345. If you are looking to enter, wait for a 1-hour candle to close above $2,465 for the safest high-probability momentum trade.
If you are already in, hold with a stop loss at $2,345. If you are looking to enter, wait for a 1-hour candle to close above $2,465 for the safest high-probability momentum trade.
$ETH
Bullish Scenario : If Ethereum breaks above $2,465 with high volume on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, the target is a quick move to $2,580 - $2,600.
Neutral Scenario Price continues to bounce between $2,360 and $2,460 over the next 24 hours. This is common over the weekend as volume usually drops.
Bearish Scenario If the price loses the $2,360 support level, the flag is "broken," and the price will likely drop back to test $2,285.
Bullish Scenario : If Ethereum breaks above $2,465 with high volume on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, the target is a quick move to $2,580 - $2,600.
Neutral Scenario Price continues to bounce between $2,360 and $2,460 over the next 24 hours. This is common over the weekend as volume usually drops.
Bearish Scenario If the price loses the $2,360 support level, the flag is "broken," and the price will likely drop back to test $2,285.
$BTC The trend is currently sideways-to-bullish. Watch the 77,150 - 77,200 zone carefully; a strong hourly close above that usually triggers the next "leg up."
$ETH
Support Test: ETH needs to hold the $2,390 – $2,400 zone. This is where the 1h moving averages and 4h structural support converge.
Upside Target: If the $2,400 level holds, the next move is a retest of the recent wick at $2,464. A breakout above that level opens the door to $2,500+
Risk Factor: If it closes a 4-hour candle below $2,360 (MA 25), the bullish momentum is neutralized, and we likely drop to test $2,300.
Support Test: ETH needs to hold the $2,390 – $2,400 zone. This is where the 1h moving averages and 4h structural support converge.
Upside Target: If the $2,400 level holds, the next move is a retest of the recent wick at $2,464. A breakout above that level opens the door to $2,500+
Risk Factor: If it closes a 4-hour candle below $2,360 (MA 25), the bullish momentum is neutralized, and we likely drop to test $2,300.
$BTC #HourlyTrade
The 1-hour chart shows a Bearish Engulfing pattern at a local peak
A smaller green candle was followed by a much larger red candle that "swallowed" the price action of the previous one. This indicates that sellers have aggressively taken control after a period of indecision.
Looking at the wicks above the recent candles, there is significant sell pressure/resistance near the $77,500 - $77,600 range. The price attempted to push higher but was rejected, resulting in the current red candle.
The 1-hour chart shows a Bearish Engulfing pattern at a local peak
A smaller green candle was followed by a much larger red candle that "swallowed" the price action of the previous one. This indicates that sellers have aggressively taken control after a period of indecision.
Looking at the wicks above the recent candles, there is significant sell pressure/resistance near the $77,500 - $77,600 range. The price attempted to push higher but was rejected, resulting in the current red candle.
$BTC Current State: Neutral/Consolidation. After hitting a local high of $78,300, the price has leveled off around $77,420.
• Candlesticks: The recent candles are small with minimal bodies, indicating a temporary "tug-of-war" between buyers and sellers.
Key Indicators
• Moving Averages (MA): The price is hugging the MA(7) (yellow line). As long as it stays above the MA(25) at $75,950, the medium-term hourly trend remains bullish.
• RSI: At 65.0, the RSI is healthy. It has cooled down from "overbought" levels, giving the market room to move higher without being immediately exhausted.
• Sentiment (L/S Ratio): The ratio shows a heavy lean toward Shorts (62.53%). In crypto, a high short percentage often leads to a "short squeeze," where the price jumps suddenly to force those sellers to close their positions.
Short Brief Summary
The market is currently "breathing" after the rally to $78k.
• Upside: Watch for a breakout above $77,600 to retest $78,300.
• Downside: Strong support sits at $75,950.
Overall Bias: Slightly bullish due to the high number of short positions that may be liquidated if the price ticks upward.
• Candlesticks: The recent candles are small with minimal bodies, indicating a temporary "tug-of-war" between buyers and sellers.
Key Indicators
• Moving Averages (MA): The price is hugging the MA(7) (yellow line). As long as it stays above the MA(25) at $75,950, the medium-term hourly trend remains bullish.
• RSI: At 65.0, the RSI is healthy. It has cooled down from "overbought" levels, giving the market room to move higher without being immediately exhausted.
• Sentiment (L/S Ratio): The ratio shows a heavy lean toward Shorts (62.53%). In crypto, a high short percentage often leads to a "short squeeze," where the price jumps suddenly to force those sellers to close their positions.
Short Brief Summary
The market is currently "breathing" after the rally to $78k.
• Upside: Watch for a breakout above $77,600 to retest $78,300.
• Downside: Strong support sits at $75,950.
Overall Bias: Slightly bullish due to the high number of short positions that may be liquidated if the price ticks upward.
$ETH
As long as ETH stays above 2,400, the path of least resistance is toward the 2,500 mark. If it closes a 4h candle below 2,380, the bullish setup is invalidated.
As long as ETH stays above 2,400, the path of least resistance is toward the 2,500 mark. If it closes a 4h candle below 2,380, the bullish setup is invalidated.
$BTC Support Trap: There is a small support shelf at $76,500. If the next hour's candle closes below $77,000, expect a quick slide down to that level to test buyer conviction.
Bearish Case (High Probability): Expect a "slow bleed" or a sideways grind between $76,800 and $77,200. The volume , the current "pump" is losing steam.
Bearish Case (High Probability): Expect a "slow bleed" or a sideways grind between $76,800 and $77,200. The volume , the current "pump" is losing steam.
$BTC
The 4-hour chart suggests a deeper correction is coming before the next leg up.
• Prediction: BTC will likely spend the next 4–12 hours "bleeding" or consolidating. A retest of the $75,800 – $76,200 zone is very probable to "reset" the indicators.
• The Trap: Avoid "longing" the small bounces on the 1-hour chart right now. On a 4-hour scale, those are often just "bull traps" before another drop.
Strategy Note: If you are looking for a long entry, the $75,500 area (near the 4h MA-25) would be a much safer "value" buy than entering here at $77k. #NFA
The 4-hour chart suggests a deeper correction is coming before the next leg up.
• Prediction: BTC will likely spend the next 4–12 hours "bleeding" or consolidating. A retest of the $75,800 – $76,200 zone is very probable to "reset" the indicators.
• The Trap: Avoid "longing" the small bounces on the 1-hour chart right now. On a 4-hour scale, those are often just "bull traps" before another drop.
Strategy Note: If you are looking for a long entry, the $75,500 area (near the 4h MA-25) would be a much safer "value" buy than entering here at $77k. #NFA
$BTC Outlook for the Next Hour
• Probable Move: A slow bleed toward the $76,500 – $76,800 range.
• Bearish Scenario: If it breaks 77,000 with high volume, it will likely drop quickly toward $75,800.
• Bullish Scenario: To flip back to positive, BTC needs to close a 1-hour candle back above $77,500. Right now, that looks unlikely without a fresh news catalyst.
• Probable Move: A slow bleed toward the $76,500 – $76,800 range.
• Bearish Scenario: If it breaks 77,000 with high volume, it will likely drop quickly toward $75,800.
• Bullish Scenario: To flip back to positive, BTC needs to close a 1-hour candle back above $77,500. Right now, that looks unlikely without a fresh news catalyst.
The 4-hour candle has officially turned red and is pushing downward. This confirms that the long wick we saw at $78,300 was a strong "rejection." Traders are selling to lock in their profits, and there isn't enough new buying volume to push it back up right now.
$BTC
$BTC
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