Crypto markets move in cycles periods of rapid growth followed by deep corrections. In early 2026, sentiment feels bearish: Bitcoin sits near $69K after pulling back from 2025 highs, while major altcoins like Solana (SOL) and are down roughly 40–45% year-to-date. Historically, however, these pessimistic phases often set the stage for the next major rally.
XRP is particularly interesting right now. Trading around $1.40–$1.60, it remains below its 2018 ATH of $3.65 but far above the $0.20 lows seen in past downturns. The big question: Could 2026 mark a cycle turn from bear to bull?
What Are Crypto Market Cycles?
Crypto cycles typically align with Bitcoin’s four-year halving rhythm:
While we appear to be in a cooling phase, catalysts like ETF approvals, regulatory clarity, and institutional adoption can accelerate a reversal.
XRP’s 2026 Outlook
Analysts remain mixed but increasingly optimistic.
Conservative views: $2–$4 without major catalysts. Bullish scenarios: $5–$8 if ETFs, regulation, and adoption improve. Extreme upside: Higher targets depend heavily on mass institutional use.
Key drivers to watch:
Institutional inflows through potential XRP ETFs
Regulatory progress for Ripple
Expansion into real-world assets (RWAs)
A broader Bitcoin recovery
Technically, XRP appears to be defending previous breakout zones, suggesting $1.40 could act as strong support but regulatory setbacks or prolonged bearish conditions could keep it range-bound.
XRP vs. Solana: Speed vs. Stability
Solana tends to move faster due to retail hype, DeFi activity, and meme-coin ecosystems. Its cycles are explosive but volatile.
SOL: High-beta asset that often rebounds quickly.
XRP: Slower mover with stronger institutional narratives.
If alt season returns, may surge first, but XRP could deliver steadier, more sustainable gains.
XRP vs. Bitcoin: Following the Market Leader
Bitcoin still dictates macro direction. Historically, alts rally after BTC strengthens.
A BTC push toward new highs could lift XRP into the $4–$8 range.
Unlike Bitcoin’s scarcity-driven growth, XRP’s upside relies more on adoption and utility.
Expect higher volatility but also larger percentage moves.
In Conclusion:
Market cycles reward patience. While sentiment is uncertain, consolidation often comes before expansion. The edge belongs to investors who stay informed and think long-term because the biggest moves usually begin when conviction is quiet.
$BTC will likely give one more convincing fake move before this downtrend is truly over.
We could see a sharp rally maybe reclaiming $75K for a few days or even a flush lower followed by a strong bounce into the $60K range. Either way, timelines will scream “bottom is in” and “bears are done.”
But that doesn’t make it the bottom.
That’s how ranges work in a downtrend. A strong deviation pulls sidelined buyers back in, forces shorts to close, and reloads liquidity for the next leg.
The key is what happens after. If it’s real, pullbacks come on lighter volume and higher lows start forming. If it’s a trap, momentum fades fast and price rolls over within days.
We’re not there yet. But when it happens, that’s when most people get it wrong. Be ready. #StrategyBTCPurchase
$HOLO just broke out of a clean horizontal channel after weeks of compression between 0.052 and 0.065. The move came with strong volume expansion, and price is now holding above the breakout level.
Ideally, you don't want to chase this candle. The better long entry is on a controlled pullback into the 0.064–0.065 zone where prior resistance should flip to support. If that retest holds, the measured move based on range height points to 0.075–0.078.
Invalidation comes with a close back inside the range, especially below 0.062. Above the breakout, the structure shifts from consolidation to expansion. #TrumpStateoftheUnion
$BNB /BTC just pulled a classic fakeout. It was forming an ascending triangle on the 4H, but instead of breaking cleanly, it faked upside, showed bearish divergence, and dropped right back into the range.
Now it's back below the triangle and losing the 50 SMA. Trendline support is broken, and RSI closed under 50 momentum has clearly flipped.
This weakness is now showing up on the BNB/USDT 8H chart. Volume is picking up to the downside, structure is breaking down, and we've lost the Point of Control.
We might see short-term retests of 610–614, but unless the $BTC pair regains strength, those are likely just dead cat bounces. If this continues, $530 is the target. #StrategyBTCPurchase
$HYPE has been showing relative weakness over the last couple of days, even in a market that’s already been struggling.
The $28 level was always a key line in the sand we’ve pointed it out multiple times. Once that broke, the selling accelerated quickly. Now it looks like the next leg lower could take us toward the $23 area.
If price can convincingly reclaim $28.50, that would neutralize the bearish setup and suggest some stability. A move above $30.50 would flip the structure entirely and signal a shift back toward upside momentum.
All in all, another clean short setup that played out well. #TrumpNewTariffs
$ETH is at a bit of a crossroads right now. If we see a sustained move below $1,832, that’d be the first real sign of weakness a signal that the current structure is losing its footing. From there, the next major level to watch would be $1,600.
That said, it’s not all downside just yet. As long as price holds above $1,755, there’s still a constructive bullish pattern in play.
That level is the line in the sand break it, and the setup starts to unwind. Hold it, and ETH could still have room to build upward momentum. #VitalikSells
$BTC stuck in a bit of a standstill, but the liquidation data is starting to tell a pretty clear story. Shorts are growing increasingly bold there’s nearly $1 billion in short liquidation clusters stacked between $72K and $82K. That’s a huge pool of liquidity waiting to be tapped if momentum shifts.
To trigger that kind of squeeze and kick off a meaningful relief rally, bulls would need to push prices up roughly 15% a tall order in a market that’s barely been able to sustain a bounce for two days straight.
On the flip side, there’s a dense layer of long liquidations just beneath current price levels. And that’s looking like the easier target right now. Price seems to be drifting toward that zone, slowly wiping out the low-hanging fruit on the downside.
The concern is that every time those downside clusters get cleared, it makes the eventual climb back up that much heavier. And if we can’t reclaim $66K, it’s only a matter of time before that long liquidity gets taken out too. #StrategyBTCPurchase
$SOL been holding steady today, not seeing much action.
Even in a more optimistic setup, we could still see it dip slightly before any real upward movement takes shape. That said, the bigger picture still allows for a bit of consolidation $72 remains the key level to hold.
A clear break above $84.63 is what we’d need to see for bulls to really regain control. #TokenizedRealEstate
$SOL has finally tapped into that Fibonacci support zone we’ve been watching on the daily chart for a while now. Since November, the idea was that price was in a wave 4 correction, which would eventually lead to a drop toward $81.50 and that target for wave C has more or less been hit.
Looking at the bigger picture, there are two main paths from here. In the orange scenario, the drop from the 2025 high completes an ABC structure as a larger wave (iv). In the white scenario, this is just wave A of a more extended correction. Right now, the white count feels slightly more plausible. If that plays out, we could see a bounce from current levels, maybe even a grind back toward $150 over the coming months. That said, we’re not calling a bottom just yet.
On the lower timeframe, the initial move up from the February low only printed three waves so no real impulsive strength yet. There’s potential for a 1–2 setup to form, but it still needs confirmation. If we start seeing clean breaks above $88, and then $91.30, that would be the first real sign that momentum is starting to shift in favor of the bulls.
$BTC Everyone started calling the bottom after that big volume sell-off at $60K.
But that's not how bottoms work.
A selling climax stops the bleeding. That's it. It doesn't reverse anything it actually tells you how strong the downtrend is.
After the flush, you still need: • The bounce • The retest • Months of range building • The shakeout that kills the last sellers • Confirmation that buyers actually have control
That's five phases. Most take months. We haven't even started the first one.
Look what happened after the climax. Price bounced into a $66-71K range. Volume never dried up it actually increased inside the range.
That's not accumulation. In a real bottom, volume decreases as the range develops because sellers lose interest. Here, sellers stayed active the whole time.
Big volume at the bottom means one thing: the move stopped. Not that it reversed. Massive difference. Most people have no idea #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
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During fight week, timing matters. Getting structured information early can make a difference before odds shift and narratives change. It’s less about hype and more about having a clearer view of both the matchup and the market.
If crypto is going to mature, tools that offer practical utility will matter more than noise. BeeOS positions itself in that direction by focusing on data, organization, and decision support rather than speculation. #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
$SOL is currently at a make-or-break point for its short-term structure.
The critical level to watch on the downside is 61.64; as long as that holds, the current upward momentum remains valid.
For the bullish scenario to play out, we need to see support established at $68.02. Holding that line would likely pave the way for a standard three-wave (ABC) recovery rally. #TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC price action remains locked in the white channel for now, but the path forward depends on one key level. A sustained break above the $68,304–$69,867 resistance zone is needed to give the upside any real credibility. Without it, we're simply watching the market consolidate.
Thursday delivered a small but clean 5-wave advance, which we can label as wave 1 in the current structure. That move found support at the $66,190–$69,946 zone, and as long as prices hold there, the 1-2 setup remains valid.
The pullback that followed has only produced three waves down so far, suggesting it's corrective rather than the start of a new downtrend.
If $66,190 breaks decisively, focus shifts to the $62,592–$64,535 region, increasing the odds of a deeper retrace. For now, the priority is watching for impulsive strength above resistance to confirm the next leg up. #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
Current readings show that fear among investors is now matching the intensity we saw during two of the worst crises in recent memory: the collapse of FTX and the global market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
$ZEC is currently sitting at a make-or-break level for any chance of continuing its uptrend. After hitting resistance around $320, it’s perfectly followed the lower-high roadmap we’ve been tracking.
If it manages to break through that overhead, it would trigger a clean two-level filter setup clearing both the descending trendline and the $320 resistance. That would create a legitimate long opportunity.
You could consider taking an aggressive entry near this level with a stop just below the breakout zone. It allows for tighter risk management, though it’s not without its downsides namely that price is still trading below the 200 SMA, which acts as a key trend filter.
If it loses support at the breakout level instead, we’re likely looking at a retrace back into the $200–$230 range before any further downside.
Either way, momentum is expected to cool off until we see a proper consolidation phase take shape on the chart.#TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC is bouncing right off the support zone and that descending trendline overhead this could be the low of wave-2 forming.
A clean break above the wave-1 high at $68,335, ideally backed by volume and some real support, would be the first real sign that wave-3 is already in motion.
For the bullish scenario to stay on track, price needs to reclaim and hold above $70,969. That’s still the major resistance to beat. #BTCMiningDifficultyIncrease
$YGG just caught a real bid broke out sharply from 0.038 and ran all the way up to 0.0522 on solid volume. Momentum is clearly leaning bullish here.
If you're looking at entries, the 0.049 to 0.051 zone is the area to watch. Stop loss just below 0.046 to manage risk. First take-profit target at 0.055, then 0.058, and if it really extends, 0.062 is in play.
As long as price holds above 0.048, the structure stays intact and upside remains the path of least resistance.
That said, this isn't a chase. Wait for a clean pullback before jumping in. #TokenizedRealEstate
$ETH is currently hovering in a technically pivotal zone after that big liquidation washout which definitely grabs attention, but it doesn’t automatically mean we’re turning bullish.
The rebound off last week’s low still has that corrective feel to it. There’s no impulsive energy, no real shift in structure yet. Nothing so far suggests a solid bottom has formed.
On top of that, Ethereum continues to lag behind Bitcoin. The ETH/ BTC pair is sliding, which signals underlying weakness. In stronger market environments, ETH typically leads the charge but right now it’s playing catch-up.
Even if we see a more sustained bounce from these levels, the initial read would be a B-wave rally. And B-waves can be deceptive. They can look aggressive, convincing, and full of momentum only to reverse sharply once they’ve trapped the latecomers. They’re great at creating the illusion that a new uptrend is starting, just before the larger downtrend resumes.
Until we see a clean five-wave move up, or at the very least a confirmed break above the weekend high, the orange scenario (with more downside ahead) still looks more likely.
So for now, there’s no confirmation. Just watching the micro structure closely it’s the only place where clues will show up first. #ETHTrendAnalysis