GRAM Nears $2 After a 25% Rally — Breakout or Correction Ahead?
$GRAM has gained more than 25% over the past 3–4 days, fueled by one of the biggest narratives in the Telegram ecosystem. What's driving the rally?
⚪️Official rebrand from Toncoin back to Gram under the "Make TON Great Again" roadmap.
⚪️Telegram taking a leading validator role alongside major network upgrades, including Catchain 2.0 for faster transactions and lower fees.
⚪️Community approval (~81%) with no token swap required, ensuring a seamless transition.
⚪️Renewed optimism around deeper integration with Telegram's massive user base.
From a technical perspective, however, GRAM is approaching a critical decision zone.
Price is trading near the upper boundary of an ascending channel, the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) ($1.86–$2.00), and the key psychological $2.00 resistance.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, GRAM appears to be completing Wave 5, while the broader one-month structure could represent a ZigZag (ABC) correction.
After such a strong rally, I believe the probability of a short-term pullback is increasing. My initial downside target is around $1.72, and if selling pressure strengthens, the next major liquidity zone lies around the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage ($1.58–$1.63).
A decisive breakout above $2.00, supported by strong volume, would invalidate this bearish outlook.
Do you think GRAM can finally break above $2, or is another correction more likely?
HMSTR Rallies +200% — Recovery or Another Bull Trap?
HMSTR Rallies 200% — Recovery or Another Bull Trap?🐭 After hitting its all-time low (~$0.000120) on June 5, $HMSTR has staged an impressive 200%+ rebound, attracting renewed attention across the crypto market. What fueled the rally? 🟢Hamster DAO launched, giving holders real governance rights and helping restore community confidence. 🟢2026 FIFA World Cup marketing campaign boosted visibility and renewed interest. 🟢Trading volume surged dramatically, signaling fresh capital entering the market. Despite the strong recovery, the technical picture remains uncertain. On the daily timeframe, HMSTR has already produced two bull traps above resistance in the past, both followed by sharp declines. Now, after a 200% rally, price is once again approaching the key $0.0005 resistance level. From my perspective, this level is unlikely to break on the first attempt. Combined with my broader bearish outlook on the crypto market, the probability of another rejection—and potentially a third bull trap—appears relatively high. A confirmed breakout above $0.0005 with strong volume would invalidate this bearish scenario. Until then, caution is warranted. Do you think HMSTR is preparing for a sustainable recovery, or is another bull trap about to unfold? #HamsterKombat
Bitcoin Breakout or Bull Trap? Weekend Volume Raises a Red Flag
$BTC is trading above the $60,750–$62,000 resistance zone, but the breakout lacks convincing volume. With the U.S. Independence Day weekend and typically lower weekend liquidity, the risk of a fake breakout is significantly higher.
Price is now approaching a major confluence of resistance, including:
Resistance zone: $63,720–$64,750
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): $62,400–$62,960 200
SMA (4H)
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $63,120–$63,500
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing Wave 4, which may be forming a Double Three (WXY) correction.
There are also multiple warning signs:
Bearish divergence between price and volume Regular Bearish
Divergence (RD-) on momentum indicators
Weak buying participation despite higher prices
From a macro perspective, a potential S&P 500 pullback, combined with a stronger $DXY and rising U.S. 10-Year Treasury yields, could add pressure to Bitcoin in the coming sessions.
I expect Bitcoin to struggle near current resistance. Unless buyers return with stronger volume, a rejection remains the higher-probability scenario, with an initial downside target around the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage ($60,700–$60,960).If selling accelerates, the next liquidity zone sits around $57,700–$58,300.
Do you think this breakout is sustainable, or is Bitcoin setting up for another correction?
Pejmanzwin
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ကျရိပ်ရှိသည်
🚨 Is $BTC Walking Into a Bull Trap?
Following today's stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, both $XAU and the S&P500 initially moved higher. Since Bitcoin remains positively correlated with these markets, BTC also gained bullish momentum.
But the real question is:
Can Bitcoin break above $63,500, or is this simply a bull trap before another decline?
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is approaching a major confluence of resistance:
📍 Resistance Zone: $60,750–$62,000
📍 Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): $61,880–$62,760
📍 Cumulative Short Liquidation Area: $62,400–$63,100
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin may be completing Wave 5 with an Ending Expanding Diagonal—a pattern that often signals the final stage of an uptrend before a reversal. My Outlook
Unless buyers can secure a decisive breakout above $63,500, I expect Bitcoin to face rejection and begin another downward move.
🎯 Target 1: $60,180
🎯 Target 2: $58,300–$57,700 (Cumulative Long Liquidation Area)
🎯 Target 3: $56,600–$48,000 (Major Support Zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: $63,523
Another factor worth watching is SPX. If today's rebound develops into a broader correction, it could add further downside pressure to $BTC.
Do you think Bitcoin can finally break above $63,500, or is another correction about to begin?
As expected, GALA started to decline after entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage zone and even broke below its key support zone($0.002470–$0.002390).
It's impossible to capture every dollar the market offers. The goal is to consistently take high-probability trades, not to catch every last move.
GALA Approaches a Key Resistance – Is a Pullback Next?
$GALA has gained strong momentum over the past 24 hours, supported by improving sentiment across the crypto and GameFi sectors. However, there hasn't been any major fundamental announcement behind today's move.
Technically, the price is now approaching a major resistance zone and a cumulative short liquidation area, where selling pressure could increase.
📉 A short-term pullback of around 5% toward the support zone would be a healthy scenario before any attempt to continue higher.
Key Levels
🔴 Resistance zone: $0.002820–$0.002662
🟢 Support zone: $0.002470–$0.002390
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.002636–$0.002602
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $0.002500–$0.002457
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $0.002280–$0.002190
Do you think GALA will break above resistance, or is a correction more likely first? 👇
GALA Approaches a Key Resistance – Is a Pullback Next?
$GALA has gained strong momentum over the past 24 hours, supported by improving sentiment across the crypto and GameFi sectors. However, there hasn't been any major fundamental announcement behind today's move.
Technically, the price is now approaching a major resistance zone and a cumulative short liquidation area, where selling pressure could increase.
📉 A short-term pullback of around 5% toward the support zone would be a healthy scenario before any attempt to continue higher.
Key Levels
🔴 Resistance zone: $0.002820–$0.002662
🟢 Support zone: $0.002470–$0.002390
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.002636–$0.002602
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $0.002500–$0.002457
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $0.002280–$0.002190
Do you think GALA will break above resistance, or is a correction more likely first? 👇
🚨 ARPA Just Pumped 60%… But Is the Rally Already Running Out of Steam?
$ARPA surged 50–60% in a single day, driven mainly by a short squeeze, deeply negative funding rates, rising Open Interest, and explosive trading volume—not by any major fundamental announcement.
Technically, price has now reached a strong resistance zone and sits below key cumulative short liquidation levels, where profit-taking pressure could increase.
📉 A short-term pullback of around 20% toward the support zone would be a healthy scenario before any potential continuation higher. Key Levels
🔴 Resistance zone: $0.0134-0.0111
🟢 Support zone: $0.00086-$0.0072
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.0133-0.0131
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.0122-0.0115
Do you think ARPA will break through resistance, or is a correction more likely first? 👇
Gold at a Critical Reversal Zone – Is a Pullback Coming?
$XAUT is trading near a major resistance area ($4,191–$4,274), the psychological $4,200 level, and a strong Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the price appears to be completing sub-wave 5 of wave C within a Zigzag correction (ABC / 5-3-5).
Adding to the bearish case, a Regular Bearish Divergence (RD-) has formed between the latest two highs, while price and volume are also diverging, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
I expect Gold to decline toward $4,129 in the coming hours. If the $4,122–$4,091 support zone breaks, the correction could extend further.
A strengthening DXY and rising US10 yield may continue to pressure Gold and limit further upside.
🎯 Target: $4,129
🛑Stop Loss: $4,224
Do you expect $XAU to hold above $4,200, or is a deeper correction about to begin?
The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10) is approaching one of the most important technical zones on the daily chart. Since bond yields often influence global liquidity, their next move could have a significant impact on $BTC , $ETH , $XAU , and the S&P 500. Technical Outlook US10Y is currently trading inside a strong support zone between 4.10% and 4.24%, where a fake breakdown has formed. Historically, fake breakdowns are often followed by strong moves in the opposite direction, increasing the probability of a bullish reversal. In addition, the chart shows a Falling Wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish continuation setup. If the upper trendline is confirmed as broken, Elliott Wave analysis also supports the beginning of a new impulsive wave. Target 🎯 Resistance Zone: 4.50%–4.64% 🛑 Invalidation Level (SL): 4.35% Why Does US10Y Matter? A rising 10-Year Treasury Yield usually tightens financial conditions and reduces market liquidity. This often creates pressure on risk assets, including: BTC and the broader crypto marketETH and major altcoinsXAUUSD (Gold)SPX (S&P 500) If yields continue climbing, investors may rotate capital toward fixed-income assets, reducing demand for higher-risk investments. What Could Drive the Next Move? The upcoming FOMC meeting on July 29, along with new U.S. economic data and future comments from Warsh, could become key catalysts for Treasury yields and determine the next major trend across financial markets. Bottom Line As long as US10Y holds above the current support area, I expect the yield to continue moving toward the 4.50%–4.64% resistance zone. If that scenario plays out, risk assets such as Bitcoin, Gold, and U.S. equities may experience additional downside pressure. Do you think US10Y will continue higher, or is a reversal more likely? How could that affect BTC and the broader crypto market? #BitcoinReboundsAbove$61K
Following today's stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, both $XAU and the S&P500 initially moved higher. Since Bitcoin remains positively correlated with these markets, BTC also gained bullish momentum.
But the real question is:
Can Bitcoin break above $63,500, or is this simply a bull trap before another decline?
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is approaching a major confluence of resistance:
📍 Resistance Zone: $60,750–$62,000
📍 Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): $61,880–$62,760
📍 Cumulative Short Liquidation Area: $62,400–$63,100
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin may be completing Wave 5 with an Ending Expanding Diagonal—a pattern that often signals the final stage of an uptrend before a reversal. My Outlook
Unless buyers can secure a decisive breakout above $63,500, I expect Bitcoin to face rejection and begin another downward move.
🎯 Target 1: $60,180
🎯 Target 2: $58,300–$57,700 (Cumulative Long Liquidation Area)
🎯 Target 3: $56,600–$48,000 (Major Support Zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: $63,523
Another factor worth watching is SPX. If today's rebound develops into a broader correction, it could add further downside pressure to $BTC .
Do you think Bitcoin can finally break above $63,500, or is another correction about to begin?