CRYPTO BDx

The current 4-hour chart of Bitcoin against USDT, sourced from Binance and visualized on TradingView, presents a compelling case for a potential bearish continuation after a strong bullish trend.
Market Structure Overview
Bitcoin had been maintaining a clear uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action indicates a slowdown in bullish momentum. The market has entered a consolidation phase just below a key resistance zone, suggesting possible distribution.
A noticeable shift in structure is emerging, where the formation of lower highs signals weakening buyer strength.

Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone (Supply Area):
$77,400 – $78,200
This region has acted as a strong resistance, with multiple rejections indicating heavy selling pressure.
Support Levels:
$74,000 – Immediate support$71,000 – Mid-level support$62,000 – Major demand zone

Trendline Breakdown
An ascending trendline that supported the bullish move has either been broken or is on the verge of breaking. This is a critical signal, as trendline breaks often indicate a shift in momentum and potential trend reversal.

Bearish Scenario
If Bitcoin fails to break above the $77K–$78K resistance and gets rejected again, followed by a confirmed breakdown below $74K, the market could enter a strong bearish phase.
Projected downside targets:
$71K$68K$64K$62K
The projected path suggests a classic liquidity sweep followed by a distribution breakdown, often seen before significant market drops.

Bullish Invalidation
The bearish outlook becomes invalid if Bitcoin successfully breaks and holds above the $78K level. A confirmed breakout with support retest could lead to continued bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price beyond $80K.

Trade Bias and Strategy
Current Bias: BearishIdeal Entry Zone: $77K–$78K (on rejection)Stop Loss: Above $78.5KTargets: $74K → $71K → $62K

Final Thoughts
This setup reflects a typical transition from bullish to bearish conditions, where smart money may already be offloading positions. Traders should remain cautious, prioritize risk management, and wait for confirmation before entering positions.
#BTC $BTC

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