🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has rejected Iran's offer to open Hormuz and deal with nukes later
- CENTCOM has prepared a "short and powerful" strike plan targeting Iranian infrastructure - After the strikes, the U.S. would push Iran back to the table for nuclear talks - Trump sees the blockade as "somewhat more effective than the bombing" - "They are choking like a stuffed pig. And it is going to be worse for them" - Iran's oil storage and pipelines "are getting close to exploding," Trump claims - Iran warns the blockade "will soon be met with practical and unprecedented action"
Trump has not yet ordered military action as of Tuesday night.
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's proposal got rejected. Now they're writing a new one.
Here is what's actually happening.
Iran sent a proposal over the weekend through Pakistani mediators. The offer: end the war first, nuclear program talks come later. Trump said no.
So Araghchi flew to Russia, consulted Moscow, then headed back to Tehran. He's now sitting with regime leadership trying to figure out what to offer next.
The problem is getting everyone on the same page is slow. Supreme Leader Khamenei's location is being kept secret, which makes communication harder than it sounds.
Meanwhile Trump posted on social media today saying Iran told the U.S. it is "in a State of Collapse" and wants Hormuz open as "they try to figure out their leadership."
Pakistan's mediators expect a revised proposal within days. But everything depends on one thing: whether Iran comes back with something Washington can actually say yes to.
The ball is in Tehran's court. The court is on fire.
🇦🇪 Oil has started to slide immediately following the UAE's OPEC exit announcement.
The market’s reaction is logical: • Outside OPEC constraints, the UAE has greater flexibility to raise output • That expectation alone puts downward pressure on prices • A positive signal for oil-importing economies and consumers facing elevated energy costs