Sameer Shah

The market has been in a consolidation or accumulation phase throughout much of 2025, characterized by choppy price action, sector rotations, and deleveraging after earlier highs. Total market cap has shown bullish divergences on weekly charts, with higher highs in price despite lower momentum lows, suggesting potential for a breakout above key resistances like descending trendlines.
Factors that could spark upward momentum by year-end include the anticipated end of quantitative tightening (QT) around December, confirmed 25 basis point rate cuts, and early signs of liquidity injections from the Federal Reserve. If Bitcoin holds supports around $74K–$86K and breaks above $93K, it could lead to a push toward $110K–$126K, signaling broader altcoin rotation and reduced Bitcoin dominance.
However, risks like persistent inflation, a strong U.S. dollar, or equity market corrections (e.g., AI bubble pops) could delay this, keeping things range-bound. Retail participation remains low, and social sentiment is far from euphoric, which historically precedes major rallies rather than tops.
Stronger Momentum in 2026
Many analysts view 2026 as the "supercycle" year or the true peak of this extended bull market, potentially lasting into Q2 or mid-year before topping out. The cycle appears to have shifted from a traditional 4-year pattern to 4.5–5 years, with Bitcoin expected to break its four-year cycle and set new all-time highs amid reduced volatility compared to past peaks.
Key catalysts include the return of quantitative easing (QE) in early 2026, further rate easing, recovering PMI (purchasing managers' index), and massive institutional inflows as liquidity floods back into risk assets. Stablecoins are projected to go mainstream for payments, tokenization to drive adoption, and innovations like origination (beyond just tokenization) to boost growth.
Price targets from various sources are optimistic: Bitcoin could reach $200K–$250K (or even $1M in extreme scenarios), Ethereum $10K–$100K, Solana $1K, with total market cap exceeding $4T by end-of-year. This assumes a reacceleration of the U.S. economy, central bank support, and hedges like gold flowing into crypto.
Broader themes for 2026 include mainstream adoption of prediction markets, DeFi infrastructure, and infoFi, with ETFs continuing to absorb supply and retail FOMO returning once trends solidify.
Keep in mind, these are speculative forecasts—crypto is highly volatile, and external shocks (e.g., regulatory changes or geopolitical events) could alter trajectories. Monitoring on-chain metrics like stablecoin supply, ETF flows, and volume patterns will be key to spotting early signs of momentum.

YOU ARE WATCHING THE BIGGEST MARKET MANIPULATION OF 2025 IN REAL-TIME. 🚨
THEY CREATED THE FUD TO BUY THE EXACT BAGS YOU JUST SOLD.
THE TIMELINE THEY DON'T WANT YOU TO SEE: 👇
The JPMorgan and Strategy situation didn’t begin with the October crash. It goes all the way back to May.
And when you look at the dates, the whole dump starts to look intentional.
It started in May 2025, when Jim Chanos publicly announced he was Long Bitcoin but Short Strategy.
This created a specific narrative: "Support Bitcoin, but bet against the largest public holder of BTC."
Then in July 2025, JP Morgan quietly raised the margin requirement for MSTR from 50% to 95%.
For those who don't know, a rising margin requirement forces big liquidations if more collateral isn't posted. This move alone weakened MSTR weeks before any MSCI news existed.
After that, in August, JP Morgan released documents for a new structured product tied to BlackRock’s IBIT.
Even before the MSCI issue, the bank was already positioning itself to offer Bitcoin exposure, but through IBIT, not MSTR.
Then October 10th happened.
MSCI released the consultation note targeting companies holding 50%+ of their assets in digital assets.
And there’s one critical detail most people missed: MSCI was originally built inside Morgan Stanley, the same ecosystem now issuing their own Bitcoin-linked products.
4 days later, Morgan Stanley filed for an IBIT-linked structured product with the SEC.
It aligned perfectly with the narrative: BTC-heavy operating companies may not fit MSCI classification anymore, but their new financial products do.
Two weeks ago, JP Morgan followed with their own IBIT-linked product filing.
Then on November 20, JP Morgan executed two moves simultaneously:
1️⃣ Published the documents to sell their IBIT Note.
2️⃣ Resurfaced the MSCI threat against MSTR.
Now, the pattern looks very clear:

• Weaken MSTR liquidity.
• Launch Bitcoin-exposure bank products.
• Raise doubts about BTC-heavy public companies.
• Highlight the MSCI risk exactly when the market is most fragile.
• Let capital shift toward IBIT-linked products offered by big institutions.
This is not the first time this has happened.
JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and others have FUDed BTC for years. And now? They are some of the biggest institutional holders.
These institutions don't buy the blood. They create it. 🩸
If you are still panicking looking at their FUD, you will always panic sell and FOMO buy.
#BinanceSquareFamily
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