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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).
What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.
Simple, but it’s done the job for years.
Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).
Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.
But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.
Simple, but it’s done the job for years.
Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).
Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.
But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$ADA looks decent where we are seeing a good R:R setup forming on the daily timeframe, yet on smaller timeframes we are also seeing a smaller 10% upside movement to form here so that's what we are looking for. #ADAPriceAnalysis
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$ETC recently broke the local lows, which led to a clear liquidity grab. After that sweep, buyers stepped in quickly and took control, showing early signs that a reversal might be forming here.
The game plan is simple from here. We are waiting for a break of the highlighted zone, which by the time price gets there will also line up closely with the EMAs. If buyers manage to reclaim that area, the next move we look for is a continuation toward the large bullish CME gap above. #ETCPriceAnalysis
The game plan is simple from here. We are waiting for a break of the highlighted zone, which by the time price gets there will also line up closely with the EMAs. If buyers manage to reclaim that area, the next move we look for is a continuation toward the large bullish CME gap above. #ETCPriceAnalysis
$ALGO is currently trading far away from the EMAs, similar to previous moves we had before a reset. Price dipped into the local lows (doomsday dip area), and from here we’re watching for signs of a reversal to start forming.
The plan is simple: we want to see a proper MSB first. If that forms, the first target is a move back into the EMAs. Only after a clean EMA reclaim, we’ll start looking higher toward the local highs as the bigger target. #ALGOPriceAnalysis
The plan is simple: we want to see a proper MSB first. If that forms, the first target is a move back into the EMAs. Only after a clean EMA reclaim, we’ll start looking higher toward the local highs as the bigger target. #ALGOPriceAnalysis
$ETH cooked yesterday, where buyers took a strong lead and pushed the price back towards the smaller resistance zone here.
Now we are not going to hop in with any strong bullish views here, as this was a pretty random push we had during the Asian session, so we might as well see similar movement back down.
Despite that, we still look for a breakout here and we are still bullish on ETH. It is just that this push might not be the one push that will lead to further upside movement; it is more like sideways accumulation before we see any kind of breakout! #ETHPriceAnalysis
Now we are not going to hop in with any strong bullish views here, as this was a pretty random push we had during the Asian session, so we might as well see similar movement back down.
Despite that, we still look for a breakout here and we are still bullish on ETH. It is just that this push might not be the one push that will lead to further upside movement; it is more like sideways accumulation before we see any kind of breakout! #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC had another wave of liquidity sweep where buyers acted up quickly and lifted the price back above the support zone.
Buyers have shown multiple times the dominance over this zone and as we are entering the weekend market, we are expecting few things here.
Firstly, most likely we are going to see more of a sideways movement between the neckline zone and support zone or we will be seeing a breakout from the neckline zone today (with a strong push and then during weekends we will go for a retest of that neckline)—forming a bullish CME for us. #BTCPriceAnalysis
Buyers have shown multiple times the dominance over this zone and as we are entering the weekend market, we are expecting few things here.
Firstly, most likely we are going to see more of a sideways movement between the neckline zone and support zone or we will be seeing a breakout from the neckline zone today (with a strong push and then during weekends we will go for a retest of that neckline)—forming a bullish CME for us. #BTCPriceAnalysis
| This Chart Shows How We Look at BTC Halving & Market Cycles |
This chart shows how we look at $BTC halvings and market cycles. Every cycle follows a similar structure — accumulation, expansion, distribution, reaccumulation — but the way it plays out is never the same. That’s the key part most people miss.
Yes, around 539 days have already passed since the last halving, but so far what we’ve really seen is BTC printing a new ATH. And that alone does not define the start of a bull market. BTC making an ATH has happened before without a proper broad market expansion right away.
For us, the real confirmation comes from $ETH . Once ETH prints a new ATH — or at least starts hovering close to it — that’s when we can say the bull market has actually started. Only then do we expect the kind of expansion most people are waiting for, especially on alts. Until that happens, everything before it is just positioning and volatility.
We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: every bull run is different. This one is no exception. Too many people were waiting for the bull run to “just work” the same way it always did. When expectations become that obvious, markets rarely deliver in a clean way.
The most logical outcomes in that case are either delaying the bull run or aggressively taking liquidity — exactly like the recent dip that wiped out a lot of positions and shook people out. Bigger players need fuel, and that fuel comes from impatience.
So no, this doesn’t mean the bull run is cancelled. It means it’s evolving differently. BTC did its part by making a new ATH. Now the market is waiting on ETH. Once that happens, the smaller bull run most people are hoping for can finally kick off.
Until then, patience, positioning, and understanding the cycle matters more than hype.
Yes, around 539 days have already passed since the last halving, but so far what we’ve really seen is BTC printing a new ATH. And that alone does not define the start of a bull market. BTC making an ATH has happened before without a proper broad market expansion right away.
For us, the real confirmation comes from $ETH . Once ETH prints a new ATH — or at least starts hovering close to it — that’s when we can say the bull market has actually started. Only then do we expect the kind of expansion most people are waiting for, especially on alts. Until that happens, everything before it is just positioning and volatility.
We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: every bull run is different. This one is no exception. Too many people were waiting for the bull run to “just work” the same way it always did. When expectations become that obvious, markets rarely deliver in a clean way.
The most logical outcomes in that case are either delaying the bull run or aggressively taking liquidity — exactly like the recent dip that wiped out a lot of positions and shook people out. Bigger players need fuel, and that fuel comes from impatience.
So no, this doesn’t mean the bull run is cancelled. It means it’s evolving differently. BTC did its part by making a new ATH. Now the market is waiting on ETH. Once that happens, the smaller bull run most people are hoping for can finally kick off.
Until then, patience, positioning, and understanding the cycle matters more than hype.
$SUI might be forming for the 3rd time the pattern that previously has been giving us a decent upside movement.
Now the start of the pump is hard to determine, as it has always been different but the pattern remains the same. As price currently has formed some kind of supportive zone, we are expecting to see a decent breakout to form from here, which would then lead the price to upper zones.
The first target is going to be the EMAs, which, upon seeing a breakout from, will be our second confirmation where we could open another long position (until the next break of local top) #SUIPriceAnalysis
Now the start of the pump is hard to determine, as it has always been different but the pattern remains the same. As price currently has formed some kind of supportive zone, we are expecting to see a decent breakout to form from here, which would then lead the price to upper zones.
The first target is going to be the EMAs, which, upon seeing a breakout from, will be our second confirmation where we could open another long position (until the next break of local top) #SUIPriceAnalysis
$TRX has been heavily overperforming for a long time, basically just grinding higher without a proper reset. Now we’re seeing a clear breakdown of the trend that has been respected for months, with price getting rejected near the EMAs.
This looks like a healthy reset phase rather than anything else. If sellers keep control here and price stays below the broken trend and EMAs, a deeper pullback makes sense from here before any meaningful continuation later on. #TRXPriceAnalysis
This looks like a healthy reset phase rather than anything else. If sellers keep control here and price stays below the broken trend and EMAs, a deeper pullback makes sense from here before any meaningful continuation later on. #TRXPriceAnalysis
$TON is holding the local support zone well and buyers are starting to show dominance again in this area. The reaction from this zone is clean so far, which keeps the bullish idea valid.
Game plan is simple here: we’re waiting for a break of the local neckline. If that neckline gets reclaimed and accepted, this opens the door for a solid upside move from here toward the higher targets. #TONPriceAnalysis
Game plan is simple here: we’re waiting for a break of the local neckline. If that neckline gets reclaimed and accepted, this opens the door for a solid upside move from here toward the higher targets. #TONPriceAnalysis
$SHIB is still under clear pressure from sellers, with price trading below the EMAs and local structure already broken. So far there’s no real sign of buyers stepping in, and the move down looks controlled rather than impulsive.
Because of that, the more likely scenario is a continuation toward the doomsday low. That zone is where we’ll be paying attention for a potential reaction and possible reversal, but until then sellers remain in control. #SHIBPriceAnalysis
Because of that, the more likely scenario is a continuation toward the doomsday low. That zone is where we’ll be paying attention for a potential reaction and possible reversal, but until then sellers remain in control. #SHIBPriceAnalysis
$SOL just printed a strong bullish candle, and after dipping below the Doomsday low we’ve clearly shifted into accumulation. Price spent time building a base in that zone, absorbing sell pressure, and now buyers are starting to take control.
A clean break above this accumulation range would confirm continuation, with upside targets opening toward the higher resistance zone shown on the chart. #SOLPriceAnalysis
A clean break above this accumulation range would confirm continuation, with upside targets opening toward the higher resistance zone shown on the chart. #SOLPriceAnalysis
$ETH still looks weak, without any real support zones nearby.
Despite that, during those kinds of market situations, the best game plan for any trade is the DCA strategy, and that's what we would be doing here as well.
The whole red zone is a DCA zone (preferably 3 entry zones, no more). where eventually buyers have to step in with a proper breakout. All we have seen for now is a liquidity sweep to upper zones, yet it is showing that buyers are still trying to break out...just need a proper zone for it (which might be that lower support or zone near it). #ETHPriceAnalysis
Despite that, during those kinds of market situations, the best game plan for any trade is the DCA strategy, and that's what we would be doing here as well.
The whole red zone is a DCA zone (preferably 3 entry zones, no more). where eventually buyers have to step in with a proper breakout. All we have seen for now is a liquidity sweep to upper zones, yet it is showing that buyers are still trying to break out...just need a proper zone for it (which might be that lower support or zone near it). #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC established a smaller support zone, which on smaller timeframes looks like a double bottom pattern. Nothing much of a change in the view, other than we just got another potential confirmation of the upcoming reversal.
All eyes on the neckline here; upon breaking the bullish CME, it is the first target!! #BTCPriceAnalysis
All eyes on the neckline here; upon breaking the bullish CME, it is the first target!! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$XMR is still in a clean bullish structure and trading above the EMAs, with buyers keeping momentum overall. Right now price is consolidating just below the resistance zone, which also lines up with a previous liquidity area.
This kind of pause usually builds pressure. If buyers manage to push through and secure this zone, then a move into the upper liquidity sweep area becomes very likely. Until that happens, we’re simply watching how price behaves here and waiting for confirmation rather than forcing anything. #XMRPriceAnalysis
This kind of pause usually builds pressure. If buyers manage to push through and secure this zone, then a move into the upper liquidity sweep area becomes very likely. Until that happens, we’re simply watching how price behaves here and waiting for confirmation rather than forcing anything. #XMRPriceAnalysis
$BCH has formed a clear W pattern and the neckline zone is now the key level. Usually once this kind of neckline gets respected enough, price ends up trying to break it, so that’s the main thing on watch.
Right now the “breakout stage” is choppy, but that’s not a bad thing — we’re basically building a pressure zone between the neckline and the 200 EMA (stronger white line). If buyers manage to reclaim the neckline and hold above it, then we look for a clean continuation move from there. Until that happens, it’s still a wait for confirmation spot, because the 200 EMA is still capping price. #BCHPriceAnalysis
Right now the “breakout stage” is choppy, but that’s not a bad thing — we’re basically building a pressure zone between the neckline and the 200 EMA (stronger white line). If buyers manage to reclaim the neckline and hold above it, then we look for a clean continuation move from there. Until that happens, it’s still a wait for confirmation spot, because the 200 EMA is still capping price. #BCHPriceAnalysis
$ETH is still trading below that neckline zone, which we are focusing on still.
The game plan remains the same; we look for a proper breakout here and only then can a long entry be taken...meanwhile, we just wait... #ETHPriceAnalysis
The game plan remains the same; we look for a proper breakout here and only then can a long entry be taken...meanwhile, we just wait... #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC did retest the liquidity zone where the price had been rejected from there.
We still look for that zone to be tested once again, or if we see the local lows (at $85K) to be broken, this would mean a further dip towards major support.
As long as we are above it, we look for that breakout. #BTCPriceAnalysis
We still look for that zone to be tested once again, or if we see the local lows (at $85K) to be broken, this would mean a further dip towards major support.
As long as we are above it, we look for that breakout. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$LTC is forming a decent pattern here, where price is sitting near the local support zone. If all goes as planned, we might be seeing a good buy entry, so we wait! #LTCPriceAnalysis
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$AAVE had a clear trend switch earlier and since then price has been trading inside a clean bullish structure. Right now we are sitting just behind the EMAs, which is the main area to watch in the short term.
If buyers manage to break and reclaim the EMAs, then we look for continuation of the bullish trend inside the current range. As long as price holds within these borders, the game plan stays the same. #AAVEPriceAnalysis
If buyers manage to break and reclaim the EMAs, then we look for continuation of the bullish trend inside the current range. As long as price holds within these borders, the game plan stays the same. #AAVEPriceAnalysis
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