Rana Shahroz Naru

Bitcoin’s price has been under significant pressure in early 2026. After reaching a record high above $126,000 in October 2025, $BTC has seen sharp declines, trading near the $60,000-$75,000 range recently according to multiple market reports.
Key recent developments:
Price slump: Bitcoin has lost nearly half its peak value, falling to levels around $63,000–$76,000 — its weakest in over a year.
Market downturn: Broader crypto markets are also down heavily, wiping out over $500 billion in global value.
Institutional selling: Some Bitcoin ETFs have seen outflows, tightening immediate demand.
Corporate losses: Major corporate holders like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) reported huge losses tied to the slump.
Veteran investor Michael Burry has warned of deeper potential sell-offs and “sickening” effects on institutions if Bitcoin continues downward.
Analysts and models highlight risks, with worst-case scenarios suggesting further drops — even below $60,000 or down toward $50,000 levels — depending on market sentiment and macro factors.
📊 What’s Driving the Current Bitcoin Phase?
🔹 Institutional Flows & ETF Dynamics
While institutional flows initially supported Bitcoin’s rise (with over $100 billion flowing into spot ETFs over time), recent outflows and slower ETF momentum have weighed on price growth.
Some research shows that total Bitcoin ETF inflows could still exceed $100 billion by the end of 2026, suggesting structural demand remains — even amid short-term weakness.
🔹 Macro & Liquidity Environment
Macroeconomic factors — especially U.S. Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, and dollar strength — strongly influence Bitcoin’s trajectory. A hawkish rate environment tends to dampen risk assets like Bitcoin, while future rate cuts could rekindle demand.
🔹 On-Chain Supply Forces
Bitcoin’s fixed supply and accumulation by long-term holders continue to support scarcity narratives. Exchange reserves are historically low, meaning less BTC is available for active trading — a factor that could underpin future rallies if demand returns.
🔮 Price Outlook — Wide Range of Scenarios
Unlike traditional assets, Bitcoin’s outlook is highly polarized. Analysts and institutions offer a broad range of predictions for 2026:
📈 Bullish Views
Base-case optimism: Many banks and analysts forecast BTC finishing 2026 in the $120,000–$170,000 range.
Some scenarios even project $180,000–$250,000 toward year-end under strong demand.
⚖️ Moderate / Institutional-Driven
Major institutions like Standard Chartered have revised forecasts to around $150,000 for 2026, reflecting slower but steady growth driven by ETF and institutional demand.
📉 Bearish Scenarios
Continued macro pressure or institutional outflows could keep BTC between $55,000 and $85,000 or even push toward lower support around $50,000–$60,000.
What this means: The forecast isn’t a single number — it’s a range that captures different market forces and macro conditions.
🧠 What Experts & Analysts Are Watching
🔎 Key Indicators
Institutional ETF flows: Continued inflows could flip sentiment bullish.
Macro liquidity: Fed rate decisions and dollar strength matter.
Exchange reserves: Lower trading supply may fuel rallies.
Technical patterns: On-chain and chart signals suggest possible trend shifts.
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🗓 Catalysts on the Horizon
Analysts suggest watching events like:
CPI and inflation data
Fed rate announcements
ETF rebalancing flows
Large institutional allocations
These catalysts can trigger short-term volatility but also long-term direction.
🧩 Summing Up the Latest Bitcoin Scenario
Bitcoin’s 2026 narrative is one of transition:
✔️ Short-term weakness and volatility amid macro headwinds and outflows
✔️ Structural demand remains via ETFs, institutional interest, and scarcity
✔️ Wide price forecast range reflects uncertainty and diverse market forces
In many ways, Bitcoin today isn’t just a speculative play — it’s increasingly tied to institutional capital, global liquidity cycles, and macro sentiment. This makes its path less predictable in the short term, but potentially more resilient in the long run.

🔥 Atualização da Binance & CHESS (Tranchess)
A Binance anunciou que irá excluir $CHESS (Tranchess) junto com vários outros tokens (ACA, DATA, DF, GHST, NKN) da negociação à vista em 13 de fevereiro de 2026 às 03:00 UTC como parte de uma revisão periódica de ativos. Isso significa que a negociação será interrompida e a liquidez na plataforma será removida.
A exclusão geralmente exerce pressão para baixo no preço de um token porque a liquidez e a visibilidade centralizadas diminuem — os detentores costumam vender antes que os mercados fechem, e bots ou traders ativos podem ser forçados a sair.

On Tuesday, ahead of the Super Bowl, Crypto.com launched the independent prediction markets platform $OG , which offers federally regulated sports event contracts through its derivatives subsidiary. This comes as exchanges and several competitors face legal challenges from state regulators over unlicensed sports betting operations.
What happened: Launch of the new platform
According to the company's announcement, this platform will provide not only CFTC-regulated sports event contracts through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA) but also financial, political, cultural, and entertainment markets.
Kris Marszalek, co-founder and CEO of Crypto.com, stated that the prediction market business has seen a 40-fold growth on a weekly basis over the past six months. He noted, "This level of growth justifies an intensive effort through a standalone platform."
Nick Lundgren, who serves as CEO of OG while maintaining the role of Chief Legal Officer (CLO) at Crypto.com, emphasized that his company is the first in the United States to offer federally licensed sports prediction contracts. This platform plans to introduce margin trading features through the FCM license of CDNA. OG is providing rewards to early users, with the first 1 million subscribers eligible to receive up to $500.
Also read: What $10B Iran Crypto Probe Means For Stablecoins
Why it matters: State enforcement actions
This launch comes as Connecticut, Tennessee, Michigan, and Illinois issued cease and desist orders against Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Robinhood for operating without authorization in sports betting.
In Nevada, the Gaming Control Board has initiated civil enforcement actions to block event contracts from Coinbase Financial Markets. The state court issued a temporary restraining order (TRO) against Polymarket. Regulators have already begun similar actions against Kalshi, starting in March 2024.
New York Attorney General Letitia James issued a consumer alert on Sunday, warning residents of the risks posed by prediction markets. She explained that these platforms disguise simple betting as event contracts without consumer protection measures. Crypto.com is currently appealing a ruling that dismissed a request for a preliminary injunction aimed at blocking state enforcement against sports event contracts by the Nevada federal district court.
#TrumpEndsShutdown #USIranStandoff

1. Ação de Preço Atual & Configuração Técnica
• $BNB recentemente se recuperou de um forte suporte na faixa de $730–$800, mostrando sinais de pressão de compra perto de níveis-chave.
• Indicadores técnicos sugerem um momento misto — alguns modelos veem condições de sobrevenda, o que pode apoiar saltos de curto prazo, enquanto outros apontam para obstáculos de resistência perto de $810–$880.
• Uma quebra acima da resistência imediata parece necessária para a continuação altista; a falha pode levar a uma consolidação adicional.
2. Perspectiva de Médio Prazo

Ethereum (ETH) failed to maintain the $2,350 support level and fell below $2,200, with a bearish trendline forming near the major resistance zone on the hourly chart, pushing the price down to a low of $2,155.
What happened: $ETH , key support level broken down
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, continued its downward trend from the swing high of $3,040, breaking down through the support zones of $2,420 and $2,300 before forming a bottom around $2,155.
According to data, a major bearish trend line has formed at the $2,350 resistance in the ETH/USD hourly chart. The current price is trading below both this resistance and the 100-hour simple moving average (SMA).
During the retracement attempt, the price recovered to $2,250, rising to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline. However, selling pressure remains active around $2,365.
Also read: Dogecoin Rally Hits Wall At $0.1065 Level
Why it matters: Technical indicators suggest bearishness
The hourly MACD is strengthening bearish momentum in the downtrend, and the RSI is also staying below 50, indicating the possibility of continued downward pressure.
If the buying forces maintain control above $2,250, the price may test the $2,365 resistance again and attempt further increases towards $2,450. If it successfully breaks above $2,600, the next target range could be around $2,700.
Conversely, if it fails to break above $2,365, there is potential for further declines, with support levels at $2,220, $2,150, and potentially down to $2,000.
#ETH #DOGE

**Strategy Inc.** anunciou na segunda-feira que comprou 855 Bitcoins ($BTC ) usando aproximadamente $75,3 milhões durante a semana que terminou em 1º de fevereiro, de acordo com um documento apresentado à Comissão de Valores Mobiliários dos EUA (SEC). Os fundos para a compra foram levantados por meio da emissão de ações ordinárias.
A empresa anunciou que o preço médio de compra por Bitcoin, incluindo taxas, foi de $87.974.
Com esta compra, os ativos em Bitcoin da Strategy aumentaram para um total de 713.502 BTC, com um custo total de aquisição de $54,26 bilhões e um preço médio de compra por Bitcoin de $76.052.

$ZK /USDC está atualmente mostrando uma forte estrutura de alta de curto prazo após um movimento agressivo para cima. O preço está sendo negociado em torno de 0.03055 USDC, refletindo um ganho acentuado de +36% nas últimas 24 horas, o que indica claramente um renovado interesse e momento do mercado. Este rali empurrou o preço da faixa inferior próxima a 0.0198 para um pico de 0.0374, confirmando uma poderosa perna impulsiva impulsionada por forte pressão de compra. Após atingir o pico, o preço entrou em uma fase natural de correção, que é saudável e esperada após um movimento tão vertical. Importante, a correção respeitou a MA60 em torno de 0.0302, sugerindo que os compradores estão defendendo este nível e tratando-o como suporte dinâmico. A estrutura visível no gráfico mostra mínimas mais altas se formando, que é um sinal clássico de continuação de alta em vez de uma reversão de tendência. O volume também se expandiu durante o movimento para cima, validando que o rali foi apoiado por uma participação real em vez de liquidez fina. O atual resfriamento no volume implica consolidação, onde o mercado está decidindo sua próxima direção em vez de distribuir agressivamente.