We break our plan into phases, as the foundation is solid, while the details are merely a respect for market movements... there is no arguing with it.

During the past period, we had several scenarios before us, and we were close to achieving scenario D, which involved withdrawing liquidity from the 'Sheikh' area down to 61K.

This scenario meant a rapid liquidity withdrawal with limited impact on the alternatives.

But what happened is that the price found support before reaching 61K about two weeks ago.

Therefore, this number was not achieved, knowing that achieving 61K would have been a strong confirmation for the beginning of the rebound and the launch towards the main target.

As for what is below that, it is mostly just fluctuation, and as we see now:

The fluctuation is only managed by scenarios.

⸻

Scenario C

This scenario had three possibilities, one of which was a clear main target:

Reaching 81,755 ⏰ (in progress)

And what has been achieved during this phase:

• Achieving the last recommendations' targets ✅

• Exploiting short-term movement ❌ (not exploited)

Meaning that the opportunity was there, but we did not benefit from the short movement at that time.

Thus, we have understood the first station of the second phase.

Phase three ⤵

⸻

Now we have two main scenarios

Scenario E

We have two clear areas in the market:

• 74,000 → upper accumulation area

• 69,745 → lower accumulation area

And this gives us two possibilities:

1️⃣ As long as the price moves between the two areas

Thus, reaching the main target of 81,755 remains a viable possibility...

But the movement to reach it will be a journey filled with fluctuation.

2️⃣ If the area of 69,745 is broken down

Thus, the closest scenario becomes visiting 61K to complete the liquidity pull.

⸻

Scenario F

If we assume that the market is moving according to pure technical analysis:

Thus, the area of 64,880 is considered an important support

It could push the price strongly towards 71,300.

But it should be noted that:

71,300 foggy area for the average trader

Neither a clear support nor a confirmed resistance, and is often used to deceive excitement.

⸻

Note on the larger frame

My analysis on the larger frames has not changed.

What we see now is a temporary rebound that can be benefited from with logical results, God willing,

But the movement is not stable enough to build a long-term expectation on it.

In other words:

Even if we reach our main target of 81,755

Do not build high hopes on the continuation of sequential rises.

The 2026 trap is still a possible scenario.

⸻

Calmness and neutrality are the rulers of the situation

Do not rush to enter.

And do not cling to currencies.

Logic first.

44,000 is still within the picture before any real long-term rise.

And God knows best.

Mohammad Ghzwan