MuhammadKaxhif

Solana price has been hit hard lately, dropping from the $220 range to around $177 in just days. The sharp selloff has traders whispering about a possible crash to $40—a level that would mean a catastrophic 78% drop from here. But before jumping to that conclusion, let’s look at the bigger picture. The next few days are shaped not just by crypto sentiment but also by the macro backdrop—specifically, U.S. bank earnings season . What banks reveal about the economy will determine how much pain or relief hits the broader market, crypto included.
Solana Price Prediction: Why Bank Earnings Matter for SOL Price?
The shock announcement from President Donald Trump of a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports starting November 1 has thrown global markets into chaos. With $1.6 trillion erased from U.S. equities in just one trading session, fear has surged back into every corner of the financial system.
Investors are scrambling for safety, and that shift could cut both ways for crypto. On one hand, heightened uncertainty and a weakening dollar often push capital toward decentralized assets like Bitcoin and Solana as hedges against geopolitical instability.
On the other, if panic deepens and liquidity tightens, crypto could face collateral damage as traders rush to cover losses elsewhere. For Solana, this geopolitical shock adds a new layer of volatility—turning the question from “Will it crash?” to “How will it behave in a global risk reset?”
Bank earnings are more than corporate updates—they’re a window into the real economy. If banks report healthy lending activity, strong consumer spending, and upbeat guidance, investors will likely keep risk appetite intact. That supports equities and risk-on assets like Solana.
But if earnings reveal weakness—soft loan growth, rising defaults, or uncertainty due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown—liquidity could tighten. A risk-off shift would pressure high-beta assets, and SOL price could easily see another leg lower. The entire crypto sector has been moving in sync with macro risk trends, and this earnings season could be the catalyst for the next big move.

U.S. bank consolidation is surging — Q3 2025 logged 52 announced deals, marking the busiest quarter since 2021 and a deal value of about $16.63 billion — the largest in years. This flurry of M&A activity isn’t happening in a vacuum. It reflects growing confidence in the banking sector, fueled by easing regulatory headwinds and improved valuations. For crypto markets, this is a subtle but meaningful signal.
If banks are merging to improve scale and stability, the credit risks that often spill into risk assets may be tamped down — at least temporarily. In that sense, strong M&A momentum could act as a cushion for more aggressive downside in crypto, giving SOL price slightly more leash during macro turbulence.
Solana Price Prediction: Solana’s Chart Speaks Volumes
SOL/USD Daily Chart-TradingView
The daily chart (SOL/USD, Heikin Ashi) shows a clear bearish impulse. Solana price recently closed below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating extreme downside pressure. Historically, such moves often precede short-term relief rallies back toward the middle band—currently near $213.
Right now, SOL price trades around $177 with immediate resistance at $190–195 and heavier resistance at $205–210. If the price fails to reclaim these zones, the bears will stay in control. On the downside, $175–172 remains the critical short-term floor. Losing that opens the path toward $165, and potentially $150 if panic returns.
The Probability of a $40 Collapse
A plunge to $40 would require more than a weak earnings season. It would take a perfect storm: a macro recession, deep credit stress, and a Solana-specific crisis like a major DeFi collapse or network failure. While anything is possible, the current data doesn’t support that kind of apocalyptic drop.
Analysts expect banks to show solid performance—loan portfolios are stable, write-offs remain low, and IPO and M&A activity is picking up. If this optimism holds, liquidity will stay intact, and the worst-case crypto crash scenarios become less likely. A short-term drop to $150 or even $130 is plausible under volatility, but $40 looks far-fetched unless the macro picture truly unravels.
What the Chart Suggests for the Next Two Weeks?
If earnings come in strong, expect Solana price to bounce toward $195–210 . That’s the key reversion zone, aligning with the 20-day moving average. Reclaiming it could spark a slow grind back to $220–230, especially if Bitcoin stabilizes above $60K.
If results disappoint or the government shutdown drags on, expect pressure to resume. A daily close below $172 would confirm bearish continuation, aiming for $165 first and then $150–130 as the next major support zone. Watch for lower Bollinger Band “walks”—a sign sellers remain relentless.
Smart Trading Approach
In this kind of setup, risk management matters more than prediction. Traders can look for:
A green Heikin Ashi candle with an upper wick as the first sign of momentum shift.Reclaim of $190–195 as the trigger for short-term long entries.Stop-loss just below $182 to avoid getting trapped in false bounces.For shorts, wait for a clean breakdown below $172 with strong volume confirmation.
This disciplined approach filters out noise while capturing directional momentum.
Conclusion
So, will $Solana crash to $40? Unlikely—unless a full-blown macro crisis hits. The chart shows heavy selling but also early exhaustion signs. With bank earnings likely to show resilience, the base case points to stabilization above $172 and a rebound toward $210–220 in the near term. If macro sentiment turns risk-off, $SOL may retest $150—but not much lower without a systemic event.
The bottom line: $40 is fear talking, not fundamentals. The next few weeks will test Solana’s resilience, and the first signal will come not from crypto news, but from Wall Street’s bank earnings reports.
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Today’s Preview

Aptos (APT) will unlock 11.3 million tokens on October 12, 2025, worth approximately $48.02 million.
Bittensor (TAO) will unlock 49.44 million tokens on October 12, 2025.
Macro & Hot Topics
U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on China effective November 1, reigniting the trade war and triggering a sharp market selloff across crypto and U.S. stocks. The U.S. federal government is in its 10th day of shutdown and has begun layoffs.
State Street Bank expects institutional crypto holdings to double by 2028; Deutsche Bank predicts bitcoin could be included in global central bank reserves by 2030.
Zcash (ZEC) price surged 220% in two weeks, hitting a new record high as increased attention to privacy coins followed the reopening of Grayscale Trust and major investor commentary.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) plans to delay the implementation of new Basel crypto asset capital requirements until January 1, 2027, or later. Banks must continue to communicate with MAS on crypto asset risk exposure.
Market Updates
BTC and ETH suffered intraday plunges exceeding 10%. In the past 24 hours, over $19.2 billion in positions were liquidated, with longs being dominant. Market sentiment remains fragile.
U.S. stocks tumbled on Friday: the Dow fell nearly 900 points, the Nasdaq plunged over 3.5%, and the S&P 500 dropped more than 2.7%, all three major indexes closing lower.

3、Bitget’s BTC/USDT liquidation map shows the current price at 111,561 USDT. High-leverage long liquidations are prominent. Short-term price swings are significant; be alert for further long liquidations.

4、In the past 24 hours, BTC spot inflows were $1.28 billion, outflows at $1.445 billion, with a net outflow of $227 million.

5、in the past 24 hours, contract trading in BTC, ETH, BNB, and XRP led the pack in net outflows, suggesting potential trading opportunities.

News Highlights
The crypto industry saw over $19.1 billion in liquidations in 24 hours, with more than 1.6 million traders liquidated—the highest in the decade-long history of derivatives trading. On the Hyperliquid platform alone, liquidations reached $9.297 billion.
USDe experienced a severe depeg this morning; Ethena confirmed minting and redemptions are operating normally with assets remaining over-collateralized.
The UK has officially lifted the ban on retail investors trading crypto ETNs, allowing individuals to purchase listed crypto ETN products.
Grayscale released the latest list of crypto assets included and under consideration for future and current investment products.
Project Developments
The Pi Network hackathon is nearing its end, with new projects being released.
Binance Wallet announced its first project, offering investor opportunities.
Major banks are exploring the issuance of G7 currency-pegged stablecoins.
Grayscale's decision deadline for Solana and Litecoin trust conversions is due.
MoonBull presale launches as a new crypto project.
MAGACOIN FINANCE announced a $16 million presale milestone.
XRP ETF speculation aligns with Ethereum growth.
Monad announced its airdrop claim portal will open on October 14.
DeFi’s total value locked (TVL) in Q3 reached $237 billion, a new record high.
MetaMask launched a rewards program, with approximately $30 million LINEA tokens to be distributed in Q1.
Disclaimer: This report is AI-generated and manually fact-checked for information only. It does not constitute investment advice.

in the early hours of the morning, anyone watching the crypto markets witnessed a sea of red. It wasn't just a correction; it was a synchronized nosedive. Nearly every single altcoin, regardless of its narrative, community, or fundamentals, fell off a cliff at the exact same time. This wasn't a natural market move or a coordinated panic sell. This was a structural failure, a violent, system-wide deleveraging event that created a cascade of forced liquidations.
​The brutal price wicks you saw were not the result of investors losing faith. They were the footprints of a machine indiscriminately selling everything it could to cover bad debt. Here is a breakdown of exactly what happened and why, paradoxically, this violent flush is incredibly bullish for the market going forward.
​❍ The Setup: A Powder Keg of Altcoin-Backed Leverage
​To understand the crash, you first have to understand the setup. For months, as the bull market raged, traders on centralized exchanges (CEXs) were not just using Bitcoin or stablecoins to back their leveraged long positions. They were using their altcoin holdings, assets from every sector, including AI, DePIN, Gaming, and Memes, as collateral.
​Think of it like this: every leveraged position was a building, and the altcoin collateral was its foundation. As long as the value of the collateral remained high, the building was stable. But a huge number of these foundations were built on the same shaky ground: relatively illiquid altcoin markets. This created a hidden, systemic risk that was about to be exposed.
❍ ​The Spark: The First Wave of Liquidations
​All it took was a sharp, initial drop in a major asset like Bitcoin to light the fuse. This first move pushed the most over-leveraged and aggressive traders underwater. Their positions were no longer sufficiently collateralized, and the exchange's risk engine automatically triggered a liquidation.
​This is where the chain reaction began. The exchange didn't just sell their Bitcoin; it began force-selling the basket of altcoins they had put up as collateral.
❍ ​The Explosion: The Cross-Collateral Chain Reaction
​This is the key to understanding the simultaneous crash. When the first wave of altcoin collateral was sold, it was dumped into markets with relatively low liquidity. There simply weren't enough buyers to absorb the sudden sell pressure.
​This caused the price of those specific alts to crash violently. This initial price crash then triggered a second, more vicious wave of liquidations. Why? Because hundreds of other traders were also using those same altcoins as collateral for their own positions. As the value of their collateral plummeted, their positions were now also liquidated, forcing the exchange to sell even more of the same alts, pushing their prices down further.
​This process created a death spiral that spread like a virus from one asset to the next, nearly simultaneously across the entire exchange ecosystem. It was a massive, forced deleveraging event fueled by cross-collateralization.
❍ ​What the Data Shows Now (As of October 11, 2025)
​The real-time data in the aftermath of this event confirms the theory.
​Open Interest Has Plummeted: Open Interest (the total value of outstanding derivative contracts) on major exchanges has seen a dramatic drop. This is the footprint of leveraged positions being forcibly closed on a massive scale.
​Funding Rates Have Reset: Before the crash, funding rates for long positions were high, indicating a greedy, over-leveraged market. Today, those rates have completely reset, some even turning negative. This shows the speculative froth has been wiped clean.
​Bitcoin Dominance Spiked: During the chaos, capital fled from the carnage in altcoins to the relative safety of Bitcoin, causing a sharp spike in BTC Dominance. This is a classic sign of a deleveraging event, not a fundamental shift in market sentiment.
❍ ​The Aftermath: Why Those Lows Are a Gift
​The crucial takeaway is the difference between a "forced seller" and a "willing seller." The people who sold at those terrifyingly low prices did not want to sell. The exchange's algorithm sold for them. They are now out of the market.
​The people left holding are the s$BTC pot buyers and those with strong conviction who were not over-leveraged. They are the willing holders, and they have no intention of selling their assets at those capitulation prices. This is why we are unlikely to see those deep wick lows again. The supply from forced sellers has been exhausted.
​For anyone holding spot positions, this event was just terrifying noise. Your assets are fine. For anyone who was brave enough to buy into that cascade of liquidations, you likely secured your assets at the best prices you will see for the rest of this cycle. The market has now been cleansed, and the path forward is much clearer.

Gestionarea eficientă a lichidității implică strategii precum:

1. Diversificare: Răspândiți investițiile pe diferite active.
2. Rezervă de numerar: Mențineți fonduri lichide pentru situații de urgență.
3. Evaluarea riscurilor: Monitorizarea volatilității pieței.
4. Adaptabilitate: Ajustați strategiile pe măsură ce condițiile pieței se schimbă.