crypto_fahad125

December 19: The Overlooked Risk That Could Shake Crypto —

While traders focus on U.S. crypto regulation and political headlines, a key global risk is being widely ignored: the December 19 policy meeting of the Bank of Japan in Tokyo.

Japan plays a critical role in global liquidity. As the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, any move by Japan to raise interest rates can drain dollar liquidity worldwide. When this happens, high-risk assets—especially crypto—tend to suffer first.

Why this matters:
Past BoJ rate hikes have repeatedly triggered sharp Bitcoin sell-offs:

March 2024: BTC fell ~23%

July 2024: BTC fell ~26%

January 2025: BTC fell ~31%

The key mechanism is the yen carry trade. For years, investors borrowed cheap yen to buy higher-yielding assets like crypto. If Japanese rates rise, borrowing costs jump, forcing traders to unwind positions quickly—often by selling Bitcoin—causing sudden market drops.

Current risk factors make the market vulnerable:

Bitcoin is already trending lower from recent highs

Leverage across markets remains elevated

Retail sentiment is weak, per on-chain data

Bottom line:
December 19 is a major liquidity event, not a routine meeting. Markets appear complacent, betting the BoJ won’t act—but history suggests caution. Traders should manage leverage carefully and closely monitor developments from Tokyo, as volatility could spike fast if policy tightens.
#USBitcoinReservesSurge #WriteToEarnUpgrade #bitcoin #BTC #MarketAnalysis

Cardano ($ADA) Year-End Price History

2017: $0.72

2018: $0.04

2019: $0.03

2020: $0.18

2021: $1.30

2022: $0.25

2023: $0.60

2024: $0.78

2025: ❓❓❓

ADA has moved through clear boom-and-bust cycles over the years.
Where do you think Cardano could land in the next market cycle?
Drop your price prediction below 👇

Why Bitcoin Fell to $85,000 — Key Points

Bitcoin dropped sharply to the $85,000 level on December 15, erasing over $100 billion from the total crypto market in days. The sell-off wasn’t caused by a single event, but by several macroeconomic and market-structure pressures hitting simultaneously.

Key reasons behind the decline:

Bank of Japan Rate Hike Fears
Anticipation of a BOJ rate hike triggered global risk-off behavior. Rising Japanese rates weaken the yen carry trade, forcing investors to unwind risk assets like crypto. Historically, Bitcoin has fallen sharply during BOJ tightening cycles.

Renewed Uncertainty Around U.S. Monetary Policy
Despite recent Fed rate cuts, mixed signals and upcoming inflation and labor data reintroduced uncertainty. This reduced speculative demand just as Bitcoin approached critical technical levels.

Leverage Liquidations Accelerated the Drop
Once BTC fell below $90,000, over $200 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated. Forced selling turned a normal correction into a rapid flush lower.

Thin Weekend Liquidity Increased Volatility
The decline occurred over the weekend, when liquidity is low. Shallow order books allowed relatively small sell orders to push prices down aggressively.

Market Maker Selling Added Pressure
Reports that a major market maker sold a large amount of BTC—estimated above $1.5 billion—during thin liquidity intensified downside momentum.

What’s Next?
Bitcoin’s near-term direction will depend on macro developments. A confirmed BOJ rate hike could keep pressure on risk assets, while softer U.S. data may help BTC stabilize once liquidation selling fades. For now, the move appears to be a macro-driven reset rather than a long-term structural breakdown, though volatility is likely to remain high.

$BTC #BTC走势分析

Bitcoin Pullback Explained —

Bitcoin is down around 3% today, largely due to renewed mining restrictions in China. Authorities reportedly tightened regulations again, leading to the shutdown of major mining operations, particularly in Xinjiang, where a significant number of miners went offline.

This caused the network hashrate to drop by roughly 8%. When miners are forced offline, they lose income, face relocation or operating costs, and may sell BTC to cover expenses, creating short-term selling pressure and market uncertainty.

Importantly, this is not a long-term bearish signal. It’s a temporary supply shock driven by policy actions, not weakening demand. Historically, similar China-led crackdowns have caused brief volatility, after which the network adjusts and Bitcoin continues its broader trend.

Short-term turbulence may persist, but the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains unchanged.

#bitcoin #BitcoinSPACDeal #china #Market_Update

Updated XRP Holder Ranking: Where Do You Stand?

XRP investors are looking beyond short-term price moves and focusing on ownership to measure progress. A recently shared XRP holder ranking categorizes wallets by the amount of XRP they hold, offering a clear view of where each investor stands within the XRP ecosystem.

Rather than emphasizing market value, the ladder focuses on token quantity, highlighting how XRP is unevenly distributed. While millions of wallets exist, only a small percentage hold large balances, with whales controlling a significant share. This makes even mid-sized holdings more meaningful than many investors realize.

The ranking system is symbolic, ranging from entry-level holders to major accumulators with six-figure XRP balances. It does not imply governance power or market control, but serves as a social and psychological benchmark that encourages patience, long-term thinking, and steady accumulation.

Overall, the ladder has resonated with the community by reframing accumulation as progress, not speculation. It reminds holders that success in crypto isn’t only about price—it’s about ownership, positioning, and long-term perspective as XRP continues to evolve with increasing adoption and regulatory clarity.

Ethereum Update: ETH Stalls Below Resistance, Quiet Weekend Likely

Ethereum is trading in a tight range just below the top of its trend channel, signaling a low-volatility weekend. Given declining volume, thin liquidity, and weak impulsive structure, a major breakout appears unlikely in the near term.

Key Takeaways:

Market Conditions:
Weekend trading historically favors consolidation, especially with falling volume and year-end liquidity constraints. Current price action reflects this range-bound behavior.

Trend & Levels:
ETH remains above the channel’s midline near $2,800–$2,810 but below upper resistance. A break below this midline would raise the odds of a deeper pullback.

Potential Downside Zone:
If bearish momentum builds, the next target area lies between $2,626–$2,258.

Elliott Wave Scenarios:

Bearish (Primary): Wave 4 likely ended on Nov 21, with a possible wave 5 decline starting. Confirmation comes below $2,800.

Bullish (Alternative): Nov 21 may be a local bottom, with a developing diagonal. Confirmation requires a break above $3,245.

Weekend Range:

Support: $2,983–$3,068

Resistance: $3,156–$3,245

Outlook:
ETH is likely to remain range-bound through the weekend, with any bounce viewed as corrective rather than the start of a new trend. Increased volatility may emerge late Sunday, but consolidation remains the higher-probability scenario.

XRP Price Outlook if Ripple Secures a Banking License

As U.S. lawmakers advance the Clarity Act, debate is growing over whether Ripple would need to reduce its XRP holdings. The bill proposes that no entity closely tied to a crypto project can hold more than 20% of the total token supply for the asset to qualify as a commodity.

Key Points:

Ripple’s XRP Holdings:
Ripple currently controls over 30% of total XRP, including more than 34 billion tokens in escrow, putting it above the proposed threshold.

Possible Divestment Debate:
Analyst Brad Kimes suggests Ripple may need to cut its holdings below 20%. He even floated the idea of transferring XRP to the U.S. government without compensation to meet the requirement—though this remains speculative.

Banking License Angle:
Kimes also argues that if Ripple becomes a national bank, it could fall under a different regulatory framework, potentially eliminating the need to reduce its XRP holdings. However, regulators have not confirmed this interpretation.

Ripple’s Banking Push:
In July 2025, Ripple applied to the OCC to launch Ripple National Trust Bank and requested a Federal Reserve master account, which would allow direct access to Fed payment systems. The application is still under review.

Potential XRP Price Impact:
According to Google Gemini, securing a banking charter with direct Fed access would signal unprecedented institutional acceptance. In a highly bullish scenario, XRP could reach $50, driven by institutional adoption, expanded use of Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity, and increased demand for XRP in global settlement flows.

Bottom Line:
If Ripple secures a banking license, it could reshape regulatory treatment, boost institutional confidence, and significantly impact XRP’s long-term price potential—though much of this remains speculative until regulators provide clarity.

Key Court Statement Signals a Turning Point for $LUNC and Terra Classic

A crucial comment from yesterday’s court hearing may mark a major shift for Terra Classic ($LUNC)—and many missed it.

Judge Engelmayer drew a clear distinction, stating that while some companies are outright frauds, “this is not that case.” The court emphasized that the indictment of Do Kwon is not an indictment of the Terra company or its blockchain.

What this means:

The court acknowledged that Terra had legitimate technology and real potential.

Any wrongdoing was tied to individual actions—such as concealment, misleading communication, and abuse of power—not to the Terra Classic network itself.

The technology, blockchain, and community were not deemed fraudulent.

Why it matters:
For the first time, a U.S. federal court has openly recognized that Terra Classic can stand independently of its founder and past controversies. This distinction helps remove a long-standing shadow over the project.

Bottom Line:
With legal clarity improving, Terra Classic enters a new phase—focused on its technology and community rather than past leadership issues. For many in the LUNC ecosystem, this moment represents a reset and a potential shift in how $LUNC is viewed going forward.

Market Strategist Warns: “Do Not Touch XRP Anymore” — Here’s Why

Once seen as a top candidate for institutional adoption, XRP is now facing growing skepticism after a prominent strategist advised investors to avoid it altogether. The warning has reignited debate over XRP’s future amid weak performance and shifting market trends.

Key Concerns Behind the Warning:

Stagnant Price Performance
XRP has failed to capitalize on broader market rallies. While Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other sectors surged, XRP remained range-bound, showing low volatility, failed breakouts, and declining retail interest.

Ongoing Legal Uncertainty
Despite partial legal wins against the SEC, regulatory risks persist. Analysts note that unresolved issues keep exchanges cautious and deter institutions that require full regulatory clarity.

Lack of Market Narrative
Capital is rotating into high-growth themes such as AI, Layer-2s, memecoins, ETFs, and emerging narratives like RWA and DePIN. XRP is not leading any major trend, resulting in limited hype and slow momentum.

Declining Liquidity
Reduced trading volume increases slippage, weakens price reactions, and lowers the chance of strong breakouts—making XRP less attractive for active traders.

Bottom Line:
With muted price action, lingering regulatory concerns, fading narratives, and declining liquidity, many analysts believe XRP no longer offers compelling opportunities compared to faster-moving sectors in the current market cycle.

binance is getting bigger bigger.lots of surprises waiting for 2026.
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceBlockchainWeek #CZ #Binance

A key statement from yesterday’s court hearing has major implications for Terra Classic (LUNC). Despite LUNC trading around $0.00004698 (-10.39%), the court delivered an important clarification.

Judge Engelmayer stated clearly that while some companies—like Madoff or Theranos—were fraudulent at their core, Terra Classic is not in that category. The court recognized that Terra (Classic) had real technological potential, even calling it a “better mousetrap.”

Most importantly, the judge emphasized:
“The indictment of you (Do Kwon) is not an indictment of your company.”

This means:

The blockchain was not on trial.

The technology was not judged faulty.

The network itself was not accused of wrongdoing.

The failures were in individual actions—concealment, misleading communication, and abuse of power—not in the Terra Classic chain.

With this legal chapter closing, Terra Classic enters a new phase, free from legal uncertainty and ready to rebuild its future.

#LUNC #TerraClassic #LUNACLASSIC #Lunccommunity #blockchain

🚨 FIL Drops to $1.39 — But the Real Move Is Still Loading

Filecoin plunged to $1.39, triggering panic among traders and pressure on miners. But despite the sharp drop, FIL is quietly setting up for a major shift.

Market Update – Dec 12, 2025

FIL is trading near $1.39, slipping below the key $1.43 support.
Multiple short-selling zones are stacked from 1.397–1.407 up to 1.834–1.868, showing rising bearish pressure.
Volume is increasing, bulls are weakening, and shorts are dominating the short-term structure.

But the big question — “Is FIL finished?”
👉 Not at all.

🧠 The Real Picture: Filecoin Is Preparing a Major Move

Filecoin remains the leading decentralized storage network with strong fundamentals:

1,110+ PiB active storage

36% network utilization

Miners shifting from raw capacity → enterprise-grade, high-quality storage

🚀 The Game-Changer: Filecoin Onchain Cloud (FOC)

Launched Nov 18, FOC transforms Filecoin into a programmable cloud platform offering:

Verifiable AI data storage

Faster retrieval

On-chain automated payments

Key partners: ENS, KYVE, Monad, Safe, Akave, and more
Mainnet: Launching Jan 2026

In a world where centralized clouds crash frequently, Filecoin’s verifiable, censorship-resistant onchain cloud is exactly what the AI era demands.

📉 So Why the Crash?

Current market action suggests:

Market makers flushing out weak hands

Shorts getting overly confident

A potential bottom accumulation zone forming

📌 Outlook

Keep your longs with proper stop-losses

Manage risk — avoid emotional trading

FIL isn’t collapsing… it’s consolidating before expansion

❓ Should You Still Hold FIL?

👉 Yes.
Filecoin isn’t a memecoin — it’s core infrastructure. With upgrades like Proof of Data Possession and the arrival of Onchain Cloud, FIL is positioning itself as a foundational storage layer for AI and decentralized compute.

A strong comeback in 2026 is not just possible — it’s likely.

🚨 Important Warning for Crypto Traders

A serious issue has surfaced in the crypto community. Davinci Jeremie — once respected for promoting Bitcoin back in 2013 — is now reportedly involved in misleading and manipulative practices, causing many new traders to suffer losses.

How the Scam Works

He repeatedly launches new memecoins, promoting them as the “next big opportunity.” His reputation convinces beginners to jump in quickly, expecting huge gains.

The Reality: Pump & Dump

As buyers rush in, the price rises — and then he dumps his tokens at the top, causing the coin to crash. New investors are left holding heavy losses. This is a classic pump-and-dump scheme.

Why Traders Fall for It

Newcomers often trust influencers too easily. Popularity doesn’t guarantee honesty, and scammers use their past credibility to lure in fresh victims.

How to Protect Yourself

Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR):

Verify the project’s legitimacy

Check team transparency

Look for real utility

Avoid anyone promising “guaranteed profits” or “the next Bitcoin” — major red flags

Final Advice

Crypto offers great opportunities but also many traps. Stay cautious, stay informed, and protect your capital. Wise decisions prevent costly mistakes.

If you found this helpful, like and follow for more updates 🙂
$BTC

📉 SOL – Major Resistance & Short Setup

Trade Bias: Short
Entry Zone: 138 – 140
Stop Loss: 146
Targets:

TP1: 133

TP2: 130

TP3: 128

Technical Summary

SOL is facing strong resistance around the $140 zone, where multiple EMAs and prior supply levels converge. RSI is in overbought territory, suggesting the recent upward move is stretched and sellers are stepping in.

Execution Logic

Entry: The 138–140 range acts as a high-probability short zone as momentum slows near resistance.

Targets: 133, 130, and 128 align with nearby demand levels where buyers may re-enter.

Invalidation: A move above 146 breaks the setup, indicating bullish continuation.

🚨 Market Alert: The Federal Reserve Just Shifted the Landscape 🚨

The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 bps, sending a strong signal that a major shift in monetary policy is underway.

Key Highlights

1️⃣ Rate Cut: 25 bps

After sustained pressure, the Fed has reduced rates, making borrowing cheaper and encouraging risk-on market behavior.

2️⃣ Aim: Economic Rebound

The move is designed to stimulate a slowing U.S. economy—historically supportive for both stocks and crypto.

3️⃣ Political Influence?

With Trump pushing for lower rates in recent months, the Fed’s decision appears to align with that direction.

4️⃣ Major Policy Shift

Starting Dec 12, the Fed will inject liquidity by purchasing $40B in T-Bills each month—a strong boost to financial markets.

5️⃣ Liquidity Wave Ahead

This injection is expected to continue for several months, a scenario that often precedes crypto market rallies.

6️⃣ Inflation Still Elevated

Despite inflation remaining above target, Powell confirmed no future rate hikes are planned, reinforcing a bullish environment for risk assets.

💡 Impact on Crypto

Increased liquidity supports upward momentum

Risk assets typically rally first — crypto follows

Market sentiment may shift toward accumulation and optimism

📈 This Fed decision could be the catalyst for the next major crypto surge.

Are you leaning bullish or bearish after this move? 👀
#TrumpTariffs #BTC #Fed

BREAKING NEWS:

Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin strategy just took another hit — dropping over 5% today alone.
This adds to a much larger decline, with the overall position now down more than 61% from the July peak.

Saylor has long promoted aggressive BTC accumulation as a long-term conviction play, but the recent market pullback is putting serious pressure on that strategy. The sharp drop highlights how volatile large leveraged or concentrated Bitcoin positions can be, even for major institutional players.

Investors and analysts are now watching closely to see whether this downturn triggers more scrutiny, further accumulation, or a shift in narrative around MicroStrategy’s high-risk, high-conviction Bitcoin approach.

#USBitcoinReserveDiscussion #MichaelSaylor

$LUNC Drama Just Went NEXT LEVEL 😳

What’s happening with Do Kwon right now could become one of the biggest wake-up calls in crypto history.

Many people assume a plea deal guarantees a lighter sentence — but it doesn’t.
A judge can ignore it completely and issue a sentence based on federal guidelines.
And with a maximum penalty of up to 40 years, it shows how serious this case truly is.

This goes far beyond one person.
It’s a reminder to the entire crypto space:
If your project shakes the whole ecosystem, accountability will come.

The LUNA collapse already shocked the industry once, and this trial is proving that regulators hit hard when billions disappear.

The crypto community is tense, markets are reacting, and honestly… it feels like an even bigger twist is still coming.

#LUNC $LUNC #CryptoNews
Current price: 0.00004786 (-22.09%)

Most people don’t lose money in crypto because the market is against them — they lose because their own decisions are.

Here’s the reality:

They don’t understand when to go long or short.

They trade based on hype and social-media noise, not structure or analysis.

They chase green candles, panic at red ones, and ignore pullbacks.

They copy others’ entries without knowing why.

They overlook liquidity, demand zones, and market psychology.

This isn’t trading — it’s gambling.

Markets always hunt liquidity before major moves, but most traders enter exactly where liquidation piles up. They react to news headlines instead of understanding what the chart is actually showing.

Example:
On December 10th, I warned that BTC wouldn’t pump immediately. It would first pull back to the 90–89k demand zone — the real long entry.
This wasn’t luck. It was pure structure and liquidity analysis.

But the majority longed the top after FOMC hype, assuming “rate cut = instant pump,” and got liquidated as BTC dipped precisely into the demand area I highlighted.

PandaTraders did the opposite:
We waited.
We followed the plan.
We entered where smart money enters — not where retail FOMO buys.

Even 13 hours ago, I repeated:
“BTC is sitting at demand. Pump incoming. Prepare your longs.”

Those who listened are now sitting on huge profits by simply following disciplined execution.

This is the difference between emotional trading and strategic trading.

The market rewards:

Patience

Structure

Confirmation

Respect for liquidity

It punishes:

FOMO

Hype trading

Blind copying

Leverage without logic

If you want to be consistent in 2025 and beyond:
Stop chasing. Stop guessing. Stick to your levels.
Learn the psychology of the market — because the charts reveal the truth long before the news does.

Rate the prediction and share your profits 💸
$BTC $XRP $SOL

If she takes $1 million today, invests it into Bitcoin (or BNB), and then withdraws $1,000 per week for the rest of her life, she’d still likely end up with several million dollars remaining.
We’ll see how clear this becomes in a few years.
Assuming she lives another 100 years, she’d withdraw $5 million total (ignoring inflation). Today, Bitcoin is $90k and BNB is $865. Let’s see how this plays out.

#BTC #bnb #CZ

**$LUNC — Market Under Pressure Amid Do Kwon Sentencing Risks 📉**

LUNC’s latest drop comes as uncertainty grows around Do Kwon’s legal situation. Even with a potential plea deal, judges aren’t required to accept it — and the fact he could face **up to 40 years** highlights the severity of the case.

For traders, this adds a layer of **headline risk** and renewed fear around the Terra/$LUNA collapse, which is clearly weighing on market sentiment.

**Market Snapshot:**
📉 **LUNC Spot:** 0.00005259 (-13.43%)
📉 **LUNC Perp:** 0.05239 (-13.67%)

Until legal clarity improves, volatility and downward pressure may continue as the market reassesses long-term confidence.