[US Stocks | 6.15 Pre-Market] Peace Deal Drops, Futures Surge, Oil Prices Hit Three-Month Lows

This weekend, the market got some heavy news: the US and Iran have officially confirmed a ceasefire agreement, and Trump announced authorization to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Supply disruption fears have suddenly decreased, and on Monday, US stock futures jumped—S&P 500 futures rose about 1%, and Nasdaq futures climbed around 1.6%; the three major indices (Dow 51202, S&P 7431, Nasdaq 25889) that just closed higher last Friday are expected to maintain the upward momentum and open strong.

Oil prices are the biggest wild card in this "peace trade": Brent crude fell below $84, and WTI took a nearly 5% nosedive to around $81, hitting three-month lows. The drop in oil prices alleviates inflation pressure and adds some imagination space for this week's FOMC meeting.

However, amidst the excitement, there are still variables: the 6.16-17 FOMC is coming up, marking the first meeting under Waller's leadership, where maintaining interest rates is nearly a given; the dot plot and wording will be the real game changers; whether oil prices can stabilize after the sharp drop and the sustainability of risk capital flowing back into risky assets will need time to verify.

Points of Interest:
· After a high open, can futures hold their ground? Watch for "good news profit-taking".
· Will the March lows in oil prices drag down the energy sector?
· Can the chip stocks NVDA and AVGO, which faced setbacks last week, rebound on this momentum?
· June 19 is Juneteenth, with only four trading days this week.

Tip: Good news often comes with heightened emotions; watch your rhythm and control your position size—chasing highs isn't advisable.

#美股 #FOMC #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice.)