添财的交易日记
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添财的交易日记
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【US Stocks | 6.15 FOMC Preview】Inflation is hot, oil prices are high, and Chair Warsh's debut dot plot is the biggest variable
As we kick off a new week, all eyes in the US stock market are on the FOMC meeting on June 16-17. Interest rates are expected to hold steady at 3.50%-3.75% with almost no doubt (market implied probability around 99%), but the real spotlight is on new Chair Kevin Warsh's first press conference, the latest dot plot, and economic forecasts. The backdrop isn't easy: May CPI surged to 4.2% year-over-year, the highest in nearly two years, primarily driven by energy price hikes with Brent crude staying above $100; coupled with May's non-farm payrolls coming in well above expectations, the room for easing has further shrunk—markets are even betting on no rate cuts for the year, and with the dot plot still hinting at one potential guide, any hawkish language could amplify volatility.
On the liquidity front, last week's rotation from "overcrowded chip stocks to defensive sectors" is still ongoing. The AI narrative remains but is placing more emphasis on profit-taking; the ability to convert investments into cash flow is becoming a key filtering criterion.
Key points to watch:
· 6.16-17 FOMC, Warsh's debut, focus on the dot plot and tone
· 6.17 simultaneous release of May retail sales, verifying consumer strength
· Can Brent crude hold above $100, impacting inflation and risk appetite
· 6.19 Juneteenth market closure, keep an eye on liquidity
Disagreements can easily amplify during FOMC week, so watch the rhythm and control your positions, no need to rush in.
#美股 #美联储 #Nasdaq
(This is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
As we kick off a new week, all eyes in the US stock market are on the FOMC meeting on June 16-17. Interest rates are expected to hold steady at 3.50%-3.75% with almost no doubt (market implied probability around 99%), but the real spotlight is on new Chair Kevin Warsh's first press conference, the latest dot plot, and economic forecasts. The backdrop isn't easy: May CPI surged to 4.2% year-over-year, the highest in nearly two years, primarily driven by energy price hikes with Brent crude staying above $100; coupled with May's non-farm payrolls coming in well above expectations, the room for easing has further shrunk—markets are even betting on no rate cuts for the year, and with the dot plot still hinting at one potential guide, any hawkish language could amplify volatility.
On the liquidity front, last week's rotation from "overcrowded chip stocks to defensive sectors" is still ongoing. The AI narrative remains but is placing more emphasis on profit-taking; the ability to convert investments into cash flow is becoming a key filtering criterion.
Key points to watch:
· 6.16-17 FOMC, Warsh's debut, focus on the dot plot and tone
· 6.17 simultaneous release of May retail sales, verifying consumer strength
· Can Brent crude hold above $100, impacting inflation and risk appetite
· 6.19 Juneteenth market closure, keep an eye on liquidity
Disagreements can easily amplify during FOMC week, so watch the rhythm and control your positions, no need to rush in.
#美股 #美联储 #Nasdaq
(This is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
【US Stocks | Weekend Recap 6.14】Largest IPO in History Makes Waves, Funds Quietly Shift from Chips to Defensive Plays
Last week, the highlight in the US stock market was SpaceX (SPCX) making its debut on Nasdaq on Friday: IPO priced at $135, opened at $150, peaked at $176.52 during the day, and closed around $161, marking a roughly 19% surge from the issue price, raising about $75 billion and achieving a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion, instantly becoming the sixth-largest publicly traded company in the US and setting the record for the largest IPO in history. Coupled with the easing geopolitical tensions as the US-Iran peace agreement comes closer to being finalized, all three major indices closed higher on Friday: Dow +0.7% at 51,202 points, S&P 500 +0.5% at 7,431 points, Nasdaq +0.31% at 25,889 points.
However, beneath the surface, there’s a rotation happening. In the first half of the week, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index pulled back about 10%, and the Nasdaq saw a single-day drop of 4% on June 4, marking the worst performance since April 2025. Funds are flowing out of the crowded chip stocks and moving into defensive sectors like consumer staples, which performed the best over the week. Notably, the fundamental leader NVDA reported around $215.9 billion in revenue for the latest fiscal year, a 65% year-over-year increase, with a market cap of about $5 trillion, indicating a divergence between industry sentiment and stock price.
Points of Focus:
· 6.16-6.17 FOMC, with Waller making his debut, likely no surprises; the spotlight will be on the dot plot and wording
· 6.17 will also see the release of May retail sales data to verify consumer strength
· Can SPCX hold above $160 after high turnover?
· 6.19 is Juneteenth, US stock market closed
As the FOMC week approaches, divergences can widen, so watch the rhythm and don’t chase highs.
#美股 #纳斯达克 #Fed
(The above is a compilation of publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
Last week, the highlight in the US stock market was SpaceX (SPCX) making its debut on Nasdaq on Friday: IPO priced at $135, opened at $150, peaked at $176.52 during the day, and closed around $161, marking a roughly 19% surge from the issue price, raising about $75 billion and achieving a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion, instantly becoming the sixth-largest publicly traded company in the US and setting the record for the largest IPO in history. Coupled with the easing geopolitical tensions as the US-Iran peace agreement comes closer to being finalized, all three major indices closed higher on Friday: Dow +0.7% at 51,202 points, S&P 500 +0.5% at 7,431 points, Nasdaq +0.31% at 25,889 points.
However, beneath the surface, there’s a rotation happening. In the first half of the week, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index pulled back about 10%, and the Nasdaq saw a single-day drop of 4% on June 4, marking the worst performance since April 2025. Funds are flowing out of the crowded chip stocks and moving into defensive sectors like consumer staples, which performed the best over the week. Notably, the fundamental leader NVDA reported around $215.9 billion in revenue for the latest fiscal year, a 65% year-over-year increase, with a market cap of about $5 trillion, indicating a divergence between industry sentiment and stock price.
Points of Focus:
· 6.16-6.17 FOMC, with Waller making his debut, likely no surprises; the spotlight will be on the dot plot and wording
· 6.17 will also see the release of May retail sales data to verify consumer strength
· Can SPCX hold above $160 after high turnover?
· 6.19 is Juneteenth, US stock market closed
As the FOMC week approaches, divergences can widen, so watch the rhythm and don’t chase highs.
#美股 #纳斯达克 #Fed
(The above is a compilation of publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
【US Stocks | 6.13 Weekend Recap】Chips Deep V: Semiconductor Sector Crashed Then Rallied This Week, Who's Driving This Bounce
This week, the biggest highlight in US stocks wasn't the indices, but the "deep V" in semiconductors. Last Friday (6.6), the Philadelphia Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) plummeted about 10% in a single day to $540, triggered by Broadcom's (AVGO) record revenue, but a tepid outlook for the next quarter sparked market fears of peak AI capital expenditures. However, the sell-off only lasted a day or two, as chip stocks quickly reversed course this week: on the rebound day, SOXX surged nearly 7%, marking its best single-day performance in over a year; Intel (INTC) was up 11.19% in one day, and Micron (MU) +9.87%, with a clear broad-based rally.
The significance of this rebound lies in its "breadth." Previously, the AI rally was highly concentrated in a few leaders—about 10 heavyweight stocks in the S&P 500 contributed nearly 40% of the index's market value, almost all related to AI. This time, GPU, CPU, storage, networking, and power chips all rallied together, indicating that funds are starting to bet on a broader AI hardware cycle rather than just a couple of top players. SOXX has still gained over 90% this year, with momentum intact, but volatility has also increased under high valuations.
Points of Focus:
· Is Broadcom's weak guidance an exception, or a signal of an industry turning point?
· Can the rebound spread from the leaders to second-tier equipment and storage?
· The impact of next Wednesday's (6.17) FOMC on growth stock valuations.
· Advisors generally recommend leaning towards balanced allocation, allowing the tech sector some "digestion" time.
Short-term, we saw a crash followed by a rally, with sentiment leaning warm. However, with the Fed meeting approaching, be cautious with rhythm and position management given the high beta nature of semiconductors.
#美股 #半导体 #chipstocks
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
This week, the biggest highlight in US stocks wasn't the indices, but the "deep V" in semiconductors. Last Friday (6.6), the Philadelphia Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) plummeted about 10% in a single day to $540, triggered by Broadcom's (AVGO) record revenue, but a tepid outlook for the next quarter sparked market fears of peak AI capital expenditures. However, the sell-off only lasted a day or two, as chip stocks quickly reversed course this week: on the rebound day, SOXX surged nearly 7%, marking its best single-day performance in over a year; Intel (INTC) was up 11.19% in one day, and Micron (MU) +9.87%, with a clear broad-based rally.
The significance of this rebound lies in its "breadth." Previously, the AI rally was highly concentrated in a few leaders—about 10 heavyweight stocks in the S&P 500 contributed nearly 40% of the index's market value, almost all related to AI. This time, GPU, CPU, storage, networking, and power chips all rallied together, indicating that funds are starting to bet on a broader AI hardware cycle rather than just a couple of top players. SOXX has still gained over 90% this year, with momentum intact, but volatility has also increased under high valuations.
Points of Focus:
· Is Broadcom's weak guidance an exception, or a signal of an industry turning point?
· Can the rebound spread from the leaders to second-tier equipment and storage?
· The impact of next Wednesday's (6.17) FOMC on growth stock valuations.
· Advisors generally recommend leaning towards balanced allocation, allowing the tech sector some "digestion" time.
Short-term, we saw a crash followed by a rally, with sentiment leaning warm. However, with the Fed meeting approaching, be cautious with rhythm and position management given the high beta nature of semiconductors.
#美股 #半导体 #chipstocks
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
【US Stocks | 6.13 Rate Decision Preview】Warsh's Debut Hits 4.2% Inflation, Dot Plot is the Key
Next Wednesday (6.17), the Federal Reserve's FOMC decision drops, marking Warsh's (Kevin Warsh) first meeting since taking the chair on May 22. The market is almost unanimous: rate futures pricing shows a "hold steady" probability of over 99%, and it's a done deal that the federal funds rate will remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. The real focus isn’t on the rate itself, but on the collision of three key issues.
First, inflation remains sticky. May CPI YoY is +4.2%, core +2.9%, both exceeding the 2% target, and the 172k new jobs added in May aren’t too shabby either. This puts a pause on any "rate cuts", and the policy statement is likely to shift from a dovish stance to neutral or even hawkish. Second, Warsh is known for his hawkish views, and the wording and tone in his first presser will be dissected word for word. Third, the dot plot (SEP) divergence: the Fed’s own dot plot previously hinted at one rate cut this year, but the prediction market has about 57% betting on zero cuts throughout 2026. If this expectation gap is realized, it could spark volatility.
Points to Watch:
· On 6.17 at 2 AM Beijing time, the statement + SEP dot plot will indicate how many rate cuts are projected for 2026
· Warsh's presser wording: Will he clarify "higher for longer"
· Same day May retail sales: Can consumption and inflation resonate
· On 6.19, Juneteenth US stock markets will be closed, liquidity may thin out early
As the rate decision week approaches, divergences widen, and volatility often ramps up before and after the decision. Keep an eye on the rhythm, manage your positions, and there’s no need to rush in.
#美股 #美联储 #NASDAQ
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
Next Wednesday (6.17), the Federal Reserve's FOMC decision drops, marking Warsh's (Kevin Warsh) first meeting since taking the chair on May 22. The market is almost unanimous: rate futures pricing shows a "hold steady" probability of over 99%, and it's a done deal that the federal funds rate will remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. The real focus isn’t on the rate itself, but on the collision of three key issues.
First, inflation remains sticky. May CPI YoY is +4.2%, core +2.9%, both exceeding the 2% target, and the 172k new jobs added in May aren’t too shabby either. This puts a pause on any "rate cuts", and the policy statement is likely to shift from a dovish stance to neutral or even hawkish. Second, Warsh is known for his hawkish views, and the wording and tone in his first presser will be dissected word for word. Third, the dot plot (SEP) divergence: the Fed’s own dot plot previously hinted at one rate cut this year, but the prediction market has about 57% betting on zero cuts throughout 2026. If this expectation gap is realized, it could spark volatility.
Points to Watch:
· On 6.17 at 2 AM Beijing time, the statement + SEP dot plot will indicate how many rate cuts are projected for 2026
· Warsh's presser wording: Will he clarify "higher for longer"
· Same day May retail sales: Can consumption and inflation resonate
· On 6.19, Juneteenth US stock markets will be closed, liquidity may thin out early
As the rate decision week approaches, divergences widen, and volatility often ramps up before and after the decision. Keep an eye on the rhythm, manage your positions, and there’s no need to rush in.
#美股 #美联储 #NASDAQ
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
【US Stocks | 6.13 Weekend Preview】Interest Rate Decision Week is Coming, Can SpaceX's Momentum Continue?
This week, US stocks closed in the green driven by "geopolitical easing + SPCX's debut". On Friday, all three major indices finished higher: Dow Jones +0.7% at 51202 points, S&P 500 +0.5% at 7431 points, Nasdaq +0.31% at 25889 points, with the small-cap Russell 2000 leading the pack for the week. On Thursday, news of a nearing peace agreement between the US and Iran propelled the Dow to a single-day surge of about 900 points, while falling oil prices and easing inflation worries were the key drivers of risk appetite; on Friday, SpaceX (SPCX) soared approximately 19% on its first day trading on Nasdaq, further igniting market sentiment.
Key Focus for Next Week:
· 6.16-6.17 Federal Reserve FOMC decision, with the market almost universally expecting no changes, the focus will be on the dot plot (whether rate cuts will still be in play for 2026) and the wording of the press conference
· 6.17 will also see the release of May retail sales data, consumer figures will resonate with the interest rate decision
· After high turnover, can SPCX maintain above 160, and what will be the rhythm of the US-Iran agreement and oil price trends
· 6.19 Juneteenth, US markets will be closed, so keep an eye on the trading calendar
Ahead of the interest rate decision week, divergences often widen, so watch the volatility before and after the decision, manage your positions, and avoid chasing highs.
#美股 #美联储 #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice)
This week, US stocks closed in the green driven by "geopolitical easing + SPCX's debut". On Friday, all three major indices finished higher: Dow Jones +0.7% at 51202 points, S&P 500 +0.5% at 7431 points, Nasdaq +0.31% at 25889 points, with the small-cap Russell 2000 leading the pack for the week. On Thursday, news of a nearing peace agreement between the US and Iran propelled the Dow to a single-day surge of about 900 points, while falling oil prices and easing inflation worries were the key drivers of risk appetite; on Friday, SpaceX (SPCX) soared approximately 19% on its first day trading on Nasdaq, further igniting market sentiment.
Key Focus for Next Week:
· 6.16-6.17 Federal Reserve FOMC decision, with the market almost universally expecting no changes, the focus will be on the dot plot (whether rate cuts will still be in play for 2026) and the wording of the press conference
· 6.17 will also see the release of May retail sales data, consumer figures will resonate with the interest rate decision
· After high turnover, can SPCX maintain above 160, and what will be the rhythm of the US-Iran agreement and oil price trends
· 6.19 Juneteenth, US markets will be closed, so keep an eye on the trading calendar
Ahead of the interest rate decision week, divergences often widen, so watch the volatility before and after the decision, manage your positions, and avoid chasing highs.
#美股 #美联储 #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice)
【US Stocks | 6.12 Close】SpaceX's debut skyrockets 19%, all three major indices finish higher
On Friday, US stocks collectively rose: Dow +0.56%, S&P 500 +0.33%, Nasdaq +0.07%, with small-cap Russell 2000 leading the pack up about 1%. The market had two main narratives: first, SpaceX (SPCX) landed on Nasdaq, with an IPO price of $135, closing at $161.11, a first-day surge of about 19%, with over 360 million shares traded, giving it an estimated valuation of around $1.77 trillion at the IPO price, exceeding Tesla's market cap on its first day, igniting risk appetite; second, reports indicate a US-Iran peace agreement is close to being finalized, with oil prices dropping about 2% to around $85 per barrel, easing inflation concerns, and continuing the optimistic sentiment after the Dow's 900-point surge on Thursday. In individual stocks, Adobe (ADBE) surpassed revenue and profit expectations in its Q2 report, but due to announcing a pause on price hikes to prioritize user growth, along with the CFO's departure, its stock took a significant hit; Rocket Lab (RKLB) was added to the Nasdaq 100, performing strongly against the trend.
Focus Points:
· After a massive volume swap, can SPCX hold above 160 next week?
· Timing of the US-Iran agreement and its impact on oil prices
· Next Wednesday (6.17), the Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision and Powell's press conference
· Divergence in software stocks post-earnings, with AI repricing SaaS valuations
Short-term sentiment is leaning warm, but expect increased volatility ahead of the rate-setting week; be mindful of your rhythm and control your positions.
#美股 #SpaceX #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice)
On Friday, US stocks collectively rose: Dow +0.56%, S&P 500 +0.33%, Nasdaq +0.07%, with small-cap Russell 2000 leading the pack up about 1%. The market had two main narratives: first, SpaceX (SPCX) landed on Nasdaq, with an IPO price of $135, closing at $161.11, a first-day surge of about 19%, with over 360 million shares traded, giving it an estimated valuation of around $1.77 trillion at the IPO price, exceeding Tesla's market cap on its first day, igniting risk appetite; second, reports indicate a US-Iran peace agreement is close to being finalized, with oil prices dropping about 2% to around $85 per barrel, easing inflation concerns, and continuing the optimistic sentiment after the Dow's 900-point surge on Thursday. In individual stocks, Adobe (ADBE) surpassed revenue and profit expectations in its Q2 report, but due to announcing a pause on price hikes to prioritize user growth, along with the CFO's departure, its stock took a significant hit; Rocket Lab (RKLB) was added to the Nasdaq 100, performing strongly against the trend.
Focus Points:
· After a massive volume swap, can SPCX hold above 160 next week?
· Timing of the US-Iran agreement and its impact on oil prices
· Next Wednesday (6.17), the Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision and Powell's press conference
· Divergence in software stocks post-earnings, with AI repricing SaaS valuations
Short-term sentiment is leaning warm, but expect increased volatility ahead of the rate-setting week; be mindful of your rhythm and control your positions.
#美股 #SpaceX #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice)
[US Stocks | 6.12 Market Update] SpaceX Launch + Iran Deal on the Horizon, Bulls Revving Up
US stocks opened strong: Dow +0.5%, S&P 500 +0.4%, Nasdaq 100 +0.3%. Tonight's two main narratives are crystal clear. First, the "peace deal" gets a boost: the Iran nuclear agreement draft is out, with the US planning to lift oil sanctions and Iran promising to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, likely signing in Switzerland this Sunday. WTI crude is down about 4% to around $84, which is cooling off energy and directly boosting risk appetite. Second, the largest IPO in history—SpaceX (SPCX)—officially hits Nasdaq: offering price at $135, valuation around $1.77 trillion, raising $75 billion. The opening indicative price spiked to about $175, a 30% premium over the offering price, with aerospace stocks catching the wave, RKLB up over 4% (set to join Nasdaq 100 on June 22).
On the stock level, the semiconductor equipment chain is booming: MU +11.7%, AMAT +11.2%, LRCX +12.7%, with funds clearly rotating towards hardware bullishness; a cautionary tale is ADBE, which despite beating earnings expectations dropped about 7%—the CFO jumped to Marvell and three investment banks downgraded their ratings, leading the market to vote with its feet: "stable management is worth more than a solid earnings report."
Points of Interest:
1. Will SPCX's first-day trading volume and turnover hold up with a 30% opening premium?
2. Progress on the Iran deal signing this Sunday and the sustainability of falling oil prices.
3. Signals from the collective rally in semiconductor equipment stocks indicating fund rotation.
4. Michigan consumer confidence preliminary data on inflation expectations.
Reminder: IPO first-day volatility and sentiment can be extreme, the indicative price isn’t the same as the trade price, so think about your exit strategy before jumping in.
#美股 #SpaceX #Nasdaq
(The above is a summary of public market information and does not constitute investment advice)
US stocks opened strong: Dow +0.5%, S&P 500 +0.4%, Nasdaq 100 +0.3%. Tonight's two main narratives are crystal clear. First, the "peace deal" gets a boost: the Iran nuclear agreement draft is out, with the US planning to lift oil sanctions and Iran promising to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, likely signing in Switzerland this Sunday. WTI crude is down about 4% to around $84, which is cooling off energy and directly boosting risk appetite. Second, the largest IPO in history—SpaceX (SPCX)—officially hits Nasdaq: offering price at $135, valuation around $1.77 trillion, raising $75 billion. The opening indicative price spiked to about $175, a 30% premium over the offering price, with aerospace stocks catching the wave, RKLB up over 4% (set to join Nasdaq 100 on June 22).
On the stock level, the semiconductor equipment chain is booming: MU +11.7%, AMAT +11.2%, LRCX +12.7%, with funds clearly rotating towards hardware bullishness; a cautionary tale is ADBE, which despite beating earnings expectations dropped about 7%—the CFO jumped to Marvell and three investment banks downgraded their ratings, leading the market to vote with its feet: "stable management is worth more than a solid earnings report."
Points of Interest:
1. Will SPCX's first-day trading volume and turnover hold up with a 30% opening premium?
2. Progress on the Iran deal signing this Sunday and the sustainability of falling oil prices.
3. Signals from the collective rally in semiconductor equipment stocks indicating fund rotation.
4. Michigan consumer confidence preliminary data on inflation expectations.
Reminder: IPO first-day volatility and sentiment can be extreme, the indicative price isn’t the same as the trade price, so think about your exit strategy before jumping in.
#美股 #SpaceX #Nasdaq
(The above is a summary of public market information and does not constitute investment advice)
【US Stocks | 6.12 Market Preview】The biggest IPO in history kicks off tonight, SPCX is already pumped up 30% in OTC trading.
All eyes before the US market opens are on SpaceX: priced at $135, with a valuation of about $1.77 trillion, raising around $75 billion, making it the largest in history, hitting Nasdaq tonight (ticker SPCX). This subscription is massively oversubscribed and unusually allocates about 30% to retail investors—the sentiment fuel is all set. What's even more interesting is in the OTC: SPCX perpetual contracts are trading around $176, a premium of about 30% over the issuance price, indicating aggressive bets on the first-day performance.
On a cross-asset level, the divergence of "risk-off and risk-on" is also worth noting: gold is up 2.7% standing at $4200, silver soared 4.7%, while WTI crude oil dropped nearly 4% to around $84 due to expectations around the Iran deal—commodity markets are betting on both "peace trades" and "inflation hedges".
Key Points:
1. How the opening price of SPCX on its first day converges with the OTC price of $176.
2. Whether the high retail allocation amplifies first-day volatility.
3. The siphoning effect on liquidity in the tech sector after the massive fundraising.
Reminder: New stocks can be highly volatile on their first day, and an OTC premium does not equal opening performance, so don’t use the contract price as an anchor.
📊 Live Trading Record: Recent trading day profit/loss around -0.7% (personal record only, not investment advice)
#美股 #SpaceX #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of public market information, not investment advice.)
All eyes before the US market opens are on SpaceX: priced at $135, with a valuation of about $1.77 trillion, raising around $75 billion, making it the largest in history, hitting Nasdaq tonight (ticker SPCX). This subscription is massively oversubscribed and unusually allocates about 30% to retail investors—the sentiment fuel is all set. What's even more interesting is in the OTC: SPCX perpetual contracts are trading around $176, a premium of about 30% over the issuance price, indicating aggressive bets on the first-day performance.
On a cross-asset level, the divergence of "risk-off and risk-on" is also worth noting: gold is up 2.7% standing at $4200, silver soared 4.7%, while WTI crude oil dropped nearly 4% to around $84 due to expectations around the Iran deal—commodity markets are betting on both "peace trades" and "inflation hedges".
Key Points:
1. How the opening price of SPCX on its first day converges with the OTC price of $176.
2. Whether the high retail allocation amplifies first-day volatility.
3. The siphoning effect on liquidity in the tech sector after the massive fundraising.
Reminder: New stocks can be highly volatile on their first day, and an OTC premium does not equal opening performance, so don’t use the contract price as an anchor.
📊 Live Trading Record: Recent trading day profit/loss around -0.7% (personal record only, not investment advice)
#美股 #SpaceX #Nasdaq
(The above is a compilation of public market information, not investment advice.)
[US Stocks | 6.12 Inflation Watch] PPI Surges Masked by Market Euphoria, Underlying Inflation Still Lurking
Last night's market frenzy overshadowed a crucial data point that many overlooked: May's PPI rose +1.1% month-over-month, far exceeding the expected 0.7%, and +6.5% year-over-year, hitting a new high since November 2022. Breaking it down, nearly 80% of the increase came from the goods sector (+2.8%), with energy being the main driver—this is a direct consequence of the previously heightened oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. The core PPI, however, only rose +0.4%, indicating that pressure is concentrated in energy and has yet to spread widely.
This also explains why the market seems unfazed by this explosive data: if an Iran deal materializes and oil prices continue to retreat (WTI has already dropped to around $84 pre-market), the PPI is likely to reverse quickly. But a note of caution: PPI is a leading input for the PCE price index; if oil prices fluctuate repeatedly, the transmission of inflation to the consumer sector can't just be brushed off as "transitory."
Points of Interest:
1. Tonight's preliminary June Consumer Sentiment from the University of Michigan, with a focus on inflation expectations
2. The sustainability of falling oil prices—can WTI hold below $85?
3. The interest rate market's repricing of the Federal Reserve's trajectory
4. The performance of SPCX on its debut day amplifying market sentiment
Data and narratives are in a race; don't let one-sided sentiment dictate your positions.
📊 Live Trading Record: Recent trading day P&L approximately -0.7% (personal record only, not investment advice)
#美股 #通胀 #PPI
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice)
Last night's market frenzy overshadowed a crucial data point that many overlooked: May's PPI rose +1.1% month-over-month, far exceeding the expected 0.7%, and +6.5% year-over-year, hitting a new high since November 2022. Breaking it down, nearly 80% of the increase came from the goods sector (+2.8%), with energy being the main driver—this is a direct consequence of the previously heightened oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. The core PPI, however, only rose +0.4%, indicating that pressure is concentrated in energy and has yet to spread widely.
This also explains why the market seems unfazed by this explosive data: if an Iran deal materializes and oil prices continue to retreat (WTI has already dropped to around $84 pre-market), the PPI is likely to reverse quickly. But a note of caution: PPI is a leading input for the PCE price index; if oil prices fluctuate repeatedly, the transmission of inflation to the consumer sector can't just be brushed off as "transitory."
Points of Interest:
1. Tonight's preliminary June Consumer Sentiment from the University of Michigan, with a focus on inflation expectations
2. The sustainability of falling oil prices—can WTI hold below $85?
3. The interest rate market's repricing of the Federal Reserve's trajectory
4. The performance of SPCX on its debut day amplifying market sentiment
Data and narratives are in a race; don't let one-sided sentiment dictate your positions.
📊 Live Trading Record: Recent trading day P&L approximately -0.7% (personal record only, not investment advice)
#美股 #通胀 #PPI
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice)
[U.S. Stocks | Pre-market on 6.12] Easing Geopolitical Tensions + Largest IPO Ever, Bulls on Fire
Overnight, all three major indices surged: the Dow Jones skyrocketed about 930 points (+1.8%) to reclaim the 50,000 mark at 50,848.75, the S&P 500 rose over 1.7%, and the Nasdaq led with a 2.5% gain. The catalyst was Trump halting the planned strike against Iran that night, stating that a peace agreement is close — geopolitical risk premiums quickly unwound, WTI crude oil fell nearly 4% pre-market to around $84, cooling off oil prices and alleviating inflation worries, with funds rapidly switching from safe-haven assets back to risk assets, flipping sentiment overnight.
Tonight there's another big show: SpaceX (ticker SPCX) pricing at $135 per share, hitting Nasdaq today, with a valuation of about $1.77 trillion and raising around $75 billion, setting the record for the largest IPO ever, and notably leaving about 30% of the shares for retail investors. Pre-market futures continue the upward trend, with the seven major ETFs MAGS slightly up.
Key Points:
1. SPCX's first day performance and whether it diverts funds from tech giants
2. Progress on the Iran agreement, reportedly set to be signed in Switzerland as early as Sunday
3. Whether the oil price drop can hold and its impact on inflation expectations
4. Can the Dow maintain its position above the 50,000 mark
Short-term sentiment is a bit overheated; event-driven market fluctuations can amplify easily, so watch the rhythm and don't chase highs.
📊 Live trading record: Recent trading day P&L approximately -0.7% (personal record only, not investment advice)
#美股 #纳斯达克 #SpaceX
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
Overnight, all three major indices surged: the Dow Jones skyrocketed about 930 points (+1.8%) to reclaim the 50,000 mark at 50,848.75, the S&P 500 rose over 1.7%, and the Nasdaq led with a 2.5% gain. The catalyst was Trump halting the planned strike against Iran that night, stating that a peace agreement is close — geopolitical risk premiums quickly unwound, WTI crude oil fell nearly 4% pre-market to around $84, cooling off oil prices and alleviating inflation worries, with funds rapidly switching from safe-haven assets back to risk assets, flipping sentiment overnight.
Tonight there's another big show: SpaceX (ticker SPCX) pricing at $135 per share, hitting Nasdaq today, with a valuation of about $1.77 trillion and raising around $75 billion, setting the record for the largest IPO ever, and notably leaving about 30% of the shares for retail investors. Pre-market futures continue the upward trend, with the seven major ETFs MAGS slightly up.
Key Points:
1. SPCX's first day performance and whether it diverts funds from tech giants
2. Progress on the Iran agreement, reportedly set to be signed in Switzerland as early as Sunday
3. Whether the oil price drop can hold and its impact on inflation expectations
4. Can the Dow maintain its position above the 50,000 mark
Short-term sentiment is a bit overheated; event-driven market fluctuations can amplify easily, so watch the rhythm and don't chase highs.
📊 Live trading record: Recent trading day P&L approximately -0.7% (personal record only, not investment advice)
#美股 #纳斯达克 #SpaceX
(The above is a compilation of public market information and does not constitute investment advice.)
Possible, but the rebound is not very strong. Let's see if Chuanzi has any policies. It is estimated that it will fall further.
起愿
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BullishWill this be the last time for the washout?
a pile of shit
我是小z啊i
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Recently got beaten and dazed, don't dare to trade contracts anymore, small position, low leverage to go long, set a break-even stop loss, made a small profit of 1000 dollars, let's take a good rest now
$ETH $BTC $币安人生
$ETH $BTC $币安人生
Smiled
Shock牙医 带单目标10倍
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BullishActual measurement: 500U opened 32 Ether 2 points liquidated
Currently doubled
Currently doubled
$ETH Last more
There is a small meager here, and then you can go long
Also, this is the daily support
And the support from the trendline breakout, these three factors led me to go long, but this drop is a bit severe, and I think it may not hold, anyway, I entered with a small position to take a look first.
There is a small meager here, and then you can go long
Also, this is the daily support
And the support from the trendline breakout, these three factors led me to go long, but this drop is a bit severe, and I think it may not hold, anyway, I entered with a small position to take a look first.
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