74

Contract Quantitative Brief #74 | Today, just focus on these 2, don't chase the emotional tail

Market Status: Continuation is still in play, funding rates are overall manageable; keep an eye on the trends that haven't been broken, don't chase the ones that have already shot too far.

Top Candidates:
1) ASRUSDT
Selection Reason: Slight pullback on the 1-hour chart, but still in the positive zone on the 6-hour; intraday gains close to 20%, low funding rate, and open interest (OI) is rising, indicating it's not just pure emotional frenzy, the trend remains healthy.
Watch Level: Around the 20-day moving average.
Trigger Condition: After a pullback, it needs to regain stability and strengthen again before considering.
Failure Condition: If it drops below the 20-day moving average and support weakens, then we’ll drop it.

2) PARTIUSDT
Selection Reason: Stronger momentum on the 6-hour, still trending up on the 1-hour, and funding rates are still lukewarm; however, it's already distanced from the 20-day moving average, better to wait for confirmation, not suitable for chasing prices.
Watch Level: Pullback confirmation zone.
Trigger Condition: If it pulls back without breaking and then strengthens again, consider following up.
Failure Condition: If it loses the pullback support, or the rebound strength doesn't hold, then we'll skip it for now.

Alternative Watch/Not Chasing: BLUAIUSDT has already moved quickly, strong on the 1-hour but weakening on the 6-hour, just watch for now, don’t chase the highs.

Risk Warning: Today is suitable for trend continuation, not for chasing the end acceleration; only 2 are suitable to be formal candidates, don’t treat alternatives as the main dish.

One-sentence Summary: I’ll first watch ASRUSDT, then wait for PARTIUSDT's pullback confirmation, and put the rest aside for now.