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Contract Quantitative Brief #95｜The trend is still continuing, but don’t chase at the highs; I’d rather wait for a pullback to confirm
Market status:
The chart is still somewhat strong—it's continuing in a continuation rhythm. But today isn't the kind of environment where you just rush in.
MYX was pushed up the hardest first: the 6-hour price increase and open interest are both expanding, showing enough heat, but it has also started to stretch.
PIE is still repairing, and its pace is a bit steadier than MYX.
ARX feels more like an alternative: its strength isn’t bad, but open interest hasn’t continued to expand very nicely.
Top candidates
1）MYXUSDT
I’ll watch it first, but I won’t hard-chase at the high.
- Why it’s selected: a slight dip on the 1h timeframe, while on 6h it keeps lifting; OI on 1h increases by nearly 20%; market sentiment is clearly quite hot.
- Observation level: around 0.106—that is, near the 20-day line during the pullback.
- Trigger condition: after the pullback doesn’t break 0.106, it regains and closes back above 0.112; then see whether it continues to expand volume.
- Invalidation condition: it drops straight back below 0.106 and can’t reclaim it—this suggests the strong momentum has turned weak.
- Risk note: coins that have already stretched are the ones most likely to look very strong, and then you chase in and end up getting pulled back.
2）PIEVERSEUSDT
For this one, I’d rather wait for it to give me a pullback—I'm not interested in chasing momentum.
- Why it’s selected: it’s still relatively strong intraday; 1h has turned positive; OI continues to rise; the funding rate is also fairly moderate—this looks like a repair-type continuation.
- Observation level: around 0.78~0.80.
- Trigger condition: after pulling back, it can hold above 0.78, then it regains and stands back near 0.808.
- Invalidation condition: if it breaks below 0.78 and keeps weakening, it means the repair has failed.
- Risk note: if it’s only a rebound without follow-through, it easily turns into a back-and-forth chop.
Alternative to watch / Not chasing yet
- ARXUSDT: the position isn’t as aggressive, but OI on 1h is heading downward. I’m only treating it as an alternative to watch, not a formal follow target.
One-sentence summary:
The market is still somewhat strong today, but it’s more suitable to wait for confirmation than to rush in just because you see a surge; for MYX, watch the pullback strength, and for PIE, watch whether the repair can connect.
Market status:
The chart is still somewhat strong—it's continuing in a continuation rhythm. But today isn't the kind of environment where you just rush in.
MYX was pushed up the hardest first: the 6-hour price increase and open interest are both expanding, showing enough heat, but it has also started to stretch.
PIE is still repairing, and its pace is a bit steadier than MYX.
ARX feels more like an alternative: its strength isn’t bad, but open interest hasn’t continued to expand very nicely.
Top candidates
1）MYXUSDT
I’ll watch it first, but I won’t hard-chase at the high.
- Why it’s selected: a slight dip on the 1h timeframe, while on 6h it keeps lifting; OI on 1h increases by nearly 20%; market sentiment is clearly quite hot.
- Observation level: around 0.106—that is, near the 20-day line during the pullback.
- Trigger condition: after the pullback doesn’t break 0.106, it regains and closes back above 0.112; then see whether it continues to expand volume.
- Invalidation condition: it drops straight back below 0.106 and can’t reclaim it—this suggests the strong momentum has turned weak.
- Risk note: coins that have already stretched are the ones most likely to look very strong, and then you chase in and end up getting pulled back.
2）PIEVERSEUSDT
For this one, I’d rather wait for it to give me a pullback—I'm not interested in chasing momentum.
- Why it’s selected: it’s still relatively strong intraday; 1h has turned positive; OI continues to rise; the funding rate is also fairly moderate—this looks like a repair-type continuation.
- Observation level: around 0.78~0.80.
- Trigger condition: after pulling back, it can hold above 0.78, then it regains and stands back near 0.808.
- Invalidation condition: if it breaks below 0.78 and keeps weakening, it means the repair has failed.
- Risk note: if it’s only a rebound without follow-through, it easily turns into a back-and-forth chop.
Alternative to watch / Not chasing yet
- ARXUSDT: the position isn’t as aggressive, but OI on 1h is heading downward. I’m only treating it as an alternative to watch, not a formal follow target.
One-sentence summary:
The market is still somewhat strong today, but it’s more suitable to wait for confirmation than to rush in just because you see a surge; for MYX, watch the pullback strength, and for PIE, watch whether the repair can connect.
$LUNC
trades at $0.00008016, down 4.8% daily, ranking #95 The 24H chart shows a clear downtrend, fluctuating between $0.00007926 and $0.00008494 Despite the daily drop its market cap holds at $444.3M and its monthly performance remains up by 14%.
trades at $0.00008016, down 4.8% daily, ranking #95 The 24H chart shows a clear downtrend, fluctuating between $0.00007926 and $0.00008494 Despite the daily drop its market cap holds at $444.3M and its monthly performance remains up by 14%.
$INJ quick research note, not a hype thread.
Injective is being priced like a narrative reset, not just a candle trade.
Price: $5.5640
Market cap: $557.0M
Rank: #95
FDV: $0.0000
7d / 30d: +11.5% / +57.4%
The part I care about:
Circulating ratio is about 100.0%, so supply pressure belongs in the valuation debate.
Daily trend: Bullish 📈
RSI: 66.4
Support: $3.8000
Resistance: $6.1100
My read: if $INJ reclaims resistance, the market starts paying for the story again. Lose support, and I would rather wait than be early. NFA.
Is $INJ undervalued here, or just another bounce trap?
Injective is being priced like a narrative reset, not just a candle trade.
Price: $5.5640
Market cap: $557.0M
Rank: #95
FDV: $0.0000
7d / 30d: +11.5% / +57.4%
The part I care about:
Circulating ratio is about 100.0%, so supply pressure belongs in the valuation debate.
Daily trend: Bullish 📈
RSI: 66.4
Support: $3.8000
Resistance: $6.1100
My read: if $INJ reclaims resistance, the market starts paying for the story again. Lose support, and I would rather wait than be early. NFA.
Is $INJ undervalued here, or just another bounce trap?
We're tracking the latest trends in the crypto market, and our community is excited about the current developments 🚀. We're seeing a shift in market capitalization ranks, with some tokens gaining traction.
Our analysis shows that tokens like NEAR Protocol and Solana are performing well, with market cap ranks of #35 and #7, respectively. Other notable tokens include Hyperliquid, ranked #11, and Pudgy Penguins, ranked #95, with changes in their market cap ranks.
We're looking forward to seeing how these trends play out, and our community is ready to adapt to the changing landscape 💡. With the crypto market constantly evolving, we're staying up-to-date on the latest developments, and we're excited about the potential for growth and innovation 📈.
$NIL , $SUPER , $AGT
Our analysis shows that tokens like NEAR Protocol and Solana are performing well, with market cap ranks of #35 and #7, respectively. Other notable tokens include Hyperliquid, ranked #11, and Pudgy Penguins, ranked #95, with changes in their market cap ranks.
We're looking forward to seeing how these trends play out, and our community is ready to adapt to the changing landscape 💡. With the crypto market constantly evolving, we're staying up-to-date on the latest developments, and we're excited about the potential for growth and innovation 📈.
$NIL , $SUPER , $AGT
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