Israel just said it will keep operating in Lebanon. Despite a ceasefire Trump personally announced. This is an open defiance of the US President.
Read that again.
Trump announced a ceasefire.
Israel said it will continue operations anyway.
This is the same week Trump confirmed he called Netanyahu "fucking crazy" on a phone call. The relationship between the two most important allies in the Middle East is not just strained right now.
It is breaking in public.
When a US President announces a ceasefire and the allied nation ignores it, that is not a diplomatic misunderstanding. That is a signal to every actor in the region about how much weight American announcements actually carry right now.
Iran is watching. Hezbollah is watching. Hamas is watching. Every Gulf state is watching.
The credibility of US diplomatic power in the Middle East is being tested in real time.
And Israel just handed every adversary a data point they will not forget.
Trump is already managing collapsing Iran nuclear talks. North Korea just unveiled an exponential nuclear fuel facility. The global security picture is deteriorating fast.
Now add an open split between Washington and Tel Aviv into that mix.
Markets have not priced this in yet.
Oil has not priced this in yet.
Gold has.
When allies stop listening to each other publicly, the world does not get more stable.
It gets more unpredictable.
And unpredictable is the most expensive word in finance.
#Israel #Lebanon #Ceasefire #Geopolitics #MiddleEast