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Despite having sufficient cash reserves to pay dividends for 10 months, Strategy’s STRC preferred shares are trading at a 25% discount to the $100 par value — and that’s a wake-up call for retail investors.

The issue isn’t the ability to make payments, but trust. Alexander Blume from Two Prime pointed out a harsh truth: Michael Saylor’s consecutive pivots have shattered confidence among investors who tend to favor the retail base. MSTR fell to $86 — its lowest level since February 2024 — and STRC’s “low volatility” promise turned out to conceal substantial risk.

This is a classic lesson in risk management. A product yielding more than 6% versus U.S. government bonds surely comes with additional risk. When trust evaporates, value collapses. And ironically, it’s people’s emotional weaknesses — the very thing Bitcoin was designed to eliminate — that are the cause.

At present, Strategy is unlikely to become a significant buyer of Bitcoin in the near future. Do your own research and manage your own risk.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Dautu #QuanTriRuiRo #ThiTruong

For the fifth time in 15 years, four rare on-chain indicators converge, but Bitcoin is still teetering on a knife edge. Hyperion Decimus hedge fund points out that this kind of signal has historically indicated cycle bottoms, but this time it lacks the final technical confirmation.

Two scenarios: break above $82k to confirm an uptrend, or drop to $54-57k (even $48k) to form a bottom before recovering—expected within the next 90 days. While many institutional investors express concern, Sullivan believes the market is overly focused on the bearish narrative rather than on-chain structure, and that ETF capital flows are improving.

Personally, I find this to be a notable signal, but history doesn’t repeat perfectly. The $54-57k zone could be where buyers hunt for bargains, but if $48k is lost, things will be different. No matter which scenario plays out, risk management comes first—don’t bet everything on one direction.

#BTC #OnChain #PhanTichKyThuat #DauTu #RiskManagement

Bitcoin suddenly plunged to $58,000—the lowest level since late 2020—right after the U.S. core PCE inflation index unexpectedly jumped to 5.2%, higher than forecast. More than $600 million in leveraged accounts were liquidated; in just the first 60 minutes after the data, $400 million was wiped out. The storm swept away long positions, triggering a cascade of stop-losses.

Many veteran traders believe there may be manipulation: a massive sell order was placed just below the psychological support at $60k, triggering chain liquidations. The other side views it as simply a natural macro reaction, since the Fed may continue tightening aggressively. The truth includes both factors, but the long-term downtrend and weak liquidity are still realities.

The next support zones are at $56k and $54k. Despite differing opinions, the only thing traders can control is position size and risk. Don’t FOMO into catching a falling knife without confirmation from the market.

#Bitcoin #BTC #PhanTich #KinhTeViMo #QuanTriRuiRo