Is Bitcoin about to repeat its most dreaded pattern?
There’s a warning making the rounds among analysts that’s worth reviewing before you make your next decision with
$BTC .
A pattern that has never failed
Every Bitcoin bull market has ended the same way: a sharp drop that wipes out most of the gains from the previous cycle.
2010-2011: -93%
2013-2015: -86%
2017-2018: -84%
2021-2022: -77%
2025-2026: still developing
As you can see, the drop percentage has been shrinking from cycle to cycle. But the pattern itself (a brutal correction between 75% and 90%) has repeated without exception.
Where are we now?
Today, the accumulated decline is close to 53%. Most of the market already thinks the worst is behind us. However, if we compare with the historical floors of each cycle, there’s still room for the price to keep falling before bottoming out.
What this means for you
This isn’t a guaranteed prediction—it’s a historical pattern that some analysts are closely watching. If you trade
$BTC in this context:
- Watch whether the price respects or breaks medium-term support levels.
- Don’t rule out that volatility continues; this kind of cycle usually brings sudden moves in both directions.
- Set your stop loss before entering, without exception.
History doesn’t repeat itself exactly the same every time, but knowing the pattern gives you an edge to make more informed decisions. It’s up to you whether this cycle follows the same script or breaks the trend.
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