0xcpatocrypto

Let me be direct with you here, no frills.

This drop in Bitcoin? Normal. Breathe.
The market has been like this since it exists, going up, down, giving scares, exciting, and making desperate people sell at the bottom. What did you expect? That BTC would rise in a straight line like a PowerPoint graph? If it were like that, my friend… everyone would already be millionaires, even your uncle who has never opened a brokerage.

If you really believe in the paper, in the fundamentals… there is no reason to panic. Now is the storm phase and every storm passes. After the rain comes the sun, after the night comes the day… and in the market, it’s exactly the same.

My sincere view? Bitcoin will not break. Never.
Not because I am optimistic but because Bitcoin has grown too much for that. Today, if BTC "broke", it would be a global collapse. Countries have reserves in Bitcoin. States within the USA have Bitcoin. Giant companies, banks, trillion-dollar funds… everyone is exposed. The damage would be biblical.

To give you an idea, Bitcoin is worth double that of JP Morgan, the largest bank in the USA. Imagine the chaos of seeing two JP Morgans breaking at the same time.

And don’t come with "oh but Lehman Brothers broke"… yes, and they were only the 4th largest at the time, full of fraud and toxic waste in their portfolio. BTC is another story, it’s a network, it’s global liquidity, it’s living infrastructure.

Bitcoin is here to stay. Period.
Want to stop suffering?

Study technical analysis.
Study Fibo.
Understand support, resistance, areas of interest… these things take you out of the emotional and put you in logic.

What am I seeing on the chart?
Probably BTC will seek the 23% Fibo, there in the region of 82k.

Can it stop before? It can.
But if it holds there, if it shows strength… then my friend, the next stop is up at 130k which is the natural target after already having fulfilled the 141 of Fibo.

My opinion:
If BTC signals a reversal there at 82k, anyone entering that range will be taking a trade of almost 60% up to 130k.
A huge movement to carry in 2026.

🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🚨

TRUMP WILL MAKE A NEW TARIFF ANNOUNCEMENT TOMORROW AT 14:00 (NEW YORK TIME) IN AN OFFICIAL MEETING!
ALL EYES ON TRUMP 👀🔥

📊 BTC Quick Analysis (Institutional) 29/11/2025.

Bitcoin continues in a corrective high within a macro bearish trend. The price is in the middle of the range, creating liquidity to seek one of the marked zones on the chart.

🟩 PERFECT BUY ZONE (Institutional Demand)
📍 88,500 – 89,500.

🟩 Entry that I will make:
✔ 89,000 – 89,500

Stop Loss:
❌ 87,800

Take Profit:
🎯 TP1: 93,200 – 94,200 (FVG)
🎯 TP2: 95,800 – 97,200 (Selling OB)

Observation:
Zone where absorption, sweeping, and clear presence of institutional orders occurred. It is the safest buy on the chart.

🟥 PERFECT SELL ZONE (Institutional Supply)
📍 95,800 – 97,200

🟥 Entry that I will make:
✔ 96,000 – 97,000

Stop Loss:
❌ 98,200

Take Profit:
🎯 TP1: 93,200 – 94,200
🎯 TP2: 90,500 – 89,500

Observation:
Critical region where the significant drop began.
Very high probability of rejection.

🎯 PRACTICAL SUMMARY:
1- Buy only in the green zone
2- Sell only in the red zone
3- Current price = neutral zone (no entry)
4- Market creating liquidity before seeking one of these regions

Bitcoin whales ignore the 'Extreme Fear' and double down on their bets! In a move that goes against the market sentiment of "extreme fear", on-chain data reveals a significant increase in Bitcoin accumulation by "whales" (entities holding more than 1,000 BTC).

The number of whale wallets reached 1,436, a notable increase in the last week, while the price of Bitcoin fell to seven-month lows. This trend of accumulation by large players suggests a long-term strategic positioning, indicating that these experienced investors are taking advantage of lower prices to increase their positions, in contrast to the selling by retail investors.

When "smart money" (the whales) is buying heavily at the lows while retail is selling in panic, it becomes clear who has the long-term vision. It's no longer about the momentary weakness of the market: it's about the strategic positioning for the next bull cycle.

The donation fund of Harvard University, one of the largest in the world, revealed an investment of US$ 443 million in BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT).

The position, detailed in a document sent to the SEC, has become one of the largest in the fund's public portfolio: a surprising move from an institution that has historically been conservative regarding crypto and listed ETFs.

When even Harvard decides to allocate institutional capital to Bitcoin, it is no longer a matter of "if" the institutional market will enter: it is "how much" and "when".

The state of Texas purchased US$ 5
million in its first batch of Bitcoin through the ETF Shares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from BlackRock, according to Lee Bratcher, president of the Texas Blockchain Council. The acquisition was made around November 20, when BTC was priced at approximately US$ 87.000.

The operation is part of a strategic reserve recently created by state law, and signals the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a reserve asset.

Bratcher stated that the plan is to eventually migrate to self-custody, but in the meantime, the ETF was the practical option for immediate investment.

"The idea is that Texas will eventually hold the Bitcoin on its own, but this initial investment was made with BlackRock's ETF," said Bratcher, reaffirming the state's long-term vision.

He led the legislative effort that resulted in the creation of the Bitcoin reserve, in an initiative that received strong support from the local crypto sector.

Arthur Hayes caught attention again after accurately making a prediction that many considered bold: he claimed that Bitcoin could drop to the range of US$ 80 million, before resuming the upward movement.

Shortly after, the market actually retreated exactly to that region, validating his macroeconomic analysis.

According to Hayes, the temporary weakening was a consequence of the contraction of dollar liquidity and the reduction in institutional flows to ETFs and digital asset trusts.

Despite the correction, he maintained his long-term optimistic view and believes that Bitcoin could still double or even triple in value if the U.S. resumes more expansionary monetary policies.

The trajectory of Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes is an American trader and former CEO of BitMEX, one of the largest and most influential cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges in the world. Educated in Economics at the Wharton School, he began his career in Hong Kong, working as a derivatives trader at Deutsche Bank and later at Citigroup.

This experience in the traditional financial market was crucial for him to identify opportunities in the nascent universe of cryptocurrencies.

In 2014, Hayes co-founded BitMEX, which quickly revolutionized the sector by popularizing high-leverage perpetual contracts, forever changing the way traders operate in the crypto market. His success turned him into a billionaire and highly influential figure.

🚨‼️LATEST NEWS ‼️🚨
Thousands of people are closing their accounts at JP Morgan after a premeditated attack against Bitcoin shareholders / $MSTR and StrategyB

🚨 LAST MINUTE 🚨

LARGE GROUPS AND INSTITUTIONS ARE TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THE DROP TODAY!

STRATEGY BOUGHT 7,600 $BTC
WINTERMUTE BOUGHT 10,000 $BTC
FIDELITY BOUGHT 1,500 $BTC
SATOSHI WHALE BOUGHT 457,000 $ETH
BITWISE BOUGHT 6,700 $BTC

IS THIS HOW YOU KNOW IF YOU'RE AT THE BOTTOM? 👀

The author of "Rich Dad, Poor Dad" made a sale of around US$ 2.25 million in Bitcoin.

It is still unclear whether the move was just a partial realization of profits, portfolio rebalancing, or a strategic adjustment, but whenever large investors move positions, the market watches 👀

Bitcoin (BTC) started the day priced at US$ 84 million, with a drop of just over 1% in the early hours of this Thursday.

The global cryptocurrency market is fluctuating without a single clear signal today, with investors in a real tug-of-war with the news.

In the traditional market, Asian stocks closed the session in positive territory. The main European indices are operating without a defined direction, while New York futures are retreating in the early hours of the session.

The U.S. government shutdown impasse has ended after 43 days, with an agreement approved by Democrats and Republicans in the House of Representatives.

The Federal Police launched Operation Illegal Route on this Wednesday (19/11), aimed at dismantling a criminal network involved in migrant smuggling with connections in Brazil, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Mexico, and the United States. According to the Federal Police, there are indications that the group facilitated the illegal exit of Asian citizens via land route to the Mexican border.

The measures adopted by the Justice include search and seizure warrants, temporary arrest of the main suspect, seizure of passports, and restrictions on the movement of other suspects. The action is part of an international investigation that involves cooperation from foreign intelligence agencies.

In the financial sphere, the Federal Police obtained authorization to block up to R$ 5,94 million in assets of the suspects, including cryptocurrencies, as well as real estate, vehicles, boats, and aircraft. This blockade is strategic to "financially suffocate" the criminal network and hinder the continuation of its operations.

According to the investigation, the use of cryptocurrencies allowed the organization to conceal the origin of funds and accelerate international transfers without going through the traditional banking system. The Federal Police emphasizes that, even with cryptocurrency transactions, the connection between wallets and identities can allow for effective blockages when the illicit origin is proven.

The dollar closed the Friday (21) after the holiday with a strong rise in Brazil, again above R$ 5,40, with the quotes adjusting to the news from the previous day about the North American labor market and reacting negatively to the noise between Planalto and the Senate after the appointment of Jorge
Messias to the Supreme Federal Court.

The spot dollar ended the session this Friday with an increase of 1.20%, at R$ 5,4020 on the sale. For the week, the North American currency accumulated a gain of 1.97%.

‼️🚨FIRST PHARMACEUTICAL TO REACH THIS
MILESTONE🚨‼️

Eli Lilly reached a market value of US$ 1 trillion (R$ 5.4 trillion) this Friday (21), becoming the first pharmaceutical company to enter the exclusive club dominated by technology giants and reinforcing its rise as a powerhouse in the weight loss sector.

The appreciation of more than 35% of the company's shares this year was mainly driven by the explosive growth of the weight loss medication market.

This is real volatility.
One billion evaporated in just 60 minutes, major markets plunged into the red.
It's these moments that separate emotional traders from prepared traders.”

Did not surpass the level, that's why we didn't buy!
For us to enter the buying position, something similar to this trend exchange must appear. So let's wait a little bit. Okay?

The veteran trader Peter Brandt has once again drawn the market's attention by predicting that Bitcoin
(BTC) could reach US$ 200 million, but only in four years.

The optimistic outlook comes at a time when the world's largest cryptocurrency is facing one of its most difficult periods in 2025.

Currently traded around US$ 85 million, BTC has fallen to levels not seen since April, accumulating more than 24% decline in the fourth quarter, contrary to the historical pattern that usually delivers strong gains at this time of year.

The recent movement has been exacerbated by large investor sell-offs and nearly US$ 1 billion in liquidations.

Brandt states that the recent behavior, a strong reversal on November 11 followed by eight days of descending peaks, may indicate the beginning of a bear market.

He points out two critical levels of decline: US$ 81 million and US$ 58 million, warning that investors who today promise to buy at lower prices will likely panic if the asset actually drops down to those levels.

Still, the trader emphasizes that he maintains 40% of his largest historical position in BTC and considers the current correction "one of the best possible developments" to prepare for the next bull cycle.

For Brandt, the next significant bull market should take Bitcoin to around US$ 200 million, around the third quarter of 2029, a longer prediction than many expected.

Other analysts have also revised their projections downwards.

• Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) has reduced her long-term target from US$ 1.5 million to US$ 1.2 million by 2030.

• Alex Thorn (Galaxy Digital) cut the end-of-2025 forecast from US$ 185 million to US$ 120 million.

With macroeconomic pressures, institutional selling, and intense liquidations, BTC continues to struggle to find solid support, as investors try to understand whether the current decline represents just a stumble in the cycle or the beginning of a longer correction phase.

👀…

BITCOIN HIT A SEVEN-MONTH LOW OF $81,668 Bitcoin and ether hit lows in several months this Friday (21), pressured by a widespread flight from riskier assets amid concerns over the high valuations of technology companies and weakening bets on interest rate cuts in the United States in the short term.

Bitcoin reached a seven-month low of $81,668 at its worst moment this Friday. Around 9:05 AM, it recorded a decline of 5.87%, at $82,100.88. Ether fell 6.68%, at $2,686.17, the lowest level in four months.

The pioneering Bitcoin investor Owen
Gunden, identified by Arkham as one of the largest whales in the market, sold about 11,000 BTC, equivalent to approximately US$ 1.3 billion, according to on-chain reports.

Gunden began accumulating Bitcoin in 2011, having operated on the early exchanges, such as Mt. Gox and Tradehill, in arbitrage trading.

The exit was completed after the transfer of 2,499 BTC (estimated value at US$ 228 million) to the Kraken exchange, according to Arkham's data.

On-chain analysis experts point out that the timing of the liquidation evidences a migration of power between older holders and institutions.

There are also indications that institutional participation in Bitcoin spot ETFs in the United States has already reached about 40%, according to analysts monitoring the 13-F reports.