俊哥说趋势

Dear cryptocurrency friends, have you kept up with this wave of market trends in the late night?

Recently, many friends have complained to me that they are dizzy in the cryptocurrency world, trying to find direction but unable to do so. The opportunities they see always seem to be just out of reach, and after a long time of effort, they still miss out.

Having been in the cryptocurrency space for so many years, I understand the frustration of feeling lost. The market moves quickly, information is fragmented, and without a reliable partner to sort out the thoughts together, it's really easy to waste sleepless nights.

If you are also caught in this confusion, don't bear it alone. Come chat with me, Jun Ge. I am Jun Ge, an old-timer in the cryptocurrency world. I usually love to analyze trends and also enjoy helping my brothers clarify their logic.

@俊哥说趋势 Let's discuss and improve together. Chat room ID user99fzt, feel free to come in and sit for a while. How is the market moving? Where are the opportunities hidden? We can chat and break it down together, and who knows, the next fluctuation might be one you can catch steadily.

The cryptocurrency world is not short of opportunities; what’s lacking is partners who can discern direction together. I'll be waiting for you in the chat room.
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划

Last weekend, the market suddenly faced a precise strike.

A certain exchange took advantage of the most illiquid period to throw out over 1 billion USD worth of spot sell orders, directly crashing the Bitcoin price by nearly 10%. This maneuver not only liquidated a large number of retail investors' long contracts but also violently penetrated a key on-chain cost-intensive area—the price fell into the 'chip vacuum zone' between 74,000 and 79,000 USD, fundamentally disrupting the market's original structure.

Currently, 74,000 USD and 76,000 USD are considered psychological support levels by many; the former corresponds to institutional holding costs, while the latter is a key node of historical highs. However, reviewing on-chain data reveals that there aren't many chips piled up above 71,000 USD; the real concentrated liquidation area is hidden near 72,000 USD—if one wants to see an effective technical stop of the decline, the price will most likely need to first probe down to this point.

The root of this decline actually lies at the macro level. If uncertainties like geopolitical issues continue to persist, funds are likely to maintain a risk-averse stance and remain inactive, making it difficult for the outflow trend of ETF funds to reverse in the short term.

Lunch small fluctuations, directly into the bag for safety. @俊哥说趋势
Brother Jun never takes big risks when entering the market, steadily profiting. If you agree with Brother Jun's ideas and operations, feel free to give Brother Jun a free follow. Brother Jun will publish recent updates in real-time on the homepage #BTC何时反弹？

Jun's Analysis:

Recent Trend: From the images, the overall price shows a downward trend, with signs of accelerated decline. The price has broken through multiple key support levels.

Core Points:

The MACD indicator shows that the DIF line is below the DEA line, and the green bars continue to expand, indicating a dominant bearish force.

The price has continuously broken downward, and the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages suppressing long-term moving averages.

The trading volume has increased during the decline, indicating significant selling pressure.

Operational Suggestions:

The bearish trend is clear, and it is not recommended to bottom fish in the short term. Previous short positions can continue to be held.

If holding spot, consider reducing positions or setting stop losses during rebounds to avoid greater losses.

Aggressive traders may participate in the rebound with light positions but must strictly set stop losses. Around 294 can be considered a short-term resistance level.

Closely monitor the 290 round number; if it breaks, it may further probe around 285.

Midnight market, hold steady and don't stop, Jun is still bearish

Down south, down south, brothers #ETH

Recent Trend Analysis of ETH

Trend Judgment

It can be clearly seen from the chart that the price of ETH has shown a significant downward trend recently. Since around January 28, the price has sharply declined from close to 3045, continuing to fall to a closing price of 2199 on February 2, with a huge drop in a short period, and the rebound during this process has been weak. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, further confirming the downtrend.

Core Points

Price Trend: The rapid decline in price from the high indicates that the market bears have an absolute dominance.

Technical Indicators: In the MACD indicator, both DIF and DEA are negative, and DIF is below DEA. The MACD histogram is green and continues to expand, indicating strong bearish momentum.

Market Sentiment: Combined with the drop and technical patterns, it is speculated that market investors are experiencing heavy panic, and bullish confidence is severely undermined.

Operational Suggestions

For Bearish Holders: Given the current strong bearish trend, one can continue to hold short positions but should set reasonable take-profit and stop-loss levels. The take-profit can be set based on previous lows or key support levels, and the stop-loss should be placed above recent slight rebound highs to prevent unexpected large rebounds in price.

For Bullish Observers: It is not recommended to easily attempt to catch the bottom in the short term because the downtrend has not changed, and the risk of catching the bottom is extremely high. One should wait for clear stabilization signals in price, such as consecutive small bullish candles and gradually increasing trading volume, before considering entering long positions with a light load.

For Conservative Investors: Maintain observation until the trend is unclear, waiting for the market to establish a clear trend before taking action to avoid losses in a volatile or downward market.

Good afternoon, brothers...🌞
🆕 A new week starts with fan profit feedback!

2.2 Pancake Analysis
First, let's talk about today's key points:
• Intraday resistance level, we first look near 78000;
• Intraday support level, focus on near 75000.
Next, let's break it down from a technical perspective.
From the four-hour level, the short-term market is actually in a state where bearish forces are gradually diminishing. This means that the downward momentum in the short term has weakened, so there is a possibility of a rebound. However, it is important to note—this is just a short-term correction and not a signal of trend reversal. Currently, the overall bearish trend has not changed, meaning that if the price rebounds to the resistance level, we can still consider opportunities to short in the direction of the trend.
Additionally, there is actually still a gap above the market; theoretically, such gaps easily trigger cash replenishment and push for a rebound. But right now, we see that the strength of the bulls' counterattack is not strong, and there is even a feeling of 'having the heart but lacking the strength.' More worth noting is that the price's lows are continuously moving lower, and this kind of movement easily creates a psychological pressure of 'as if there is no bottom.'
Combining the above analysis, our intraday operation ideas can be arranged as follows:
1. Short at highs near the resistance level—focus on near 78000; if the price rebounds here and the volume does not significantly increase, we can consider placing short orders;
2. Be cautious when breaking the resistance level—once the price effectively breaks through 78000, do not rush to chase the short; first observe the changes in volume. If it breaks out with increased volume, we can try a short position with a light load, but be sure to enter and exit quickly, and strictly control risks;
3. Use the support level as a defensive reference—near 75000 can serve as an important short-term support; once broken, it may mean the bears will exert further strength.
In summary: although there are signs of a short-term rebound, the overall direction remains bearish; operationally, it is recommended to mainly short at the resistance level, and respond flexibly to breakout based on volume. Stay calm, control your position and stop-loss, to stabilize the rhythm amidst volatility.

炒币最笨的赚钱法：三不做六必杀，庄家都怕你学会！

币圈暴富的秘籍，往往藏在最笨的方法里。
今天我要揭秘的这个"笨办法"，连庄家看了都直冒冷汗——因为它简单到令人发指，却能让你的账户余额像坐了火箭一样往上窜！

炒币三大禁忌，犯一个穷三年！
第一忌：追涨杀跌！你知道为什么90%的韭菜都亏钱吗？因为他们总在币价冲天时高呼"这次不一样"，结果被套在山顶喝西北风。

真正的狠人，专挑币圈血流成河时进场——当交易所APP都不敢打开的时候，就是你该贪婪的时候！

第二忌：All in单币！见过赌徒把全部家当押在"幸运数字"上吗？他们的结局都写在赌场VIP室的厕所里。留三成现金在手里，暴跌时你才知道什么叫"别人恐慌我抄底"的快乐！

第三忌：满仓梭哈！币圈最残酷的真相：机会永远比钱多。满仓的人就像被捆住手脚的猎手，眼睁睁看着肥羊从面前溜走。记住，仓位管理才是顶级高手的保命符！

短线六大口诀，招招见血
1. 盘整必变盘定律：高位横盘？别急，庄家一定会拉个"假突破"请君入瓮！低位磨底？小心，暴跌往往在绝望中突袭！记住：变盘方向确认前，你的手比金子还珍贵！

2. 横盘=死亡陷阱：数据告诉你，80%的爆仓都发生在横盘期！那些忍不住手痒的人，现在坟头草都三米高了

3. 阴线买阳线卖：反向操作才是王道！当K线收出恐怖大阴线时，恭喜你——捡钱时刻到了！

4. 暴跌加速原理：币价跌得越慢，反弹越温柔；跌得越疯，反弹越暴力！下次见到瀑布式暴跌，请准备好麻袋装钱！

5. 金字塔建仓术：华尔街大佬打死不愿公开的秘密：底部区域每跌10%就加仓一成，成本价能压到让庄家哭晕！

6.变盘清仓法则：暴涨币横盘？别贪心，先撤本金留利润飞！暴跌币横盘？别侥幸，割肉要快过李小龙出拳！

有人总问我：哥，你现在选币、买点到底看啥

我告诉你现在我的方法简单但稳，没那么复杂，但效果是真的不差

直接说，听得进去就抄，听不进去就当我在吹牛

第一步：看涨幅榜
每次选币的第一步，我都先打开涨幅榜，看近半个月谁动过，涨过，就加到自选里

为啥？只有涨过的币才有人关注，后面才有后手

这样选币，不容易错过潜力股

第二步：月线MACD
不用看那么多技术指标，我只看一个——月线MACD的金叉
金叉才有趋势，别老想着超跌反弹，赌命式博弈我早就玩够了
想赚稳定的，找趋势，跟着它走

第三步：盯60日线
日线看得比较少，我只盯60日线附近
只要币价回踩到70日均线附近放量，马上重仓干
不猜，不赌，信号到就进场，没信号就休息
很多人去赌70日线以下的机会，基本上要么亏钱，要么爆仓，太危险了

第四步：进场后不恋战
进场后，信号明确就拿着，线一破立马走，不犹豫
很多人都是因为舍不得走，结果从盈利变成亏损，这就是缺乏纪律的代价
该走就走，绝不拖泥带水

第五步：止盈分节奏
涨幅超过30%就砍一半，50%再砍一半，别想着吃完一整段，市场不会全喂你
小赚的就收着，慢慢来，长久才是硬道理

第六步：跌破70日线就走人
这个规则是我自己的铁律，跌破70日线，马上走人
无论是刚买还是已经套了几天，跌破就是信号，立马走，别心软
这个原则救了我无数次，很多人死在了不愿止损的情绪里

很多人会觉得这方法太机械，但我告诉你，越感性越死得快
你看我说的这些，哪一条难
都不难，难的是你能不能执行
所以你问我怎么赚钱，怎么翻身
这些就是我用600万亏出来的节奏

行情永远都有
但大多数人永远活不到赚钱的那一波，你不是走得不够快，而是一个人在黑夜里乱撞，俊哥一直都在，灯就在前面，不跟上，就永远在夜里循环

Eight years of ups and downs in the cryptocurrency world, three survival rules bought with real money

In a rented room in Shenzhen in 2018, I watched the screen as Bitcoin soared. 300,000 in capital felt like it was on a rocket, soaring to nearly 3 million. In that moment, my head was hot with excitement, convinced that "the cryptocurrency world can change fate."

But fate's joke came faster than a storm. Just three days later, the market suddenly crashed. By Christmas, when I checked my account, there was less than 600,000 left. It was then I fully woke up, realizing that the obsession with "waiting for a return" was the dullest knife, quietly cutting away all luck.

After eight years of struggle and bloodshed, I accumulated three lessons learned through hard cash.

Leverage is a knife, not wings​

In the early days, I tried 20x leverage trading Ethereum, and when I made 400,000 in a day, I felt like the chosen one. But then in 2021 on "519", the market turned sharply downward, and in two hours, I lost 600,000 in profits along with the principal. Now my rule is strict: leverage must not exceed 3x, and the position in a single currency is capped at 5%. Money should be earned slowly; holding the knife too tightly can easily cut your hand.

Don’t look for family heirlooms in the casino​

I once bet all my passion on so-called "domestic Ethereum," entering with 250,000. I watched it rise to 1.5 million but clung to the thought of "it can go higher" and wouldn't let go. In the end, the price fell to nothing, leaving less than 0.001 dollars. Now I lock 85% of my funds into Bitcoin and Ethereum, leaving only 15% for altcoins as pocket money. "Potential stocks" on the gambling table are mostly traps wrapped in sugar coating.

Stop-loss is the last dignity​

Every trade requires a hard stop-loss set at 8%; if triggered, exit without hesitation or fantasy. Before trying to double, first ask your conscience: if the account goes to zero, can you still calmly enjoy a hot pot? The cryptocurrency world never lacks opportunities; what’s missing is the capital to survive until the opportunity arises. As long as the green mountains remain, there is a chance for a comeback.

On the day I crawled up from the ruins of the cryptocurrency world, I held a "lamp of survival" in my hand. It may not be bright enough, but it can illuminate the pits beneath my feet; it may not be warm enough, but it can help me breathe in the cold night.

This lamp has been shining; do you want to follow?

Dare to use a lifetime to stubbornly stick to this circle and want to support a family through it? First, remember these 10 rules by heart.

If you are truly determined to rely on this circle to support your family's life, don't rush in recklessly. These 10 iron rules are all hard-earned experiences, each hitting the pain point, shared with those who are willing to settle down and grind.

Strong coins have fallen for 9 consecutive days at a high position, don't hesitate, follow decisively.

Any coin that rises for 2 consecutive days, don't be greedy, reduce your position immediately.

Coins that rise more than 7%, are likely to surge the next day, keep an eye on them and don't let up.

Don't chase high on bull coins, wait for a pullback to stabilize before entering.

If it has been stagnant like dead water for 3 consecutive days, wait another 3 days, if there is no movement, switch directly.

If you can't earn back the cost from the previous day, exit quickly and don't drag it out.

If there are three on the rise list, there must be five; if there are five, there must be seven. Enter on the low after 2 consecutive days of rising, and the fifth day is suitable for taking profits.

Volume and price are the soul, remember this. Pay close attention to low-level volume breakthroughs; if high-level volume doesn't rise, run fast.

Only trade coins in an upward trend. If the 3-day line is going up, short-term can surge; if the 30-day line is going up, mid-term has potential; if the 80-day line is going up, the main rising wave is coming; if the 120-day line is going up, long-term is a sure win.

If small funds want to turn around, it’s not about gambling, but finding the right method, maintaining the right mindset, executing decisively, and being able to wait for the opportunity.

My approach is very simple: I don't open a position without a clear pattern; I act only when I'm sure. I’ve traded to eight figures in a year, with a win rate stable above 90% in five years, relying entirely on these 'simple methods'.

At the age of 33, looking back at my 8 years in the cryptocurrency world, there are always people coming up to ask: Did you really make money?

The answer is quite straightforward — during the market trend from 2021 to 2023, my account steadily reached an 8-digit figure. Now, when I go out, I stay at hotels that cost 2000 yuan a night, living a more relaxed life than many 80s who are doing real business or running online stores.

Some people keep asking for the secret. In fact, it has nothing to do with talent or luck; it all relies on a set of "simple methods" — the 253 phased investment method. With it, I have genuinely secured over 20 million in profits. Beginners can follow it and avoid stepping into a lot of pitfalls.

Taking the most familiar BTC as an example, if you prepare 100,000 yuan as a fund pool, you can implement the method in three steps.

The first step is "2": first take 20%, which is 20,000, for a lightweight trial. Keeping the position light means you won't panic no matter how the market fluctuates; the risk is completely manageable. I've seen too many beginners go all in as soon as they enter the market, feeling elated when it rises and losing their composure when it falls. This step effectively blocks that pit.

The second step is "5": the remaining 50%, which is 50,000, is added in phases. If the market rises, wait for a pullback before taking action. If it falls, add slowly at the pace of "10% for every 8% drop." This way, regardless of how the market jumps around, the holding cost can be gradually averaged out, avoiding being trapped by entering at a single point.

The third step is "3": wait until the trend is fully established; for example, after BTC breaks through a key point without falling back, then add the last 30%, which is 30,000. The entire investment pace is steady and calm, instead resembling an anchored position, solid and secure.

This method may seem "simple," but in the cryptocurrency world, it is precisely the "simple methods" that last the longest. Now that the market is still in a volatile phase, I have seen many beginners chasing highs and selling lows, always looking for a "shortcut," resulting in significant losses overnight that make them doubt life. Meanwhile, by relying on the principles of "253" — "stay calm, don't be greedy, and invest in phases" — I have instead grounded myself amidst the fluctuations.

In fact, the hardest part in the cryptocurrency world has never been finding some "magical operation," but rather learning to exercise restraint. Restraining the greed to go all in and also restraining the fear that comes from falling prices.

There was a time when I was also blindly stumbling in the darkness of the cryptocurrency world, unable to find my way. Now, I finally have a "light" in my hand.

This light has been shining all along; it just depends on whether you are willing to follow it.

In the life scripts of people over 30, I have seen too many tales of wealth that quickly fade, and I have also witnessed the moment of the 'flying person's' fall. Someone once bluntly asked me: 'Have you really made money over the years?'

I smiled. From 2020 to 2022, my account balance quietly crossed the threshold of 8 digits.

What's the secret? It's not a talent bestowed by heaven, nor is it sheer luck; it’s four words—'stability is key.'

Step one, '3'—take a small test to gauge the temperature

When my total capital was 120,000, I first used 30%, which is 36,000. When the market is shrouded in uncertainty like a fog, a small position serves as a lifeline, protecting the principal while allowing for quiet observation of the market's breathing rhythm. Greed pushes you to go all in, while panic forces you to cut losses; stepping into either of these traps means you exit early.

Step two, '2'—accumulate positions in batches during pullbacks

Wait for the price to pull back to key support levels, or drop by 10%-20%, and then add another 20% to your position. Don’t think about bottom fishing all at once; steadily averaging down your cost is the smart move—turning market fluctuations from enemies into friends. Slowly, you will find that while others are panic-selling, you are quietly accumulating quality assets.

Step three, '1'—go full position when the trend is clear

When the trend is as clear as navigation, and the direction is no longer wavering, that's when you can fully commit. Once your position is set, have your stop-loss and take-profit lines drawn early, without being swayed by the emotions of 'let's wait a bit' or 'it can still rise.' Profits are securely pocketed, and risks are kept within controllable limits.

Ultimately, the core of this approach boils down to two words: discipline and patience. Do not chase high prices, do not blindly average down, and do not be greedy for that immediate 'doubling' thrill. Let the market present opportunities on its own; you just need to follow your own pace, executing step by step.

The insights gained from 10 years of practical experience: making money is never about being 'fast'; it's about being able to 'endure.'

Of course, relying on one person is truly difficult. It’s better to follow a team with direction than to venture aimlessly on your own. Having a reliable team to guide you is always better than fighting solo—after all, only those who can see the trend can avoid detours.

BTC short position has gained six thousand points in floating profit, cashing out a profit of thirteen thousand three hundred US dollars. This operation was executed smoothly, maximizing happiness.

ETH short position was also strong, with a floating profit of three hundred fifty points, directly cashing in thirty-six thousand eight hundred US dollars. The market rhythm was accurately grasped, and the harvest naturally was not absent.

Both short positions have been decisively cashed out, preventing profits from being lost in fluctuations. Not only were the earnings locked in to the fullest, but the risk control bottom line was also maintained. When it was time to push forward, there was no hesitation; when it was time to take profits, there was no greed. This operation was solid enough.

Product: eth$ETH
Strategy One: Short selling at high
Enter around 2826, stop loss at 2863, aim for 2673
Strategy Two: Long buying at low
Enter at 2633, stop loss at 2621, aim for 2826
Brothers who find it useful, give Jun Ge a follow #ETH

Keep up with Jun's pace 🚀🚀🚀 don't stop

Brothers, if the pancake drops to between 81600 and 81000, enter a long position. Remember to set your points. Salute 🚀🚀🚀

When other knockoffs go against the mainstream, only dog falls alongside the mainstream 😂😂😂#DOGE冲冲冲