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Bestow Fish's In-Depth Crypto Market Analysis Today | January 25, 2026

Hello everyone, this is Bestow Fish! Today I'm bringing you exclusive in-depth information and trading advice.

📊 【Key Market Trends】

BTC fell below the key $90,000 mark today, currently priced at $88,330, a 1.4% drop in the last 24 hours and a 7.3% drop this week, erasing all year-to-date gains.

ETH also weakened, currently priced at $2,932, fluctuating narrowly between $2,900 and $3,000.

The market is currently at a sentiment low, with funds temporarily withdrawing and observing. However, on-chain data shows significant buying support for BTC around $88,000, which is a key level we need to focus on going forward.


🔑 【Major Platform Moves】

Binance has been making frequent moves recently, accelerating its compliance process:

- SWIFT USD withdrawal fees have been reduced to $25, a significant decrease from the previous $100+.

- Its subsidiary BPay has officially obtained a compliance license in Bahrain, completely eliminating the risk of frozen accounts.

- This means that withdrawals now have a legitimate channel, eliminating reliance on grey OTC transactions and fundamentally improving fund security.

⚖️ 【Key Regulatory Signals】

China has included virtual currencies in its legislative research, clarifying that while individual holding of virtual currencies is not illegal, commercial OTC transactions and cross-border currency exchange are considered regulatory red lines.

Simultaneously, 48 countries worldwide have launched the CARF tax network, synchronizing all on-chain transaction records with national tax authorities, effectively ending the era of tax evasion in the cryptocurrency market.

Please ensure your transactions are compliant and retain all deposit and withdrawal receipts.

🎁 【Opportunities and Airdrops】

- DOGE's payment business application "Such" will launch at the beginning of the year. This is the first payment scenario implemented by the Dogecoin Foundation and is expected to drive a surge in market activity.

- Some exchanges are currently offering exclusive promotions for new users: 3-day 50% annualized return investment; trade 100U to unlock a 500U airdrop position.

- I will be breaking down more airdrop secrets and project insider information in my live stream. Remember to tune in!

💡 【Bestow Fish's Exclusive Trading Advice】

- BTC short-term support level: $88,000, resistance level: $90,000

$BTC
- ETH short-term support level: $2,900, resistance level: $3,000

$ETH
- The current recommendation is to operate with a light position, keeping the position size below 20%, avoiding leverage, and waiting for a clear market signal.

#今日市场观点

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Hello everyone, I am Bestow Fish! Bringing you a deep overview of key cryptocurrency news on January 24, 2026, focusing on ETF dynamics, regulatory new policies, and on-chain risks, full of valuable information, suggested to bookmark～

1. 📄 Grayscale has submitted a spot ETF application for BNB (S-1)

- Nasdaq code GBNB, custodial by Coinbase, includes staking value-added design
​
- Competitors: VanEck has submitted and revised the law, may have an approval first-mover advantage
​
- Market reaction: BNB slightly rose by 0.5% to **$368**, waiting for SEC approval pace

2. 🐶 21Shares Dogecoin ETF (TDOG) launches

- Listed on Nasdaq on January 22, endorsed by the Dogecoin Foundation, 1:1 full reserve, fee rate 0.5%
​
- 21Shares previously launched a 2x leveraged DOGE ETF (TXXD), retail/institutional investors can access through traditional brokers
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- Impact: DOGE liquidity increases, short-term volatility may amplify

3. 🇬🇧 UK FCA crypto licensing timeline clarified

- License applications open in September 2026, must operate with a license by October 2027
​
- Core: Applicable consumer responsibility rules, covering information transparency, fair pricing, and full customer support
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- Current status: Final consultation until March 12, existing institutions need to reapply, unapproved can only maintain existing business

4. ⚠️ ETH on-chain daily active data questioned

- Abnormal: Daily active users nearly 8 million, transaction volume approaching 2.9 million, suspected address poisoning attack driven
​
- Incentive: After the Fusaka upgrade, transaction fees dropped over 60%, garbage transaction costs reduced
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- Evidence: About 80% of new addresses are associated with stablecoins, first transactions mostly **<1 dollar small transfers**; confirmed 116 people lost over $740,000
​
- Impact: ETH fundamental signal distorted, beware of “artificial prosperity”
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Advance

📉 Core Market (As of January 23, 18:00)

- Global cryptocurrency market cap is approximately $3.02 trillion, with a slight decline of 0.41% in the last 24 hours.
​
- BTC ≈ $89,500 (-1.13%), ETH ≈ $2,950 (-2.34%), mainstream altcoins generally corrected.
​
- Market sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 34 (Fear), with funds shifting preference towards precious metals.

🔥 Today's News Brief

1. Whale Activity: A dormant BTC wallet that had been inactive for 12 years transferred 909 BTC (approximately $84 million), raising concerns about early sell-offs.
​
2. Security Incident: Saga EVM was hacked for about $7 million; South Korean prosecutors lost seized BTC worth $48 million.
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3. Institutional Dynamics: YZi Labs made a strategic investment in BitGo IPO; Coinbase established a quantum security advisory committee.
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4. Platform Dynamics: The staking volume of GT on the Gate platform exceeded 40.02 million, setting a new record; Binance will airdrop for users holding $1.
​
5. Sector Divergence: GameFi, AI, and RWA rose against the trend, while Layer2, DeFi, and Meme coins led the decline.

💡 Market Interpretation
Macroeconomic disturbances combined with profit-taking by institutions caused fluctuations, with BTC facing pressure at the $90,000 level. Short-term focus on support at $88,000-$90,000, with strict control over high leverage and altcoin risks.
#今日市场观点 #巨鲸 $BTC

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January 22, 2026 Financial Market Core Dynamics Overview, information as of 14:30 on the same day👇

1. Global Market

- U.S. Stocks Strong Rebound: Trump cancels new tariffs on Europe, Dow up 1.21% (49077 points), S&P 500 up 1.16% (6876 points), Nasdaq up 1.18% (23225 points), Intel up over 11%, storage stocks lead the rise.
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- Asia-Pacific Continues to Rise: Nikkei 225 up over 1%; Korea's KOSPI breaks 5000 points for the first time, setting a new historical high; A-shares fluctuate, AI computing power chain surges, gold stocks hit the daily limit.
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- Cryptocurrency Rebounds: Bitcoin rises 3.5% from its daily low, Ethereum up over 5% breaking $3000.
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- Bond Market Stabilizes: 10-year U.S. Treasury yield down 4.7 basis points, 30-year yield retreats from high levels; Japanese bonds rebound.
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- Commodity Divergence: COMEX gold futures up 1.48% ($4836 per ounce), silver futures down 1.78% ($92.95 per ounce); U.S. oil up 0.51% ($60.67 per barrel), U.S. natural gas surges 28%.
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- Foreign Exchange Market: U.S. Dollar Index up 0.23% (98.78), Swiss Franc sees the largest decline in two months, Euro down 0.33% against the U.S. dollar.

2. China Market

- A-share Performance: Wind All A up 0.57%, CSI 500 up 1.12%, SSE 50 down 0.11%, trading volume 2.62 trillion yuan; northbound capital net inflow, domestic capital outflow of 177.1 billion yuan.
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- Bond Market: 30-year Treasury futures up 0.75%, interbank funds relaxed, DR001 down 5bp to 1.3212%; Vanke's 1.1 billion bond extension approved, related bonds rise.
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- Futures Regulation: Shanghai Futures Exchange raises margin and price limits for gold, silver, copper, aluminum and other contracts to cool down the overheating commodity market.
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- Bank Dynamics: Several banks' large denomination certificate of deposit rates fall below 1%, rates for terms under 1 year generally in the "0 range", short-term trends are evident.
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- Fund Risk Warning: Guotou Silver LOF suspended trading all day due to high premium (over 70% increase within the month), warning that the premium is unsustainable.

3. Policies and Macroeconomics

- United States: Cancel new tariffs on eight European countries starting February 1, stating the framework for an agreement on Greenland, easing trade friction concerns.
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- People's Bank of China: Accelerate the construction of the RMB cross-border payment system, promote interconnectivity, enhance the efficiency of cross-border use of the RMB.
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- LPR: Remains unchanged for 8 consecutive months, 1-year 3.05%, 5-year and above 3.5%.
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$BNB

Tonight's must-watch! BTC/ETH key support level warning. The battle between bulls and bears is happening now!
1. Current price and core factors (as of 22:50, UTC+8)

- BTC: approximately $91,000, bearish dominance at the 4-hour level, weak rebound, suppressed by the tariff war and macro risk-averse sentiment.
​
- ETH: approximately $3,100, weaker trend, greater volatility, following BTC, no independent market.

2. Key levels (BTC)

- Support: $90,000 (strong support, breaks down to accelerate to $88,000-$89,000), $90,600-$91,000 (intraday low platform).
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- Resistance: $91,800-$92,400 (EMA suppression + daytime drop pause area), $93,000 (strong resistance, break through or weak rebound to $93,500).

3. Key levels (ETH)

- Support: $3,080 (strong support, breaks down to look at $2,900-$2,950), $3,100 (intraday low platform).
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- Resistance: $3,120-$3,150 (short-term pressure), $3,200 (strong resistance, break through or weak rebound to $3,250).

4. Technical analysis and sentiment

- BTC: 4-hour MACD death cross, RSI<50, bearish momentum not dissipated; increased selling volume, leveraged long liquidation, sentiment is pessimistic.
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- ETH: 4-hour symmetrical triangle breakdown, MACD death cross, green bars expanding; $3,100-$3,150 has a large number of long stop losses, breaking could trigger chain liquidation.

5. Evening operation suggestions

1. Position: light positions/watching, strictly control leverage, avoid chasing highs.
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2. Going long: BTC stabilizes above $91,800, ETH stabilizes above $3,150 before trying small long positions, stop losses set below $90,800, $3,080 respectively.
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3. Going short: BTC breaks below $90,000, ETH breaks below $3,080 before trying small short positions, take profit at previous lows, stop losses set above $91,500, $3,150 respectively.
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4. Risk control: do not hold positions if broken, reduce positions if rebounds are weak, prioritize capital preservation.
#今日市场观点 $BTC
$ETH