Today, we are witnessing a historic moment for gold.
Gold just hit $5,310/oz for the first time in its entire history.
That's a +23% rip in just 28 days.
We’re looking at a $1,000 gain per oz in under a month.
We haven't seen a monthly pump this hard since 1980🤯
A real classic move.
Are you watching this?! 👀
Watching gold print 5310 feels surreal after years of slow accumulation. A 23 percent move in under a month signals serious macro stress. I see this as capital rushing toward safety, not speculative excitement. Moves like this rarely come alone, they usually precede broader market adjustments. I am watching closely because moments like this tend to echo later.
🚨 JAMES E. THORNE: REAL-TIME DATA EXPOSES THE FED’S POLICY MISTAKE
The FOMC meets today. Powell is unlikely to cut rates, but economist James E. Thorne argues the Fed is stuck reacting to lagging data.
Thorne: “Powell’s Fed is incompetent. Where are the ‘inflation is permanent’ Wall Street voices now? Where is the tariff inflation? The FFR should be 2.75% right now.”
With key BLS and BEA inflation and labor data delayed or incomplete, the Fed should be weighing real-time price data more heavily.
According to Truflation, inflation cooled sharply in January ; led by housing and several other categories.
FOMC rate cut decision is coming today at 2 p.m. ET.
Market's pricing in a 97.2% chance of a PAUSE today. A 25bps cut would be a massive bullish surprise, but the baseline is steady rates at 3.5%.
BTC: $89,349 ETH: $3,015 SOL: $126
Longs are heavily crowded, especially on SOL with a 3.5x ratio. Even BTC is leaning long at 2.0x. This typically means the path of least resistance for a "volatility event" is a quick flush to clear leverage before any real move.
Key levels: BTC: Support at 88,862, Resistance at 89,415. SOL: Key support around 120.
Expect a 3 to 5% swing once Powell starts talking at 2:30 PM ET. If he stays hawkish on "higher for longer," those crowded longs are in for a rough afternoon. Stay alert.
The race for the Fed Chair is heating up — and markets are “betting” on a strong dovish pivot.
🔵Markets are increasingly speculating that Powell’s successor could lean more dovish. 🔵One prominent name is Rick Rieder (BlackRock), who’s been mentioned more frequently given his past support for deeper rate cuts and his criticism of the “dot plot” guidance. 🔵In rate futures/SOFR derivatives and options, positioning for a more aggressive easing path has picked up noticeably, with both trading volume and open interest rising. 🔵While the swaps market is pricing only limited cuts, options traders are pricing in tail risk that rates could fall to around ~1.5% by year-end.
Prediction platforms show his odds improving, reinforcing expectations of a softer Fed stance.
GOLD Bullish Continuation Intact Buy Pullbacks Within the Trend.
On the macro side, persistent USD weakness, sustained safe-haven demand, and only modest Fed easing expectations keep the broader backdrop supportive for gold. This combination allows upside momentum to remain controlled and constructive rather than emotional.
➡️Overall bias: Bullish – prioritize BUY setups aligned with the main trend.
Structure & Price Action
M30 structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
Price continues to respect previous demand and key levels, confirming active buyer participation.
No bearish CHoCH has been confirmed.
The current leg is expanding toward higher Fibonacci extensions, reinforcing trend continuation.
Key insight: 👉As long as structure holds, pullbacks represent opportunity — not risk.
Trading Plan
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Focus on patience and execution at discounted levels, not chasing price at extensions.
➡️Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️Avoid FOMO at extended highs.
Upside Targets: TP1: 5,250 TP2: 5,309 (Next ATH extension zone)
🔵Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,250 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs.
🔵Invalidation A confirmed M30 close below 5,044 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment.
🔵Summary Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion, driven by structure and macro flow. The edge is not calling the top, but buying pullbacks within demand while the trend remains intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
With the US dollar recently weakening and the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged exceeding 97%, the market is eagerly awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks, as they could provide crucial signals for the markets. 📊
💵 Why is a weak dollar important?
A weaker dollar helps to:
1️⃣ Ease financial pressures (and paves the way for an interest rate cut) 2️⃣ Boost nominal GDP growth 3️⃣ Support asset prices 4️⃣ Increase US exports and reduce the trade deficit 5️⃣ Make servicing the US government's debt easier
📊Gold continues its upward trend amidst current economic and political conditions.
The dollar is declining, while gold, silver, and copper are experiencing a strong upward surge.
Trump wants an industrialized economy, and to achieve this, the dollar must weaken. Otherwise, American industries will remain expensive compared to China.
Real estate and stocks are in a precarious position. Holding interest rates steady means a significant decline in these sectors, which are already at their peak and overvalued. A collapse at this time would be catastrophic for the economy.
The solution is to print money, lower interest rates, revive the economy, let gold soar, weaken the dollar, and stimulate American industries.
In short, gold continues its upward trajectory amidst military and economic conflicts, geopolitical tensions, and the reckless and ill-considered statements of America's clown. He makes a decision, then reverses it a few days later, causing uncertainty and ambiguity in the markets.
⚡ TODAY: RIPPLE INTRODUCES 24/7 DIGITAL LIQUIDITY PLATFORM
Ripple Treasury is here: a unified platform blending 40+ years of GTreasury expertise (now under Ripple's $1B acquisition) with real-time digital asset infrastructure.
Key wins for enterprises: ✅ Manage fiat, stablecoins (like RLUSD), & tokenized deposits from one dashboard ✅ Instant cross-border moves & global repo access for yield ✅ Bank-grade compliance, custody, & reporting built for Fortune 500 CFOs
This isn't crypto speculation — it's operational efficiency at global scale. 🌐
@Ripple President Monica Long predicts corporate digital asset holdings could 5x to $1 trillion by end of 2026, with ~50% of Fortune 500 adopting formal strategies.
🚨BIG WARNING: THE NEXT 72 HOURS CAN MAKE OR BREAK CRYPTO.
This week has one of the most dangerous macro setups we’ve seen in months.
In the next 3 days, six major events are hitting the market.
1) Trump speaks today at 4 PM ET.
He will talk about the US economy and energy prices.
If he calls for lower energy prices, this will directly impact the inflation.
2) The Fed decision tomorrow.
This time, no rate cut or hike is expected.
So the real move will start when Powell speaks.
2 weeks ago, Powell accused Trump of forcing him for rate cuts.
Also, the BLS inflation metric is not showing any major sign of slowing down.
This means Powell could continue the hawkish tone.
Along with that, Trump has called for new tariffs this month, which could push the Fed to be more hawkish.
So if Powell leans more towards hawkishness, be ready for more bart formation.
3) Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft earnings.
These stocks control the stock market sentiment. If they miss, the market could dump. If they beat, we can see a relief rally.
Their earnings will happen during the FOMC meeting day, which could add even more volatility to the markets.
4) US PPI inflation data on Thursday.
This tells the Fed how hot inflation still is.
Hot PPI means no rate cuts. No rate cuts means no liquidity. No liquidity means pressure on crypto.
On the same day, Apple will also report its earnings.
If the earning weakens, the whole market feels it.
5) And after that, Friday will come, which is the deadline for the US government shutdown.
Last time this happened, the crypto market experienced a brutal crash.
This was because liquidity was drained from markets.
Now the situation is even worse, and a shutdown could be devastating.
So in 72 hours we get: • Trump speech • Fed decision + Powell speech • Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft earnings • PPI inflation • Apple earnings • US government Shutdown deadline
If any of these goes against the market, red candles will be all over again.
Because when the currency bleeds like that, everything else is just the next chapter.
Shutdown. Debt. Repo stress. De dollarization.
It's all connected.
Now look at what's happening.
The government is days away from a shutdown, and the White House is in chaos.
Why? Because they lost control AGAIN.
They hate what they can't control, and they know there's no clean fix for the mess that's building.
They'll try to feed you the usual line that "everything is fine".
But people don't buy it anymore.
Lies only work for so long.
And when the truth finally hits, the crash will be far more violent than if they'd been honest from the start.
THE PATTERNS ARE SCREAMING 2008
The Fed's emergency repo facility just spiked. Private lenders are getting tight with each other again. That's exactly how it looked before Lehman.
The S&P 500 to gold ratio just broke a key support level. The last time we saw that, risk got smoked.
The Sahm Rule is back in the danger zone. End of 2025 was already flirting with 0.35% to 0.50%.
THE MATH DOES NOT ADD UP
Over $800B in commercial real estate debt matures this year. Rates are still high, and the buildings are worth way less than the loans. Banks are already pushing this risk out the back door for cheap.
Now add the chaos at the top.
On January 11, 2026, the DOJ opened a criminal investigation into Powell over his testimony on the $2.5B Fed renovations. Powell's calling it punishment for resisting the White House on rates.
Meanwhile, consumers are cracking.
Credit card delinquencies 90+ days past due are hitting levels not seen since 2011. Auto loans and credit cards are sliding into serious delinquency. Some reports show total household debt around $18.5T into late 2025 and early 2026.
And businesses aren't safe either.
Bankruptcy filings are up around 12% year over year going into 2026.
Bitcoin's hash rate drops as a severe cold snap hits the US!
Bitcoin's hash rate has dropped as a severe cold snap hits the United States.
This type of sharp drop usually indicates that miners are voluntarily reducing their activity by temporarily shutting down their equipment, often due to:
• Increased energy costs • Strain on power grids • Operational priorities during severe weather
Important reminder: These drops are often temporary, and as conditions improve, miners gradually return to the network.
Net $VIX futures positioning among asset managers is down to -$1.0 billion, the lowest in at least 10 years.
Short volatility bets have now surpassed the August 2024 peak before the Volatility Index, $VIX, exploded +280%, to 65 points, the highest since the 2020 pandemic.
At the same time, hedge fund $VIX futures positioning is down to -$42.7 million, the lowest since August 2024 and the 2nd-lowest on record.
Positioning shifted from neutral to net short over the last several weeks, marking a sharp reversal in the sentiment.
Meanwhile, US hedge fund gross leverage, which tracks total long and short exposure, rose to a record 223%, marking the 3rd consecutive weekly increase.
In Q4 2025, Tether added roughly 27 tonnes of gold to its reserves, placing the company among the world’s top 30 gold holders and ahead of countries like Greece, Qatar, and Australia.
Over the course of 2025, the market capitalization of gold-backed stablecoins expanded from about $1.3 billion to over $4 billion, with XAU₮ accounting for nearly 60% of the total market.
“THE CURRENT FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS DECADES BEHIND THE TIMES — IT NEEDS TO BE REPLACED.”
DIGITAL ASSETS MAY SOON TAKE CENTER STAGE.
THE TRANSITION COULD BE CLOSER THAN WE THINK 👀
Huge! Trump signals major crypto shift: "Current financial system is decades outdated — it needs replacement." Digital assets stepping into the spotlight, transition closer than we think! With GENIUS Act signed & Bitcoin reserve in play, full on-chain future incoming. Bullish vibes!