Crypto_君少
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This time I must win🥇
Although the conditions are a bit poor, where there is a dream, there is a distance!
Although the conditions are a bit poor, where there is a dream, there is a distance!
Trending
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❓Can the Fed avoid a recession?
According to historical speculation, interest rate cuts are usually accompanied by a bull market after a big drop❗
Only one soft landing has been achieved since the 1980s.
This happens when the job market is improving and unemployment is falling.
This time the labor market is a little bit...
The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by 0.50% on September 18, its biggest surprise since 2008. It was the first rate cut since the COVID-19 crisis in March 2020.
The Fed is trying to keep inflation moving toward its 2% target through regulation. However, the Fed acknowledged that the economic outlook is uncertain and will carefully evaluate the data received at its next meeting. (Setting the stage for market volatility)
Only one soft landing has been achieved since the 1980s.
This happens when the job market is improving and unemployment is falling.
This time the labor market is a little bit...
The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by 0.50% on September 18, its biggest surprise since 2008. It was the first rate cut since the COVID-19 crisis in March 2020.
The Fed is trying to keep inflation moving toward its 2% target through regulation. However, the Fed acknowledged that the economic outlook is uncertain and will carefully evaluate the data received at its next meeting. (Setting the stage for market volatility)
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Is it never-ending?
BlackRock transferred $101,370,000 in $BTC and $22,100,000 in $ETH to the platform today.
BlackRock transferred $101,370,000 in $BTC and $22,100,000 in $ETH to the platform today.
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📅 Major Events in the Cryptocurrency Market in January 2026
First Section: Macroeconomics and Policy (Impact on the Market)
This month, the focus is on the nomination of the Chair of the Federal Reserve and interest rate decisions, which will directly define the liquidity tone for 2026 (details as shown)
Second Section: Large Token Unlocks (Selling Pressure Warning)
The following projects will see token releases, particularly the unlock ratios of $ONDO and $PLUME are extremely high, requiring close attention to price fluctuations.
✦January 1: SUI - $6.423 million (accounting for 1.17% of the balance)
✦January 2: EIGEN - $14.50 million (accounting for 9.74% of the funds)
✦January 5: ENA - $36.10 million (accounting for 2.37% of the funds)
✦January 6: HYPE - $26.00 million (team unlock)
✦January 10: LINEA - $9.34 million (accounting for 6.34% of the funds)
✦January 15: STRK - $10.60 million (accounting for 4.83% of the funds)
✦January 16: ARB - $18.22 million (accounting for 1.86% of the circulating supply)
✦January 18: ONDO - $757.20 million (accounting for 57.23% of the circulating supply) ⚠️ Extremely high selling pressure
✦January 18: TRUMP - $247 million (accounting for 11.95%)
✦January 21: PLUME - $24.29 million (accounting for 39.75% of the funds)
✦January 26: BGB - $485.80 million (accounting for 10.50% of the funds)
Third Section: Project Dynamics and Major Upgrades
Involving technical forks, brand upgrades, and important meetings.
🔹Technical Upgrades and Releases
•January 7: ETH - Branch upgrade including Blob parameters
•January 12: QTUM - v29.1 hard fork
•January 14: BNB - BSC Fermi hard fork
•January 19: OM - Upgraded to MANTRA, token split 1:4
•January 22: XLM X-Ray (Privacy) mainnet officially launched
🔹Meetings and Ecosystem Dynamics
•January 6 - 9: CES 2026 (focus on AI and Web3 integration)
•January 15: MSTR decides whether to include in the MSCI index
•January 20: Davos Forum - "World Computer Day"
•January 26: JUP Jupiter Universe Conference 2026
•January 27: PENGU the Fat Penguin and Schleich joint doll release
🔹Special Attention (Time TBD)
•FTT: Expectations for the restart of FTX payments; Caroline to be discharged on January 21
•WLFI: Release of the World Free Finance RWA product
•FET: Launch of new payment features
⚠️Suggestion: Mid-January is a period of significant volatility for political-themed coins (TRUMP/MELANIA) and RWA leaders (ONDO), it is recommended to prepare risk hedging in advance.
First Section: Macroeconomics and Policy (Impact on the Market)
This month, the focus is on the nomination of the Chair of the Federal Reserve and interest rate decisions, which will directly define the liquidity tone for 2026 (details as shown)
Second Section: Large Token Unlocks (Selling Pressure Warning)
The following projects will see token releases, particularly the unlock ratios of $ONDO and $PLUME are extremely high, requiring close attention to price fluctuations.
✦January 1: SUI - $6.423 million (accounting for 1.17% of the balance)
✦January 2: EIGEN - $14.50 million (accounting for 9.74% of the funds)
✦January 5: ENA - $36.10 million (accounting for 2.37% of the funds)
✦January 6: HYPE - $26.00 million (team unlock)
✦January 10: LINEA - $9.34 million (accounting for 6.34% of the funds)
✦January 15: STRK - $10.60 million (accounting for 4.83% of the funds)
✦January 16: ARB - $18.22 million (accounting for 1.86% of the circulating supply)
✦January 18: ONDO - $757.20 million (accounting for 57.23% of the circulating supply) ⚠️ Extremely high selling pressure
✦January 18: TRUMP - $247 million (accounting for 11.95%)
✦January 21: PLUME - $24.29 million (accounting for 39.75% of the funds)
✦January 26: BGB - $485.80 million (accounting for 10.50% of the funds)
Third Section: Project Dynamics and Major Upgrades
Involving technical forks, brand upgrades, and important meetings.
🔹Technical Upgrades and Releases
•January 7: ETH - Branch upgrade including Blob parameters
•January 12: QTUM - v29.1 hard fork
•January 14: BNB - BSC Fermi hard fork
•January 19: OM - Upgraded to MANTRA, token split 1:4
•January 22: XLM X-Ray (Privacy) mainnet officially launched
🔹Meetings and Ecosystem Dynamics
•January 6 - 9: CES 2026 (focus on AI and Web3 integration)
•January 15: MSTR decides whether to include in the MSCI index
•January 20: Davos Forum - "World Computer Day"
•January 26: JUP Jupiter Universe Conference 2026
•January 27: PENGU the Fat Penguin and Schleich joint doll release
🔹Special Attention (Time TBD)
•FTT: Expectations for the restart of FTX payments; Caroline to be discharged on January 21
•WLFI: Release of the World Free Finance RWA product
•FET: Launch of new payment features
⚠️Suggestion: Mid-January is a period of significant volatility for political-themed coins (TRUMP/MELANIA) and RWA leaders (ONDO), it is recommended to prepare risk hedging in advance.
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The minutes from the December meeting show that there is significant disagreement within the Federal Reserve on whether to cut interest rates in December, but the final outcome was a vote of 9 to 3 in favor of a 0.25% cut, bringing rates down to 3.5%-3.75%.
🔹Even some officials who support the rate cut acknowledge that this decision was not easy and that it is entirely possible to keep rates unchanged.
🔹Political Disagreement
One side wants to support the labor market
The other side is concerned that the inflation rate has not yet reached the 2% target.
🔹The "dot plot" indicates that the Federal Reserve plans to slowly lower interest rates, approximately once in 2026 and once in 2027, bringing rates down to close to 3%.
🔹The Federal Reserve believes that President Trump's tariff policy is putting pressure on inflation, but the Fed generally thinks this impact is only temporary.
🔹Even some officials who support the rate cut acknowledge that this decision was not easy and that it is entirely possible to keep rates unchanged.
🔹Political Disagreement
One side wants to support the labor market
The other side is concerned that the inflation rate has not yet reached the 2% target.
🔹The "dot plot" indicates that the Federal Reserve plans to slowly lower interest rates, approximately once in 2026 and once in 2027, bringing rates down to close to 3%.
🔹The Federal Reserve believes that President Trump's tariff policy is putting pressure on inflation, but the Fed generally thinks this impact is only temporary.
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Goldman Sachs warns: Layoff wave and market 'punishment' of companies will intensify
🔸Goldman Sachs predicts that as companies use artificial intelligence and automation to cut costs, the number of layoffs will continue to rise.
🔸Unlike before, now when layoff news is announced, stocks often fall, even if layoffs are explained as strategic restructuring.
🔸Goldman Sachs stated that the stocks of companies announcing layoffs have, on average, dropped by about 2%, while stocks related to restructuring have seen even larger declines.
🔸Although CEOs claim that AI-driven layoffs are positive, the market increasingly views this as a bad omen for growth.
🔸Compared to competitors, companies that lay off employees tend to have higher debt, increased interest expenses, and weaker profit growth.
🔸Goldman Sachs predicts that as companies use artificial intelligence and automation to cut costs, the number of layoffs will continue to rise.
🔸Unlike before, now when layoff news is announced, stocks often fall, even if layoffs are explained as strategic restructuring.
🔸Goldman Sachs stated that the stocks of companies announcing layoffs have, on average, dropped by about 2%, while stocks related to restructuring have seen even larger declines.
🔸Although CEOs claim that AI-driven layoffs are positive, the market increasingly views this as a bad omen for growth.
🔸Compared to competitors, companies that lay off employees tend to have higher debt, increased interest expenses, and weaker profit growth.
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SoftBank acquires DigitalBridge to promote the development of artificial intelligence.
🔸 SoftBank has agreed to acquire data center investment company DigitalBridge for $4 billion, paying $16 per share, which is a 15% increase from the previous price.
🔸 CEO Masayoshi Son stated that this transaction helps strengthen the foundation for next-generation artificial intelligence data centers.
🔸 The deal reflects the booming global demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure, such as computing power, data centers, and energy.
🔸 DigitalBridge currently manages approximately $108 billion in assets in the digital infrastructure sector.
🔸 Previously, SoftBank sold all of its shares in Nvidia to fund massive investments in artificial intelligence.
🔸 SoftBank has agreed to acquire data center investment company DigitalBridge for $4 billion, paying $16 per share, which is a 15% increase from the previous price.
🔸 CEO Masayoshi Son stated that this transaction helps strengthen the foundation for next-generation artificial intelligence data centers.
🔸 The deal reflects the booming global demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure, such as computing power, data centers, and energy.
🔸 DigitalBridge currently manages approximately $108 billion in assets in the digital infrastructure sector.
🔸 Previously, SoftBank sold all of its shares in Nvidia to fund massive investments in artificial intelligence.
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Three important price levels for Bitcoin during a bear market:
1. 62k
2. 43k
3. 27k
Typically, the first low appears early in the bear market year, the second low appears in the mid to late period, and the cycle bottom occurs at the end of the year.
1. 62k
2. 43k
3. 27k
Typically, the first low appears early in the bear market year, the second low appears in the mid to late period, and the cycle bottom occurs at the end of the year.
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The caprice of the wealthy!
Tom Lee's assets: $3.5 billion in unrealized losses $ETH
Tom Lee's assets: $3.5 billion in unrealized losses $ETH
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⚡Latest News:
There was not much fluctuation in last week's total liquidation chart, and nearly 1 billion dollars in long liquidations will occur next Monday.
Will history repeat itself?
There was not much fluctuation in last week's total liquidation chart, and nearly 1 billion dollars in long liquidations will occur next Monday.
Will history repeat itself?
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This picture is extremely similar, it's so scary!
$BTC shows the same structure we saw during the bull market in 2021.
If the four-year cycle is not broken, Bitcoin will plummet to $33,000 in two weeks.
Most people are not prepared for what is about to happen.
$BTC shows the same structure we saw during the bull market in 2021.
If the four-year cycle is not broken, Bitcoin will plummet to $33,000 in two weeks.
Most people are not prepared for what is about to happen.
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BTC Trend Evolution
The trend line has not been broken, and the overall bias remains bearish.
Currently, BTC is in a weak consolidation below the key trend line. The so-called "drawing doors + sideways movement" is essentially a chip exchange against a backdrop of liquidity exhaustion.
Four-hour level: The upward channel has been broken, entering a new round of "intra-day" structure.
Just a simple technical analysis:
✦—✦
❶ Standard divergence: Entry phase → Central oscillation → Departure phase → Secondary central → Divergence phase (four-hour central divergence).
✰ Resonance signal: If a double bottom divergence at the daily and four-hour levels can be triggered, it will form a highly explosive weekly rebound.
✰ Core logic: Bearish momentum is exhausted, completing the final drop.
✦—✦
❷ Bottoming path: Continuous sideways movement + drawing doors to consume trend line pressure.
✰ Risk: This approach is not a reversal but a structural upgrade. Due to the lack of deep pit washing, the upward space is constrained by dense selling pressure above, which can easily evolve into a secondary bottoming after "space for time".
✰ Focus point: Key monitoring of effective suppression at resistance levels to prevent false breakthroughs.
━☆★━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ Practical Strategy: Layout for the beginning of 2026
➣ Window period: Lock in January-February
➣ Operation: Wait for the same level of bottom divergence to be established
➣ Qualitative: Currently, the market makers are "grinding", and we are "waiting"
☞ Wait for the structure to be completed, wait for the double divergence resonance, and then layout for the weekly rebound.
The trend line has not been broken, and the overall bias remains bearish.
Currently, BTC is in a weak consolidation below the key trend line. The so-called "drawing doors + sideways movement" is essentially a chip exchange against a backdrop of liquidity exhaustion.
Four-hour level: The upward channel has been broken, entering a new round of "intra-day" structure.
Just a simple technical analysis:
✦—✦
❶ Standard divergence: Entry phase → Central oscillation → Departure phase → Secondary central → Divergence phase (four-hour central divergence).
✰ Resonance signal: If a double bottom divergence at the daily and four-hour levels can be triggered, it will form a highly explosive weekly rebound.
✰ Core logic: Bearish momentum is exhausted, completing the final drop.
✦—✦
❷ Bottoming path: Continuous sideways movement + drawing doors to consume trend line pressure.
✰ Risk: This approach is not a reversal but a structural upgrade. Due to the lack of deep pit washing, the upward space is constrained by dense selling pressure above, which can easily evolve into a secondary bottoming after "space for time".
✰ Focus point: Key monitoring of effective suppression at resistance levels to prevent false breakthroughs.
━☆★━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ Practical Strategy: Layout for the beginning of 2026
➣ Window period: Lock in January-February
➣ Operation: Wait for the same level of bottom divergence to be established
➣ Qualitative: Currently, the market makers are "grinding", and we are "waiting"
☞ Wait for the structure to be completed, wait for the double divergence resonance, and then layout for the weekly rebound.
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🚨Breaking:
🇺🇸BlackRock sells cryptocurrency before Japan's inflation data is released.
They sold 1,050 $BTC worth $90 million and 7,525 $ETH worth $22.3 million, and it seems they are continuing to sell...
Could the CPI be higher than expected...
🇺🇸BlackRock sells cryptocurrency before Japan's inflation data is released.
They sold 1,050 $BTC worth $90 million and 7,525 $ETH worth $22.3 million, and it seems they are continuing to sell...
Could the CPI be higher than expected...
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The Swedish company BTC AB is conducting a private placement of Class A preferred shares valued at approximately 7.2 million Swedish Krona (about 785,000 USD) to raise funds to purchase more Bitcoin.
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BTC has seen almost no fluctuations in the past 48 hours.
The market may slow down further during the Christmas period.
The New York market opened today but only for a few hours, so the remaining trading activity this week may be concentrated in the New York market.
Pay attention to the areas below $86,000 and above $88,000 for potential liquidity opportunities.
The market may slow down further during the Christmas period.
The New York market opened today but only for a few hours, so the remaining trading activity this week may be concentrated in the New York market.
Pay attention to the areas below $86,000 and above $88,000 for potential liquidity opportunities.
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Is this insider information again?
Today this whale purchased 40,975 units valued at over 120 million dollars, $ETH .
In the past week, he has bought stocks worth over 1.7 billion dollars, $ETH .
Today this whale purchased 40,975 units valued at over 120 million dollars, $ETH .
In the past week, he has bought stocks worth over 1.7 billion dollars, $ETH .
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President Trump stated that anyone who disagrees with him can never become the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
🔸President Trump stated that U.S. economic data is very strong, even after the recent government shutdown, GDP growth is much higher than expected.
🔸He believes that the modern market is reacting incorrectly, as positive economic news leads to market consolidation or declines due to concerns about rising interest rates.
🔸President Trump criticized the view that a strong market inevitably leads to inflation, stating that inflation comes from bad policies, not growth.
🔸He hopes that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates when the market is strong, and if necessary, inflation issues can be addressed later, but economic growth should not be suppressed too early.
🔸He hopes that the Chairman of the Federal Reserve can support market growth and the momentum of economic growth.
Note: The President of the United States has the complete authority to nominate the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. The Senate only has the power to approve or reject the nomination through a consultative and confirmation process, and does not have the authority to unilaterally select or appoint other candidates. If the nomination is rejected, the President can nominate a new candidate.
🔸President Trump stated that U.S. economic data is very strong, even after the recent government shutdown, GDP growth is much higher than expected.
🔸He believes that the modern market is reacting incorrectly, as positive economic news leads to market consolidation or declines due to concerns about rising interest rates.
🔸President Trump criticized the view that a strong market inevitably leads to inflation, stating that inflation comes from bad policies, not growth.
🔸He hopes that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates when the market is strong, and if necessary, inflation issues can be addressed later, but economic growth should not be suppressed too early.
🔸He hopes that the Chairman of the Federal Reserve can support market growth and the momentum of economic growth.
Note: The President of the United States has the complete authority to nominate the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. The Senate only has the power to approve or reject the nomination through a consultative and confirmation process, and does not have the authority to unilaterally select or appoint other candidates. If the nomination is rejected, the President can nominate a new candidate.
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Congratulations to Old Ma for becoming the world's richest person!
Musk's personal wealth has just surpassed $749 billion—he is the first person in history to exceed $700 billion in personal wealth.
Tesla's FSD printing, competition between xAI and OpenAI, and the arrival of the Optimus robot.
Ordinary people are still asking, "Is artificial intelligence a bubble?"
I have only one request, call $DOGE !
Musk's personal wealth has just surpassed $749 billion—he is the first person in history to exceed $700 billion in personal wealth.
Tesla's FSD printing, competition between xAI and OpenAI, and the arrival of the Optimus robot.
Ordinary people are still asking, "Is artificial intelligence a bubble?"
I have only one request, call $DOGE !
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