小焕很宅

Currently held positions: $ETH , $ASTER , $WLFI
Although most are bearish, I still insist on doing my own trading well; one should not easily change direction due to the current fluctuations. In investing, there is no perfect timing; the most important thing is long-term patience and strategy,

Recently, BMNR and MicroStrategy have been buying crazily, and CZ is also shouting that a super bull market is coming, but the market just doesn’t rise, and now the stock market, gold, and silver are all surging. Many risk-averse funds see the stock market and gold and silver rising too sharply and are withdrawing from crypto, turning to other places.

It’s once again the stage where bulls and bears call each other idiots; the market is something that is waited for. Before the market moves, there is no right or wrong, the financial market has no right or wrong, only profit and loss.

Why can $ETH of 1600 keep holding on until now,
Why does $ASTER , which everyone shouts is falling, continue to buy,
The logic is actually very simple.

If you are optimistic about a bull market, just buy;
If you judge that we are entering a bear market, then clear.
That's all there is to it.

When others are fearful, you have to be bold,
but you also have to accept a fact:
You may incur losses,
and you will never buy at the lowest, nor sell at the highest.

We have never aimed to appear overly ostentatious or calm,
but simply to record our own understanding and real operations.
There is no betting against anyone,
earning or losing, is all the result given by the market.

What is truly valuable is
the process of constantly correcting ourselves,
seeing the cycle clearly,
and being able to meet a group of people on the same path.

$ASTER The team itself is very strong.
Execution is on point, and the strategic direction hasn’t deviated.
The key is that the team structure is very complementary; some understand products, some understand trading, and some understand ecological advancement.

This configuration really resembles the early Binance team, where everyone plays their role, the rhythm is clear, and things are implemented step by step.

Whether the project can go far depends heavily on the team's long-term reliability.

$ASTER This wave of market trends has likely seen the bottom appear, and the low points are starting to rise.

If it can follow through for a while, it should quickly return to near the CZ cost, but the prerequisite is that $BTC must stand above 97000.

$ASTER currently cannot develop an independent trend.
As I mentioned before, I am cautious about BTC; if the big coin starts to crash down, ASTER has a chance of dropping to around 0.65.

At this stage, ASTER is indeed underperforming compared to the market, having retraced 65% from its ATH.

It's hard for ASTER to truly turn around on its own. Whether it can develop an independent trend still depends on the movement of the big coin.

$ASTER With the launch of the L1 mainnet, continuous buybacks, increasing DEX trading volume, and ecological expansion, you think the performance in the next cycle shouldn't be too bad.

The launch of the L1 mainnet is a significant milestone:
Once the mainnet is truly operational, it will bring more on-chain assets, more users, and more complex DeFi models, truly giving ASTER a growth logic.

Continuous buybacks lead to supply tightening:
As selling pressure is gradually absorbed and supply decreases, it inherently supports the price.

DEX activity + ecological expansion
User activity, trading behavior, and LP liquidity will all drive demand growth. Compared to relying solely on narratives, ecological participation is more important.

So $ASTER if these factors continue to materialize in 2026, the next cycle will definitely be a trend-driven rise.

Are there any differing opinions, brothers? Let's discuss in the comments, all kinds of different views are welcome, but there must be a basis for them (=^ェ^=)

$ETH is a base asset, $ASTER is a trend asset.

For ordinary investors, the most important thing to learn is patience.
Frequent trading and back-and-forth transactions, when viewed over a longer period, show that most people are just paying tuition to institutions and platforms.

The market's story changes with each round of bull and bear, but the only constant is the assets that transcend cycles.
Take it slow, move less, and spend time on the right assets.

emmmm, $GIGGLE is still here, brothers.

I've just deliberately stopped checking on it recently.
Under the impact of Chinese memes, its popularity has dropped to below zero.
At this stage, reducing attention on it might be a better choice.

Sometimes the more you focus,
the more your emotions get pulled by the price.
I'm really afraid that one day I'll accidentally
sell my position without realizing it.

So now I'm not adding, not reducing, not looking.

#币安钱包 launched Perp DEX based on $ASTER so quickly,
which is the most direct response to the so-called 'succession struggle' incident.

Genuis received investment from YZiLabs, but the underlying development is directly based on $ASTER .

In short, to get support from Binance ecosystem,
just integrate $ASTER first.

The direction, path, and priority are clearly laid out.

$ASTER has taken a leading position in the PerpDEX market, fully integrated with SafePal, Trust Wallet, and Binance Wallet.

Open interest has just reached a new high in nearly two months, and capital is beginning to re-focus. In terms of scale and product maturity, $ASTER and $HYPE are now on par.

Binance Wallet has introduced a new reward mechanism, and airdrop unlocking is now underway—now we just need the news of a price ATH!

Market sentiment is improving.
Current position remains unchanged: $ETH , $ASTER , $WLFI

For ordinary people, the real challenge has never been about predicting direction,
but having the courage and patience to hold on.

Ultimately, the market is fair:
If you want to save time, you have to spend money;
if you don't have much money, you have to spend time;
if your understanding is limited, you can only rely on luck to gamble.

You can't have all three at once,
you can only trade two for one.

Actually forgot about this purchase of $BNB ,
It was bought to qualify for VIP status and reduce transaction fees,
But it turned out to be the most profitable move in recent years.

$BNB has recently started to show signs of activity.

This is crucial for $ASTER and the entire BNBChain ecosystem.
If BNB truly strengthens, on-chain sentiment will follow suit.

If BNB can effectively break through and hold above 930U,
BNBChain is likely to experience a systemic rally, rather than just isolated pump.

More importantly,
this step will make the 'super cycle' narrative no longer empty talk.

The price of $ASTER is still weak, and there are two reasons for this:

First, the overall market truly lacks liquidity.
Second, the current repurchase intensity is still insufficient to absorb the shares unlocked.

If $ASTER is to embark on a meaningful recovery,
Q1 is a good time window.

But if it doesn't pick up during the first quarter,
then this situation will have to be viewed over a longer period:
Wait for substantial progress in L1
Wait for the unlocking pressure to gradually ease
Enter a longer period of consolidation / accumulation phase

Bought at 1600, $ETH , why not sell at 4800?

To be honest, if I had known it would drop back below 3000,
I would have sold everything at 4800,
but the truth is, no one knows the answer before the market moves.

My first purchase of $ETH was at 2000,
and after buying, it dropped straight to 1400.
At that time, many people told me to sell because it would go to 500.
I did waver, as the market sentiment was truly awful back then.

After holding it for several months, when the rebound started,
from 2000 to 3000,
another group of people urged me to sell,
saying it was just a short-term bounce after a sharp drop, and it would fall again soon.

As everyone can see now.
I exited my principal at 4200,
and held the rest until today.

The most amusing part is,
the people who were shouting 500 at the beginning,
started saying 8000 when ETH hit above 4000.

The market always works this way.
Before the price moves, everyone is just expressing their own emotions.
You must stick to your own trading plan,
and filter out the noise—only you can be responsible for your own funds.

The main position is still at $ETH and $ASTER , $WLFI
But every time Binance's meme trend starts,
the overall market always experiences a major crash in a very short time.

The first two times have already been verified,
will this time be different?
Or is it yet another familiar cycle.

Ideally, if CZ still remains bullish,
right now at this level, I would choose to add more positions $ASTER

CZ's initial entry price was 0.91U,
and his purchase directly pushed the price up to 1.2U.

If we see CZ re-entering $ASTER again,
it would be a very clear signal to add more positions.

From the perspective of sentiment博弈,
the price of 0.7U still offers quite good value.

Investing is mostly about waiting.
It's not about how brilliant you are at catching the bottom,
but whether you can hold on after buying right.

Whether it's $ASTER or $ETH ,
the real difference isn't made at the moment of judgment,
but whether you can endure the entire cycle.

No one knows how short-term movements will go or how long to wait.
What individual investors can do is one thing:
Understand the logic clearly, then leave time in the hands of the market.

During the Spring Festival reunion, relatives talked about aerospace, satellites, silver, gold, and asked me what I invested in. I just said: $我踏马来了

This wave of imitation tokens rebounding, many memes are actually creating chaos as the overall market stabilizes.
But almost all the gains are going to new memes,
the star projects from the previous season have basically been forgotten by the market.

The rhythm of memes is getting faster and faster,
no more faith, no more stories,
basically day trading, quick in and out.

The real big move still hinges on $ETH ,
with #ETH unchanged, institutional funds simply dare not enter.
Without institutional participation,
altcoins will struggle to achieve a steady and powerful bull run.

Start slowly building the position of $ASTER from this location.
CZ bought at $0.91, although the market is currently criticizing it, this action actually carries a lot of weight.

If we can see perpetual DEX fully emerge this year,
then ASTER will definitely be in the top tier.

Another point that is easily overlooked:
ASTER's short position is currently very heavy.
Once the price stands back above 0.8U,
short sellers will be forced to cover, and the market is likely to rise quickly rather than slowly.

Even if it’s just a rebound at the emotional recovery level,
a V-shaped pattern on the weekly chart, returning to 1U, is also a quick matter.