杀破狼 WolfyXBT
X 账号：@wolfyxbt
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The bull market for Bitcoin has ended, and we have now entered a bear market.
The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.
In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.
The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:
Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market
Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning,"
After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End,"
The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market,
The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,
After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.
From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.
The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.
In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.
The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:
Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market
Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning,"
After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End,"
The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market,
The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,
After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.
From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.
MBTI seems to change; my MBTI changed from INFP to INTJ. The last time I took the test was about 2-3 years ago.
I have added a bit more to my position in the Bad Taste Penguin, today the dog庄 suddenly pumped the market.
The Bad Taste Penguin has a bit of the feel of Chinese Penguin, and after the $PENGUIN took off on Solana, I've been looking for any similar Meme on BNBChain to ride the wave of this penguin's narrative.
In the end, I found that the Bad Taste Penguin fits perfectly; it is originally a very popular meme + the image of a penguin + already listed on Binance Alpha.
The Bad Taste Penguin has a bit of the feel of Chinese Penguin, and after the $PENGUIN took off on Solana, I've been looking for any similar Meme on BNBChain to ride the wave of this penguin's narrative.
In the end, I found that the Bad Taste Penguin fits perfectly; it is originally a very popular meme + the image of a penguin + already listed on Binance Alpha.
VC Coin is it really that no one wants to play anymore haha, the coin released by Moon Bird $BIRB has already pumped 3x since it opened, and it seems like no one on Twitter cares, everyone is discussing fish and penguins 🤣
You can now also make money by predicting the tweet count of @CZ
YZi Labs' prediction market predict.fun has just opened a new prediction board, predicting the tweet count of CZ. I must say their UI design is quite good, very intuitive, and you can see CZ's current tweet count in real time.
• Link: https://predict.fun/market/number-of-cz-tweets-jan-23rd-29th-2026?ref=AE4E4
YZi Labs' prediction market predict.fun has just opened a new prediction board, predicting the tweet count of CZ. I must say their UI design is quite good, very intuitive, and you can see CZ's current tweet count in real time.
• Link: https://predict.fun/market/number-of-cz-tweets-jan-23rd-29th-2026?ref=AE4E4
Hahaha, Binance Square is really nice!
[Replay] 空头继续，妲己带你看什么位置反弹做多
03 h 01 m 31 s · 6.4k views
A bit outrageous, this person rolled 12u to 10wu on Polymarket
Total of 16 consecutive wins, all on the trend of the bet $BTC .
• Account link: https://polymarket.com/@ascetic0x
Total of 16 consecutive wins, all on the trend of the bet $BTC .
• Account link: https://polymarket.com/@ascetic0x
Musk sent me a salary of 861u this time.
I can have a good dinner now. I found that many bloggers' salaries have increased this time, and they are starting to work harder. I also need to put in more effort to take advantage of Musk's resources.
I can have a good dinner now. I found that many bloggers' salaries have increased this time, and they are starting to work harder. I also need to put in more effort to take advantage of Musk's resources.
Binance Square is really nice now, you can trade cryptocurrencies while watching beautiful women 😋
[Replay] 粉丝都喊我“炒币气运之女”
02 h 59 m 48 s · 8.9k views
I deleted all my on-chain address tags with one click a few days ago.
Including all the main vehicle addresses, secondary vehicle addresses, and so on, all of them were removed. I've come to realize something: this on-chain information is essentially the same as text information on 𝕏. While it may help you understand the current situation to some extent, it can also greatly act as noise, confusing your judgment.
Therefore, in the future, I won't buy just because someone else buys; I won't sell just because someone else sells; I won't hold on just because someone else still holds.
We should trust our own judgment more and follow our intuition. Profits are our own merit; losses are for our own mistakes—analyze, learn, and strive to do better next time.
Including all the main vehicle addresses, secondary vehicle addresses, and so on, all of them were removed. I've come to realize something: this on-chain information is essentially the same as text information on 𝕏. While it may help you understand the current situation to some extent, it can also greatly act as noise, confusing your judgment.
Therefore, in the future, I won't buy just because someone else buys; I won't sell just because someone else sells; I won't hold on just because someone else still holds.
We should trust our own judgment more and follow our intuition. Profits are our own merit; losses are for our own mistakes—analyze, learn, and strive to do better next time.
I've finally made it to the first Binance Alpha listing, and today I'm on the黑马. Looks like this year, the Year of the Horse, the Binance Alpha listing team is planning to kick off a wave of horse-themed Meme mania. I've already positioned myself on the ox-horse, white horse, yellow horse, and the 'grass mud horse'—I don't believe not a single one will fail to rise.
Check out how a foreigner quickly withdraws 300 $SOL in just 30 seconds
I think whether it's a cow or a passive P rookie, such characters are inevitably present in the blockchain ecosystem. If someone else doesn't take the bait, others will. If you don't like it, simply don't participate. No matter how harsh your words, you can't eliminate this phenomenon, because it's just part of the blockchain ecology.
Also, don't think foreigners are more gentle. I believe foreigners employ more tactics and are even more ruthless. The current trench gameplay on BNBChain seems to be leftovers from what Solana used to do.
I think whether it's a cow or a passive P rookie, such characters are inevitably present in the blockchain ecosystem. If someone else doesn't take the bait, others will. If you don't like it, simply don't participate. No matter how harsh your words, you can't eliminate this phenomenon, because it's just part of the blockchain ecology.
Also, don't think foreigners are more gentle. I believe foreigners employ more tactics and are even more ruthless. The current trench gameplay on BNBChain seems to be leftovers from what Solana used to do.
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