交易员T先生

Suddenly realized that next year there will be an epic economic crisis, bursting the AI bubble, and then迎来ai发展的黄金十年, history is remarkably similar.

The moving average in the chart is ma360, which has reached the position of 102400. I believe this line is the dividing line between bulls and bears, and it is expected to completely break below this line by the end of this month, entering a long bear market lasting about a year and a half. From now on, the mindset should shift to shorting at highs.

Returning to zero overnight, DOGE can drop by sixty percent in an hour. The stop-loss set did not hold, clearly the limit order was at 0.22, but the market hit 0.206. A profound lesson, anything can happen, and one should always be prepared for the worst at all times.

Market Forecast: There will be a final pullback in the next few days, around 77700, after which it will break the trend line and surpass this year's previous high. Hold onto your long positions, the highlight moment is about to arrive.

Seeing this price in the morning, I have to give it a try even if it means liquidation. Hopefully, I can hold on for a while longer.

The analysis and judgment are exactly the same as yesterday. The sharp drop came very timely, but we are far from the entry point. The market maker must break through the 90,000 level to force retail investors to sell, which will lead to a rapid rise. Currently, we are observing the rebound point at 94,000; if it does not break through with significant volume, then it will be a continuation of the decline, and it will fall further. There is no rush; the entry point should be around 88,000. After reaching 88,000, we can observe the five-minute candlestick pattern to test the entry.

Big things are coming! I predict that the possibility of a decline is high. Once it falls to around 88,000, it will be a huge opportunity. There have been no medium- and long-term trading opportunities in the past month or so. Many people have lost everything in the recent period, especially in the past half month, BTC has fluctuated disorderly between 95-98, and many trend traders have been shocked and confused. My judgment is that the decline will occur in the next 15 days, and it will definitely break through the 90,000 mark to create panic, and then quickly rise to 115,000 after the decline stops. My long position is expected to be around 88,000. Once you hold it, the stop profit is around 120,000.

Recent Trading Thoughts: It has been over a week without trading, and there are indeed no highly certain opportunities. Although altcoins have been rising, I haven't made any trades, and I no longer want to experience the pain of liquidation and holding positions. Controlling my actions, I believe, has been my greatest trading improvement in the past six months! Looking at the BTC daily chart, the chart pattern reflects public sentiment, with a rising wedge indicating bearishness! Being bearish doesn't mean I will act; I won't consider a medium-term long position unless the price reaches the area shown in the chart. I aim to reach my designated long position area within the next two months without rushing. Once I start to rush, I'm not far from liquidation. Psychological expectation: Open a position of 0.5 BTC around 8.5, take profit around 11.5, and earn 15,000 dollars. The overall time plan is about three months.

Huge Opportunity Share!
I haven't opened a position for many days, including when BTC dropped to around 91000, but yesterday I saw a very good opportunity, and today I want to clarify my thoughts. First, around 11 AM yesterday, I saw a very small head and shoulders bottom on the 5-minute chart. If it breaks out, it will drive small to medium to large level breakouts, breaking the large head and shoulders bottom. As shown in the picture, the target is 106000. Yesterday, I used a small position to try a trade and opened 0.4 BTC. If it can break out smoothly today, I will continue to add to the position. If the target is reached smoothly, the profit should be around 6000 dollars. This pattern is very standard, the right shoulder is lower than the left shoulder, and the bottom is deep enough. I hope to capture it all.

I found a head and shoulders bottom that may not be a standard one. The breakthrough price is about 98,500. I have already opened an order with an opening price of 96,480. If it breaks through, I will increase my position.

Contract trading is a craft that is more difficult than neurosurgery under a microscope, like using one-meter-long chopsticks to pick up beans.

Recent operation ideas: I found the bottom on November 5 and started to work hard with all my positions. Now I have closed all my positions and made profits, and my assets have doubled sevenfold. At present, I only have a few long orders, and I have not even reached one-fifth of my positions. I am very sad. Judging from the weekly BTC line, it may only take a few days to reach the target of 100,000, but I cannot overcome the defect of human nature to seek profit and avoid harm, so I have stopped most of my positions. It is impossible to short at present. To go long, I can only start from the cottage that has not yet taken off, and strive for the opportunity of sector rotation. The risk is extremely high, so my idea is to copy the cottage by splitting the warehouse, focusing on near, sushi, uni, tia, and wif, and strive to double my assets again in November. Because it is a cottage, the multiple must be reduced to less than ten times, and it must be divided into several warehouses. I don’t want to experience the pain of a warehouse explosion again.

Recent Operations Reflection: Overall expectations were met, and the principal tripled! Last week, when BTC was around 68000, I posted that I saw signs of a surge. The thought process was clearly articulated in my previous post: small levels drive large levels. I noticed a head and shoulders bottom (15-minute level) at the small level, and once it broke through, it would lead to a descending wedge breakout, which would continue to drive the ATH breakout. So, at that time, I decisively went all in at 20x, with the opening price at 68288 after stabilizing above 68000. Later, seeing the situation looking very good, I added positions near 69500 after breaking key levels. After rolling over, the opening price came to 68771.8, and I closed one-fifth of my position near 75000. Currently, I am still close to a full position at 20x.
Next Steps for Profit Taking: After eight months of fluctuations, fortunately, I saw a few clues before the final surge and did not miss out. There are only two profit-taking positions: one is around 99k, and the other is around 120k. At that time, it could bring more than five times the profit. Keep going! Since we've broken through, we must wait for two months to see the results; taking profits now would be foolish. The next rollover point: looking back at the last bull market, during the surge, there will be two to three sharp declines, each time retesting between the 20-day MA and the 40-day MA. If in the coming months, the daily MA retests between 20-40, it would be a great rollover opportunity. Keep going! When the rollover opportunity arises, I will continue to post.

A rare opportunity, I've finally found the bottom. BTC has stopped falling, it's time to open long positions. A head and shoulders bottom has formed, and after the breakout, the smaller levels will drive the larger levels. This wave will directly surge to 80,000. Hurry up and open long positions! No problem, I've been watching for several days to understand this pattern.

This wave's full position profit exceeded 100%, but I'm not happy at all, because I may have lost very important long-term chips! As shown in the picture, I opened a position at 65910 with 17 times leverage, and took profit at 71268 this morning. The original plan was for this wave to break at the daily level, targeting BTC 100,000 for liquidation. I was too eager; a 2% fluctuation this morning made my mental barrier collapse, and I took profit directly. When will I be able to overcome the weaknesses of human nature: seeking benefits while avoiding harm, greed, anger, ignorance, doubt, and slowness! The next couple of months may be an important time for the dog market to rise, but unfortunately, I've already lost my chips, and perhaps there will be no opportunity to get on board.

Take profit and close positions, I can't handle this volatility.

Don't be easily thrown off the car, the market has already started in doubt, and has dissipated in frenzy. Keep it up 🤔