šØĀ Bitcoin CRASH from $126k to $80k = MARKET MANIPULATION?!
So since the October 10th flash crash which wiped out $19 billion, the biggest liquidation event in the history of crypto:
- U.S. Stocks are up 8%, they recovered and many even hit new all-time highs.
- But Bitcoin is still down -29% and it never recovered since that day. Every pump we see is getting destroyed by relentless dumping.
- Almost every other day we see $500 million getting liquidated from the market.
If it was just a leverage it should have been a very short term and the market should have bounced pretty fast but instead we kept dumping without any major bounce. This is not normal. This looks like a few big institutions are playing with the market and liquidating both longs and shorts. Another rumor in town is that many big funds blew up on October 10th and they are selling $BTC to cover their losses.
I really hope we see bullish Q1 - Q2 2026 with QT ending, rate cuts and multiple other factors which shows we will see a massive amount of liquidity entering the market. What Do you think Manipulation or normal correction? #BTCVSGOLD #BTC86kJPShock #CPIWatch #BitcoinNews #Bitcoinprice
šØĀ M2 just hit a RECORD HIGH - Bitcoin to FOLLOW the trend?!
The quietest but strongest signal in the entire macro landscape just flashed. US M2 money supply climbed to a new all time high at $22.3 trillion. The growth rate is now the fastest since mid 2022. That is the moment liquidity turned back on.
And every cycle tells the same story:
When M2 expands, risk assets move. When M2 contracts, crypto bleeds. Right now M2 is accelerating again.
The fuel behind this shift is simple. Markets expect more rate cuts. Lower rates push capital out of safe corners and into higher beta plays like BTC and alts. It is the classic liquidity rotation.
Then comes the kicker. UBS expects the Fed to start buying around $40 billion of T bills per month in early 2026. It is not labeled QE but the effect is identical. Balance sheet style operations, more money creation and a softer dollar.
A weaker dollar has always been a tailwind for crypto. It is the backdrop for breakout moves, altcoin expansions and full risk asset rallies. Think 2016. Think 2020. Both major bull runs sparked from fresh liquidity waves.
Most traders stare at price. Almost nobody watches M2. But M2 is the real map.
Liquidity is expanding again. The market has barely reacted. Crypto is usually first to price the turn.
This setup is the strongest macro tailwind Bitcoin and altcoins have seen since 2020. The next liquidity cycle is forming right in front of us. Stay alert.
šØĀ From 2,600% Gain to 86% Wipeout - Craziest LOSSES of 2025!
What started as the easiest play in the market - buy crypto with corporate cash and watch your stock explode - has collapsed in brutal fashion.
Digital asset treasuries were the trend of the year. More than 100 companies tried to copy Strategyās blueprint: load $BTC or $ETH onto the balance sheet and let the multiple do the magic.
And for a moment it worked. SharpLink ripped more than 2,600% in days after announcing a pivot into Ethereum. Dozens of other DATs followed, including names backed by billionaires and political families.
Then reality caught up fast.
SharpLink is now down 86% from the top. Greenlane cratered more than 99%. Alt5 Sigma, boosted by the Trump family, collapsed 86%. Most DATs are down 43% on the year, while Bitcoin itself is down only 6%.
The flaw in the model is simple. The tokens donāt generate cash flow but the debt financing behind them does. Companies borrowed huge sums to buy crypto. Now interest and dividends are coming due while prices slide.
Strategy raised more than $45 billion this year alone. That leverage turned its shares into a rocket on the way up⦠and a pressure cooker on the way down. Its CEO now says they might sell BTC if their mNAV drops below 1 - a shock after years of ānever sellā conviction.
One forced seller could trigger doubts across the entire DAT space. Because if the biggest evangelist starts trimming, smaller players wonāt stand a chance.
Yet hereās the twist: Strategy is still up more than 1,200% since 2020. And the strongest DATs may survive by scooping up weaker ones at discounts. Mergers are already starting as big treasuries consolidate the broken ones.
The trade isnāt dead - itās evolving. The leverage got washed out. The hype faded. And what remains are the companies that actually understand Bitcoinās long game.
Wild manias end fast. Real adoption takes longer. But it always finds its way back.
šØBULLISH: ALTCOINS are closer to the BOTTOM than TOP!
Everyone stares at M2 but the real cheat code this cycle is the Russell 2000. IWM just printed its highest monthly close ever and is now pushing into its 2025 highs. That only happens when US liquidity is rising and the market is willing to take risk again.
And when small caps do this, altcoins follow. Always.
Look back at 2015, 2018 and 2021. Each time IWM broke or retested those major horizontal levels, Bitcoin pushed higher and alts exploded shortly after.
Right now the exact same lag is showing up again. IWM is at the top of the range while BTC and alts sit below their peaks. Thatās the 2020ā2021 structure all over again.
And hereās a rule thatās held for Bitcoinās entire history: A real multi year bear market has never started while IWM was breaking into new highs. Bear markets begin when small caps are weak, not when theyāre ripping.
Zoom out on BTC and the higher timeframe trend from the 2022 lows is still bullish. Yes the daily looks messy, but nothing in the big picture is broken. This is classic mid cycle drawdown behavior while Bitcoin tries to re couple with equities.
Now stack the macro on top of it:
- Rate cuts already underway - Big banks expecting QE style actions by early 2026 - Talk of removing income tax and sending $2,000 tariff dividends
This is textbook liquidity expansion. Put it together and the signal is loud:
- IWM at record strength - BTC holding a bullish higher timeframe structure - Alts lagging but historically primed to catch up when liquidity rises - No bear market has ever begun with small caps printing new highs - Macro catalysts lining up into 2025ā2026 - More analysts modeling a cycle peak in 2026, not 2025
This doesnāt look like the start of a long winter. It looks like an extended cycle with plenty of room for fresh highs if this regime holds.
Someone turned $3,880 to $89.5 million after buying 1,000 $BTC 14 years ago when the price was just $3.88.
Thatās a 23000x return on! Yes, the golden times for "x" returns on $BTC are over BUT.... I posted this to remind you that there will ALWAYS be new coins, some of which will turn into REAL x10, x100, x1000 gems!
šØĀ MEGA BULLISH: BIGGEST Altseason Indicator about to PEAK?
Same Cycle, Same Breakout Point
- Both Russell 2000 and ALTS MCAP peaked in Nov 2021, marking the cycle top. - Both entered a long bear market (2022ā2023). - Now, Russell is retesting their Nov 2021 highs, a key resistance zone. - A breakout above these levels confirms the start of a major bull run in 2026.
History shows that US Alts market (Russell 2000) and crypto ALTS often move in sync. If Russell breaks out, ETH and alts will follow it. The crypto market is in a state of fear following the 10/10 flash crash and All leverage is flushed which means Itās perfect scenario for parabolic pump to start.
šØĀ JPMorgan dropped a new BITCOIN PRICE TARGET related to GOLD PRICE!!!
The old debate flared up again when Peter Schiff and CZ went head to head. Schiff called Bitcoin pure speculation with no backing. CZ fired back saying millions actually use $BTC daily while most gold sits in vaults collecting dust. Classic showdown.
But while they argued, JPMorgan stepped in with a totally different angle. No emotions. No tribal war. Just math.
Analysts built a volatility adjusted model that compares Bitcoin directly to goldās $29.31 trillion market. Since BTC moves faster and wilder, the model discounts its value based on volatility and asks a simple question: what would Bitcoin be worth if it captured a slice of goldās store of value role?
After looking at 3 month, 1 year and 5 year performance spreads between the two assets, JPMorgan ran the numbers again this week.
Their answer: around $170,000 within 6 to 12 months.
That call arrives right after one of Bitcoinās ugliest wipeouts ever. Nearly $19 billion evaporated in mass liquidations as price tumbled from $126,000 to about $80,000. Even now BTC trades near $89,000 after another 3% pullback.
And hereās the twist. This isnāt even JPMorganās most bullish take. Last month they floated a long term path toward $240,000 as Bitcoin matures into a macro asset class with institutional liquidity driving the cycle instead of retail hype.
The biggest bank in the world is essentially saying this: if Bitcoin keeps evolving into digital gold, the math pushes price far beyond todayās fear!
Bitcoin keeps circling the $93,000 zone and the hesitation is making analysts nervous. Onchain data is echoing the early months of 2022 when the market quietly shifted from confidence to collapse. That comparison alone is enough to shake weak hands.
Glassnode points to the True Market Mean around $81,500. Back in 2022 when Bitcoin lost that line the floor vanished and price sank more than 60%. Today weāre hovering above it but the similarity in structure is real enough to watch.
Supply data also shows that more than 25% of coins sit underwater. Thatās exactly the kind of pressure that either cracks or forms the next major bottom. The market is stretched but itās also in the zone where seller exhaustion starts brewing. Thatās the part most people forget.
Technically all eyes are on a bear flag hanging around the yearly open. Drop below $91,000 and the pattern points toward $68,000. Push above $96,000 and the entire bearish setup gets erased. These patterns love to fool as many traders as possible before choosing a direction.
And hereās the twist. In 2022 the macro environment was a mess. Today long term holders dominate supply and institutional demand has teeth. The structure rhymes but the backdrop is completely different. Bitcoin may look like 2022 on the surface but the outcome doesnāt have to repeat. This pressure zone is where the next big trend usually wakes up. Stay sharp.
The official Pepe site just got compromised and attackers swapped the clean front end for a malicious redirect. Anyone loading the page gets funneled straight into an inferno drainer setup. Thatās the same toolkit used in high profile wallet draining scams with phishing templates and social engineering tricks ready to fire.
Blockaid flagged the breach fast but the site is still unsafe. The wild part is the market barely blinked. PEPE is up about 4% in the last 24 hours even though itās still down more than 77% over the past 12 months. Meme culture stays fearless even when the website is literally hijacked.
This kind of attack is a reminder that the weakest link is often the front end. You can buy the right coin at the right time and still get wrecked by a bad click. Stay off the site until the devs clean it up.
- $11T Vanguard opened access to crypto ETFs - $1.8T Bank of America recommended 4% portfolio allocation to crypto - $12T Charles Schwab announced its plan to offer BTC and ETH trading in early 2026
And all this happened AFTER $BTC and alts went through a brutal crash.
šØĀ BULLISH: Bitcoin has 96% Chance to BOUNCE BACK!!
BTC is still down 31% from its $126k all time high, sentiment is shaky, and everyoneās talking about doom. But one of Bitcoinās strongest long term valuation metrics just flipped into the zone that almost always precedes a major recovery.
For the first time in two years, price has dropped below its Metcalfe Value - Bitcoinās āfair valueā based on network activity, active addresses, and transaction growth. And hereās the crazy part: When BTC trades under that line, future returns are positive 96% of the time one year later.
This setup nailed it in: ⢠2019 ā huge rally ⢠2020 ā massive breakout ⢠Early 2023 ā a 340% run into the new highs
Every time Bitcoin dips below network value, itās because leverage flushed, the bubble deflated, and fundamentals kept growing underneath the panic. Exactly what weāre seeing now.
Network strength isnāt fading. Itās accelerating. Transactions up 15% this week to 3.06M. Long term holders rising. Institutional demand showing teeth. Spot CVD flipped from -106M ā +29M, meaning buy side pressure is finally picking up again.
The market sees weakness. The network sees expansion. And historically, itās the network that wins.
If the macro tailwinds arrive - Fed easing, renewed liquidity, ETF flows - BTC tends to snap back above its Metcalfe trendline and run. Models point to that happening sometime in 2026, lining up perfectly with new ATH projections!
šØĀ Bitcoin WON'T fall BELOW $55,000 Mark! Here's why:
Everyone keeps throwing around apocalypse targets like $35k, $40k, ā70% retrace incoming,ā but the charts are telling a totally different story. And this time, the math actually matters.
Analyst Sykodelic breaks it down clean. BTC is only 31% off its $126k high. Thatās normal bull market volatility. Big 70% drawdowns only happen after massive RSI expansion⦠and this cycle simply didnāt expand enough to justify a collapse that deep.
No huge blowoff. No parabolic RSI. So no parabolic contraction.
Then the killer detail: Bitcoin has never fallen below the monthly lower Bollinger Band. Not in 2014. Not in 2017. Not in 2021. Even during the nastiest crashes, price has respected that band like a brick wall.
Right now BTC is sitting right around the monthly mid-BB. Close below it? Worst case bottom sits near $55k. Not $35k. Not a 75% wipeout. Just a reset inside historical range.
Other analysts are even more conservative. Jeff Ko thinks a drop into $65kā$68k is the bear case because the entire market structure has changed.
Deeper liquidity. ETFs soaking dips. Institutional participation. A broadened investor base. All of that makes old-school 80% retracements far less likely.
The only true danger zone is a clean break under $72kā$75k. Lose that, and the stop cascade could get ugly. But as long as BTC holds above it - and it is right now - this isnāt a 2018 repeat.
šØĀ BREAKING: Michael Saylorās Strategy DROPPED 56% In 56 Days!!!
MSTR has been nuked harder than almost any moment in its history. Down 56% in under two months. A $55B Bitcoin stack⦠trading at a $47B market cap. On paper, it makes zero sense. And thatās exactly why the move is raising eyebrows.
The biggest fear around MicroStrategy was simple: āWhat if theyāre forced to sell BTC to fund dividends?ā Well⦠Saylor just set aside $1.44B in cash - enough to pay 23 months of dividends without touching a single sat. Liquidity crisis avoided. Risk removed. Yet the stock kept falling even harder.
Thatās where the valuation distortion becomes insane:
⢠Their assets (Bitcoin + cash) > their entire market cap ⢠Even subtracting $8.2B in debt, BTC value alone still exceeds the market cap ⢠Their LTV is ultra safe ⢠Their balance sheet is cleaner than ever ⢠Their Bitcoin holdings keep increasing
A company trading below the value of the assets it owns almost never happens. Itās the opposite of normal finance. Itās like buying a house for less than the cash sitting inside the house.
So why is MSTR getting crushed? Because the pressure doesnāt look organic. It looks engineered. Look at what happened in the same 60-day window:
⢠JP Morgan jacked margin requirements from 50% to 95% - instantly killing liquidity ⢠The MSCI classification scare hit ⢠Short interest exploded ⢠Selling volume stayed elevated even on bullish news ⢠Price action looked like forced selling or coordinated pressure ⢠The drawdown became one of the worst in company history
This is positioning, leverage, and big players leaning on the stock. Some traders are even calling it Operation Choke Point 3.0, aimed not at exchanges, but at public companies holding Bitcoin.