Saauroon

@Saauroon
Why the Past of Bitcoin Matters More Than Its Price Today
Every time Bitcoin falls, millions of people panic, sell everything, call it a scam, and leave the market with fear in their hearts. But there is another group of people who do not panic at all. They stay calm, they wait, and they watch with confidence. Why❓Because they know Bitcoin’s past. And anyone who knows Bitcoin’s past can easily guess its future. Just like in real life, when a family chooses a groom for their daughter, they don’t look at his present they study his past. They check his character, his struggle, his journey, and his family background. That past tells them whether he will build a better future or destroy it. Bitcoin is exactly the same. If you study its history, every crash suddenly starts making sense, and every recovery looks predictable. This article is the untold story of Bitcoin a story that only a few people know, but everyone must hear.
The First Great Fall (2011): When Bitcoin Was Just a Strange Idea
In 2011, Bitcoin was a baby unknown, confusing, and understood only by a few technical people. Nobody in the world imagined it would one day change the financial system. But something unbelievable happened that shocked everyone. In just a few months, Bitcoin jumped from a few dollars to 29 USD, which felt like a miracle. Media started talking. Early investors celebrated. People thought a new digital gold was born. But then came a storm. Within just five months, Bitcoin crashed from 29 USD to only 2 USD an 84% collapse. Imagine someone investing ₹1,00,000 at the top and suddenly having only ₹16,000 left. People broke down. Forums exploded with anger. Newspapers declared Bitcoin dead. Families fought. But a few people stayed calm. They said, “This is not the end.” And they were right. By 2013, Bitcoin crossed 1,000 USD, and those who held through the storm saw returns as large as 50,000%. The first lesson of Bitcoin was born: Crashes are temporary, but strong believers always win.

The MT.Gox Collapse (2013–2015): The Crash Nobody Expected
By 2013, Bitcoin became a household name. People discussed it in homes, offices, and even parties. Many bought Bitcoin using credit cards and loans, believing it would rise forever. But then the biggest Bitcoin exchange, MT.Gox, was hacked, and 8,50,000 BTC disappeared. Panic spread like fire. Nobody knew if they would get their money back. Bitcoin collapsed from 1,150 USD to nearly 170 USD, another 85% crash. People lost life savings. A father who had saved ₹5 lakhs for his daughter’s wedding invested at the top and was left with only ₹75,000. He had to mortgage his home to arrange the wedding. Depression, fear, stress this period was painful for thousands. Again the world declared Bitcoin dead. But silently, patiently, Bitcoin began healing. And by 2017, it touched 20,000 USD. Once again, those who didn’t panic became winners. Those who sold in fear lost everything. The pattern was repeating, and very few noticed.
The 2017 Mania & 2018 Winter: When Everyone Wanted to Become Rich Overnight
2017 was madness. Bitcoin became a global storm. From cab drivers to office workers, everyone talked about Bitcoin. WhatsApp groups filled with earnings screenshots. People bought expensive cars and homes claiming “Bitcoin money.” In one year, Bitcoin grew from 1,000 USD to 20,000 USD. But greed always comes with a price. In 2018, Bitcoin crashed again, falling to 3,200 USDan 84% drop. Countless people who invested at the top watched their money disappear. A cab driver I know invested ₹1 lakh during the hype and was left with ₹16,000. Another IT professional invested using a credit card and couldn’t pay his loan back. Social media was filled with negativity. Many people gave up. But the pattern continued. Because by 2021, Bitcoin broke all records and reached 69,000 USD. Again, those who held became millionaires. Again, history repeated itself.
The 2022 Disaster & The Birth of a One-Crore Bitcoin
Just when the world believed Bitcoin could never fall again, another disaster struck. First the Terra Luna collapse destroyed 40 billion dollars. Then the FTX scandal wiped out another 32 billion dollars. Bitcoin fell from 69,000 USD to 15,500 USD. People cried. People quit. People declared Bitcoin a scam once again. But the believers stayed. They had seen this movie before. They knew how it ends. And in 2025, Bitcoin touched 1,25,000 USD more than ₹1 crore for a single Bitcoin. The impossible became reality. This is why understanding Bitcoin’s past is more important than reacting to its present. Those who study its history stay confident. Those who don’t panic and lose.

The Six Patterns That Bitcoin Repeats Every Single Cycle
After so many years and so many stories, one truth becomes crystal clear: Bitcoin follows patterns that never fail.
(1) Every 4 years, mining rewards reduce this triggers a new bull run.
(2) Every crash is between 80–85%.
(3) Recovery always takes 2–3 years.
(4) New all time highs break old records by 3–4 times.
(5) In bear markets, everyone sells; in bull markets, everyone buys.
(6) Headlines always say “Bitcoin is dead,” but Bitcoin always returns stronger.
Once you understand these patterns, fear disappears. Confidence replaces panic. And you finally see Bitcoin not as a gamble, but as a long term journey of strength, cycles, and growth.
Final Lesson: How to Survive and Succeed in Bitcoin
If Bitcoin is falling today, don’t panic. Every crash in history ended with a bigger rise. But never invest with loans. Never put in your life savings. Invest small amounts regularly. Don’t care if the price is up or down your average will balance. And always diversify. Bitcoin is powerful, but not the only place to put your money. Study, research, understand fundamentals, and think long term. Bitcoin is not a quick-rich scheme. It is a revolutionary technology that rewards patience, discipline, and knowledge. And those who learn this rule become winners every cycle.
@Bitcoin #Bitcoin $BTC

@Saauroon
Understanding Why Rate Cuts Do Not Always Pump the Market
Many new investors believe that whenever the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the market should immediately start pumping. But in reality, the market does not react to rate cuts based only on their existence, it reacts to the reason behind the rate cut. Sometimes the market falls even after a rate cut, and sometimes the market pumps even when there is no cut. This creates confusion for those who do not understand economic behavior. The truth is that the market tries to understand whether the cut is coming from strength or weakness. If the economy is strong and the Fed cuts rates, the market takes it positively. But if the economy is weak and the Fed cuts rates out of pressure, the market takes it negatively. This article explains why the 10 December rate cut is different and why its impact can be important for both traditional markets and crypto.
Good Rate Cut vs Bad Rate Cut: The Foundation of Market Reaction
In economics, not all rate cuts are the same. A Good Rate Cut happens when the economy is healthy, job numbers are strong, inflation is under control, and the Fed cuts rates to maintain long term stability. This is called a “precautionary” or “soft” rate cut. Markets usually treat this as a positive signal. A Bad Rate Cut happens when the economy is already under pressure, unemployment is rising, inflation is unstable, and the Fed is forced to cut rates. This type of cut is seen as panic, and markets often crash after it. Historical data from 1970 to today shows that soft rate cuts have brought strong market performance, while panic cuts have caused heavy downtrends. Understanding this difference helps investors prepare for what 10 December may bring.

Why the 10 December Rate Cut Looks Like a Good Rate Cut
Recent US job data supports the case for a good rate cut. On 4 December, the November unemployment claims report revealed that only 1,90,000 people applied for unemployment benefits, while the market was expecting 2,18,000 applications. Lower unemployment means the job market is strong. This is also the lowest unemployment figure since 2022. A strong job market means the economy is stable, and the Fed is not cutting rates under pressure. Inflation is also moving between 2% to 3%, which is near the Fed’s long term target. These two conditions stable jobs and controlled inflation clearly show that the Fed is comfortable. Therefore, the 10 December rate cut is a precautionary, positive, and growth-supportive decision.
What History Tells Us: Soft Rate Cuts Have Produced Strong Markets
History gives us clear evidence about how markets behave after different types of cuts. Since the 1970s, economists have categorized rate cuts into three groups: panic cuts, soft cuts, and hard cuts. Soft cutswhen the Fed cuts without pressurehave repeatedly resulted in strong market performance. Two major examples are 1984 and 2019, where soft rate cuts led to positive market momentum over 12, 24, and even 36 months. On the other hand, panic cuts like 2007–2008 resulted in heavy market crashes. This comparison shows that the reason behind the cut matters more than the cut itself. If 10 December follows the same pattern as previous soft cuts, the next 12 to 36 months could become a positive cycle for both stocks and crypto.
Bitcoin’s Technical Position Ahead of the Rate Cut Event
Bitcoin’s chart is already at a very important technical stage. $BTC recently fell below the 50-week moving average, but it successfully bounced from the 100 week moving average, which is a strong long term support. For the next big move, Bitcoin must retest and break above the 50 week moving average. If BTC breaks the upper resistance on strong volume, a new all time high trend can begin. But if it fails and gets rejected, the price may stay in a sideways or downward range temporarily. Technical indicators match perfectly with macro signals. Markets usually make their final decision after rate cut clarity. That is why the next few weeks hold major importance for Bitcoin traders.
Fed Balance Sheet: The Hidden Factor That Can Accelerate Bitcoin
Besides interest rates, there is another powerful factor that affects Bitcoin: the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. When the Fed expands its balance sheet (quantitative easing), liquidity increases and Bitcoin usually pumps. When the Fed reduces its balance sheet (tightening), Bitcoin often slows down. In early December, Fed’s balance sheet tightening had nearly stopped, which is a strong signal that easing may begin in the new year. If the Fed begins buying assets again, Bitcoin can break its long-term resistances and head toward a major breakout. But if tightening continues, Bitcoin may face temporary pressure near the 50 week moving average. This balance sheet movement will play a big role in Bitcoin’s direction after 10 December.
Miner Production Cost: The Strongest Psychological Support Level
Bitcoin miners play a very important role in the market. The current miner cost of producing 1 BTC is around $90,000. Historically, Bitcoin almost never stays below miner cost for long periods. This creates a natural long term support level. If the price goes near miner cost, miners hold their supply, and selling pressure reduces automatically. This gives Bitcoin stability in bearish phases and strength in early bull cycles. In the coming months, if the Fed moves toward easing and liquidity increases, miners may again begin accumulating. This would make the $90,000–$100,000 zone one of the strongest supports of this cycle, reinforcing long term bullish sentiment.
Altcoin Psychology: Why Retail Investors Keep Losing Cycles
Most retail traders make the same mistake every cycle. They ignore Bitcoin and buy random altcoins hoping for quick profits. But altcoins follow a fixed pattern: 6 months bull → 6 months bear → repeat. Retail greed creates unnecessary losses because people buy altcoins when they are already high. On the other hand, Bitcoin maintains long-term strength because institutions, miners, and smart traders prefer it. When rate cuts or easing cycles begin, Bitcoin pumps first, altcoins follow later. Understanding this psychology helps investors avoid emotional decisions. Smart traders will focus on Bitcoin during macro transition phases and shift to altcoins only after BTC establishes a strong upward breakout.

Final Conclusion: Why This Rate Cut Matters for the Next 12–36 Months
The 10 December rate cut is not just another economic event. It has the potential to become the defining turning point of the entire market cycle. It is a good rate cut, backed by strong job data, stable inflation, and a confident Federal Reserve. History shows that soft rate cuts have produced long term bullish markets. Bitcoin’s technical setup aligns strongly with these macro conditions. If Bitcoin breaks above the 50-week moving average and if the Fed begins balance sheet expansion, a powerful multi-month rally may begin. If tightening continues, a small correction may come before the next leg up. For long-term investors, this phase could become one of the most important opportunities of this entire cycle.
@fed #FedRateCut $B

@Saauroon
Introduction:
Every passing day of December 2025 is bringing global traders closer to a new turning point in financial policy. The United States and several other major economies are preparing to close the year by adjusting their monetary outlooks. This week’s discussions about a possible Federal Reserve rate cut have attracted worldwide attention. For months, analysts have been waiting for confirmation, and now the possibility has become stronger than ever. The percentage expectation for a cut has reached nearly 87%, signaling confidence among traders and institutions that a softer approach is coming. Unlike previous cycles, this one reflects a modern phase of economic control — where data, inflation, and global cooperation all move together to shape the next big market wave.

Why a Rate Cut Matters More Than Ever
In earlier years, a rate cut was simply a domestic economic adjustment. But now, it is a global signal. The Fed’s decisions no longer stay within U.S. borders — they influence markets from Tokyo to London and from Dubai to Karachi. A 25-basis-point cut might sound small, but its emotional and practical impact can shift trillions in value. Stocks, bonds, and crypto assets instantly respond when policy expectations change. That’s why traders this week are watching not only numbers but also the language used by Fed members. Twelve members of the central policy committee recently showed disagreement about the timing of the cut, but in the end, the majority sentiment favored easing, as inflation continues to move under control and unemployment stabilizes. The coming adjustment may define how the first quarter of 2026 begins.
Market Sentiment and Weekly Performance
The week closed with a clear message uncertainty mixed with quiet confidence. Bitcoin showed some recovery after testing the $88,000–$89,000 zone, holding firm against pressure that started earlier in the week. $ETH followed a similar path, defending the $3,000 level and attempting short-term rebounds near $3,045–$3,065. However, volatility remains high, and traders are treating every bounce as both an opportunity and a warning. Altcoins also reflected this emotional rhythm. $BNB struggled below 900, trying to maintain support near 878–880, while Solana and Chainlink performed stronger, showing buyers’ interest returning to technical levels that were silent for weeks. As volume rose across major pairs, many analysts called this behavior a “sentiment reset” a stage where smart money quietly repositions before the next direction appears.

Commodities and Traditional Markets Join the Story
Beyond crypto, traditional commodities also felt the same wave of mixed energy. Gold and PAXG tokens showed mild upward momentum, holding near $4,205–$4,240, suggesting investors are still balancing between risk and safety. Global indices like Japan’s Nikkei and U.S. futures traded cautiously, waiting for official confirmation of policy changes. In contrast, assets connected to real-world demand, such as energy and tech stocks, showed small rebounds. Even NVIDIA’s stock closed the week above $183, showing how technology remains the backbone of modern market optimism. The combination of stable commodities, recovering equities, and active crypto volume tells a single story — the market is preparing for something big. This synchronized behavior across sectors hasn’t been seen in years, making the current setup one of the most closely observed transitions in financial history.
What Traders Should Watch Next
The coming days are critical. If the rate cut is officially confirmed, markets could see a sharp emotional reaction possibly a quick spike followed by a correction phase. Smart traders are advised to focus on major highs and lows on 4-hour charts rather than small support or resistance levels. The week’s emotional tone has already shown how fragile short-term expectations can be. Analysts recommend watching BTC’s $90,500–$91,800 zone as the next key pressure area, while ETH may continue to test its $3,000–$3,100 corridor. Altcoins such as SUI, Chainlink, and UNI could remain reactive, while tokens like TAO and PAXG may show quieter but more stable movement. As sentiment blends with global news, one thing stays true every candle tells a story, and every move reflects how traders think about tomorrow.
In short, this is not just another week in the market. It is the moment when the world’s biggest financial systems, from the Federal Reserve to the blockchain, align under a shared signal the start of a modern, adaptive, and data-driven economy.
@fed #FEDratecuts $BTC

sauroon
Global Market Focus on PCE Data
The most important event of this week is the release of the PCE Data, and for the first time in almost two months the entire global market is waiting for this number. Traders, analysts, institutions, and even traditional investors are treating this data as the key factor that will decide the market direction. The long delay in the economic cycle happened mainly because the U.S. government went through a shutdown phase, which slowed down reporting. Now when the data is finally ready, confidence and tension are both rising. The PCE index is expected to show controlled inflation, and if this happens, the Federal Reserve is likely to continue with a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in its final meeting of the year.
This is also the reason why Friday has turned into a high-impact day. Global traders understand that the price movement before PCE is usually calm, but the moment data is released, volatility increases sharply. According to recent surveys, market participants are expecting a stable inflation outlook for December. Even a small positive surprise from the PCE report can create a healthy push in risk-on assets. The data is scheduled between 6:15 PM and 7:00 PM, and this window may bring heavy movement across all sectors including crypto, stocks, and commodities.
Asian & International Market Reaction
Before the PCE release, Asian markets showed mixed performance, which is a normal reaction when investors are waiting for strong economic numbers. Japan’s Nikkei index fell more than 1%, reflecting caution in large-cap stocks. Meanwhile, gold markets showed slight upward movement as traders used it as a defensive hedge ahead of the data. The broad 24-hour global trading volume touched $113 billion, showing healthy participation but clear hesitation in taking aggressive positions.
European markets also turned slightly positive, mainly because analysts believe that inflation may continue to cool down. The expectation of stable PCE numbers has already reduced fear from interest-rate hikes, and now markets are pricing in the possibility of earlier-than-expected cuts. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming FOMC meeting may also play a historic role, as many analysts believe it could be Jerome Powell’s last major meeting. These factors combined have created an environment where global investors are focusing only on inflation and interest-rate direction. If data supports this view, a powerful rally can begin across multiple sectors, especially technology and digital assets.

Cryptocurrency Market Condition
The global cryptocurrency market cap currently stands at $3.22 trillion, showing a slight 1.1% decline over the past 24 hours — a normal cooling phase before major economic data. Trading volume remains strong at $114B, proving that interest and liquidity are still high despite short-term uncertainty. Bitcoin dominance is at 57.1%, while Ethereum holds 11.9%, keeping altcoins under pressure.
Trending coins such as Zcash, Monad, and Solana grabbed attention due to their recent strong moves. Zcash in particular surprised the market by showing aggressive upside just hours before the data window. The crypto market is clearly aligning itself with macroeconomic expectations. If PCE supports a low-inflation environment, we can expect Bitcoin and major altcoins to react positively. On the other hand, uncertain or negative data may trigger a brief correction. For now, the market remains steady, waiting for the next signal. The next 12 hours will play a crucial role in defining short-term sentiment and setting up new trading opportunities.
Bitcoin, Ethereum & Major Altcoin Breakdown
Bitcoin attempted to break the $92,800 resistance but failed, bouncing earlier from $91,860. This level remains the immediate challenge — a clean breakout above it can accelerate BTC toward $94,000, which is a major bullish zone. However, if PCE data drops unexpectedly and BTC loses $91,500, this could open a path toward $90,000 in the short term. For now, BTC is holding well and attempting to stabilize.
Ethereum is performing slightly better than Bitcoin. It started the day around $3,136 and extended its high to $3,193, reflecting stronger buying interest near support. ETH continues to show healthier structure, and any push above $3,200 can activate a new bullish leg.
Other altcoins also gave important signals:
$BNB maintained strong support between $870–875 and continues to respect this zone. Resistance lies at $913–918, which may unlock a bullish wave if broken.XRP struggled to continue above $2.10 and quickly fell back, forming a new support pattern.#SOL failed to hold above $149 and corrected toward $137, but remains strong above $135 support.#DOGE is moving between 0.1460–0.1490, showing early signs of recovery.$LINK respected the earlier shared support level of $14.05 and bounced toward $14.40.Altcoins overall are following BTC’s lead, preparing for a move once macro clarity arrives.

Rise of Real-World Assets (RWA) & Final Outlook
One of the emerging areas catching global attention is Real-World Assets (RWA). The speaker in the video highlighted that this trend is becoming one of the strongest segments across financial markets. RWA refers to tokenized versions of real-world stocks, commodities, and financial assets that trade on digital platforms. For example, major U.S. stocks like NVIDIA, Tesla, and others are now being mirrored in token form, allowing global users — whether in Pakistan, Bangladesh, England, or Canada — to gain exposure instantly.
This trend is becoming so strong that exchanges are preparing full RWA listings, and ETFs may also join this movement. Traders who want early exposure can explore platforms already offering such assets. This category is expected to grow massively in the coming months.
Overall, the crypto market stands at a turning point. The next major move will come from the PCE Data. If numbers come in soft and inflation stays under control, Bitcoin and Ethereum may break key resistances and trigger a strong upside wave in altcoins. On the other hand, weakness in data may create a short-term correction, especially in high-beta tokens. For now, the best approach is simple: watch key levels, follow structure, and stay prepared for volatility. A powerful opportunity is close — the market is waiting for just one signal
@PCE #pcedata $RWA