kurumi 小七

I'm done, I'm done, I've lost again! ⚽️ Come back!

Last night, #zec peaked at 449 USD, close to the first target of the weekly rebound predicted in yesterday's post at 450 USD. The second target of 500 USD is to be observed; whether it can be reached depends on whether it can stabilize above 450 USD by the end of the week. Only after stabilizing can there be a possibility of further upward movement. The short-term volatility is significant, reminding users to be cautious with high-leverage contracts, especially since the possibility of a short-term upward attack is quite large.

In terms of operations, limit orders at 425-450 USD have been executed, with three ZEC positions (including ZEC/USDC contract rollover) totaling 16,000 U. The next step is to wait for the 450-500 USD limit orders to be executed, and the margin is still maintained above 800. If there is a small probability of breaking through 500 USD and stabilizing, I will add margin to raise the liquidation price to 900 USD. From the weekly perspective, there is still a certain probability of a rebound reaching near 500 USD, but stabilizing above 500 USD is quite challenging. Therefore, the current rollover amount is not large, and there are no plans to increase the margin.

The largest short position on Hyperliquid is also undergoing rollover operations recently, with the position experiencing multiple rounds of roller-coaster market conditions. This short position opened short at about 184 USD on October 10, subsequently adding to the position to average up the price. On October 17, the unrealized loss reached 21 million USD, and on December 1, it turned profitable, with unrealized gains peaking at 3 million USD. Recently, it has continuously rolled over and increased the position, and as of today, it has again an unrealized loss of 2.88 million USD, with an average position price of 387 USD.

I share the long-term bearish view with this short position leader, only differing in operational strategies; the whale's operations are more aggressive than mine. On November 8, when the market value reached 10 billion and a second head appeared at the 4-hour level, I tested the position with an average price of around 600 USD, and then persisted in gradually adding to the short position on the rise, completing over a hundred limit orders. On November 12, the price dropped to 425 USD, with unrealized gains of 20,000 U remaining unchanged. On November 15, when the price rebounded above 700 USD, the account turned from profit to a loss of 20,000 U. Subsequently, I continued to build long short positions in batches and opened new positions synchronously on OK. At that time, the combined cost of several positions was 640 USD. Recently, the price dropped to 300 USD, with several positions totaling unrealized gains of 90,000 U, still holding positions unchanged. After this round of weekly rebounds to the 400-450 USD range, rollover operations began, and the average cost of positions is now 570 USD, with unrealized gains reduced from 90,000 U to 50,000 U. In the future, strict control of rollover amounts and liquidation prices is expected, looking forward to achieving a great harvest together with the top short position leader next year.