黄帝论趋势

$BTC $ETH Focus on this point!!!

Any spot contract strategy and solution ideas have been opened by Huang Di (chat room function) and you are welcome to discuss at any time.

#加密市场回调 #代币化热潮

惊爆！以太坊一夜狂飙破3200，三大核弹级推手引爆加密狂潮！

以太坊这次暴涨到3200美元以上，背后有三大推动力。首先是美联储降息预期，市场觉得12月10日议息会议降息25个基点概率很大，这导致美元指数下跌，资金提前布局风险资产，像以太坊这类加密货币就受益了。

其次是Fusaka升级，12月4日激活后，降低了Layer2交易费用，还支持账户抽象功能，提升了网络效率，相关数据表现很好，像ETH/BTC汇率比值上升，一些网络结算量和交易量都创新高。
再者是机构资金回流，全球加密货币ETF单日净流入多，链上数据也显示交易所ETH持有量下降，巨鲸增持多头头寸。

从市场结构看，以太坊这次上涨比比特币强势，这和基本面改善有关，期货未平仓合约量上升，大额持有者增加且不卖，减少了流通供应。技术面上，突破关键阻力位后，有新的阻力区域和支撑区域，走势较明确。

山寨币可能因以太坊突破迎来补涨，历史规律显示以太坊强势时山寨币表现不错，部分山寨币板块已有上涨迹象。

不过，市场也有风险。全网未平仓合约量激增且资金费率高，价格回调可能引发多单爆仓；监管方面不稳定，美国对稳定币立法趋严，税收申报规则不明；技术面4小时MACD出现顶背离，上涨动能可能减弱。

最近打算埋伏一枚极大可能强势爆拉的潜力币，预期空间7-10倍没有问题，想跟上这波大机会的朋友，聊天室直接分享。#ETH走势分析 #比特币VS代币化黄金

I really want to cry!

The apprentice who buys will sell the master.

Please don't put such a big pressure on me in the future.

After doing this for decades every day, I could have become a professor.

BNB BTC ETH ZEC

Blindly making trades ultimately leads to losses greater than profits; understanding determines height. Locking in 宠粉基地, sharing daily trading logic, guiding you to find opportunities for flipping your investment! #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

最近加密货币市场热闹非凡，比特币突破94000美元大关，以太坊等中小币种涨幅可观，这热闹背后是多重因素共同作用。

美联储降息预期是关键催化剂。市场对今晚降息25个基点预期概率飙至89.2%，源于美国PPI数据低于预期、通胀缓和。降息使美元走弱、美债收益率下行，为比特币等风险资产提供流动性支撑，且可能开启连续降息周期，资金提前布局推动市场上涨。

以太坊技术升级不可忽视。Fusaka升级的PeerDAS技术提升Blob数据容量，降低Layer2网络交易费用，还赋予普通账户新功能，为后续发展打基础。技术革新遇市场低点，带动以太坊价格上涨，影响整个市场。

机构资金入场是重要推手。大额比特币资产转移、比特币现货ETF资金流入，显示机构积极布局。此次上涨与以往散户推动不同，机构资金流入、供应紧缩和宏观经济改善使市场结构改变，比特币价格波动与全球流动性状况更紧密。

市场风险不小。比特币面临关键阻力位，突破不了或难上涨。全网未平仓合约量激增、资金费率畸高，价格回调可能引发多单爆仓。监管方面，美国证券交易委员会对稳定币立法趋严，政策不确定性是潜在威胁。

昨晚带着群内的粉丝多单ETH狠狠吃了一波7000多u，一觉睡醒他直接说起飞了，神丹还在继续想跟上的兄弟看这里👉聊天室，接下来我会瞄准alpha板块的一个爆拉的币，有想跟上的兄弟锁定宠粉基地。#美联储FOMC会议 #加密ETF十月决战

Something big has happened! Brothers! Waking up, the sky has fallen!

Yesterday I held a long position for more than a day, and waking up, did I take profit?

The fans in the group also made a solid gain of over 7000u. I don't know if there are still brothers who missed out, but don't be discouraged; the signals are still ongoing.

Next, there will be a coin that will make you question life, in the alpha sector, on the BSC chain, which hasn't been pumped before. Personally, I am quite optimistic about it, with short-term returns at 10 times. If you can't hold it, feel free to skip this information; it will launch tonight.

Can you guess which one it is: NIGHT NB PHY

Brothers who want to join, I will be here 👉聊天室 waiting for you. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察

Explosive! The Fed's rate cut on December 10th could send cryptocurrencies into a wild rollercoaster ride!

Tomorrow's Fed meeting is highly anticipated, with a rate cut widely expected, which will have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market.

Looking at the potential impact paths, a rate cut has several positive aspects. First, improved liquidity and lower borrowing costs may lead to some funds flowing into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies, bringing incremental capital to the market and benefiting mainstream assets like Bitcoin. Second, reduced opportunity costs; with declining returns on traditional low-risk assets, the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing cryptocurrencies decreases, increasing their attractiveness and reinforcing Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative. Third, increased risk appetite; loose monetary policy may boost investor risk appetite, potentially amplifying market activity and volatility, and giving some altcoins more attention. Fourth, a weaker dollar; dollar-denominated cryptocurrencies will be "cheaper" for international investors, potentially attracting global capital inflows and increasing demand for them as a hedge against dollar depreciation.

However, this rate cut expectation has unique characteristics. The market has already largely priced in expectations, with the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut jumping from 35% a week ago to over 85%. This could lead to a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario, with the market potentially experiencing a correction when the rate cut is implemented. Furthermore, this rate cut might be a "hawkish" one; while the Fed cut rates, it emphasized vigilance against inflation, suggesting a high threshold for future rate cuts. If it releases cautious signals, it could offset or even reverse the positive effects. In addition, looking back at the first rate cut in September 2024, Bitcoin prices rose significantly, but the current market environment is different. Cryptocurrencies are more correlated with US stocks, and their movements are more influenced by macroeconomic sentiment.

I'm currently planning to invest in a coin with a very high potential for explosive growth, with an expected upside of 7-10 times. If you want to join this big opportunity, contact 聊天室 directly. ##ETH走势分析

Brothers, the alpha sector skyrocketing coin is here, starting tonight with a short-term return of 10 times.

Do you know which one it is? Previously, I had fans preemptively prepare for it. Brothers who didn't catch on, don't be discouraged; the divine pill is still ongoing. Next, I will announce it at 聊天室!

Can you guess which one it is?

Breaking! Binance Alpha Zone: The "Nuclear Level" Presence of Innovation Incubation in the Crypto Industry, Risks and Opportunities Fly Together

The Binance Alpha Zone holds a unique position and significant influence in the crypto industry.

In project selection, rigorous admission standards (technology, compliance with entities, ecology, and value as triple thresholds) effectively ensure the quality of launched projects, reduce investment risks, and facilitate healthy industry development.

Star projects are characterized by strong features and innovation, such as the SYNC Protocol aligning with RWA track trends and having entity support; HumidiFi's unique design optimizes trading experience and security; SUPERFORTUNE integrates multiple technologies to open new directions, demonstrating the incubation capability of the zone.

In the operating mechanism, the points airdrop mechanism is reasonable and can encourage trading and user selection, but rule adjustments may cause confusion for some users, requiring continuous optimization.

Regarding investment potential, track, ecology, and mechanism bonuses provide momentum for project growth, but the high volatility of the crypto market, unstable regulations, and fierce competition pose risks that cannot be ignored.

There are positive signals in the regulatory environment, and in the future, raising the selection standards and strengthening ecological advantages in the zone is a trend, but it also needs to adapt to stricter regulations.

Overall, the Binance Alpha Zone has great potential advantages in incubating innovative projects, and investors participating in investments must fully recognize the risks and make cautious decisions.

I already know which coin will explode, can everyone guess which one it is? Click on my avatar to follow me 聊天室, and share more spot coin holding ideas and rolling warehouse strategy for hundredfold coin selection. #美联储官员集体发声 #美联储重启降息步伐

A bigger one is coming! Brothers.

The Binance alpha sector is about to have a meme coin that will make you question your life!

Alpha sector, BSC chain, has not been pumped yet, personally, I am still quite optimistic, launching tonight.

Key focus: DIGI XNY DGC ARTCX NB

A big one is coming! There is a divine order about to be announced! The car is too heavy to lift! After careful consideration, I still choose to share at 聊天室! If you want to go on the highway, you can call me! #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美国结束政府停摆

Breaking! In 120 hours, the Fed's interest rate cut 'nuclear bomb' is coming, will cryptocurrencies be blown away?

In less than 120 hours, the global market may welcome this year's most exciting turning point! The Fed is about to take new action, and the probability of an interest rate cut has soared to 97%. This number makes the heart race, and the entire financial circle is extremely tense, as everyone is waiting to see.

Prepare to cope with this huge impact. Such a significant rate cut will reshape the market landscape, with trends, capital flows, and market activity potentially undergoing drastic changes. This event is likely to be remembered in history.

After the announcement, the news will undoubtedly explode, and Trump may use this to claim the success of his economic policy.

The countdown has begun, the market is boiling, and emotions are running high. Against this backdrop, the cryptocurrency market is also likely to be affected, with significant price fluctuations and changes in capital flow.

Recently, it has mainly been about sharing internally. If you want to learn more useful tutorials and trading ideas, and want to gain more knowledge and cutting-edge information, follow me at @黄帝论趋势 , so you won't get lost in the transition between bull and bear markets. #加密市场观察

The yen's interest rate hike weapon is out, will the cryptocurrency market be washed in blood?

The yen has had roughly three interest rate hike cycles in the past 20 years: the 2000 hike led to the global financial collapse and the bursting of the internet bubble, the 2007 - 2008 hike triggered the global financial crisis, during which the Nasdaq plummeted and the ability of related assets to withstand pressure was in doubt; the July 2024 hike caused the Nasdaq to plunge 15%, and this month may continue, with the current biggest bubble being the AI bubble, which could be greatly affected by further rate hikes.

For the past 30 years, with the yen's 0% interest rate, a large amount of capital has been borrowed in yen for dollar investments, forming leveraged funds of 5 - 10 trillion dollars. Rate hikes will lead to capital returning and withdrawing, which could trigger a financial stampede. If the Nasdaq, gold, and U.S. Treasuries are currently in correction, a yen rate hike will accelerate the market's decline, and for cryptocurrencies, in an overall declining market atmosphere, it will be difficult for them to remain unscathed, and prices may be dragged down.

So last night I directly let my fans short around 92599, and this morning I woke up to a hefty gain of 1662u. For those brothers who want to follow the subsequent market changes, I'm here 👉聊天室 waiting for you. ##特朗普家族币

The Fed's interest rate cut in December is 'imminent', Trump's 'divine operation', and cryptocurrencies are about to 'soar'?

Folks, the Fed's December meeting is super stimulating! The 'shadow chairman' Kevin Hassett has announced that there will definitely be a 25 basis point rate cut next week. Trump has halted the final interview for the Fed chair to ensure Hassett's position, narrowing the candidate list from 10 to 1, and has publicly named him a 'potential chair' due to his high loyalty and good market reputation.

The employment data is terrible, with the November 'non-farm' ADP employment dropping by 31,000, and the services PMI employment index has contracted for six consecutive months, fueling the call for a rate cut. The market's bet on the likelihood of a December rate cut has soared to 87%, with traders waiting for the news to land. However, Deutsche Bank warns that the U.S. economic fundamentals and the hawkish stance within the Fed may make the rate cut more cautious.

As for candidates, Hassett is the favorite advocating for a rate cut; Waller is focused on controlling inflation; Waller is relatively neutral; Powell has a poor relationship with Trump and emphasizes central bank independence.

This grand drama of Fed leadership is reaching its climax, with Trump's determination to change leadership strong, Hassett's stance clear, and weak data seemingly making a rate cut inevitable, but economic fundamentals and internal resistance remain to be overcome. The market is more concerned about the magnitude and speed of the rate cut.

For cryptocurrencies, if the Fed cuts rates, market liquidity will increase, and funds may flow into risk assets like cryptocurrencies, driving prices up; however, if the magnitude or speed of the rate cut falls short of expectations, market disappointment may trigger a correction in cryptocurrency prices.

Big things are coming! A divine order is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to pull! After much consideration, I've still chosen to share at 聊天室! If you want to get on the highway, you can call me! #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #特朗普加密新政

ETH price fluctuates: 1.4 billion short positions and 800 million long positions in a "life-and-death game"; future strategies of high selling and low buying are key!\n\nCurrently, ETH price is unstable, with more short sellers. If the price rises to $3168, 1.4 billion short positions may be forcibly liquidated; if it falls to $2830, 800 million long positions will be liquidated.\n\nOverall, short positions dominate, moving averages are downward, and short-term fundamentals are difficult to change the trend. However, a major cycle correction to the golden ratio at 618 may stop the decline and stabilize; it is currently in a wide range of fluctuations and repairs.\n\nRecently, the price is unlikely to set new lows or new highs, and is likely to fluctuate in the range of $2600 - $3200, with subsequent momentum for upward attacks. Trading should focus on high selling and low buying, with a temporary pause in one-sided trends.\n\nThe big one is coming! A divine order is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to pull! After careful consideration, I still choose to share it at 聊天室! If you want to go on the highway, you can call me! ##ETH走势分析

Something big is happening! The Federal Reserve's "increase reserves" holds hidden implications, and the cryptocurrency market may face a stunning upheaval, with Trump becoming the key factor!

The market is unusually quiet, Jerome Powell revealed that the Federal Reserve will "increase reserves" at some point, leading Wall Street to speculate that quantitative easing may return, meaning the Federal Reserve might inject funds into the financial system, which is both exciting and concerning.

This is no ordinary policy adjustment; it feels like a major move. The Federal Reserve's action aims to make the financial system operate more smoothly. Currently, the world's attention is focused on President Trump. If he praises, the market may soar; if he criticizes, the market could completely turn.
Key points in cryptocurrency:

$LUNC (Terra Classic): In the past, during periods of loose funding, such high-risk, community-driven tokens would skyrocket, and traders are betting that the Federal Reserve's easing will trigger a new wave of speculation.

$ACE (Fusionist): A gaming token with high potential, surging rapidly when risk appetite increases. If the notion of "Federal Reserve easing" spreads, smart money will flow into such GameFi projects.

$LUNA (Terra 2.0): Timing is crucial; recent network upgrades and exchange maintenance have drawn attention to it, and hints of Federal Reserve liquidity may help it break through key price levels.

Something big is coming! A major order is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to pull! After much consideration, I still choose to share it at 聊天室! If you want to get on the highway, you can Ca11 me! #特朗普加密新政 #加密市场观察

Wow! The profits from margin trading ETH nearly "went down the drain" with 3.34 million!

With a principal of 500,000, the margin trading of ETH started at a price of 2,840, and the floating profit soared to 3.34 million, making one feel that financial freedom is within reach.

However, margin trading is a "ticking time bomb." The liquidation price was pushed up to $3,000, and in the early morning, ETH's correction fell below that price. Two liquidations erupted in an instant. When one came to their senses, only 730,000 remained, with almost all profits gone, and just $42 away from another liquidation.

Leverage in margin trading is too crazy; even if the direction is correct, the market's wild fluctuations can wipe out profits. Currently, the market is highly volatile, and high leverage is life-threatening.

Investing should be done steadily. If the market is good, one can operate appropriately, but don't trade recklessly. The principal is the foundation of survival, and preserving the principal is much more important than amplifying profits.

If ETH does not quickly rise back above $3,000, the chain risk of liquidation will continue endlessly. Investors must manage risks well; staying alive is the only way to wait for the next bull market to make big money!

If you want to delve deeper into this circle but can't find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, you can click on my profile picture to follow and gain more first-hand information and in-depth analysis. #特朗普加密新政 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Mainland Thunder Regulation + Hong Kong's Ingenious Layout, the Cryptocurrency Market Welcomes a 'Super Earthquake'!

Mainland criminalization governance blocks stablecoin trading space, promoting funds to shift towards digital yuan, with cross-border payment scale exceeding 10 trillion, strengthening the international influence of the yuan.

Hong Kong limits retail investors through the 'Stablecoin Regulation' and sets high thresholds, guiding stablecoin services to support the real economy, attracting compliant institutions to layout, forming a new ecology for the offshore market.

The measures from both regions促使加密货币市场资金重构，境内交易萎缩降低风险，离岸市场聚焦实体赋能，既为全球提供风险防控与创新平衡的监管范本，也推动加密货币从投机工具向合规化、场景化方向转型，未来市场有望更规范健康。

Recently, mainly sharing internally, for those who want to learn more useful tutorials and trading ideas, enter 聊天室 to unlock more useful knowledge.
#美国ADP数据超预期

Cryptocurrency Market Collapse Warning: Macro, Capital, and Leverage Triple Bombs Detonate, Can You Still Stay Steady?

Last night's sharp decline in the cryptocurrency market is the result of multiple factors working together, reflecting the significant influence of the macro environment on the cryptocurrency market.

The direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, especially inflation and interest rate cut expectations, acts like a 'baton' for the market; once expectations change, the market will experience violent fluctuations.

The substantial outflow of institutional funds also indicates that traditional capital is highly sensitive to risk, and when the macro environment is unfavorable, it quickly withdraws from risk assets.

Leverage trading during market volatility is like a double-edged sword; it can amplify profits when the market is favorable, but when the market reverses, it can lead to significant losses for investors. Last night's leverage collapse is a typical example.

Currently, Bitcoin is at a critical support zone, and market sentiment is extremely fearful. In this situation, the market trend is full of uncertainty.

Whether the market will stop falling next depends on macro data, the Federal Reserve's statements, the flow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs, and whether Bitcoin can recover key levels. Last night directly prompted fans to decisively short, also resulting in a hefty profit of 10,000 dollars. For fans who missed out, don't be discouraged; there will still be significant events happening tonight. I will announce in advance at 👉聊天室 to guide fans in flipping positions and recovering losses. Brothers who want to flip positions to recover losses, remember to find the Yellow Emperor!##美SEC推动加密创新监管

Dencun Upgrade 'Soaring': Ethereum's Scalability Problem Breakthrough, Will the Ecosystem 'Defy the Heavens'?

The Ethereum Dencun upgrade is undoubtedly an important event in the blockchain field, bringing significant impacts from multiple aspects.

Technically, the Dencun upgrade is a key step in enhancing Ethereum's scalability, reducing Layer2 data storage costs, greatly lowering user transaction fees, improving user experience, and attracting traffic.

In terms of ecology, the upgrade changes the competitive landscape of Layer2, project differentiation is beneficial for ecological optimization, and rapid adapters will stand out, while adjustments to the mainnet infrastructure lay the foundation for future scalability.

Market reaction shows that ETH price has short-term 'positive impact', and long-term ecological development is expected to enhance its value; Layer2 token differentiation reflects market re-evaluation of value, facilitating reasonable allocation of resources.
However, challenges for Ethereum still exist.

Beyond scalability, security, decentralization, and sustainability are crucial, and cross-chain interoperability and liquidity fragmentation require industry collaboration to solve, while regulatory uncertainties may affect institutional participation, and further optimization is needed in environmental, social, and governance aspects.

Overall, the Dencun upgrade is an important milestone in Ethereum's development; although it faces challenges, it has opened a promising situation for future development and is expected to drive the Ethereum ecosystem towards a more prosperous stage.

Last night, I let fans enter the long position near 3090, and a steady hand finally allowed fans to take profits and exit near the first target of 3140, with a high point of 3157. Brothers who missed it, don’t be discouraged, the divine elixir is still ongoing, I will announce it later at 👉聊天室 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储取消创新活动监管计划

Breaking! Ethereum 3250 'Cliff' style correction, will it rush to 3400 after 5 days?

First, let's talk about Ethereum. Previously, the pressure around 3250 was significant. As soon as the price hit this point, it quickly dropped 7% to 3060, and it fell really fast. However, we shouldn't get too carried away with a little success, as there are still 5 days until the interest rate cut. It's not impossible for the price to make another peak, and there’s even a small chance it could reach around 3400.

For the long term, hold positions as planned, short in batches the day before the interest rate cut, and the price may gradually decline after the cut; for short-term trading, take profits on dips and short again before the cut.

Tonight at 11 o'clock, the PCE data will be released. Pay attention to market fluctuations, and I will provide timely updates.

ZEC rebounded by 30%, and close to 460, you can short heavily. There is some resistance at 420, but it can be tried, preferably in batches.

BCH and WLFI have seen significant drops recently. Operate according to the strategy to make money quickly. For instance, I made 100,000 overnight by shorting these coins. You can trade with me.

The profit-taking chart from the Yellow Emperor is as follows. Recently, I have been leading fans in the group, and there will be many more opportunities after several days of gains. Brothers who want to join, I will announce the secret potion here 聊天室.

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察

On December 5th, Ethereum experienced a pullback, just 5 days before the interest rate cut, and the subsequent trend is under observation.

If there is no market movement over the weekend, it will be challenging for Ethereum to break through 3227 and rise to 3500 on the 8th and 9th of next week. Currently, 3127 is the support level, 3227 has selling pressure, and 3187 is crucial; stabilizing or breaking through 3227 could yield an upward space of 200 points; failing to hold 3127 may indicate that the market peak is at 3227, which would initiate a decline.

The previous decline has exhausted the upward momentum, and there may be an opportunity to short after the interest rate cut. Overall, the market's wait-and-see sentiment before the rate cut, key point battles, and the policy direction post-rate cut will profoundly impact Ethereum and the short-term fluctuations and long-term trends of the entire cryptocurrency market.

Recently planning to ambush a potential coin with a very high possibility of a strong surge, expecting a return of 7-10 times is not an issue. Friends who want to seize this big opportunity can directly share 聊天室. #美联储重启降息步伐 #美国ADP数据超预期