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What is the hardest part of trading? The hardest part is consistently adhering to the rules, The hardest part is maintaining emotional control after consecutive stop losses……
Recently, the Web3 market has been very torturous, with small fluctuations and false moves, lacking any particularly surprising events. Today should present a clear direction; the time span this time is too large, so I won't make too many comments on the direction of BTC from the Buddhist perspective.
Currently, metals and commodities are rising, while the dollar is weakening. Some analyses suggest this is due to Japan's interest rate hikes causing a tightening of global financial market liquidity, while the U.S. will restart QE next year to rescue the economy through inflation.
Currently, with the change in the Fed chair and Trump's long-standing desire to increase interest rate cuts, the likelihood of this speculation is relatively high.
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The impact on the stock market and the cryptocurrency market, which are risk assets, is still uncertain. The key lies in the U.S. GDP, unemployment rate, and the financial report conditions of each company. As long as the economic situation performs well without recession risks, it is very likely that next year will replicate a wave of liquidity overflow and a huge bull market like 2020-2021.
However, if next year the U.S. GDP, unemployment rate, and the financial report conditions of U.S. companies perform poorly, and the risk of recession increases, then everything will be completely ruined……
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🍁Waking up to the sunrise is hope; returning home to the lights is warmth. On this new day, may we not let the morning light go to waste, let warmth flow into our hearts, and let joy be by our side. Good morning~ Happy Friday!#BTC #ETH #sol #bnb
【CZ Calls for the Industry to Eradicate Scams During Illness】
Binance founder CZ, after being released from prison, fell ill with a fever but remains concerned about industry issues. He emphasized that the cryptocurrency industry must do everything possible to eradicate scams and "poisonous attacks" to effectively protect user safety. The article reflects his determination to promote the purification and healthy development of the industry, even while unwell. $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT) #CZ平安
2025 Major Global Economies' Interest Rate Hikes and Cuts Policy:
1. United States: Three rounds of interest rate cuts within the year, with the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. This round of easing has resulted in a cumulative cut of 175 basis points, and the pace of cuts will significantly slow down in 2026. 2. Japan: The only developed economy to raise interest rates, with two rate hikes this year, raising rates to 0.75% in December to combat high inflation. 3. United Kingdom: Six interest rate cuts within the year, with the December rate dropped to 3.75%. This round of easing is nearing its end. 4. Eurozone: Maintaining the interest rate at 2.0% since June, with inflation close to the target and an upward adjustment in economic growth expectations, likely to start raising rates subsequently. 5. Australia: After three rounds of rate cuts at the beginning of the year, the rate stabilized at 3.60%, with inflation rebounding beyond expectations, and policy may shift from cuts to hikes. 6. Canada: Maintaining the benchmark interest rate at 2.25%, with strong economic and employment data, leading to strong expectations for rate hikes. 7. Emerging Economies: Many continue with easing, with Thailand, Chile, and Mexico synchronously cutting rates; Russia's rate cut has narrowed; Indonesia and Colombia maintain their rates unchanged. $BTC $ETH
From Millionaire to Penniless: A Carefully Planned Crypto Scam
In May 2022, a project named 'Squid Game Coin' (SQUID) skyrocketed by 2300 times in just five days, only to have its price plummet to zero, with developers absconding with approximately $3.38 million. This project, which used the popular web series 'Squid Game' as a gimmick, designed a complex anti-cashout mechanism—investors could buy in but could never sell out.
This is just the tip of the iceberg for scams in the crypto world. More sophisticated scams often wear a facade of legitimacy, such as the 'South African Bitcoin Ponzi Scheme' MTI (Mirror Trading International), which was involved in a $4.5 billion case in 2023. The company promised monthly returns of 20% through 'AI trading robots', attracting over 1 million investors from 190 countries worldwide. In reality, there was no such thing as AI trading; funds merely circulated between new and old investors, forming a typical Ponzi structure.
In this world, the only two things that are truly difficult to see through are:
One is the human heart.
One is the human heart, the other is fortune. The human heart is formless, yet often turns before prices do; fortune is silent, yet has already been inscribed in every hesitation and impulse. After being in the crypto circle for a long time, you will gradually understand a fact: truly capable people do not always accurately judge the market; rather, they are less and less swayed by it. They can anticipate intentions when others come to them; they can see the path a person is taking from a single sentence or action; they can also quietly avoid risks before they manifest. That is not fortune-telling, but rather an intuition about human nature and structure gained from extensive experience.
Why is the hardest part in the cycle not judging the direction, but doing nothing?
Why is the hardest part in the cycle not judging the direction, but doing nothing? In the middle of the cycle, many people have a delusion: as long as the direction is judged correctly, the rest is just a matter of execution. But after experiencing several rounds of market conditions, you will find that judging the direction has never been the hardest part; the real difficulty is being able to resist the urge to act after you have already grasped the general direction. Especially in the current environment, where macro expectations are repeatedly revised, and both bullish and bearish factors appear in turn, there seem to be reasonable explanations for price movements in both directions. You are not completely without judgment, but any single judgment is insufficient to justify your emotional and financial investment in action. The market does not give you a clear signal, but constantly provides you with incentives.