(Pinned Fan Must Read Post) Hello to all new fans: Our trading focus is on the risk-reward ratio, which means capturing stars with controllable small losses. ✅ 10% win rate + 10:1 risk-reward ratio = Positive Expectation System ❌ 70% win rate + 0.5:1 risk-reward ratio = Chronic Suicide Single trade profit and loss is not the most important indicator for us; several strategies with narrow stop-losses can result in an overall profit from one profitable strategy. Do you want to reference the 'show-off single hit' influencer or the 'mathematical odds' calculated positive expected return trading? You can: Open my historical posts, calculate past strategies: ∑(Profit Amount × Probability) - ∑(Loss Amount × Probability), and see through the essence of the system: a positive expected return rate of small losses and big wins. If you are still disappointed after calculating the numbers, I respect your choice; If you understand the risk-reward ratio and positive expected return rate (probability weapon), you are welcome to join the bragging team 😘. Additionally: We are generally only responsible to our main base; in the plaza, we are just here on the side; our strategies and analysis can only serve as a reference for plaza fans. If we find fans with large positions, we will manually block them, as they are unlikely to survive in this market for long.
$BTC The big pancake 72650 all take profit, tonight everyone's profit from the big pancake and Ethereum is about 20% of the total principal.
吹牛b的多空大师
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Bearish
$BTC The large pancake increase in positions is too big, and the dense trading range is blocked. Currently looking bearish around the price of 75000, with a stop loss at 75600. Position size 20 times leverage 20% This market completely meets the conditions. Originally, I didn't want to open a position today, but this market almost completely aligns with the downward trend, making it worth the gamble. If it loses, just continue to rest and look for new lows.
$BTC The profit from the short position posted earlier on the big pie has mostly been locked in. Tonight's rhythm can be considered completely right, and the T-position has all been taken back. Next, we just wait for 71222 to take all the profits. Yesterday, after a loss, I thought about doing T today, and just happened to encounter a significant drop. In the meantime, I also locked in profits on Ethereum by taking a short position with the big pie, and the position size has decreased, so I have already taken all the profits. Since the position size of the big pie is still increasing, I chose to add to the big pie. The current profit can sustain us for 5 days; the importance of the profit-loss ratio far exceeds the win rate, and those who have made gains can continue to enjoy it.
$BTC The pancake carries a steady stop loss of 74900 (even with losses, there are still profits), set the take profit at 71222 and go to sleep
吹牛b的多空大师
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Bearish
$BTC seems like the routine is the same every day, and the data on this market really feels like you can just jump in and pick up some gains, but I don't know if it will teach us a lesson. The Ethereum market doesn't behave like Bitcoin; instead, the market is differentiated. Ethereum either fluctuates or sees a significant drop because there is currently very little bullish accumulation. If it drops less, it doesn't mean much; it needs to lure in at 2100, and it has to break down by several points to clear out, so it's actually a bit hard to imagine. If we miss this or get stopped out, then we just continue to rest, guys. If it goes down, let's first look for a break below 72000.
$BTC seems like the routine is the same every day, and the data on this market really feels like you can just jump in and pick up some gains, but I don't know if it will teach us a lesson. The Ethereum market doesn't behave like Bitcoin; instead, the market is differentiated. Ethereum either fluctuates or sees a significant drop because there is currently very little bullish accumulation. If it drops less, it doesn't mean much; it needs to lure in at 2100, and it has to break down by several points to clear out, so it's actually a bit hard to imagine. If we miss this or get stopped out, then we just continue to rest, guys. If it goes down, let's first look for a break below 72000.
$BTC The large pancake increase in positions is too big, and the dense trading range is blocked. Currently looking bearish around the price of 75000, with a stop loss at 75600. Position size 20 times leverage 20% This market completely meets the conditions. Originally, I didn't want to open a position today, but this market almost completely aligns with the downward trend, making it worth the gamble. If it loses, just continue to rest and look for new lows.
$ETH Ethereum Long Position Reminder: Currently bullish near the price of Ethereum, with a stop loss at 2253, and the maximum loss is less than 3% of the total principal. The current market has a greater possibility of the main force inducing a short than directly selling. Do not chase a short. The key point in the market is 2260, which is the dividing line for the main force switching from short to long. If the market is to continue to rise, it will not directly break below this point. If the main force exits the long position and goes short, do not hold positions but directly go to cash. The market is very bearish, with a high probability of inducing a short to provide a counterparty. This is very worth speculating on because if the market temporarily reverses, it is very likely to see around 2430, and the risk-reward ratio can fully support this long position.
The short position stop loss exits first, the large bullish candlestick confuses me, and I'm currently unsure if the main force has reversed to go long. I will wait for tomorrow to see a high and a low to form a range and then analyze the main force's position direction. Get some rest, I have been short all night 😤
$ETH Ethereum continues to hold short, entering around 2197, stop loss at 2223. The market has not shown any reversal signals; on the contrary, 2200 seems to be a trap for the bulls, which is also the cost zone for the largest short position of the main force. The open interest has not significantly decreased, and the bullish sentiment influenced by news will likely continue to be suppressed.
$ETH Continue to hold short near Ethereum 2180, 30 points stop loss. There is no movement in the position despite the rebound in news, the main short position's large cost area is around 2200, continue to be bearish!
The Ethereum 3140 has been fully cashed out with $ETH !
吹牛b的多空大师
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Bearish
$ETH Ethereum 2300 for each short position, current price 2225 don't catch the bottom. You can even look to short directly, a stop loss of 35 points is sufficient. Time: Tonight Target 2160 even the previous low must be broken.
$ETH Ethereum 2300 for each short position, current price 2225 don't catch the bottom. You can even look to short directly, a stop loss of 35 points is sufficient. Time: Tonight Target 2160 even the previous low must be broken.
吹牛b的多空大师
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Bearish
$ETH Ethereum market analysis: The current price of Ethereum is 2302 with a bearish outlook, stop loss at 2337, position size 20 times leverage 10%, target around 2210. Ethereum has reached the previously mentioned short position near 2305, and Ethereum's main force has held short positions. Ethereum is relatively weaker compared to Bitcoin, making it the preferred choice for shorting. The dense transaction interval has already shifted down.
$ETH In the past few days, I have received news from various institutions, various whales, and various individuals buying Bitcoin and Ethereum, and the prices have been rising. The trading rule is that a buy and a sell must take place for a transaction to be completed. Buyers are loudly promoting, while the sellers remain low-key, balancing the quantities. Sellers are rhythmically offloading, and buyers are doing their utmost to buy, only managing to keep the price from falling. Sellers also need to help create momentum to attract buyers. It's really difficult to see a large-scale V-reversal (here referring to a 20% increase, given that the current price is 2300, a 20% rise would only be just under 2750, coming from 4900).
$ETH Ethereum market analysis: The current price of Ethereum is 2302 with a bearish outlook, stop loss at 2337, position size 20 times leverage 10%, target around 2210. Ethereum has reached the previously mentioned short position near 2305, and Ethereum's main force has held short positions. Ethereum is relatively weaker compared to Bitcoin, making it the preferred choice for shorting. The dense transaction interval has already shifted down.
$ETH Current price chasing more, considering the open interest, there is a high probability that this position is a trap for shorts, and this morning's decline may be a washout.
$ETH Ethereum market reminders and analysis: currently bullish around 2365, key level at 2360 invalidated, stop loss at 2346, leverage at 20 times, 10%. Retail short entry rate increased to 2.3 near 2370, and after breaking, the position size significantly increased, likely indicating a trap for shorts! Take profit set at 2425 with 50% profit, assuming after taking profit it falls back to 2391, can re-enter, stop loss uniformly set at 2370.
$ETH long, bought the dip, stop loss 2215 Ethereum around 2238 long (the error is not significant, go in directly, don't worry about small errors now), stop loss 2215, position 20x leverage 10% Must take it seriously, start gradually testing long now
$ETH The matter has come to this, let's take 20 more points to stop loss and look for a short. Ethereum market reminder and analysis: Ethereum's current price is around 2310, looking for a short, stop loss at 2330, position size 20x leverage 10%. Take profit at 2262 for 50%, 2162 for 50%. The bulls are too concentrated around 2300, and even if there is a pull, the probability of directly reaching this point for high leverage bulls to profit is very low. The first take profit should be set at 2262 for stable operation.