Brothers, this week the market welcomes the ultimate showdown, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut + Japan's interest rate hike, a double disruption
The script for the rate cut is very clear:
1️⃣ Hawkish rate cut = big drop
2️⃣ Rate cut not exceeding expectations = drop 😵
3️⃣ Exceeding expectations with a 50BP rate cut = soaring for several days 🚀
As for Japan's interest rate hike, it is a known negative factor. Based on the current market sentiment
If ETH drops before the rate cut, the interest rate hike in Japan may only be a small jab, unless the rate hike exceeds expectations (but the probability is very small)!
In the last two days, some whales have been quietly increasing their positions in ETH,
This indicates that the main force is very confident about the rebound of the market!
The daily level support is in the range of 3050-3010
As long as this level is not broken, the rebound pattern of ETH will not change, brothers can continue to watch for the rebound!
The target pressure for the short-term rebound is in the range of 3180-3230
Brothers, note that this position is an excellent point for short positions, aim steadily!
If ETH retraces and breaks below 3000, the bullish pattern will deteriorate, and the market will need to be redefined!
Support below is at 2960, 2865
In the short term
ETH is still under pressure from the downward trend line
Brothers can pay attention to the short opportunity as it rebounds near the trend line
Quick in and out, steadily make a profit!
Those who followed this wave of Ethereum can take profits, and those who haven't hopped on shouldn't rush; let's wait for the next wave of setups, see you in the chat room!!!
Last night's market was truly an art of the manipulators. BTC directly spiked to 877
Then came an astonishing V-reversal, oscillating up and down, completely clearing both long and short positions!
The market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in December, so there won't be too many surprises.
Now the market focus has shifted to the rate cut path in 2026!
If the Federal Reserve's expectations for the number of rate cuts in 2026 are unclear
or at least 3 times below market expectations, that would be bearish, and the market may face significant fluctuations!
Currently, the probability of this situation occurring is not small, so brothers must be prepared defensively!
Key intraday BTC level: the dividing line between long and short at 90000!
Long position support: 90000
Now 90000 is the lifeline for bulls; as long as the four-hour closing does not fall below 90000, the market continues to look for rebounds and upward momentum.
Support below: 87600-86300
If the four-hour closing falls below 90000 again
then short-term long positions must exit decisively! The bullish pattern will be completely invalidated.
The market will turn bearish, with target support at 87600 and 86300, and operations must be flexible to respond!
Currently, bulls have stabilized at 90000.
If the rebound continues to gain strength, resistance is at 93000 and 94000; if broken, there may even be an opportunity for 96000!
But brothers, don’t be greedy near the resistance level; those who are cautious can gradually reduce positions to lock in profits; winning is the hard truth!
Recent trades have been quite good; yesterday's Ethereum and Bitcoin rebounds have also been captured.
All have caught the comments following along.
See you in the next trade layout chatroom; let's not miss each other!
Brothers, pay attention! Pay attention! The market is now a bomb that could explode at any moment! The probability of a rate cut in December has reached over 90%, and the market consensus is at its peak, but remember: the higher the consensus, the greater the risk!
Do you remember when the expectation of a rate hike in Japan was 90% in August 2024?
As a result, BTC plummeted 20% in a single day, directly liquidating the entire market!
This is the reality that "good news turns into bad news."
The market never follows the script; the more it seems like a sure thing, the more likely it is to become a big trap!
Last night, there was a sudden crash that liquidated quite a bit; the already limited liquidity is now even less.
Key levels for ETH today:
Short-term support: 3050-3010
The bullish pattern on the ETH daily chart has not been completely destroyed.
If the short-term pullback to 3050-3010 can hold,
there is still a chance for the market to rebound!
The initial target is 3200.
But remember, if the resistance level is not broken, don't be greedy with long positions; a rebound is a great opportunity for shorts!
If the support at 3050-3010 is broken, give up the short-term long positions immediately!
The lower support directly targets 2910.
Resistance range: 3210-3300.
The current rebound resistance for ETH is around 3210; if the market rushes to this range,
shorts can position lightly and set stop losses; liquidation is someone else's business!
Friends who followed the long position for ETH at 2940 yesterday should protect profits and continue to hold.
Let's see the next godly trade in our chat room!!!
Did you participate in last night's monkey business market? Was it exciting?
The Federal Reserve's rate cut in December is basically locked in, but the market is still sluggish.
Bitcoin's rebound lacks strength, and there is fierce back-and-forth trading in the short term, with monkey business markets emerging one after another!
The current key support level for BTC is at 88000 dollars.
As long as this support holds, there is still a chance for a rebound to 95000 on the daily chart!
However, considering the market's sluggishness,
a rebound to 95000 may require a period of consolidation to complete.
Brothers, this rebound is a test of patience!
The current market is highly volatile, and frequent trading can easily lead to stop-losses.
Brothers must be patient to find the right entry points, trading low for long and high for short in a stable manner!
Last night, we set up long positions near 88200 for the family,
resulting in a direct rebound profit of 3000 points!
For those who followed, wasn't this a blast?
For friends who missed out, there will be another opportunity tonight.
Two major events in December! US dollar interest rate cut VS Japanese yen interest rate hike, the global financial market is in turmoil digesting!
Last Friday, due to the anticipation of a Japanese interest rate hike, the S&P 500 fell by 0.5%, the Dow Jones plummeted by 0.9%, and BTC also directly plunged over 6%!
However, after a pullback, BTC has stubbornly rebounded to 94000.
But everyone pay attention,
The benefits of interest rate cuts have already been overdrawn in advance, and the market is now just digesting the impact of the yen's interest rate hike!
Once the Japanese interest rate hike is implemented, BTC may very likely welcome a low position opportunity in the short term.
Intraday BTC point analysis:
Today's short-term pressure for BTC is at 93550-94700.
Brothers pay attention! Both of these positions can be shorted, and the short-term bearish opportunity is very large!
There is also a secondary pressure level above at 96000.
Short-term support is at 89000~87500.
You can participate in a low long position here.
Finding the right position to enter this market is a big profit.
Don't hesitate anymore, see you in our chat room for the next wave of layout, on the car! 🔥🔥🔥
In the past two days, BTC has been hovering in the range of 94000-91000, while spot funds are gradually being released, and contracts are being crazily absorbed!!!
This kind of "seesaw battle" indicates that the market is waiting for a direction to choose.
Neither buying nor selling is the answer.
Many people are waiting for interest rate cuts and the implementation of Japan's interest rate policy!
The support range of 91300~89800 mentioned in yesterday's blog indeed worked.
After entering the range, BTC quickly stopped falling and rebounded.
Those who followed the operation have steadily earned over 1000 points in profit!
The volatility is so large that any gain is worthwhile.
This fan made about 1000 dollars this time.
Unity of knowledge and action, not bad at all.
The current market is highly volatile, and the direction is still unclear.
Brothers must operate with light positions and wait to increase positions after the direction is chosen!
For friends who did not keep up,
We will meet in the chat room for the next layout!!!
The probability of interest rate cuts in December has been firmly locked at 89.2%, and the market expectations are almost "nailed down"!
However, recent economic data has weakened the hawkish expectations for rate cuts, and there is more of an optimistic neutral expectation, which has a relatively restrained impact on the market in the short term.
BTC has been wildly testing around 94000 these days.
It has not stood firm twice, and short selling liquidity has already begun to appear!
The short-term cost performance is not high; we need to closely monitor key points and flexibly sell high and buy low!
94600 is still an important resistance level, before the daily MA30 stabilizes.
The resistance at 94600 is still a suppression, and selling high is the optimal strategy!
Short-term resistance: 94000~94600, the breakout is not strong, and the price may still fall back before it stabilizes!
94000 is the current short-term resistance, with the second resistance around 97500; do not blindly chase high prices!
If the market rebound is weak, it could gradually retrace to the 91300~89800 range.
You can try to place small position buy orders, but be sure to strictly control the stop loss and remain flexible!
Short-term support is at 87800~86880; if the market quickly dips to this position, you can aggressively place orders to ambush long positions.
If you have long positions entered at low levels with me, just hold on, and wait for my next notice.
For friends who have not entered, our chat room continues to trade short-term.
The U price has dropped, and the exchange rate has currently broken seven. This is not a good sign!!!
I estimate that on one hand, it is because the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in December.
On the other hand, Tokyo University continues to crack down on virtual currencies, especially targeting stablecoin money laundering and illegal currency exchange,
which has led many people to sell U.
However, the price of coins has surged, and this logic is a bit hard to understand.
The market has now completely returned to the rhythm of trading interest rate cuts!
The 10th is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision day, and the likelihood of the U.S. cutting interest rates for the third time this year is high!
The recent strong rise in ETH prices is largely due to the launch of the Fusaka upgrade.
From the trend, the rebound strength of ETH is significantly stronger than BTC, and the potential for further price increases is greater!
In terms of exchange rates, the daily ETH exchange rate has already broken through a key resistance.
Market funds are rapidly flowing in!
Last night, I told the family at 3080 to go long, and we directly secured 120 points!
This wave of fans easily made thousands of U!
Leave a 666 below if you’re in!
Brothers, in this kind of market, you’re not still losing money, right.....
Are you going to continue to miss the next wave?!
Stop slapping your thigh, let’s eat meat on the next order, see you in the car! 🔥🔥🔥
Currently, the global market is still under the shadow of expectations for a yen interest rate hike, and negative sentiment is rapidly fermenting....
It is expected that tonight will welcome the final climax of release.
Next, the market will return to the macro expectation of a Fed interest rate cut in December!
Last night, the Fed suddenly threw out $13.5 billion in overnight repos!
Some say this is "water injection," but it is more of a signal — short-term funding tightness has forced the Fed to take action!
This indicates that reserves are close to a critical point, and pausing QT is almost a certainty, and it may even mean that the liquidity cycle is at a turning point from tight to loose!
However, the positive news will not be realized immediately; the current market is still in a downward trend.
The rebound of ETH is just a small movement, and greater declines may still be on the way!
ETH key levels:
Support below: 2720-2670
These are the most important short-term support levels for ETH.
If 2720 is lost, 2670 will become the next target range.
Today's support point is at 2760; as long as it does not break down, there is still a chance for a short-term rebound.
Resistance above: 2855-2930-2960
Attention! The four-hour level resistance is 2855. If the rebound cannot even break this,
the market will still be bearish! Not to mention the 2960 position.
For those looking to short, a stable point is near 2930.
Wait for the rebound to position and directly short!
The rebound of ETH is an illusion!
The daily level formation is still brewing a larger intermediate decline, and the four-hour decline is not yet finished!
Don't be fooled by the market's "诱多"; the real opportunity is still ahead!
For those wanting to position in the next wave, see you in our chat room!!!
The expectations of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan + the risk aversion ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 11 still make global liquidity tightening concerns linger!
This wave of market movement is more of a short-term rebound, and there will be greater sell-offs ahead!
Last night, Bitcoin's second probe directly hit the strong support near 84000.
A short-term rebound of over 3000 points!
But brothers, don't celebrate too early; the daily chart pattern is clearly still in a continuation of the downtrend!
From the four-hour view, the downtrend is still clear.
The upper pressure is at 87500; if it rebounds to here and doesn't break, the bulls have no chance!
Only by breaking through the two key resistances at 87500 and 88300
can the market possibly make a second high, otherwise, it will continue to look bearish!
The lower support target is clear!
Short-term support: 84000
Lower target: 82300-80700; once it breaks 80700, this wave of market will completely collapse!
Ethereum's trend is completely following Bitcoin,
lacking independent momentum, with extremely poor continuity in upward movement!
Although there is a short-term rebound, overall it still looks weak.
Before breaking through the key resistance, all rebounds are just traps for the bulls!
Last night, I also led some fans for a round of longs, taking a small bite.
Fans all said: Although this market is fierce, you are really steady in leading it!
For the next order layout, we will still see each other in the car!
PIPPIN's recent performance has been simply outrageous! The weekly increase exceeded 130%, and it surged by 72% within 24 hours, directly igniting market enthusiasm!
In this kind of market, even the copycat operators are busy flying high with both feet!
How can we not take a big bite?
PIPPIN's bullish momentum is off the charts, but overbought signals have appeared!
The technical indicators MACD and CMF both show that buying pressure is still present.
A significant influx of market funds continues, and PIPPIN's popularity remains explosive!
Whale activity is frequent, and speculative interest is extremely high!
Operators are busy pushing the price up, while retail investors are crazily chasing highs; this kind of market is unlikely to cool down in the short term!
Yesterday, I led fans to precisely ambush long positions around 0.15.
Brothers, this wave of profits has tripled!
Fans are all saying: Can we get ten more coins like this?!
For this kind of coin, as long as the heat is still there, short-term bears have no chance at all!
Going short now is basically giving away money; wait until the operators offload before shorting it hard!
Whale activity is the key to determining the market trend; if the heat fades or buying pressure shrinks, we need to be careful of waterfall markets!
The market for this kind of coin is basically a money-making opportunity; if you catch it, you’ll make a fortune.
If you miss it, you'll just have to watch! Want to precisely ambush the next wave?