Yesterday, I used my quantitative system to take a look at the trends of global liquidity and altcoins, and I found something very interesting that made me ponder whether the current market represents a looming altcoin season!!!
From the weekly chart of CRV, it can be clearly seen that the trends of junk coins are almost highly synchronized with the changes in global liquidity. Every significant uptrend occurs during times of improved market liquidity and increased risk appetite. However, once liquidity tightens and risk assets come under pressure, altcoins quickly enter a rapid decline. Why did the trend go in the opposite direction in November? That was because Trump made a call in November, and the influence of a world-class leader is still very significant, but afterwards, it almost coincided again.
Looking at the charts of other altcoin seasons, it’s not difficult to find this pattern; the yellow line has already turned. But does this mean that the altcoin season is about to arrive? Does it indicate that liquidity is easing?
This actually confirms what we have been saying all along: the real driving force behind altcoins is not the fundamentals, but liquidity. Since 2014, every round of altcoin bull markets has essentially not escaped the underlying logic of "liquidity leading to speculation." Currently, although junk coins like CRV have gradually developed some buy point structures on daily and weekly levels, for a sustained uptrend to form, we still need to see whether there will be a broader release of liquidity.
In other words: Technically, one can speculate, but there must be an exit mechanism.
A true trend reversal must be accompanied by "the faucet being turned back on." The faucet is simply the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity. Yesterday, there was also an interesting piece of news: Federal Reserve Governor Quarles will resign next week, giving Trump the opportunity to appoint a governor to pressure Powell. The probability of a rate cut in September has also increased. Finally, looking at this chart, the answer is already quite clear: #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH
Whether you are a cryptocurrency novice or an expert, you must take a look I have spent over half a month writing this painstakingly, gathering various literature and materials for my brothers, including my personal understanding. I hope everyone can take a good look; cryptocurrency should be a place for us to make money, not just a constant deposit! I will continuously update my daily strategies in Binance Square, hoping everyone can get rich in the second half of the year! #区块链 #干货 #交易员 #量化交易 #加密市场回调 $BNB $BTC $ETH
According to recent data, the A-shares are very likely to enter a long-term bull market, and their pricing power has actually been underestimated. However, in the current A-share market, especially in high-valuation sectors like liquor, there are bubbles. The breaking of these bubbles and returning to normal is a sign of healthy market development, and the U.S. does not want and will not allow A-shares to enter a bull market.
The reason for this statement is that the U.S. has forcibly delayed interest rate cuts for a year, leading to a decline in small-cap stocks and junk cryptocurrencies in the U.S. stock market. Then the U.S. interest rate cut and dollar depreciation are aimed at allowing other countries' currencies to appreciate, and then attracting a large amount of capital back to the U.S. through trade deficits, which means harvesting assets globally through the periodic appreciation and depreciation of the dollar. After the flow of funds back to the U.S., prosperity will continue, so next year the cryptocurrency market is very likely to welcome a season of altcoins! This is also what I have been looking forward to!
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I just finished a Tencent meeting with the brothers in the evening, and we are still in a bear market. So what can we do here? When will the rebound signals appear?
The first is that buy points have appeared at the daily level for $BTC and $ETH . Here, buy points have appeared at the daily level for $BTC , and multiple signals are resonating, achieving a win rate of over 80%. A buying signal has just appeared at the weekly level, but it has not yet reached the bottom, so I suggest further entering spot positions here! My favorite buying point for ETH is actually 2500, but I'm not sure if it will go there. However, here you can choose to enter a portion of spot, after all, the profit points for weekly level purchases can reach more than 20 points. Even if it drops to 2500, buying here will still yield good returns, so I believe that the rebound signals at the bottom are gradually appearing!!!
The cryptocurrency market has experienced sharp fluctuations, and the US stock market time has changed
The United States has entered Daylight Saving Time, and the US stock market time has been delayed by one hour. Therefore, the pre-market today has been changed to 5 PM, and the opening time is 10:30 PM Just now, there was a sharp spike according to the quantitative indicators from @xuanjiquant, showing that a buying point arrived in one hour. Therefore, I have already opened a long position at Ethereum 3715 and established my position, hoping for a rebound in one hour. However, before the US stock market opens, which is before five o'clock, I might close all positions$BTC
The cryptocurrency market has surged! Why use quantitative signals?
Yesterday in the light's DC chat, we talked about how we need to consider retreating our daily positions at this point, and then a friend asked how I viewed this situation. The retreat at this point corresponds to the daily position at the bottom during the second bottom exploration. It does not mean that I am not optimistic about future market trends, but every trading phase should have a beginning and an end. It has been proven that the sell suggestion yesterday was also correct. From the perspective of the 'scientific amplitude chart' of quantitative indicators, the daily trend has formed positively, and the larger cycle of the 'scientific amplitude chart' is upward, which can be understood as a trend moving upwards; if there are good positions, we can take a unilateral position on the smaller timeframes.
Last night I saw the message that Comrade Trump pardoned @CZ , so let's broaden our perspective, can the 'explosion head' also be pardoned?
From the perspective of the big players, will FTT pump? And looking further, why does the 'shanzhai season' exist? Is it because of the 'explosion head' shouting orders, will @SBF_FTX come out and drive the arrival of the 'shanzhai season'? $BTC
BTC bottom reversal signal? A buying point has appeared!
The fear level across the internet has reached 30. Is the bull market over? Has the bear market arrived? But the quant has given a signal, eliminating all emotions. The secret quant shows that $BTC the daily level has given the second buy signal. With a daily win rate of 80, under this terrifying value, I decided to buy BTC, and I should be the first to shout it out on the internet, giving everyone confidence and belief as a KOL. The post is proof, absolutely no deleting posts. Within ten lines, you will see the answer. Operating the market can only control short-term trends, but the outcome will not change. Please believe in the power of data and algorithms!
Binance live trading quantitative, if interested, you can follow the orders
The effect is not bad, what quantitative needs is stability. In the two days before the National Day, it ran 44%. I won't say much about the effect #BNB创新高
Watch the exciting trading live broadcasts during the long National Day holiday! 🔥 Every week, we focus on different popular hosts, keeping up with market trends, interacting with experts online, chatting while learning, and taking your trading to new heights! Make the most of the holiday time and let’s go all out together!
📅 September 30 to October 5 Host introductions and schedule: @山寨_小萌主 : 《山寨解析》 Tuesday at 5 PM, will the altcoin boom in October? How to speculate on altcoins? Stay tuned to the live room to learn about trading altcoins! @白哥A : 《白哥解盘》 Tuesday at 7 PM, technical teaching, how to achieve stable profits, position management + trading rules = trading system Teaching you how to find support and resistance! @卢姥爷 : 《主流方向》 Tuesday at 8:30 PM, a hundred times trader explains the future direction of the market, live trading of altcoins on short-term positions! @沉默小阿阳 : 《量价玄机》 Wednesday at 4 PM, moving averages determine trends, identifying true and false positions, launching attacks with precision! @旺旺小贝 -白家大师姐 : 《指标仓位管理》 Friday at 8 PM, interactive session, breaking down candlestick patterns + positions, sharing pitfall avoidance guides, improving trading awareness! @和光同尘-下半年看牛 : 《量化交易》 Thursday at 8 PM, even beginners can learn to trade, following quantitative points for buying and selling, no brainpower required! Click the link to book now and start your professional trading journey!
Watch the exciting trading live broadcasts during the long National Day holiday! 🔥 Every week, we focus on different popular hosts, keeping up with market trends, interacting with experts online, chatting while learning, and taking your trading to new heights! Make the most of the holiday time and let’s go all out together!
📅 September 30 to October 5 Host introductions and schedule: @山寨_小萌主 : 《山寨解析》 Tuesday at 5 PM, will the altcoin boom in October? How to speculate on altcoins? Stay tuned to the live room to learn about trading altcoins! @白哥A : 《白哥解盘》 Tuesday at 7 PM, technical teaching, how to achieve stable profits, position management + trading rules = trading system Teaching you how to find support and resistance! @卢姥爷 : 《主流方向》 Tuesday at 8:30 PM, a hundred times trader explains the future direction of the market, live trading of altcoins on short-term positions! @沉默小阿阳 : 《量价玄机》 Wednesday at 4 PM, moving averages determine trends, identifying true and false positions, launching attacks with precision! @旺旺小贝 -白家大师姐 : 《指标仓位管理》 Friday at 8 PM, interactive session, breaking down candlestick patterns + positions, sharing pitfall avoidance guides, improving trading awareness! @和光同尘-下半年看牛 : 《量化交易》 Thursday at 8 PM, even beginners can learn to trade, following quantitative points for buying and selling, no brainpower required! Click the link to book now and start your professional trading journey!
Binance copy trading in the public domain has come! Real trading runs the mysterious quantitative, absolutely no fraud, everyone can see what changes happen during the seven days of the National Day, today is the first day of the National Day!#美国政府停摆