一坤财富密码本

Brother Kun initiated the challenge to double the plan, fans all know that Brother Kun's segment rhythm is stable as an old dog, and will flexibly switch to short-term mode based on market changes.

Friends who want to layout segments and long-term investments, prepare to come to 3wu——5wu——10wu——20wu, chat room! If the win rate is below 80% in a week, directly blacklist me @一坤财富密码本

🚀 Major Update! The Binance Chat Room has launched the private chat feature!
📌 The operation is very simple:
1️⃣ Enter "Chat Room" in the search bar to find the entrance
2️⃣ Click the upper right corner ➕ to add friends
3️⃣ Enter the other person's Binance UID (for example, mine: lzi060688)
4️⃣ Click search, and you can directly add me as a friend to chat together! @一坤财富密码本

11.21 BTC Did this wave of big drops leave you confused?
It is said that the panic was caused by MSTR being removed from the MSCI index, but "MSTR exiting = BTC crashing" is purely speculation! These 3 key logics must be clarified, don't let emotions mislead you!​

First, selling MSTR stock ≠ selling BTC! If an ETF is redeemed in large amounts, it must sell coins on-chain for cashing out; but MSTR is a real company, the index fund is selling its stock, which is essentially just "shareholders changing hands". The new and old shareholders are trading stocks, which doesn't affect the BTC in Saylor's hands at all! Currently, there are no signs of MSTR's selling pressure on the BTC chain; the direct selling pressure is 0, and the short-term decline is all due to emotional chaos!​

Second, the real impact is that the "coin hoarding flywheel" has stopped! In a bull market, MSTR can be the "king of coin hoarding" for BTC, relying entirely on the "premium flywheel": the market is optimistic about its BTC holdings, the stock price is higher than its net asset value, using this premium to issue bonds and raise funds at low costs, then buy BTC, which in turn pushes up the stock price and premium, creating a positive feedback loop! Now being kicked out of the index, traditional funds no longer recognize it, the stock price falls, premiums disappear, and "financing to buy coins" can't work, BTC has lost a dedicated "persistent buyer", which means it can't rise, not that it is going to crash!​

Third, the fundamentals of BTC have not collapsed at all! Saylor hasn't sold a single BTC in four years; based on the current holding cost and company structure, he would only consider selling coins if BTC falls to an extreme of 15000u! The current drop in BTC is because it is long-term "bound" to MSTR's ups and downs——

MSTR's stock price fluctuations are faster and more intense than BTC, it is simply a "magnifying glass" for BTC's ups and downs. When it drops, the market panics, which drags BTC down, and this has nothing to do with BTC's own fundamentals!​

In the short term, BTC lacks the large buying power of MSTR, making it difficult to see the previous explosive growth, but it is definitely not a "death spiral"; there is really no need to panic excessively!​
#BTC走势分析 $BTC

11.22 Yikun Evening Analysis:

Today, the US stock market is closed, and the overall shipping situation is limited in fluctuation, presenting a range-bound pattern in the short term. It is currently more suitable to adopt a strategy of high selling and low buying within the range.

BTC: The upper pressure around 85500 is still significant, consider attempting to make a trade near this level; the lower support around 83500 is solid, and a pullback to this level can be viewed as a chance for more long positions.

Yitai: The upper main resistance zone at 2800 still exerts pressure, and attempts to short can be made upon reaching this interval; the lower line of 2690 is key support, and a pullback to this level can be an opportunity for long positions.

If you don't know how to operate, feel free to communicate in the chat room! Specific buying and selling points, and when to escape the top, Brother Kun will remind you at the first moment! After all, the news changes too quickly, and ordinary people can't keep up!
#美国非农数据超预期
$BTC $ETH

On the evening of November 22nd, the Silk Road and Suggestions

Everyone is thinking about taking a bite of the rebound. It has fallen so much, it should rebound, right? This is the trading mindset of most people at the moment, including myself; it's hard not to have this kind of thought. Everyone wants to buy at the lowest point, but that's almost impossible. A major rebound might have to wait until the interest rate cut in December; only that can drive the levels up again. If there is no rate cut, just give up on bottom fishing. The price movement in these days is suitable for short-term operations, especially for those who like to go long.

Bitcoin is showing a strong oscillation downward after a sharp decline, and we see that on the monthly line, the single-month drop has reached 28%. It seems like the Bitcoin I remember was above 110,000 and 100,000; how did it suddenly start with 80,000, and now immediately with 70,000... When it was at 110,000, people were shouting, when can we see 90,000 and 80,000 Bitcoin again? Now it’s here; that’s the nature of the crypto market, two words: stimulating, always suddenly giving you a surprise. The support for Bitcoin is in the range of 81,000 to 75,000, which is the monthly line support. If it breaks below 75,000, that will be a dark moment. The resistance for the rebound is near 85,500, 86,300, and 87,500.

Ethereum is in a phase of short-term weakness and adjustment. Ethereum has dropped from above 4,900 to around 2,600, a decline of nearly 50%. The support below is in the range of 2,660 to 2,600, and the resistance for the rebound is in the range of 2,780 to 2,830.

This wave of decline is actually telling us the importance of learning to take profits, the value of the four words 'to secure profits'.
Remember, trends do not change easily; maintaining positions and preserving capital is the hard truth.
#美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH

Brother Majie ETH long position suffered! Liquidated 3 times in a single day, playing with 25 times leverage went wrong, only 153,000 dollars left

Look at this big news! "Brother Majie" Huang Licheng's ETH long position staged a "chain liquidation show" today! According to BlockBeats and Hyperinsight monitoring, this crypto celebrity's 25 times leveraged ETH long position was liquidated 3 times in one day, shrinking from "mansion level" directly to 56.32 ETH, equivalent to only 153,000 dollars, this operation left the crypto community stunned!

Do you know how exciting 25 times leverage is? It's like dancing on the edge of a knife; if the market shakes slightly, you will "skin yourself". Huang Licheng was continuously liquidated this time, turning the "high-leverage get-rich dream" into a "liquidation drama", and he probably feels like his mindset has completely collapsed now.

This incident also serves as a warning to all crypto players: high leverage may be thrilling, but the risk is comparable to a bottomless pit! Don’t be envious just because you see others making money with leverage; you can’t see what happens when they get liquidated. Just like Huang Licheng today, liquidated three times in one day, no amount of capital can withstand such play.

Now the crypto circle is watching this drama, some mockingly say, "Brother Majie has turned the ETH long position into a 'liquidation roller coaster'", while others complain, "25 times leverage, isn't it a misunderstanding of the word 'risk'?" In short, this operation clearly demonstrates the principle that "high leverage = high risk".

So brothers, playing with crypto is fine, but be careful with leverage! Especially this kind of tens of times leverage, it's really not something ordinary people can handle. Huang Licheng's painful lesson is right in front of us, we ordinary people should just honestly make some stable arrangements, don’t learn from others playing with danger, otherwise, the next one to get liquidated might just be yourself!
#麻吉大哥 $ETH

BTC is making a big splash now! The most critical weekly chart pattern has broken after months — the ascending wedge has directly broken down, this is no small matter! But don't rush to panic, it is now stuck at the lower edge of the weekly Ichimoku cloud. The entire market is guessing: is this the start of a major adjustment, or is it a golden pit dug for the bull market?​

Let's clarify this wedge! The ascending wedge, which has been grinding since early 2024, looks like the peaks keep getting higher, but the momentum has long run out! Such a pattern, once it breaks the lower track, usually takes a plunge. Now BTC has not only broken support but has also crashed into the cloud while the weekly chart shows a rapid decline, and the bears seem to be gaining the upper hand!​

But the reversal point has come — this is not ordinary support, it is the weekly-level Ichimoku cloud! The "trend filter ceiling" in technical analysis! Up to now, BTC is still holding on here without breaking; it even wants to bounce back, which is interesting: if it holds the cloud, the macro upward trend is still intact; if it breaks down, then it will have to endure several months of adjustment, marking the first macro-level breakdown since 2022!​

Next, we will look at two scenarios:​

Holding the cloud and bouncing back: then the previous breakdown is a "false breakout" that traps the bears! BTC is likely to surge back above 90,000, or even hit the wedge top of 125,000 - 140,000, clearly indicating that institutions are secretly stepping in to protect their positions!​

Breaking the cloud: then 77,000 and 69,000 will need to be arranged; months of consolidation can’t be avoided, and the entire market will have to lay flat!​

It's normal for the market to panic now; the key support level has always been accompanied by panic selling, but smart money loves to enter the market at this time — the wedge breaking down and retesting area, the low point of the cloud, and the weekly support, isn’t this just aligned with the current situation?​

Ultimately, the next few weekly candles are key! Whether it is a healthy pullback waiting for new highs or a deep fall starting a new cycle, it depends on whether BTC can hold the cloud, whether the trading volume is strong, and whether the wedge trend line can hold! At this critical juncture, both bulls and bears are in a deadlock, so let's keep a close eye on these lines and avoid making blind moves!
#BTC走势分析 $BTC

Family! This week's long and short layout has directly become legendary!

The entire process switches rhythm flexibly, with profits coming in hand over fist! Although there were a few trades with small losses of two or three hundred points not counted in, just relying on thousand-point-level profits to hold the scene, the results are simply dazzling — a total of 16 trades on Bitcoin, wildly capturing 20426 points of space, which translates to a solid 220,000 USD in pocket, just one last step away from the goal of doubling the capital!​

Let's directly review this miraculous operation:​

11-17 Monday: 4 trades of big tickets! 3 shorts and 1 long accurately timed, instantly capturing 4436 points, starting off in the red!​

11-18 Tuesday: Focused on longs without hesitation! 2 long positions firmly held, easily gaining 2046 points, profits continuously rising!​

11-19 Wednesday: Switching between long and short understood clearly! 2 longs, 2 shorts, 4 trades in total, wildly earning 4872 points, rhythm perfectly nailed down!​

11-20 Thursday: The short positions were too powerful! 2 shorts, 1 long, 3 trades laid out, directly earning 5756 points, a ceiling on daily earnings!​

11-21 Friday: Long positions wrapped up super strong! 3 trades of long positions steadily finished, harvesting 3316 points, a perfect ending to the week's profits!​

This wave of long and short rhythm was more accurate than a heartbeat, every profit was solid! Brothers and sisters who followed the layout didn't have to think at all, just lay back and unlock high returns, who wouldn't envy this blood profit! If you also want to get on board and enjoy the profits, come to the chat room to find me for communication, following the right person in the right direction is more important than all the flashy other things!
#币安合约实盘 $BTC

Brothers, who understands! BNB's recent trend has left people in disbelief! Last night, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations soared to 71.3%. This asset took advantage of the tailwind and surged, but got stuck at the critical level of 845, repeatedly struggling to break through. Today, it's playing 'high bungee jumping' at the support level of 815, bouncing up and down more thrilling than a roller coaster!​

Now the whole market is guessing: is it preparing to break through 845 and enter a bullish mode, or will it fail to hold and drop below 815, heading straight for 790? Let me pour a bucket of cold water on everyone: BNB, as a platform coin, is inherently less sensitive to interest rate cut news compared to BTC and ETH, and there's still more than half a month until the December meeting. During this period, whether Binance will pull any tricks is uncertain!​

From a technical perspective, it’s more straightforward: the MACD golden cross is still above the 0 axis, but the red bars have turned directly green, and the trading volume is visibly shrinking; repeated failures to break the 845 level have created a selling pressure as high as a mountain above; while 815 has temporarily held, repeated tests also indicate that the support isn't that strong, and 790 is the real 'life and death line.' The consequences of breaking below it are unimaginable!​

My judgment is very practical: today, there’s a high probability of first retracing to 815. If it holds, there will be another push to attack 845; if it directly breaks below 815, don’t hesitate, aim for 790! The main force is clearly washing out the weak hands; unless the uncertain retail investors are washed out, there won’t be a genuine rally!​

For the novices: you can try a small long position near 815, and if it breaks below 810, immediately cut losses and run; if it truly breaks through 845, then chase up, with the first target at 885! Important reminder: never exceed 20% of your position, keep enough bullets to respond to sudden situations, and don’t get cut by the main force!​

BNB is now standing at a crossroads; upwards is vast and boundless, downwards is an abyss! Do you think it will rise or fall? If you're unsure about the entry timing and want to wait for precise points, quickly follow @一坤财富密码本 , online 24 hours to monitor the market, with real-time updates on entry and exit signals, follow along to avoid pitfalls!

74000 The largest trading volume since the bottom! BTC touched the low of 80600 last night, and the main funds poured in wildly.

Except for the 1011 black swan crash, this is the strongest volume rebound from the bottom.

The 80000 level has become a "meat grinder" for both bulls and bears, with frequent turnover of chips. It is very likely a temporary bottom anchor point, but not a "bull signal". There are two possible trends ahead:

Scenario 1: The main force "builds a nest to accumulate funds".

If the main force lays out for the long term, it will enter a consolidation period of about 10 days to wash out floating chips and weak hands, or there may be a second bottom test. If it withstands the washout, the market will reverse and start a new rise.

Scenario 2: Rebound "distributing and exiting".

If the main force uses the rebound to sell, the 80000 stop loss is a "trap for the bulls rebound". There is a pile of trapped positions above, and the main force will not rescue those who stand at high positions. The rebound space is limited, and it may still fall back afterward.

But regardless of which scenario, the entry of the main force has already changed the market structure: from bear-dominated to a balance between bulls and bears, or even a bull-dominated market.

Final reminder: The entry of the main force does not mean an immediate market pull! The selling pressure above is like a mountain, and the risk of a short-term hard pull is high. The main force needs to wash the chips to digest the pressure. Don’t be a "trading pioneer"; you should go long at key support levels and short at resistance levels, following the main force's rhythm is more prudent.
#BTC走势分析 $BTC

The battle between bulls and bears for Ethereum is heating up! If it drops below 2600 or breaks through 2900, the liquidation intensity exceeds 900 million, and it's all about the thrill

This wave of Ethereum's market has fully stimulated the excitement! On November 22, according to Coinglass data, if Ethereum drops below 2600 USD, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX could reach 993 million; conversely, if it breaks through 2900 USD, the short liquidation intensity could soar to 1.07 billion. This means that whether it surges up or crashes down, there are a lot of positions that will be liquidated, and the market volatility will definitely not be small!

Just take a look at the liquidation map to see how tightly the bulls and bears are locked in — the current price of Ethereum is 2737.5 USD, with a significant number of long liquidation orders piled up around 2600 USD below, and quite a few short liquidation orders near 2900 USD above. It's like both sides are buried with "bombs"; once the price triggers, the liquidation wave will push the market to extremes.

Some players jokingly say: "This is not trading coins; it's clearly a bet on the champion of the liquidation competition!" Others analyze: "These extreme liquidation levels imply that the market may experience violent fluctuations within the range, and breaking either side could trigger a chain reaction."

For us ordinary players, we must be particularly cautious now. If you want to bet on a breakout, you need to keep an eye on these two key levels of 2600 and 2900; if it breaks, then follow the rhythm; if you don't want to take risks, just wait until the range is clear before taking action.

In short, Ethereum is now a "gladiatorial arena" for bulls and bears, and with such high liquidation intensity, if you operate incorrectly, you could be buried in minutes. Everyone, don't blindly chase highs and sell lows; managing your stop losses is the key!
#ETH走势分析 $ETH

Are there any brothers who have kept up with the welfare strategy?
If you follow Brother Kun, you can eat 9 meals a day. If you don't know how to enter the market accurately, you can come to me, and I will guide you step by step.
Following the right person and taking the right direction is more important than any flashy things!
#ETH走势预测 $ETH

Brother Kun is sending benefits to the fans who follow him! Today is the weekend, and I'm giving everyone a benefit list. Why not quickly hop on and enjoy?
Brother Kun's weekend benefit public strategy on 11/22:
$ETH Short
Entry point: 2720-2700 (market price)
Stop loss point: 2760
Target points: 2650, 2600
#ETH走势预测
If you don't know how to enter accurately, you can come to the chat room to find me for communication. I will teach you step by step.

Crypto "CZ Opponent" Whales are in Trouble! Hyperliquid Loss Ranking is at the Top, Floating Loss Exceeds 36.07 Million USD

Come and see the big news in the crypto world! On November 22, according to AI monitoring, the address that once openly traded with CZ, "0x9ee...1daAb", has now become the TOP1 in the Hyperliquid 24H/7D loss ranking. It holds a total value of 220 million USD in ETH and XRP long positions, with a floating loss of as high as 36.07 million USD, of which the ETH position alone has a floating loss of 22.71 million USD, truly leaving people stunned.

Even more shocking is that this account had a peak profit of 61.88 million USD, and now it has only 6.42 million USD left. This rollercoaster ride is really thrilling. From the position chart, we can see that its perpetual contract has a total value of 220 million USD, with a margin utilization rate of 90.77%, an investment return rate of -209.43%, and an unrealized gain/loss of -36.07 million USD, it's simply a loss to the extreme.

On the ETH side, the position has 52,353.9587 coins, valued at 144.87 million USD, with an opening price of 3201.03 USD, and now a marked price of 2767.1 USD, floating loss of 22.71 million USD; XRP holding 38,829,121 coins, valued at 75.65 million USD, with an opening price of 2.292413 USD, and now a marked price of 1.948 USD, floating loss of 13.35 million USD.

Netizens are going wild: Some shout, "Is this trading with CZ just to lose money?", others joke, "Is this just giving money to the exchange?", and some analyze, "With such a heavy position, if it drops further, it might get liquidated."

For ordinary players, we must not learn from such high leverage and heavy positions. The whales can afford to lose, but we cannot. With the market volatility being so high, everyone must be careful and not blindly follow the trend, or the next one crying from losses will be you!

In conclusion, the operations of whales in the crypto world are always unpredictable. We can just watch the excitement, but we must keep our wallets tight and not take reckless risks like the "big foolish" whales!
#CZ $ETH

In the morning, take the internal brothers to layout the counterfeit empty Dan, successfully achieve the target profit.
If you still don't know how to enter the market precisely, come to the chat room to communicate with me, and I will teach you step by step.
Following the right person and doing the right thing is more important than all the flashy other things!
$TRUST #美国非农数据超预期

Were there any brothers who followed the long position just now? Those who have profited from the long position can get off first.
Break through 2700 to enter a short position.
Target at 2650, 2600.
#ETH走势预测 $ETH

A sudden surge occurred, and I couldn't inform the brothers in the square in time. I have already taken the internal brothers to go long, targeting 2750, and breaking through to 2800.
If you still don't know your entry point, come to the chat room to discuss.
#ETH走势分析 $ETH

Arrived at the first target location, is there anyone who hasn't caught up?
Those who haven't can continue to move forward
Continue to wait for the second target location
#ETH走势预测 $ETH

Tonight's data intensive bombardment! These key indicators will stir the cryptocurrency market

Tonight, it’s the turn of heavyweight data to make a concentrated appearance! November manufacturing + services PMI, consumer confidence index, and inflation expectations are all set to be released, each of which is a core variable that can sway market sentiment～

Before and after the data release, mainstream cryptocurrencies are likely to experience increased volatility! Whether it's a sell-off triggered by negative news or a rebound driven by positive news, the market rhythm will noticeably accelerate. It is recommended to closely monitor the market and not miss the critical window for sentiment shifts, and to be well-prepared in advance～

1. PMI (Manufacturing + Services)

If the data exceeds expectations positively, it indicates a good economic outlook, and market risk appetite may rise, potentially driving cryptocurrency prices higher along with risk assets; but if the data falls below expectations, it suggests a slight economic weakness, and risk-averse sentiment may easily increase, likely putting pressure on cryptocurrency prices.

2. Consumer Confidence Index

If this value rises, it indicates strong consumption expectations, and USD liquidity may tend to ease, which is beneficial for risk assets including cryptocurrencies; conversely, if the value falls, the market will lean towards caution, and funds may withdraw from high-volatility varieties.

3. Inflation Expectations

If inflation expectations rise, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates may increase, and a stronger USD could easily suppress cryptocurrency prices; if inflation expectations fall, the pressure to raise interest rates may ease, and funds may be more willing to flow into the high-yield cryptocurrency market.
#美国非农数据超预期 $ETH

I have already brought the internal brothers on board, and those who haven't caught up yet, why not quickly catch up and eat meat??