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$ETH Rebounds 200 Points — The Real Battle Is at 3050】
🔥 昨夜空頭遭到反殺|Bears Got Punished Last Night
ETH 從低點強勢拉回 200 點,重新站上 3000。
ETH reversed nearly 200 points from the lows, reclaiming 3000.
空頭因日本加息預期瘋狂加碼,但行情直接深 V 打臉。
Bears shorted aggressively on BOJ fears, only to face a sharp V-shaped reversal.
⚡ 核心原因:日本短空 vs 美聯儲長多|BOJ Shock vs Fed Macro Tailwind
日本加息衝擊屬短期情緒,市場迅速消化。
BOJ’s rate-hike shock was emotional and got priced in quickly.
真正推動趨勢的,是高達 90% 的美聯儲降息預期。
The real driver is the Fed’s nearly 90% rate-cut expectation.
📈 市場情緒:3050 前的多空僵持|Sentiment Split at 3050
ETF 11 月短期流出 → 壓力仍在。
ETH ETFs saw net outflows in November → slight short-term pressure.
但宏觀方向明確,長線多頭結構未改。
But the macro backdrop remains bullish, preserving long-term trend structure.
🔍 技術面三大關鍵位|Three Key Technical Zones
3050 壓力:下降通道上軌+套牢區。
3050 resistance: upper channel + heavy supply zone.
2950–2980 分水嶺:強弱分界線。
2950–2980 pivot: strength/weakness boundary.
2850–2880 支撐:深 V 啟動點。
2850–2880 support: origin of the V-shaped reversal.
🎯 操作建議|Trading Strategy
持倉者:在 3050 附近部分減倉、止損上移至 2950 下方。
Position holders: trim at 3050 resistance; move stop to below 2950.
觀望者:避免在 3050 下追高,等待突破或回踩再做判斷。
Sidelines: avoid chasing under 3050; wait for breakout or retest.
🧠 生存法則|Risk Survival Principles
關鍵位博弈時,勿過度槓桿,嚴守止損。
Avoid high leverage at key levels and enforce strict stops.
3050 攻防將決定短線方向。
The 3050 battle will dictate short-term trend.
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Follow SwingBro — let’s take profits steadily and ride the trend.
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