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FED
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4 Summary Recommendation If you are active: Focus on range trading using oscillators to confirm entry points at the limits. If you are a long-term investor: A sideways market is a period when fundamentals may have time to realign. You can use this period to quietly accumulate at prices you consider fair, or, conversely, wait for a breakout to confirm a new trend before committing.
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3 Preferred Analysis Tools Moving Averages (MA): Observe how they behave. In a sideways market, moving averages frequently cross and flatten out, signalling the absence of a trend. Do not rely on their crossovers for entry/exit signals. Oscillators: These become much more relevant. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Use this to identify overbought conditions (sell near resistance) and oversold conditions (buy near support). Stochastic or CCI: Same principle, they help confirm that the price is at one end of the range. Volumes: Low volumes confirm indecision. High volumes during a breakout may indicate a potential exit from the range (but always be cautious).
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2 Specific Trading Strategies A. Range Trading This is the most classic and effective strategy in a sideways market: Buy Support: Enter a buy position when the price touches the lower limit (the support level of the range). Sell at resistance: Enter a sell position (short) when the price touches the upper limit (the resistance level of the range). Clear Targets: Your profit target is often the opposite limit. For example, if you buy at support, you aim for resistance. Tight Stops: Place a stop-loss just below the support (for a buy) or above the resistance (for a sell) to protect yourself from a bearish or bullish breakout of the range. B. Fake Breakouts Breaks out of a range are often false signals. Wait for confirmation: Wait for Re-entry: A common trap is to take a position at the breakout. A safer approach is to wait for the price to re-enter the range before taking a position in the opposite direction (sell if the upper limit has been falsely broken).
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1 Psychological Attitude and Risk Management Patience and Discipline: These are the key words. Sideways markets are often frustrating and lead to boredom, prompting impulsive trades. Resist the urge to over-trade. Reduced Aggressiveness: If you are used to taking big risks in trending markets, reduce the size of your positions. Movements are smaller and false breakouts are frequent. Honest Recognition: Accept that the market is in a phase of "consolidation" or "indecision". Your trend strategies will be less effective.
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