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Bitcoin Gurukul
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在以太坊上形成的最看涨结构。
反向头肩顶。
每周时间框架。
宏观背景。
你之前见过这个。
而且你知道接下来会发生什么。
#etherium
#crypto
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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🚨 DO NOT BUY A HOUSE RIGHT NOW!!!! If you or a family member owns a home, you NEED to see this. This is important. The U.S. housing market is officially in its biggest bubble in 135 years. And almost nobody wants to talk about it. Take a look at this. This isn’t 2006. This isn’t the post-WW2 boom. This is 2025, and inflation-adjusted home prices just blew past every bubble in U.S. history. Here’s what’s insane: – The 2006 bubble peak? 266.4 – Today’s level? ~300 (inflation-adjusted!) That means homes are more overpriced NOW than before the BIGGEST housing collapse in modern history. And the craziest part? – Wages haven’t kept up. – Mortgage rates are still elevated. – Inventory is tightening again. – And buyers are using more debt than ever to chase the top of the curve. This is literally the opposite of bullish. This is what a late cycle blowoff top looks like. When prices detach from fundamentals for too long, one of two things happens: 1️⃣ Prices fall. 2️⃣ The entire economy pays the bill. If home prices drop more than 40%, half of U.S. families will end up buried in debt they won’t be able to pay off for the next 20+ years. History doesn’t lie, it repeats. If you’re invested in real estate, thinking about buying, or exposed to the broader market… pay attention. This chart is screaming louder than any analyst on CNBC. But the thing is, you still have time to position yourself accordingly. I called the last two market tops days before they happened, and I’ll do it again because that’s what i’m good at. I’ll keep breaking this down in the coming days. You’re going to wish you followed me sooner.
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My thesis for altseason in 2026: I don’t think we get a real, full-blown altseason until after BTC finishes its next major leg and starts ranging near the highs. As long as BTC is the main trade + narrative, money stays pinned there. For 2026, I’m looking for 4 big switches: 1️⃣BTC behavior flips from trend → range > Strong run up (new or retested highs) > Then weeks/months of sideways chop near the top When BTC “chills”, traders get bored and start hunting beta → alts. 2️⃣BTC.d rolls over hard > Dominance puts in a clear top > Breaks support and trends down for weeks, not 2–3 days This is literally liquidity walking from BTC into ETH → majors → midcaps → trash. 3️⃣Alt data explodes across the board >Altseason-type metrics (alts vs BTC performance) actually spike > Spot + perp volume on majors/midcaps rips > Whole sectors (AI, L2s, RWAs, memes, infra) move together, not one random coin at a time 4️⃣Macro + liquidity backdrop supports risk > Clear signal that liquidity is expanding again > Rates not fighting risk assets If liquidity is flowing, the “tail” (alts) finally starts catching up to the “dog” (BTC). What to expect when it really hits in 2026: > Majors (ETH, SOL, etc.) move first > Then higher-quality midcaps > Then insanity in small caps + memes where even garbage sends 3–10x > Extreme FOMO, terrible projects pumping, and people convincing themselves “this time is different” My view: Until those 4 switches flip, it’s BTC/ETH-led with selective alt trades, not true altseason. #altsesaon
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Fed's Big Rate Cut Today: Is This the Spark Crypto Investors Have Been Waiting For?
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The Most Bullish Crypto Projects Right Now (Ranked by Sentiment) $KAS : 92.5% $BONK : 90.6% $NEAR : 89.9% $PEPE : 88.2% $VET : 87.5% $PENGU : 87.2% $DOT : 86.4% $ADA : 86.3% $SHIB : 85.8% $SUI : 85.7% 𝘋𝘢𝘵𝘢 : 𝘈𝘴 𝘱𝘦𝘳 𝘊𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵𝘊𝘢𝘱
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🚨BREAKING: This is HUGE for crypto. Most people have no idea what they’re looking at… but they should. If you’re holding any amount of crypto, you need to see this. The U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) just issued an interpretive letter confirming that national banks are now allowed to engage in riskless principal transactions involving crypto-assets. Let me translate that into normal language: ✅Banks can buy a crypto asset from one party ✅Instantly resell it to another party ✅Without ever holding inventory risk ✅All legally sanctioned by the OCC This means one thing: U.S. banks now have a regulatory green light to act as intermediaries in crypto markets. Why this matters: – This is the exact mechanism banks use in traditional markets to scale liquidity. – It opens the door for deeper institutional flow. – It pushes crypto further into the core banking system. – And it signals that regulators aren’t trying to kill crypto, they’re trying to integrate it. People keep waiting for “mass adoption” like it’s a single event. In reality, it happens quietly, buried in documents like this one. Circle this date. This is one of those moments we’ll look back on and say: “That’s when the door really opened.” I called the bottom at $16k and the top at $126k, and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at. Pay close attention. You’ll wish you followed me sooner.
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BTC 跌破 92,000 USDT,24 小时跌幅1.23%
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美元指数在12月10日下跌0.43%,收于98.789
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美联储降息25个基点,特朗普认为幅度过小
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美联储主席鲍威尔希望通胀得到控制并维持强劲劳动力市场
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降息25个点,明年降息一次,维持之前的点阵图 最大的利好就是扩表400亿,明天就开始放水!! 这个是我预期之内的,但属于
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