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Bitcoin Gurukul
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🐳这位内部比特币鲸鱼现在已经开了一个价值4.9亿美元的$ETH多头头寸。
在这一点上,感觉他知道一些事情。
#ETHETFS
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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i've been thinking about this for a while and it's kind of wild how agents can just... change who they are not like they break or anything. they just start acting different so there's this thing called operational identity basically it's how an agent behaves over time not what it knows. how it acts. and when the environment gets unstable, that identity just drifts the agent doesn't fail exactly it just becomes someone else. i saw this happen once in a long cycle test the agent started off really consistent cautious when things were unclear, confident when they weren't made sense. but then timing signals got messy and suddenly it's making aggressive moves in situations where it used to hold back. like the environment was lying to it about what was urgent by halfway through it wasn't the same system anymore not broken. just inconsistent. that's the scary part honestly because decisions stop connecting to each other they're just... reactions to chaos KITE fixes this by stabilizing the signals the agent reads timing becomes predictable again. fees stop jumping around events happen in order so the agent can actually maintain a personality under KITE the same agent just stays coherent. it pauses when pausing makes sense acts when things are clear stops bouncing between moods it's even more important when you have multiple agents because they need to predict each other. if one agent suddenly becomes aggressive when it used to be conservative, the whole thing falls apart planning systems can't trust execution systems nothing coordinates anymore. ran a simulation with multiple agents unstable environment and they all just mutated planning agent got reckless execution agent got scared. verification agent couldn't decide what standards to use same setup under KITE and they all just... stayed themselves kept their styles. worked together like people who actually know each other humans do this too i think. @KITE AI #KITE $KITE
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okay so i've been reading about this usdf thing from falcon and honestly it's kind of interesting how they're thinking about it. like most stablecoins are just... there. they exist. people use them when they need to trade or whatever. but falcon seems to be building usdf to be the place money goes when things get sketchy not because they're paying you to be there. just because it's designed to be stable when everything else isn't the way they explain it is that most defi doesn't really have a "safe" asset. there's tons of risky stuff you can put money into. but when markets drop and people panic, where do you actually go? crypto-backed stables get wobbly when crypto crashes algorithmic ones can just blow up even the fiat-backed ones sometimes have issues. falcon's mixing different types of collateral. crypto for normal times, treasuries for when things fall apart, real world assets that keep generating value either way. so when crypto dumps, usdf actually gets stronger relative to everything people are running away from there's also this thing about supply. a lot of stables expand super fast when demand spikes, then collapse just as hard when people leave usdf only grows based on actual collateral, not hype or incentives which means it doesn't get those death spirals they also don't pay yield on usdf itself. which sounds bad at first but actually makes sense because when yields drop everywhere, people aren't rushing to dump usdf for something better. it just sits there. stable. like cash. the oracle stuff matters too i guess. some stables get liquidated weird during crashes because their price feeds freak out falcon built theirs to ignore short term noise and their liquidation process is calmer. treasuries and real assets don't get dumped all at once. so there's no panic cascade. works the same on every chain too. @Falcon Finance $FF #FalconFinance
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been thinking about why so many defi projects just collapse when things get rough. and it always seems to come back to the same thing liquidity starts to dry up, people get nervous, so they pull out which makes liquidity worse. which makes more people nervous and it just spirals like the system basically breaks itself through fear lorenzo seems to handle this completely different though. most protocols try to manage this problem lorenzo just removes it entirely the way they do redemptions is pretty straightforward. you get your proportional share of assets doesn't matter if you're first or last to leave no advantage to panic so there's no reason to run other systems make you sell tokens or find liquidity somewhere so if markets are bad, your redemption gets worse. people see that happening and rush to get out first lorenzo skips all that you just get assets directly no trading needed no liquidity required their NAV doesn't depend on market conditions either it's just the value of what they actually hold. can't collapse from slippage or liquidation costs a lot of systems have this problem where user behavior feeds back into itself people exit, strategies have to unwind, that stresses everything more. makes more people leave lorenzo's strategies don't work like that they don't need to unwind when people leave. @Lorenzo Protocol #LorenzoProtocol $BANK
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most systems just track what happens all the time they look for patterns that repeat the stuff that makes sense. but the rare things are what actually shake everything up. like when a regulator says something weird and nobody knows what it means or a protocol starts acting completely different than it always has or the market moves in a way that never mattered before but suddenly does. those are the moments that break things and if your oracle can't handle them, you're in trouble. the hard part isn't even technical really it's more like... philosophical? if you overreact to every weird signal you create chaos but if you ignore them you miss everything important APRO tries to walk that line it looks at anomalies as maybe important, but not definitely important checks if the weird thing is alone or if it's hinting at something bigger because rare events are strange they don't always make sense in the numbers but they make sense in the story. emotional signals are tricky too sudden coordinated fear or hype APRO doesn't trust those automatically checks if the emotion matches actual structural stuff. institutions acting weird is interesting when they break their own patterns could be real internal change or could be meaningless procedural stuff APRO tests multiple theories doesn't commit until there's more evidence the transparency part is key APRO doesn't just say "anomaly detected" it explains what it could mean shows the different possibilities so other systems understand they're looking at a question, not a crisis. anomalies aren't threats by default they're just signals that need attention. APRO's whole thing is not eliminating the weird stuff it's about not misreading it the world's biggest signals often look like exceptions at first and by treating exceptions with care instead of panic APRO can actually navigate a world that doesn't run on patterns but on the breaks between them. @APRO Oracle $AT #APRO
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- The S&P 500 is hitting new highs. - Gold and Silver are hitting new highs. - Microstrategy selling FUD is dead. - Fed has started buying T-bills - Global M2 supply is moving up. - Others/BTC at last cycle low. - Trump is calling for a 1% interest rate by 2026. - Pro-liquidity Fed chair next year. - No euphoria during the October pump. - Worst Q4 since 2018. But according to bears, the bull run is over and everything will go down even more next year.
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