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是的，这个
$BTC
结构现在变得难以忽视。熊旗非常明显，价格基本上坐在危险区。如果我们能在 12 小时内重新夺回并收于 $96K 以上，整个设置将失效，动能可能会迅速转变。
但如果我们崩溃并失去 $86K 水平……那就是事情变得糟糕的地方。那一举动可能会轻易将我们拖到 2025 年 4 月的低点以下。市场正处于一个真正的转折点。
#DYOR
#NFA
（非财务建议）
BTC
89,365.98
-1.03%
免责声明：含第三方意见，不构成财务建议，并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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When Supply Gets Eaten Slowly: The ETF Accumulation Phase No One Feels Yet Something unusual is happening beneath the surface of this market, and most people are missing it because price hasn’t reacted yet. Let’s strip the noise and look at the flow. Over the last 7 days, #ETFs have been absorbing ETH and BTC at a pace that actually outruns new supply creation. ............... Ethereum New ETH issued: 18,577 ETH bought by ETFs: 67,532 ETFs absorbed 3.6× the weekly issuance .............. Bitcoin New BTC issued: 3,150 BTC bought by ETFs: 3,170 ETFs took in more than 100% of fresh supply ---------- In simple terms: Every new coin being created is already spoken for, and then some. And yet… price barely budged. That usually confuses people. But historically, this kind of price behavior doesn’t mean demand is weak. It means something else is happening: Existing holders are still distributing Coins are quietly rotating out of impatient hands Stronger balance sheets are accumulating without chasing price This is not a lack-of-demand environment. It’s a transition phase. Now zoom out to the capital involved: ETH ETFs absorbed roughly $208M BTC ETFs absorbed roughly $286M That’s nearly half a billion dollars soaked up with no explosive price reaction. Markets don’t ignore flows like this forever. In previous cycles, this exact pattern showed up before price expansion, not during it. First came sustained absorption. Then came the move. Price lags flows. Always has. What looks boring on the chart is often where positioning quietly changes hands. And historically, that boredom doesn’t last long. #BTC #ETH
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Sometimes the most dangerous trader in the room is the one who doesn’t say a word, and just keeps winning. A Quiet Flip, A Loud Result: “Pension Fund” comes Again While most traders were still leaning bullish, the wallet tagged “Pension Fund” made a decisive move, cut the longs and flipped short without hesitation. The play: a 3× leveraged $BTC short sized at 1,000 BTC, worth roughly $89.6M. Entry price: $89,855.6 and the Liquidation price: $125,325.3. Since opening the position, price action has moved in his favor, putting the trade at over $910,000 in floating profit, and with liquidation sitting far away, risk remains well contained. This isn’t a one-off win. With this position, “Pension Fund” extends an 8-trade winning streak, pushing total realized profits past $7.45 million. Tracked address: 0x0ddf9bae2af4b874b96d287a5ad42eb47138a902
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When Conviction Meets Leverage -- And the Market Blinks First. Three days ago, this whale decided patience wasn’t enough. Instead of sitting comfortably in spot, the trader flipped the switch to leverage, betting that $ETH was ready to move higher and move fast. Capital was rotated, exposure was amplified, and risk was multiplied in seconds. Then reality stepped in. Just five hours ago, the position was finally closed. Just the final numbers on the screen, and they weren’t kind. The trader had already sold 1,654 #ETH on spot, then chased the upside through high-leverage perpetual longs. When the market failed to cooperate, the exit came with an extra $3.34 million loss attached. Perpetual markets don’t wait. They don’t care how big the wallet is or how confident the thesis sounds. When price moves the wrong way, the decision is made for you. It’s a familiar reminder: Leverage doesn’t reward belief, it rewards precision. Wallet watched: 0x76ABbA51F50748184a508719eD7022A73264cD3F
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When the Market Goes Quiet, Alpha Starts Making Noise i.e. $FOLKS
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Another quiet heavyweight just stepped in. A newly observed wallet, likely connected to Bitmine, made a sizable $ETH grab about 9 hours ago, scooping up 23,637 ETH in one clean move. At current prices, that’s roughly $73.28M deployed without any noise. Just a single, confident accumulation. Address: 0x4a395BDc3507307Ca223b9B1b3c20c6345f545eb When fresh wallets start absorbing #ETH at this scale, it usually means someone’s building a position they don’t plan to flip anytime soon.
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