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Crypto PM
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这个指标揭示了每一个比特币的底部。
30天的未平仓合约变化说明了一切:
• +40-60% = 顶部
• -15-25% = 底部
我们现在在-15%。
市场进行了全面的杠杆重置。
#BTC
BTCUSDT
永续
87,212.3
-2.54%
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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Nearly 90% of crypto lending revenue now originates from $ETH and its Layer 2 network, according to David from the #Ethereum Foundation.
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$ETH price trajectory toward Christmas 2025 remains uncertain, with AI models and analysts divided between a potential 4K rally driven by institutional inflows and network upgrades, or a 2K crash amid macroeconomic headwinds and overleveraged positions. Current trading around $2,917 reflects a bearish tilt, with the asset down 1.6% recently and below key moving averages, but oversold RSI signals could trigger a rebound if support at $2,800 holds. Broader sentiment favors moderate upside over the holidays, though volatility from options expiries and Fed signals could sway outcomes. ✏ Bullish Scenario: Path to $4,000 Several AI forecasts, including those from Changelly and InvestingHaven, project Ethereum climbing to $3,500–$3,770 by late December, potentially extending to $4,000 if DeFi adoption and Layer-2 scaling accelerate. This rally would hinge on Bitcoin stabilizing above $90,000, ETF approvals boosting liquidity, and positive catalysts like reduced staking yields encouraging selling pressure relief. Historical holiday patterns show altcoins gaining 10-15% in low-volume periods, aligning with a 20% ROI potential from current levels. ✏ Bearish Scenario: Risk of $2,000 Drop Conversely, CoinCodex and Cryptopolitan models warn of a slide to $2,500 or lower if resistance at $3,000 fails, exacerbated by global inflation fears and potential U.S. tariff impacts on risk assets. A 2K crash—around 30% downside—becomes likely if leverage unwinds further, as seen in recent liquidations, pushing toward the $2,200 support zone. Technicals like a bearish MACD crossover support this, though extreme fear (Fear & Greed at 16) often precedes reversals. ✏ Overall Probability and Advice Aggregated AI insights lean 60/40 toward the rally scenario by Christmas, citing Ethereum's resilient ecosystem and projected 2025 average of $4,200–$4,300, but short-term risks tilt toward consolidation. Monitor volume spikes and $2,800 support; a break above $3,200 signals bullish confirmation.
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🚨 Aster launches “Shield Mode” for on-chain perps This is a privacy-first trading mode aimed squarely at high-frequency and size traders, not casual users. What actually matters: • Up to 1001x leverage on BTC & ETH • Hidden (off-book) orders — no public order book visibility • Zero slippage on Shield pairs • One-tap LONG / SHORT execution • Isolated margin for tighter risk control Fees (temporary, don’t get used to it): • Zero gas • No open / close fees • Fees waived until Dec 31, 2025 Important caveat (people will miss this): Shield Mode volume does NOT count toward Aster airdrops — because fees are fully waived. If you’re farming, this does nothing for you. What this really is: Built on Aster’s existing 1001x infra, Shield Mode is clearly designed to give CEX-like privacy on-chain, with MEV-aware execution and backing from YZi Labs. Reality check: 1001x + hidden orders = powerful, but also lethal if you don’t know what you’re doing. This is a tool for professionals, not a flex for Twitter screenshots. $ASTER
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DBS BANK HAS $500 MILLION IN $ETH ! On-chain data shows Singapore’s largest bank, DBS, received 2,000 ETH ($6.27M) from Galaxy Digital today. DBS now holds 158,770 #ETH ($499M) and 7,861 BTC ($706.5M), per The Data Nerd.
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Fidelity reports that Bitcoin's 4 year cycle may be over. Investors "believe we could be entering a supercycle...For reference, a supercycle in commodities in the 2000s spanned nearly a decade." Are we in for a major bull run in 2026? 👍 - Yes / 👎 - No $BTC #supercycle
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