Shama__Crypto

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen by about $2 trillion from its October 2025 peak of $4.38 trillion, according to data from CoinGecko. As of early February, the market is valued between $2.1 trillion and $2.3 trillion.

Large liquidations, exchange-traded fund withdrawals and reduced risk appetite in financial markets have all contributed to the recent decline. This sharp pullback has been matched by a collapse in market sentiment.

Periods like this are often linked to heavy selling in leveraged markets. When prices fall quickly, margin calls force traders to close positions. These forced exits add more pressure and can push prices even lower. As a result, losses tend to spread across major tokens in a short period.

$BTC is currently trading around 65900.
Bearish momentum is likely weakening in the short term.

#MarketCorrection #WhenWillBTCRebound

U.S. spot $BTC ETFs just logged another sharp outflow day, underscoring how fragile the current bid for digital assets has become even after a year of massive inflows.
Total U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF net outflows reached ‑$544.94M on Feb. 4, according to data from SoSoValue, while cumulative net inflows still stand at a hefty $54.75B against total net assets of $93.51B, equivalent to about 6.36% of Bitcoin’s market capitalization.

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) again dominated activity, but this time on the exit side.
The fund saw a one‑day net outflow of ‑$373.44M on Feb. 4, even as it retains a towering $56.21B in net assets and roughly $61.78B in cumulative net inflows.
Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) lost ‑$86.44M on the day, but still sits on $14.03B in net assets with $11.19B in cumulative inflows, trading essentially flat to NAV at a discount of just ‑0.20%.

Bearish sentiment continues to overshadow the market.

#bitcoin #crypto

加密貨幣市場做市商Wintermute於2月2日發布了最新分析。
關於導致$BTC 價格跌破$80,000的因素，它提出了這是由多個宏觀因素和去槓桿化驅動的「延遲風險回避」的觀點，這並不是由單一負面催化劑造成的，而是由多種因素的融合造成的，例如

・對於由於Mag7股票下滑而產生的AI繁榮的懷疑
（七大美國科技股）

・對美聯儲主席提名的謹慎：凱文·華爾什意外被提名為下一任主席

・從貴金屬市場撤回資金

比特幣首次跌破$80,000，自2025年4月特朗普關稅衝擊以來，清算在週末達到$2.55億（約¥3970億）。根據該公司的說法，這標誌著加密貨幣市場歷史上第10大清算事件。

#fundamentalanalysis #bitcoin #Macro

$XAU 暴跌，現在正在反彈。

至於內部市場因素，短期交易者在多個重疊的買入催化劑中集中買入，市場的動能在自身的重壓下基本上崩潰了。類似於2025年10月20日之前的急劇上漲，之後是陡峭的下跌，這可以被描述爲“表面雪崩”，在這種情況下，重雪（期貨市場多頭的激增）發生了，但卻突然崩潰。然而，這次的規模比之前要大。正是因爲這個原因，即將到來的調整階段可能會被延長。

另一方面，穩步提高水平的潛在因素（買入催化劑），類似於“雪的基礎層”，依然完好無損。換句話說，這一急劇下跌可能並不是包括峯值的趨勢反轉。

#GoldSiverRebound #gold #fundamentalanalysis

亞洲時段市場概覽

貴金屬如黃金和白銀在本周初大幅下跌。
這也對原油和股市施加了下行壓力。雖然黃金和白銀被視為避險資產，但它們最近的快速上漲已經具有投機特徵。
這種投機行為可能是由於上週末關於特朗普總統提名華爾什先生為下一任聯邦儲備主席的報導所引發的。這一消息加劇了對美元走強和聯邦儲備更鷹派立場的擔憂，促使市場出現劇烈修正。

市場的目光集中在美國驅動的因素上，如聯邦儲備的任命和臨時預算。關於下一任聯邦儲備主席，特朗普總統已宣布提名華爾什先生。最初，華爾什先生在擔任聯邦儲備理事時的鷹派立場促進了對美元的購買。

然而，仍然存在擔憂，市場將如何解讀他是由偏好降息和弱勢美元的特朗普總統提名的事實。

此外，該提名仍需美國國會的確認，這需要更仔細地審視華爾什先生對貨幣政策的看法。關於臨時預算，它期待著在眾議院的投票。根據時間安排，還可能出現原定於本週末發布的美國就業統計數據延遲的情況。目前的形勢似乎尚不利於在市場中傳播安心感。

$BTC 正在交易於74600附近。
看跌情緒仍然存在。

#fundamentalanalysis #crypto #TechnicalAnalysiss

The sharp decline in the $BTC market was a classic example where a chain of forced liquidations drove prices down more than the news itself. Multiple waves of liquidations occurred within a short timeframe, causing prices to break through illiquid price levels in one fell swoop, pushing Bitcoin below $79,000.

Approximately $1.3 billion in liquidations were confirmed over the past 12 hours. This was not the result of a sudden surge in investors wanting to sell. It was the result of leverage being forcibly unwound.
Liquidation is the mechanism where, in leveraged trading, when margin falls below the maintenance level, the exchange forcibly closes positions regardless of the investor's intent.
The problem lies in how liquidations generate market orders, further accelerating price declines. Once started, liquidations trigger subsequent ones, spreading in a chain reaction.

#bitcoin

$BTC 正在接近幣市市值的彩虹價格圖指標的下邊界...

#BTC

$BTC 現已在約 80568 到 97612 的區間內交易。

1 月 30 日紐約市場概述

美元在紐約交易中走強。關於特朗普總統與參議院民主黨人達成臨時預算協議的報告，以及即將任命下一任聯邦儲備委員會主席，推動了美元的上漲。美元對日元上漲，在早晨達到 ¥154.76。
之後，美元出現了一些修正性賣盤，交易在 ¥154.10 區間內。
然而，美元在晚上再次走強，攀升至 ¥154.79，並在本週交易接近其高點。

#fundamentalanalysis

在東京早盤，美元/日元升至約153.98日元，受到針對主要貨幣的廣泛美元買入的推動。
這一走勢背後的主要因素包括：
避免政府關門：有報道稱美國總統特朗普與民主黨達成了避免政府關門的暫定協議。
下任美聯儲主席的猜測：對前美聯儲理事凱文·沃什被提名爲下任美聯儲主席的期望日益增長。
在潛在候選人中，沃什被視爲鷹派，暗示偏好更緊的貨幣政策。

CMC20指數正在跌至約170，顯示出加密市場的看跌動能。

CMC20指數DTF：旨在衡量按市值排名的前20個加密貨幣項目表現的基準，按CoinMarketCap排名。

$BTC #fundamentalanalysis

Another data that $BTC large buying pressure is building up.

A potential trend reversal is likely coming into play...

#Bitcoin #BuyTheDip

$BTC #BITCOIN

儘管比特幣價格一直在下跌，但鯨魚們正在積累。
數據表明趨勢反轉和潛在的上漲趨勢...

#bitcoin #BTCUSD $BTC

振盪器在4小時圖上顯示超買。