April is usually not the month that creates a bottom, but it is the month when the market sends its final signals before entering a more pronounced sell-off.

Looking back at downtrend years like 2018, 2022, and the current context of 2026, one common point can be observed: April often plays a role as a transitional period, where investor sentiment stabilizes temporarily, prices may slightly recover or maintain a relatively stable structure, but the real risks lie ahead.

In April 2018, the market was overshadowed by FUD related to Tether and investigations from the CFTC and DOJ. Bitcoin hit a bottom in early month, recovered towards the end of the month, and then from May began to enter a deeper decline.

By April 2022, the pressure from the macro environment when the Fed raised interest rates, liquidity withdrew from risky assets, while Terra Luna began to show signs of instability before the historic crash in May.

With April 2026, the pressure this time comes from the oil shock and geopolitical instability in the Middle East. As growth slows but inflation remains high, financial markets will face significant pressure, and crypto will find it hard to stand apart.

Therefore, in my opinion, this stage should still prioritize holding cash, managing risk, limiting FOMO, and patiently waiting for the market to complete the cleansing process.
#BTC