金价

After experiencing significant fluctuations in gold prices, from $4,400 dropping to $3,900 in a major reshuffling, and then reaching new highs again, although there is a favorable stimulus from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, it is primarily due to continuous capital pursuit.

This is what Teacher Jin Dachuan has always referred to as the price increase effect, getting more intense as it rises. Recently, the price of silver has also been surging. Today, silver futures prices have risen by 6% to reach a new high! Friends visiting in the short term must feel overwhelmed.

In a bull market, one does not speak of a peak; in a bear market, one does not speak of a bottom. This is something that must be remembered in investing.
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The current balance point between bulls and bears has risen to around 4420. Due to the seasonal decline in trading volume, the existing upward trend faces almost no obstacles at the top. The 14-day RSI has just entered the overbought zone. In previous years, buying activity generally increases around Christmas. Any current pullback could attract strong buying interest at lower prices.

It is recommended to maintain a focus on low long positions in the short term, with high short positions as a supplement.

Focus on the point around 4380.

Focus on the point around 4450.
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Jin Dachuan 12.18 Gold Evening Analysis

Currently, the daily trend of gold is in line with a bullish pattern. If it breaks through the 4350 resistance, there will be stronger upward momentum in the market. This is also why I insist on a bullish outlook on a larger scale and choose to buy on dips!

I recommend a pullback around 4328-4318 for trading, with a stop at 4314 and a target above 4348. If it breaks through 4350, then we can continue looking towards 4400.

Aggressive traders can trade near 4345, with a stop at 4355 and a target below 4330-4320.
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The renewed surge in gold prices reflects a complex and multi-dimensional financial landscape.

On the one hand, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and large-scale gold purchases by global central banks have pushed up gold prices. This is not only a response to future economic uncertainty, but also reflects the desire for safe-haven assets​​​ ​.

On the other hand, this rise has also exposed some deep-seated problems in the current financial system, including concerns about continued inflation and reflections of geopolitical tensions.
For the Bitcoin market, the rise in gold prices is both a challenge and an opportunity. Some may view the rise in gold prices as a sign of the increasing appeal of safe-haven assets and turn to traditional safe-haven assets. However, for investors looking to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may be more attractive because of their potential store of value capabilities.

In this era of uncertainty, the rise in gold prices is not only a reflection of market dynamics, but also a testimony to the deep intertwining of the global economic and political situation. In this case, viewing gold and Bitcoin as complementary rather than antagonistic assets could be a strategy to hedge against future uncertainty.
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