Family, who understands? The panic sentiment has directly dropped to 10. This market is as fragile as a freshly baked soufflé, afraid it might collapse with just a touch. The main force's recent wash-out operation can be described as 'textbook level', and retail investors are scared, clutching their wallets tightly, afraid that buying will make them 'the bag holder'. But the core issue arises: if the main force continues to push down, can they really pick up more bargains? Will someone suddenly emerge to 'snatch the food'?
First, let's look at the big pancake ($BTC) that everyone is most concerned about. Last night, it once fell below the 85000 mark, and I thought it was going to start a 'free fall', but it stubbornly steadied and rebounded, reaching a high of 88000. Here, I must emphasize my judgment from yesterday; there is only a 10000 point buffer left until we reach the cost line of MicroStrategy. Stop dreaming about buying at the absolute lowest point; there is no 'perfect bottom-fishing' holy grail in the market. By the time you see a clear signal, you have already missed the best entry opportunity. Instead of being anxious amidst the noise, it’s better to focus on the movements of core institutions, as this is the key to navigating through the fluctuations.
Now let's talk about Ethereum ($ETH), which recently seems to have a bit of a 'frozen fire' vibe. On one hand, Bitmine is continuously increasing its holdings, showing a clear attitude; but on the other hand, related ETFs have seen net outflows for three consecutive days, indicating a significant divergence in funds. Objectively speaking, the current price level is indeed not cheap, and to break through, we need to see Bitcoin's performance; if the big brother can't hold steady, the little brother will find it hard to make a mark. At such times, rather than guessing price fluctuations, it’s better to focus on on-chain activity; once there are signals of increased trading volume, the direction will quickly become clear.
As for SOL, it can be described as the 'unable to rise' type, with recent trends being the 'tail end' of the mainstream, and it hasn't been strong for a long time; the cooldown period for this 'sage mode' may set a record. It's not that it has no opportunities, but it lacks clear catalysts in the short term; unless there are unexpectedly positive developments in its ecosystem, it is likely to just drift along with the market for now, so it’s more prudent to classify it as 'on the watchlist' for the time being.
BNB is stuck at the 900 integer level, just like being under a 'frozen spell', unable to go up or down. Many people are waiting for key figures to pull the market, but to be honest, a market driven by a single factor doesn't last long; it's more reliable to look at the landing situation of its ecosystem. After all, the new plan for stablecoins has just been announced, and whether it can activate liquidity in the future is key.
After discussing the market, let’s talk about my recent 'new play'—AI-assisted trading, which has just hit 38 days. Today, I forced the AI to come up with a dual strategy, specifically targeting the highest odds, and I must say, it’s quite interesting. But I must emphasize: this is just a tool I use to verify trading logic, definitely not investment advice! Don’t follow my actions; if you end up losing money, I can't take that responsibility.
Finally, let's summarize some industry dynamics worth paying attention to: Trump is scheduled to give a national speech on Thursday, and the policy direction for the new year may influence global market sentiment, so it’s important to pay attention; Fed's Bostic mentioned that next year's dot plot does not include rate cuts, which means expectations for liquidity easing may cool down, not good news for risk assets; the SEC has finally concluded its nearly four-year investigation into Aave, which is a small positive for the DeFi sector; JD.com has restarted its digital collectibles business, and the 'Lingxi' platform has opened transfer services, indicating that traditional enterprises are once again enthusiastic about digital assets; furthermore, the Shanghai headquarters of the People's Bank of China has made it clear that there is no speculative space for digital renminbi, and those promoting 'exchange subsidies' are scams, so everyone should be cautious.
The more turbulent the market, the clearer it is to see who is swimming naked. I share the most practical analysis here every day to help everyone filter out noise and focus on the key points. If you find the content useful, be sure to follow me @帝王说币 #加密市场观察 $BTC
