There are always people saying the cryptocurrency world is a casino, but with ten years of blood and tears experience, I can confirm: this is actually a 'cognitive battleground' that specializes in treating all forms of disbelief.
In 2015, when I first entered the cryptocurrency world, like most inexperienced investors, I experienced the darkest moments of chasing highs and selling lows, leveraged liquidation, and the zeroing out of altcoins. The worst time was when my account shrank by 70%, and I spent late nights smoking while staring at the candlestick charts. But what truly helped me turn around was not mystical indicators, but rather 'anti-human' actions taken after three painful reflections.
Key to the comeback: engrave 'stop-loss' into your DNA.
In the early days, I often fantasized about 'holding on to recover losses,' but what started as small losses turned into huge ones. Later, I established a strict rule that no single loss should exceed 2% of the principal, and I would cut my losses immediately if the direction was wrong. The most impressive moment was during the LUNA crash in 2023, where I managed to stop-loss in advance and avoided a disaster, while my friends who held on are still trapped.
Keys to a comeback two: use the 'Turtle Strategy' to outrun the rabbit
The market is 90% garbage time. I force myself to trade no more than 2 times a day, only focusing on trends above the 4-hour level. In 2024, Bitcoin consolidated for three months, while many lost all profits due to frequent trading. I remained in cash and watched, ultimately profiting from the major upward wave when it broke through $40,000.
Keys to a comeback three: take profits back, roll profits into new positions
For every profit exceeding 30%, first withdraw the principal, and let the profits continue to work. This strategy allowed me zero-risk principal during the 2025 APT surge, while profits doubled. Surviving is 100 times more important than making quick money.
Practical tips: position management methods used by whales
Three-part rule: 50% of funds allocated to Bitcoin and Ethereum, 30% for swing trading, 20% reserved for buying dips
Stop-loss techniques: set long stop-loss 1% below the previous low, and short stop-loss 1% above the previous high
Emotional management: take a mandatory day off after three consecutive losses to avoid revenge trading
Personal opinion: The most valuable thing in the crypto world is not the code, but the cognition. When you learn to use systems to restrain human nature, the market will treat you gently.
2. (Office workers' 'sneaky development' strategy: 30 minutes a day, rolling out 5 million in three years)
Colleagues think I watch the market every day, but I secretly earn even during meetings because I've found the 'K-line Shadow Cloning Technique.'
As a 996 worker, I once ruined my health by staying up late to watch the market. Until I discovered the EMA21 + EMA55 crossover strategy, I now spend 30 minutes every night setting conditional orders, and my returns exceed those from frequent trading. The essence is simple: observe more, act less, and when you do act, be decisive.
Trading system for office workers
Timing: only trade between 9 PM - 12 AM (during the overlap of European and American markets), where large fluctuations and stable trends occur
Indicators simplified: remove flashy indicators like MACD/RSI, focus on 4-hour EMA crossover
Automatic profit-taking: move stop loss to break-even after 20% profit, take profits in batches at 50%
Counterattack case: 2025 ETH ETF market
I missed the market opening due to work, but I set an automatic buy order for a breakout above $3000 in advance, ultimately enjoying a 40% increase. True freedom is not about watching the market all the time, but about setting up the game in advance.
Personal opinion: not having enough time is a false proposition; inefficiency is the real cause. Making money in crypto relies on thinking density, not time length.
3. (From being liquidated 3 times to earning 10 million: I avoided all losses with the 'Junk Coin Clearance Manual')
The big players hate players like me because I can smell traps from white papers.
I once collapsed three times due to believing in 'thousandfold altcoins', later summarizing five characteristics of worthless coins: anonymous teams, no code updates, only listed on small platforms, communities with only signals and no technical discussions, and infinite token issuance. Using this standard, I successfully avoided 90% of meme coins in 2024.
Clearing minefield practical mindset
On-chain data verification: daily whale address changes + net inflow data from exchanges, abnormal spikes indicate caution
Sell signal: low volume during price increases, frequent positive news but price stagnation, community crazily shouting 'pattern'
Stop-loss discipline: immediately exit when altcoins drop below the 10-day moving average, no wishful thinking
Personal opinion: trading altcoins is like playing Minesweeper; those who survive aren't lucky, but know when to avoid stepping on a mine.
4. (Proud of being a spot trader: no contracts, annualized 80%, I only use the 'Pyramid Averaging Method')
When contract gamblers struggle on the brink of liquidation, I quietly bought a house with spot trading because I believe that compound interest is the magic of the crypto world.
Those who have experienced liquidation in contracts know: even if you predict the direction correctly, you can still die at the foot of the mountain. After giving up contracts, I innovated the 'Pyramid Averaging Method': add 10% for every 10% drop in Bitcoin, reduce 30% for every 20% increase. Over five years, the annualized return exceeded 80%, with a maximum drawdown of only 15%.
Golden rules for spot traders
Only buy mainstream coins: Bitcoin and Ethereum account for 70% of holdings, new projects not exceeding 10%
Regular investment is not afraid of declines: invest a fixed amount weekly, double the investment when a drop of more than 5% occurs
Don't be greedy in profit-taking: take profits in batches after a 100% gain, leaving a core position for future gains
Personal opinion: Contracts are like licking blood off a knife, spot trading is spring planting and autumn harvesting. Smart people earn from volatility, while wise people earn from trends.
5. (The 'Boring Money-Making Method' in crypto: only buy 3 coins, annualized 50%, and improve sleep quality by 300%)
My friend laughed at my boring strategy until his contract account hit zero, while my spot account added a zero.
After years of trial and error, I found that returns are inversely proportional to the number of cryptocurrencies held. Now I only heavily invest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL, combined with the strategies of 'buying dips' and 'reducing holdings on spikes', yielding over 50% in 2024. The key is not worrying, my hair is growing back.
The essence of a minimalist portfolio
Bitcoin (50%): digital gold, a risk-hedging ballast
Ethereum (30%): ecological value capture, industry beta returns
SOL/Others (20%): seek excess returns, small bets for pleasure
Personal opinion: There are daily stories of sudden wealth in crypto, but those who earn steadily are all doing subtraction.
6. (When 99% of people are liquidated, I earned 2 million in 3 days using the 'Crisis Money Picking Method')
That night when the market crashed, the whole network wailed, I quietly opened a long position because I knew that panic is the best friend of smart people.
In July 2025, there was a massive drop where Bitcoin fell 20% in a day, but I made 2 million instead. The secret was the extreme market strategy: when the fear index > 90, I bought in batches, increased positions when exchange supply sharply decreased, and reversed positions when liquidation volumes soared.
Black Swan Survival Guide
Sentiment indicator: when the community mentions keywords like 'zeroing' and 'running away', start looking for rebound opportunities
On-chain signals: whale addresses increasing their holdings against the trend + net outflow of over 50,000 Bitcoins from exchanges
Technical confirmation: bottom divergence appears at the 4-hour level + strong bullish volume
Personal opinion: The greatest rewards in crypto are hidden in crises, but they only go to those who have enough bullets and are willing to pull the trigger.
7. (From short-term gambler to long-term hunter: I relied on the 'Three No Principles' to multiply my investment by 5 times in a year)
I used to trade 20 times a day, but now I only trade three times a year — because I know that patience is the only leverage for retail investors.
In the past, I was obsessed with short-term trading, losing the fees equivalent to a car. Later, I realized: frequent trading = working for exchanges. Now I adhere to the 'Three No Principles': no movement during sideways markets, no chasing during bull news, no cutting losses in panic. In 2024, I only did three swing trades and earned 500%.
High win-rate trading opportunities
Breakout trading: monthly closing price hits a new high + trading volume increases by 50%
Panic buying: Fear and Greed Index <20, and whale weekly accumulation exceeds 10,000 Bitcoins
Trend termination: death cross of moving averages + on-chain data shows large holders continuously selling
Personal opinion: 90% of profits in crypto come from 10% of the market movements, the remaining time is meant to test your composure.
8. (Retail investors counterattacking whales: I used the 'Institutional Harvesting Method' to turn the tables on big players)
Big players think retail investors only follow trends, but I used their tools to cut them because in the data age, knowledge is the true weapon.
By analyzing on-chain data, I found that whale operations have fixed patterns: exchange recharge volumes surge before crashes, and large OTC market purchases occur before price increases. Based on this, I developed the 'Follow the Whale Strategy', successfully predicting three tops and bottoms in 2025.
Retail investors' counterattack secrets
Tracking tools: Glassnode whale indicators + Token Flow net inflow from exchanges
Contrarian indicators: be cautious when community FOMO sentiment index > 80
Batch orders: set buy orders 5% above and below the whale cost zone
Personal opinion: big players are not scary; what's scary is you not understanding their language. On-chain data is a telescope for retail investors.
9. (Five years of insights in crypto: the secret to stable profits is to 'trade like a scumbag')
I used to be loyal to every cryptocurrency, but now I only date trends because there is no true love in the crypto world, only price differences.
The deepest realization is that being emotionally attached to a project is a shortcut to bankruptcy. I now follow the 'Scumbag Rule': passionately embrace when a trend comes, decisively break up when the trend leaves. Heavily invested in Bitcoin in 2023, switched to the AI sector in 2024, and laid out RWA in advance for 2025, each switch yielding over 40%.
Trend switching mindset
Sector rotation: research institutional reports at the beginning of each quarter to predict capital flow direction
Ruthless stop-loss: if the cryptocurrency does not rise within 30 days, switch positions
Flexible position: hot sectors not exceeding 20% of total funds, quick entries and exits
Personal opinion: In the crypto world, long-term affection is not as valuable as long-term profits. Be loyal to the trend, not to the coin.
10. (From the brink of bankruptcy to financial freedom: my comeback relied solely on the 'Fool's Formula')
While smart people study quantum mechanics to trade coins, I won using elementary school math formulas because simplifying complex issues is the real truth.
Finally, I share my ultimate mindset: annualized 50% 'Fool's Formula'.
Invest 10% of monthly salary into Bitcoin
Divide funds into 50 parts, add one part for every 5% drop in Bitcoin
Withdraw principal when profit exceeds 100%
After three years, the annualized return exceeded 50%, with a maximum drawdown of less than 10%.
Sustainable compound interest model for ordinary people
Income diversification: stable cash flow from main business, not all in on trading
Defensive strategy: 80% of funds allocated to Bitcoin and Ethereum
Testing the waters: 20% of funds to participate in trending sectors, losing it doesn't affect life
Follow me@币圈罗盘 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
