Mauer_Trader
Frequent Trader
2.6 Years
Estudos de preço, análises de mercado, notícias e conteúdo educacional — direto e sem hype.
https://beacons.ai/mauertrader
4 Following
286 Followers
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Challenge 100 1,000: an experiment of process, not promise
On the 15th of this month, I will start a daily series documenting the performance of a portfolio with a simple goal to understand, but difficult to execute: to turn US$ 100 into US$ 1,000 by trading cryptocurrency futures.
The idea is to record a personal experiment, with well-defined rules, strict risk management, and total transparency, showing how the mathematics of trading behaves when the process is respected over time.
Multiplying an account by 10x usually sounds absurd — and, in most cases, it really is.
The idea is to record a personal experiment, with well-defined rules, strict risk management, and total transparency, showing how the mathematics of trading behaves when the process is respected over time.
Multiplying an account by 10x usually sounds absurd — and, in most cases, it really is.
PINNED
See original
Why this Bitcoin cycle is completely different from the previous ones?
For years, the market has learned to treat Bitcoin cycles as something almost predictable.
Halving, acceleration, euphoria, peak.
But this cycle broke that logic - and it wasn't in the price, it was in the structure.
Not only has the price behavior changed; the mechanics of the market have changed. The flow has changed, the dominant agent has changed, the macro has changed. Therefore, analyzing 2025 through the lenses of 2017 or 2021 can lead to dangerous conclusions.
In this article, I explain why this cycle is structurally different, which variables have changed, and why, in my view, the true historical maximum has still not been reached.
Halving, acceleration, euphoria, peak.
But this cycle broke that logic - and it wasn't in the price, it was in the structure.
Not only has the price behavior changed; the mechanics of the market have changed. The flow has changed, the dominant agent has changed, the macro has changed. Therefore, analyzing 2025 through the lenses of 2017 or 2021 can lead to dangerous conclusions.
In this article, I explain why this cycle is structurally different, which variables have changed, and why, in my view, the true historical maximum has still not been reached.
See original
Challenge 100 → 1000 | Day 1 - 📅 15/12/2025
🔹 Capital
Initial bank: US$ 100.00
Current bank: US$ 102.39
🔹 Operations of the period:
Total trades: 6
Winning trades: 3
Losing trades: 2
Hit rate: 60%
🔹 Net result
Period result: +2.39%
Accumulated result: +2.39%
🧠 Daily observations
This first day of the challenge had remarkable events, especially in #AXL and an operation that remained open.
An important change I will make to the project is to close all operations at 22:00, regardless of the result.
👉 This rule will take effect as soon as the last currently open operation is closed.
⚠️ Important observations
Note¹: I opened a position in FORM with a higher risk than planned, but I closed it quickly. Therefore, the realized P&L is higher than the result I reported above.
🔧 I will adjust the account later so that the balance is consistent with the actual risk taken.
Note²: charts of the operations will be in the comments.
🔹 Operations carried out
1️⃣ AXL (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:56
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 14:01
Entry: 0.1305
Exit: 0.1324
Expected RR: 2.09
Result: −US$ 0.56
2️⃣ MOVE (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:57
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 14:17
Entry: 0.04011
Exit: 0.03853
Expected RR: 1.28
Result: +US$ 1.24
3️⃣ GUN (Long)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:57
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 08:34
Entry: 0.02334
Exit: 0.02482
Expected RR: 1.83
Result: +US$ 1.78
4️⃣ FORM (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 07:24
Closing: 16/12/2025 – 04:22
Entry: 0.3196
Exit: 0.3425
Expected RR: 1.38
Result: −US$ 0.93
5️⃣ SOMI (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:59
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 11:58
Entry: 0.3017
Exit: 0.2913
Expected RR: 1.26
Result: +US$ 0.86
6️⃣ — (Short) (open)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:55
Closing: —
Entry: —
Exit: —
Expected RR: 4.53
Result: —
🔹 Capital
Initial bank: US$ 100.00
Current bank: US$ 102.39
🔹 Operations of the period:
Total trades: 6
Winning trades: 3
Losing trades: 2
Hit rate: 60%
🔹 Net result
Period result: +2.39%
Accumulated result: +2.39%
🧠 Daily observations
This first day of the challenge had remarkable events, especially in #AXL and an operation that remained open.
An important change I will make to the project is to close all operations at 22:00, regardless of the result.
👉 This rule will take effect as soon as the last currently open operation is closed.
⚠️ Important observations
Note¹: I opened a position in FORM with a higher risk than planned, but I closed it quickly. Therefore, the realized P&L is higher than the result I reported above.
🔧 I will adjust the account later so that the balance is consistent with the actual risk taken.
Note²: charts of the operations will be in the comments.
🔹 Operations carried out
1️⃣ AXL (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:56
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 14:01
Entry: 0.1305
Exit: 0.1324
Expected RR: 2.09
Result: −US$ 0.56
2️⃣ MOVE (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:57
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 14:17
Entry: 0.04011
Exit: 0.03853
Expected RR: 1.28
Result: +US$ 1.24
3️⃣ GUN (Long)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:57
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 08:34
Entry: 0.02334
Exit: 0.02482
Expected RR: 1.83
Result: +US$ 1.78
4️⃣ FORM (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 07:24
Closing: 16/12/2025 – 04:22
Entry: 0.3196
Exit: 0.3425
Expected RR: 1.38
Result: −US$ 0.93
5️⃣ SOMI (Short)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:59
Closing: 15/12/2025 – 11:58
Entry: 0.3017
Exit: 0.2913
Expected RR: 1.26
Result: +US$ 0.86
6️⃣ — (Short) (open)
Opening: 15/12/2025 – 06:55
Closing: —
Entry: —
Exit: —
Expected RR: 4.53
Result: —
Challenge 100 1,000: an experiment of process, not promise
On the 15th of this month, I will start a daily series documenting the performance of a portfolio with a simple goal to understand, but difficult to execute: to turn US$ 100 into US$ 1,000 by trading cryptocurrency futures.
The idea is to record a personal experiment, with well-defined rules, strict risk management, and total transparency, showing how the mathematics of trading behaves when the process is respected over time.
Multiplying an account by 10x usually sounds absurd — and, in most cases, it really is.
The idea is to record a personal experiment, with well-defined rules, strict risk management, and total transparency, showing how the mathematics of trading behaves when the process is respected over time.
Multiplying an account by 10x usually sounds absurd — and, in most cases, it really is.
See original
Payroll released: what really matters (and what is noise)?
The Payroll was released.
The market reacted.
And most are looking in the wrong place.
If you think this data alone defines the next market movement, you are trading the noise — not the scenario.
Why was today's Payroll important?
Why does this Payroll matter more than others?
As is already known by those who follow me, today the Payroll data was released, one of the most relevant reports for the Federal Reserve in conducting monetary policy — especially in the decision to maintain, cut, or postpone cuts in interest rates.
The market reacted.
And most are looking in the wrong place.
If you think this data alone defines the next market movement, you are trading the noise — not the scenario.
Why was today's Payroll important?
Why does this Payroll matter more than others?
As is already known by those who follow me, today the Payroll data was released, one of the most relevant reports for the Federal Reserve in conducting monetary policy — especially in the decision to maintain, cut, or postpone cuts in interest rates.
See original
In previous cycles, the peaks came with negative real interest rates.
Today, they remain positive — and the data released today reinforces this point.
Perhaps the market is looking at the graph… when it should be looking at the regime.
#CPI_BTC_Watch #fomc
Today, they remain positive — and the data released today reinforces this point.
Perhaps the market is looking at the graph… when it should be looking at the regime.
#CPI_BTC_Watch #fomc
See original
It is an error in the price display, I checked on Coinmarket and CoinGecko and this MOCO contract has never had less than 26 zeros, the currency still maintains 28 zeros. I think the only good side of this is that you don't have to stress trying to recover it.
It's been a while since I last logged in here. I made a purchase of this crypto called Moco, and now this value is showing up, and I don't even know if it exists anymore or if this crypto is dead, and there is no way to convert it to another currency.
See original
Good evening.
I will owe the posting of today's results (15/12/2025), as there are still two open trades. In any case, I can advance that the result so far is positive. Since I didn't set rules for closing by time, management, or anything similar, these two trades ended up becoming swing trades — the market 'decided' that.
As soon as they are closed, I will return with the results.
I will owe the posting of today's results (15/12/2025), as there are still two open trades. In any case, I can advance that the result so far is positive. Since I didn't set rules for closing by time, management, or anything similar, these two trades ended up becoming swing trades — the market 'decided' that.
As soon as they are closed, I will return with the results.
Challenge 100 1,000: an experiment of process, not promise
On the 15th of this month, I will start a daily series documenting the performance of a portfolio with a simple goal to understand, but difficult to execute: to turn US$ 100 into US$ 1,000 by trading cryptocurrency futures.
The idea is to record a personal experiment, with well-defined rules, strict risk management, and total transparency, showing how the mathematics of trading behaves when the process is respected over time.
Multiplying an account by 10x usually sounds absurd — and, in most cases, it really is.
The idea is to record a personal experiment, with well-defined rules, strict risk management, and total transparency, showing how the mathematics of trading behaves when the process is respected over time.
Multiplying an account by 10x usually sounds absurd — and, in most cases, it really is.
See original
Pre-Payroll: the market is not falling by chance — it is protecting itself
The market went into defensive mode even before the data was released.
Bitcoin fell, altcoins fell even more, and volatility returned with strength.
This is not panic.
It is positioning.
Tomorrow (16/12/2025), the market receives one of the most sensitive macro packages of the month — data that not only moves prices in the short term but also adjusts expectations about interest rates, which today are the real engine of risk assets.
And after the last FOMC, this reading became even more delicate.
🏈What is really at stake tomorrow
Bitcoin fell, altcoins fell even more, and volatility returned with strength.
This is not panic.
It is positioning.
Tomorrow (16/12/2025), the market receives one of the most sensitive macro packages of the month — data that not only moves prices in the short term but also adjusts expectations about interest rates, which today are the real engine of risk assets.
And after the last FOMC, this reading became even more delicate.
🏈What is really at stake tomorrow
See original
The Fed cut interest rates... and Bitcoin fell.
Contradictory? Only for those who look at the data and ignore the context.
The market didn't fall because there was a cut.
It fell because the cut came with a speech that kept real interest rates high for longer.
📌 What really weighed:
✅The cut of 25 bps was already priced in
✅The Fed made it clear that there is no rush for new cuts
✅Real interest rates remain positive
✅Appetite for risk remains limited
In other words:
the market received relief, but did not receive confirmation of a liquidity cycle.
And when real interest rates remain high, risk assets suffer — especially crypto, which reacts more to the Fed's tone than to the isolated decision.
This explains why:
▶️BTC gave back part of the movement
▶️Altcoins took a bigger hit
▶️Volatility returned quickly
👉 I analyzed this scenario in more depth in the article from 11/12/2025, breaking down why the speech mattered more than the cut and what to observe going forward. Click aqui and check it out!
#BTC #FOMCWatch
Contradictory? Only for those who look at the data and ignore the context.
The market didn't fall because there was a cut.
It fell because the cut came with a speech that kept real interest rates high for longer.
📌 What really weighed:
✅The cut of 25 bps was already priced in
✅The Fed made it clear that there is no rush for new cuts
✅Real interest rates remain positive
✅Appetite for risk remains limited
In other words:
the market received relief, but did not receive confirmation of a liquidity cycle.
And when real interest rates remain high, risk assets suffer — especially crypto, which reacts more to the Fed's tone than to the isolated decision.
This explains why:
▶️BTC gave back part of the movement
▶️Altcoins took a bigger hit
▶️Volatility returned quickly
👉 I analyzed this scenario in more depth in the article from 11/12/2025, breaking down why the speech mattered more than the cut and what to observe going forward. Click aqui and check it out!
#BTC #FOMCWatch
Translate
Incerteza econômica, fiz um artigo sobre onde falei o que poderia acontecer. Em resumo: o Fed cortou os juros "no escuro" - devido a paralisação e manteve um discurso de cautela.
#BTTC #bitcoin what is hidden?
See original
What if the true ATH of this cycle hasn't happened yet?
Historically, peaks have come with negative real interest rates.
Today, they remain positive.
Coincidence... or structural delay of the cycle?
👉 Understand the thesis in the full article, click aqui.
Historically, peaks have come with negative real interest rates.
Today, they remain positive.
Coincidence... or structural delay of the cycle?
👉 Understand the thesis in the full article, click aqui.
See original
This is the first cycle of $BTC with:
• halving under positive real interest rates
• spot ETFs absorbing liquidity daily
• a much more institutional market
If you analyze 2025 with the logic of 2017, you may be making a costly mistake.
#Halving
📌 Complete analysis in the article.
• halving under positive real interest rates
• spot ETFs absorbing liquidity daily
• a much more institutional market
If you analyze 2025 with the logic of 2017, you may be making a costly mistake.
#Halving
📌 Complete analysis in the article.
Why this Bitcoin cycle is completely different from the previous ones?
For years, the market has learned to treat Bitcoin cycles as something almost predictable.
Halving, acceleration, euphoria, peak.
But this cycle broke that logic - and it wasn't in the price, it was in the structure.
Not only has the price behavior changed; the mechanics of the market have changed. The flow has changed, the dominant agent has changed, the macro has changed. Therefore, analyzing 2025 through the lenses of 2017 or 2021 can lead to dangerous conclusions.
In this article, I explain why this cycle is structurally different, which variables have changed, and why, in my view, the true historical maximum has still not been reached.
Halving, acceleration, euphoria, peak.
But this cycle broke that logic - and it wasn't in the price, it was in the structure.
Not only has the price behavior changed; the mechanics of the market have changed. The flow has changed, the dominant agent has changed, the macro has changed. Therefore, analyzing 2025 through the lenses of 2017 or 2021 can lead to dangerous conclusions.
In this article, I explain why this cycle is structurally different, which variables have changed, and why, in my view, the true historical maximum has still not been reached.
See original
Everyone keeps saying that the halving defines the cycles of $BTC .
But this cycle ignored the classic script.
High interest rates, ETFs draining supply, and institutions dictating the pace.
👉 Why is this cycle structurally different from the previous ones?
Full article on the profile.
#BTC #Halving2024
But this cycle ignored the classic script.
High interest rates, ETFs draining supply, and institutions dictating the pace.
👉 Why is this cycle structurally different from the previous ones?
Full article on the profile.
#BTC #Halving2024
Why this Bitcoin cycle is completely different from the previous ones?
For years, the market has learned to treat Bitcoin cycles as something almost predictable.
Halving, acceleration, euphoria, peak.
But this cycle broke that logic - and it wasn't in the price, it was in the structure.
Not only has the price behavior changed; the mechanics of the market have changed. The flow has changed, the dominant agent has changed, the macro has changed. Therefore, analyzing 2025 through the lenses of 2017 or 2021 can lead to dangerous conclusions.
In this article, I explain why this cycle is structurally different, which variables have changed, and why, in my view, the true historical maximum has still not been reached.
Halving, acceleration, euphoria, peak.
But this cycle broke that logic - and it wasn't in the price, it was in the structure.
Not only has the price behavior changed; the mechanics of the market have changed. The flow has changed, the dominant agent has changed, the macro has changed. Therefore, analyzing 2025 through the lenses of 2017 or 2021 can lead to dangerous conclusions.
In this article, I explain why this cycle is structurally different, which variables have changed, and why, in my view, the true historical maximum has still not been reached.
See original
Interest rates cut by the Fed — but does this really change the direction of prices?
I put together an objective article with data, context, and what could happen in the upcoming market movements.
👉 Click and see the analyses before it's too late.
I put together an objective article with data, context, and what could happen in the upcoming market movements.
👉 Click and see the analyses before it's too late.
FOMC Post-Decision: What the Interest Rate Cut Means for the Crypto World
Most of the reactions to the FOMC come from a superficial reading.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
See original
Many people did not understand the weight of yesterday's interest rate cut... but the market understood.
I prepared a clear summary about the impact of this decision on the dollar, commodities, and crypto.
👉 Access the full article and get ready before opening any trade.
I prepared a clear summary about the impact of this decision on the dollar, commodities, and crypto.
👉 Access the full article and get ready before opening any trade.
FOMC Post-Decision: What the Interest Rate Cut Means for the Crypto World
Most of the reactions to the FOMC come from a superficial reading.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
See original
The Fed cut interest rates — and the market has already begun to react.
I explained in the article the real impact of this on assets and what you need to observe before trading in the next few hours.
👉 Read now and don't trade in the dark.
I explained in the article the real impact of this on assets and what you need to observe before trading in the next few hours.
👉 Read now and don't trade in the dark.
FOMC Post-Decision: What the Interest Rate Cut Means for the Crypto World
Most of the reactions to the FOMC come from a superficial reading.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
See original
FOMC Post-Decision: What the Interest Rate Cut Means for the Crypto World
Most of the reactions to the FOMC come from a superficial reading.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
The market looks at the number — cut or hike — and ignores what really moves prices: the speech, the projections, and the Fed's degree of conviction.
The 25 basis point cut announced by the Federal Reserve does not change anything by itself.
What changes — or doesn't — is the implicit message about the next move.
And that's exactly where this FOMC became interesting.
In this article, I break down what really matters from the decision, the statement, and the speech, and explain how this combination affects the cryptocurrency market in the short and medium term — without noise, hype, or shallow headline readings.
See original
Tomorrow is the day of the Fed decision — and this could create the best opportunities… or the worst traps in the crypto market.
BTC, ETH, altcoins: everything can react in very different ways depending on the announcement.
What should you watch for before the FOMC knocks on the door?
👇I explained it in the full article. Check it out.
BTC, ETH, altcoins: everything can react in very different ways depending on the announcement.
What should you watch for before the FOMC knocks on the door?
👇I explained it in the full article. Check it out.
Pre-FOMC: What to expect, and how crypto may react
Tomorrow the world looks to the FOMC. The decision on the US interest rate is set to move not only traditional markets — but also the crypto universe. If you follow crypto, it's worth staying tuned.
🎯 Scenarios — and what each one may mean for crypto
Interest rate cut (reduction of the rate): Environment of greater liquidity, less attractiveness of dollar and fixed assets → increases risk appetite → crypto (especially those with higher risk/volatility) tends to rise
Interest rates maintained (rate kept at the current level): Waiting situation: strong dollar, moderate liquidity → crypto may fluctuate, with a tendency for retraction or lateralization; assets with strong fundamentals tend to stand out
🎯 Scenarios — and what each one may mean for crypto
Interest rate cut (reduction of the rate): Environment of greater liquidity, less attractiveness of dollar and fixed assets → increases risk appetite → crypto (especially those with higher risk/volatility) tends to rise
Interest rates maintained (rate kept at the current level): Waiting situation: strong dollar, moderate liquidity → crypto may fluctuate, with a tendency for retraction or lateralization; assets with strong fundamentals tend to stand out
See original
🚀🚀LUNC can go far… or not💥💥
The recent high of $LUNC caught attention — and brought along a lot of speculation.
However, the coin carries a heavy history, extreme tokenomics, and a narrative divided between hope and caution.
If you want to understand what is driving this and what the real potential of LUNC is, I broke everything down in the article.
👉 Go check it out and read.
The recent high of $LUNC caught attention — and brought along a lot of speculation.
However, the coin carries a heavy history, extreme tokenomics, and a narrative divided between hope and caution.
If you want to understand what is driving this and what the real potential of LUNC is, I broke everything down in the article.
👉 Go check it out and read.
LUNC – Terra Classic: A Complete Analysis of the Coin that Refuses to Die
Since 2022, few cryptocurrencies have a history as turbulent as Terra Classic (LUNC). After the collapse that destroyed over $40 billion in value and forever redefined the theme of 'systemic risks in algorithmic stablecoins,' the former LUNA became one of the most controversial assets in the market. However, even after the historic fall, Terra Classic remains alive — driven by a resilient community, occasional updates, and cycles of speculation that insist on reigniting interest around the asset.
See original
The FOMC is tomorrow... and the crypto market could turn upside down.
Interest rate cut? Stagnation? Increase? Each scenario pushes the price in a completely different direction — and many people are not ready.
What could really happen with Bitcoin, altcoins, and liquidity?
I prepared a clear and straightforward summary in the full article.
👇 Read before the announcement.
Interest rate cut? Stagnation? Increase? Each scenario pushes the price in a completely different direction — and many people are not ready.
What could really happen with Bitcoin, altcoins, and liquidity?
I prepared a clear and straightforward summary in the full article.
👇 Read before the announcement.
Pre-FOMC: What to expect, and how crypto may react
Tomorrow the world looks to the FOMC. The decision on the US interest rate is set to move not only traditional markets — but also the crypto universe. If you follow crypto, it's worth staying tuned.
🎯 Scenarios — and what each one may mean for crypto
Interest rate cut (reduction of the rate): Environment of greater liquidity, less attractiveness of dollar and fixed assets → increases risk appetite → crypto (especially those with higher risk/volatility) tends to rise
Interest rates maintained (rate kept at the current level): Waiting situation: strong dollar, moderate liquidity → crypto may fluctuate, with a tendency for retraction or lateralization; assets with strong fundamentals tend to stand out
🎯 Scenarios — and what each one may mean for crypto
Interest rate cut (reduction of the rate): Environment of greater liquidity, less attractiveness of dollar and fixed assets → increases risk appetite → crypto (especially those with higher risk/volatility) tends to rise
Interest rates maintained (rate kept at the current level): Waiting situation: strong dollar, moderate liquidity → crypto may fluctuate, with a tendency for retraction or lateralization; assets with strong fundamentals tend to stand out
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